Tall-Agenda — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$20

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

96.2%

Resolved

Trades

157

lifetime

Volume

$2.03K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$13

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-02-08

last 08-02 06:18

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 59 days

Categories

Other

77% 91% -$15

Politics

18% 92% -$6

Sports

2% 100% +$1

Crypto

2% 100% +$0

Tech

2% 100% +$0

Pop-Culture

0% 100% +$0

Activity

No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-08-02).

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Russia enter Svitle by April 30?	2	$50	25	25	+0	No	+$0	04-30 17:04
Will Daniel Cameron be the Republican nominee for Senate in Kentucky?	2	$50	25	25	+0	No	+$0	05-19 22:33
Will Zendaya be on Vogue's Best-Dressed list?	2	$49	25	25	+0	No	+$0	05-04 00:46
will mrbeasts next video get between 69 and 70 million views on day 4	2	$45	23	23	+0	No	+$0	03-24 21:16
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $140 in May?	1	$45	45	0	+45	No	+$0	05-29 16:05
will one piece season 2 be the top global netflix show this week	2	$40	20	20	+0	Yes	+$0	03-17 19:13
will republic win the most seats in the lgting in the 2026 faroese general election	2	$40	20	20	+0	No	+$0	03-26 22:23
Will MrBeast's next video get between 61 and 62 million views on day 5?	2	$39	20	20	+0	No	+$0	05-21 06:49
will xo kitty season 3 be the 2 global netflix show this week	2	$38	19	19	+0	Yes	+$0	04-14 19:42
will heather mcpherson win the canadian ndp leadership election	2	$37	19	19	+0	No	+$1	03-29 15:20
Will Woo Sang-ho win the 2026 Gangwon Province gubernatorial election?	2	$37	19	19	+0	Yes	+$1	06-04 04:18
will mrbeasts next video get less than 69 million views on day 4	2	$35	18	18	+0	No	+$0	03-24 20:09
will mrbeasts latest video get between 73 and 74 million views on day 6	2	$35	18	18	+0	No	+$0	04-10 07:36
deepseek v4 released by march 31 446 353 924 266 292	2	$35	18	18	+0	No	+$0	03-31 05:04
will mrbeasts next video get between 76 and 77 million views on day 6	2	$35	18	18	+0	No	+$0	03-27 04:36
Will Bryce Reeves be the Republican nominee for Senate in Virginia?	1	$34	34	0	+34	No	+$0	06-15 11:06
Will annual inflation increase by 3.5% in April?	2	$33	17	17	+0	No	+$0	05-12 13:08
ethereum above 1100 on july 5 2026	1	$32	32	0	+32	Yes	+$0	07-02 16:22
Will Anthropic have the best Math AI model at the end of May 2026?	2	$32	16	16	+0	No	+$0	05-31 05:19
will the bank of russia decrease the key rate after the april meeting	2	$31	16	16	+0	Yes	+$0	04-24 10:30
Will turnout in the Texas Republican Senate primary runoff be between 900,000 and 1,200,000 voters?	2	$31	16	16	+0	No	+$0	05-30 15:54
will mrbeasts next video get between 70 and 71 million views on day 4	2	$31	16	16	+0	No	+$0	03-25 11:15
Will Zelenskyy post 120-139 posts from May 1 to May 8, 2026?	2	$30	15	15	+0	No	+$0	05-08 14:45
Will any country leave NATO by June 30, 2026?	1	$24	24	0	+24	No	+$0	06-25 13:23
will fewer than 10 ships transit the strait of hormuz between march 10 16	2	$23	12	12	+0	No	+$0	03-17 15:48
andrew tate of tweets march 6 march 13 2026 100 129	2	$23	12	12	+0	Yes	+$1	03-13 10:48
highest temperature in taipei on march 17 2026 20corbelow	1	$23	23	0	+23	No	+$0	03-17 19:26
military action against iran ends by march 31 2026	1	$22	22	0	+22	No	+$0	03-30 01:39
Will Andrey Gyurov be the next prime minister of Bulgaria after the 2026 parliamentary election?	1	$22	22	0	+22	No	+$0	04-18 20:01
highest temperature in seattle on february 21 2026 41forbelow	2	$20	10	10	+0	No	+$0	02-21 05:02

