Realized P&L (7d)
+$5
Unrealized P&L
+$1
Hit rate
66.4%
Resolved (7d)
1,408
Trades (7d)
1,523
53,288 lifetime
Volume (7d)
$21
$550 lifetime
Avg / trade
$0
Open exposure
$1
30 positions
First seen
2026-01-11
last 11-02 05:54
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 266 days
Categories
Other
63% 8% +$39
Politics
15% 14% +$21
Sports
13% 9% +$8
Crypto
7% 6% +$0
Tech
1% 11% +$0
Pop-Culture
1% 5% -$1
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
85 active days in 12wk • peak 314 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will US unemployment reach at least 6.0% in 2026? Yes +6 $0 1¢ $0 +$0 10-19 08:21
Will Bogdan Guskov be the UFC Light Heavyweight Champion on December 31, 2026? Yes +6 $0 1¢ $0 +$0 07-26 03:45
Will 9-10 SpaceX Starship launches successfully reach Space in 2026? Yes +6 $0 1¢ $0 +$0 10-05 17:37
Will Jiří Procházka be the UFC Light Heavyweight Champion on December 31, 2026? Yes +6 $0 1¢ $0 +$0 06-15 09:36
Will Cole Young win the 2026 AL Platinum Glove award? Yes +6 $0 1¢ $0 +$0 11-01 20:31
Will Khalil Rountree Jr. be the UFC Light Heavyweight Champion on December 31, 2026? Yes +6 $0 1¢ $0 +$0 08-01 09:40
Will China’s 2026 annual GDP growth (Y/Y) be between 1.0% and 2.0%? Yes +6 $0 1¢ $0 +$0 09-15 20:39
Will Matt Olson win the 2026 NL Platinum Glove award? Yes +6 $0 0¢ $0 +$0 07-24 13:29
Will OpenAI’s market cap be between $500B and $750B at market close on IPO day? Yes +6 $0 0¢ $0 +$0 09-13 01:04
Will Yair Lapid be the next Prime Minister of Israel? Yes +6 $0 0¢ $0 +$0 09-09 17:29
Will Portland Timbers win the 2026 MLS Cup? Yes +6 $0 0¢ $0 +$0 10-29 14:45
Will Amir Ohana be the next Prime Minister of Israel? Yes +6 $0 0¢ $0 +$0 09-29 19:40
Will Mainz 05 be the 2026-27 Bundesliga champion? Yes +6 $0 0¢ $0 +$0 10-20 14:17
Will Alexander Volkanovski be the next fighter to be ranked first in the UFC Pound-For-Pound Rankings in 2026? Yes +0 $0 7¢ $0 +$0 06-15 11:16
Will Lew Evans win The Bachelorette Season 22? Yes +12 $0 0¢ $0 +$0 10-29 06:36
Will Tom Steyer win the California Governor Election in 2026? Yes +12 $0 0¢ $0 +$0 06-12 08:48
Will Bitcoin reach $1,000,000 by December 31, 2026? Yes +6 $0 0¢ $0 +$0 10-30 16:05
Will 2026 be the third-hottest year on record? Yes +6 $0 0¢ $0 +$0 10-07 06:08
Will the US strike 15 or more countries in 2026? Yes +6 $0 0¢ $0 +$0 09-12 20:16
Will Edmundo González be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? Yes +6 $0 0¢ $0 +$0 09-20 03:12
Will Yair Golan be the next Prime Minister of Israel? Yes +6 $0 0¢ $0 +$0 09-30 09:33
Will Khamzat Chimaev be ranked first in the UFC Pound-For-Pound Rankings at the end of 2026? Yes +2 $0 0¢ $0 +$0 06-07 11:00
Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 2.75% at the end of 2026? Yes +6 $0 0¢ $0 +$0 10-21 07:45
Will Trump and Putin meet next in Belarus? Yes +6 $0 0¢ $0 +$0 09-23 01:23
Will Richard Van De Water win The Bachelorette Season 22? Yes +6 $0 0¢ $0 +$0 10-20 21:15
2026 Balance of Power: Other Yes +6 $0 0¢ $0 +$0 10-15 14:48
Will SHEIN have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026? Yes — +6 $0 0¢ $0 +$0 05-23 02:12
Will Amazon be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? Yes — +6 $0 0¢ $0 +$0 09-13 06:39
Will Bournemouth win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship? Yes +6 $0 0¢ $0 +$0 07-15 14:41
Will 4 Fed rate hikes happen in 2026? Yes +6 $0 0¢ $0 +$0 10-25 04:35