Realized P&L (30d)
+$8
Unrealized P&L
+$11
Hit rate
63.5%
Resolved (30d)
3,565
Trades (30d)
5,462
54,085 lifetime
Volume (30d)
$70
$558 lifetime
Avg / trade
$0
Open exposure
$11
30 positions
First seen
2026-01-11
last 11-06 03:50
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 270 days
Categories
Other
63% 8% +$41
Politics
15% 14% +$22
Sports
13% 9% +$8
Crypto
7% 6% +$0
Tech
1% 11% +$0
Pop-Culture
1% 5% -$1
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
85 active days in 12wk • peak 314 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Donald Trump post 60-79 Truth Social posts from November 3 to November 10, 2026? Yes +54 $0 8¢ $4 +$4 11-04 01:58
Will Ondřej Tichý be the next Mayor of Pardubice? Yes +4 $0 95¢ $3 +$3 09-18 08:56
Will Anthropic's initial public offering occur in January 2027 (ET)? Yes +6 $0 12¢ $1 +$1 11-04 07:34
Will Todd Blanche be the first of these people impeached by December 31, 2027? Yes +6 $0 8¢ $1 +$1 11-03 15:46
Will Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) hit (LOW) $495 Week of November 2 2026? Yes +6 $0 4¢ $0 +$0 11-04 20:06
Will tkzin play for FURIA Esports in 2027? Yes +6 $0 3¢ $0 +$0 11-05 18:31
Will GPT Astra 6.1+ be released between November 23 and November 29, 2026? Yes +6 $0 2¢ $0 +$0 11-05 01:11
Will GPT Astra 6.1+ be released between December 14 and December 20, 2026? Yes +6 $0 2¢ $0 +$0 11-05 01:11
Will Aleš Primc win the 2026 Ljubljana mayoral election? Yes +54 $0 0¢ $0 +$0 11-05 13:46
Will Anthropic's initial public offering occur in March 2027 (ET)? Yes +6 $0 1¢ $0 +$0 10-29 17:44
Will "Clayface" 3rd Weekend Box Office be between 3m and 4m? Yes +6 $0 1¢ $0 +$0 11-05 19:23
Will Lazio win the 2026-27 Serie A Championship? Yes +1 $0 7¢ $0 +$0 08-30 19:39
Will Deck-Man: Cassette Player be #1 Paid App in the US Apple App Store on November 6? Yes +6 $0 1¢ $0 +$0 11-04 22:59
W35 Hamamatsu: Koharu Ito vs Chia Yi Tsao Koharu Ito +6 $0 1¢ $0 +$0 11-06 04:34
Kamala Harris Democratic nomination odds leader on November 30? Yes +12 $0 0¢ $0 +$0 11-05 03:59
Robert Pattinson announced as next James Bond? Yes +30 $0 0¢ $0 +$0 11-06 01:53
Will tkzin play for 100 Thieves in 2027? Yes +6 $0 1¢ $0 +$0 11-05 17:25
Will "Clayface" 3rd Weekend Box Office be less than 3m? Yes +6 $0 1¢ $0 +$0 11-05 19:23
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $30 in November? Yes +12 $0 0¢ $0 +$0 11-04 03:42
Will Bogdan Guskov be the UFC Light Heavyweight Champion on December 31, 2026? Yes +6 $0 1¢ $0 +$0 07-26 03:45
Will APT. – ROSÉ & Bruno Mars be the top song in the US for 2026? Yes +6 $0 1¢ $0 +$0 09-10 10:17
Josh Shapiro Democratic nomination odds leader on November 30? Yes +12 $0 0¢ $0 +$0 11-05 03:59
Will GPT Astra 6.1+ be released between December 21 and December 27, 2026? Yes +6 $0 1¢ $0 +$0 11-05 01:11
Will Edmundo González be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? Yes +6 $0 1¢ $0 +$0 09-20 03:12
Will Justin Bieber have the second-greatest number of monthly Spotify listeners this month? Yes +30 $0 0¢ $0 +$0 11-05 22:30
Will "Ali G: Who Iz I?" Opening Weekend Box Office be between $3M and $4M? Yes +1 $0 4¢ $0 +$0 10-23 02:21
Will Cole Young win the 2026 AL Platinum Glove award? Yes +6 $0 1¢ $0 +$0 11-01 20:31
Bank of England decreases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2026 meeting? Yes +6 $0 1¢ $0 +$0 11-05 19:49
Will Salesforce Q3 current RPO growth (CC) be between 13% and 14%? Yes +6 $0 1¢ $0 +$0 10-24 11:16
Will GPT Astra 6.1+ be released between December 28, 2026 and January 3, 2027? Yes +6 $0 1¢ $0 +$0 11-05 01:11