Realized P&L (90d)
+$23
Unrealized P&L
+$49
Hit rate
60.1%
Resolved (90d)
12,385
Trades (90d)
18,277
54,285 lifetime
Volume (90d)
$199
$557 lifetime
Avg / trade
$0
Open exposure
$49
30 positions
First seen
2026-01-11
last 11-09 15:12
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 273 days
Categories
Other
63% 8% +$40
Politics
15% 14% +$22
Sports
13% 8% +$8
Crypto
7% 6% $0
Tech
1% 11% +$0
Pop-Culture
1% 5% -$1
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
85 active days in 12wk • peak 393 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Donald Trump post 60-79 Truth Social posts from November 3 to November 10, 2026? Yes +54 $0 37¢ $20 +$20 11-04 01:58
Will Donald Trump post 80-99 Truth Social posts from November 3 to November 10, 2026? Yes +30 $0 43¢ $13 +$13 11-04 06:52
Robert Pattinson announced as next James Bond? Yes +36 $0 22¢ $8 +$8 11-06 12:41
Will Ondřej Tichý be the next Mayor of Pardubice? Yes +4 $0 95¢ $3 +$3 09-18 08:56
Will Pia Lundin be the next Regional Board Chair of Region Västernorrland? Yes +3 $0 28¢ $1 +$1 08-17 13:17
Will GPT Astra 6.1+ be released between November 23 and November 29, 2026? Yes +6 $0 13¢ $1 +$1 11-05 01:11
Will Todd Blanche be the first of these people impeached by December 31, 2027? Yes +6 $0 8¢ $1 +$1 11-03 15:46
Will there be 50 or more West Nile neuroinvasive disease cases among NYC residents in 2026? Yes — +12 $0 4¢ $0 +$1 11-09 14:30
Will Trump and Putin meet next in Switzerland? Yes +282 $0 0¢ $0 +$0 11-09 15:12
Will Greens win the second-most seats in the next Victorian state election? Yes +6 $0 6¢ $0 +$0 11-03 07:26
Will Indonesia win on 2026-11-17? Yes +6 $0 3¢ $0 +$0 11-09 15:12
Will Anthropic IPO on November 30, 2026? Yes +6 $0 2¢ $0 +$0 11-08 17:02
Will "I'm The Problem - Morgan Wallen" be the Billboard 200 #1 album for the week of November 21? Yes +6 $0 2¢ $0 +$0 11-09 14:35
Will Tom Emmer be the next House Majority Leader? Yes +12 $0 1¢ $0 +$0 11-08 14:58
Will Aleš Primc win the 2026 Ljubljana mayoral election? Yes +84 $0 0¢ $0 +$0 11-08 19:39
Will tkzin play for FURIA Esports in 2027? Yes +6 $0 2¢ $0 +$0 11-05 18:31
Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on November 30, 2026? Yes +48 $0 0¢ $0 +$0 11-09 00:33
Will there be 20 to 34 West Nile neuroinvasive disease cases among NYC residents in 2026? Yes +6 $0 2¢ $0 +$0 11-09 14:56
Will tkzin play for NRG in 2027? Yes +6 $0 2¢ $0 +$0 11-09 12:35
Will Anthropic IPO on November 13, 2026 or earlier? Yes +6 $0 2¢ $0 +$0 11-08 17:02
Will Lady Gaga have the second-greatest number of monthly Spotify listeners this month? Yes +24 $0 0¢ $0 +$0 11-06 07:13
Will Elon Musk post 540-559 tweets from November 6 to November 13, 2026? Yes +90 $0 0¢ $0 $0 11-08 23:32
Will Elon Musk post 500-519 tweets from November 3 to November 10, 2026? Yes +60 $0 0¢ $0 +$0 11-07 07:04
Will "Wildwood" 3rd Weekend Box Office be between 4m and 5m? Yes +18 $0 0¢ $0 +$0 11-06 10:31
Will "Ramayana" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 6m? Yes +6 $0 1¢ $0 +$0 11-06 08:01
Will Nicolás del Caño win the 2027 Argentina presidential election? Yes +54 $0 0¢ $0 +$0 11-08 14:31
Will GPT Astra 6.1+ be released between January 11 and January 17, 2027? Yes +6 $0 1¢ $0 +$0 11-05 01:11
Will Kendrick Lamar be the top artist in the US for 2026? Yes +36 $0 0¢ $0 +$0 11-08 13:02
Will Oman win Group A at the 2027 AFC Asian Cup? Yes +12 $0 1¢ $0 +$0 11-07 23:39
Will Anthropic's initial public offering occur in March 2027 (ET)? Yes +6 $0 1¢ $0 +$0 10-29 17:44