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
08-02 06:18:41	Will Suzanne Krzyzanowski be the VA-05 Democratic nominee?	No	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0xb74819…
07-14 14:05:02	0 ships transit hormuz on any date by july 14 20260626172559969	No	BUY	17	99¢	$17	0x9080d8…
07-03 13:54:16	Will Khamenei post 5-9 posts from June 26 to July 3, 2026?	No	BUY	18	99¢	$18	0x8b1835…
07-02 16:22:53	ethereum above 1100 on july 5 2026	Yes	BUY	32	100¢	$32	0xf022b4…
06-25 13:23:55	Will any country leave NATO by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	24	100¢	$24	0x32ea77…
06-25 12:13:59	Meloni out as Prime Minister of Italy by June 30?	No	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0x8b9ba1…
06-15 11:06:21	Will Bryce Reeves be the Republican nominee for Senate in Virginia?	No	BUY	34	100¢	$34	0xfb5231…
06-15 00:06:13	Will Constance N. Johnson win the 2026 Oklahoma Governor Democratic primary election?	No	BUY	19	99¢	$19	0x3a468e…
06-07 20:01:52	will apple announce a new product line during the wwdc 2026 keynote	No	BUY	20	98¢	$20	0xd04d99…
06-04 04:18:25	Will Woo Sang-ho win the 2026 Gangwon Province gubernatorial election?	Yes	SELL	19	100¢	$19	0x1ae2e0…
06-02 06:50:29	Will Woo Sang-ho win the 2026 Gangwon Province gubernatorial election?	Yes	BUY	19	97¢	$18	0x5ff96d…
05-31 05:19:22	Will Anthropic have the best Math AI model at the end of May 2026?	No	SELL	16	99¢	$16	0x53e50c…
05-30 18:14:15	Will Anthropic have the best Math AI model at the end of May 2026?	No	BUY	16	98¢	$16	0x8f42b2…
05-30 15:54:34	Will turnout in the Texas Republican Senate primary runoff be between 900,000 and 1,200,000 voters?	No	SELL	16	99¢	$16	0xe9ba25…
05-29 16:05:59	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $140 in May?	No	BUY	45	100¢	$45	0xc58988…
05-29 07:34:40	Iran leadership change by May 31?	No	BUY	15	99¢	$15	0xb5341d…
05-25 19:38:11	Will turnout in the Texas Republican Senate primary runoff be between 900,000 and 1,200,000 voters?	No	BUY	16	97¢	$16	0x134838…
05-21 06:49:57	Will MrBeast's next video get between 61 and 62 million views on day 5?	No	SELL	20	99¢	$20	0xc34a09…
05-20 17:40:00	Will MrBeast's next video get between 61 and 62 million views on day 5?	No	BUY	20	97¢	$19	0x8f4070…
05-19 22:33:33	Will Daniel Cameron be the Republican nominee for Senate in Kentucky?	No	SELL	25	100¢	$25	0xdbbf8a…
05-18 00:02:37	Will Daniel Cameron be the Republican nominee for Senate in Kentucky?	No	BUY	25	99¢	$25	0x69e4b4…
05-15 08:29:21	Will Zelenskyy post 120-139 posts from May 8 to May 15, 2026?	No	BUY	15	99¢	$15	0x259c24…
05-12 13:08:02	Will annual inflation increase by 3.5% in April?	No	SELL	17	100¢	$17	0xdc0f1e…
05-11 00:22:36	Will annual inflation increase by 3.5% in April?	No	BUY	17	97¢	$16	0xfe3d5b…
05-08 14:45:32	Will Zelenskyy post 120-139 posts from May 1 to May 8, 2026?	No	SELL	15	100¢	$15	0x964210…
05-07 16:24:05	Will Zelenskyy post 120-139 posts from May 1 to May 8, 2026?	No	BUY	15	99¢	$15	0x4d9948…
05-06 21:37:21	Will the Conservative Party win control of the most London borough councils?	No	SELL	8	100¢	$8	0xba4bdd…
05-06 00:03:44	Will the Conservative Party win control of the most London borough councils?	No	BUY	8	99¢	$8	0x8c8610…
05-04 00:46:28	Will Zendaya be on Vogue's Best-Dressed list?	No	SELL	25	100¢	$25	0x8d0e18…
05-03 21:21:36	Will Zendaya be on Vogue's Best-Dressed list?	No	BUY	25	98¢	$24	0x7c41b9…
04-30 17:04:04	Will Russia enter Svitle by April 30?	No	SELL	25	100¢	$25	0xa208d5…
04-29 07:26:48	Will Russia enter Svitle by April 30?	No	BUY	25	99¢	$25	0x68e1cf…
04-24 10:30:28	will the bank of russia decrease the key rate after the april meeting	Yes	SELL	16	100¢	$16	0x858ef8…
04-23 01:46:32	will the bank of russia decrease the key rate after the april meeting	Yes	BUY	16	97¢	$16	0x106fb3…
04-18 20:01:14	Will Andrey Gyurov be the next prime minister of Bulgaria after the 2026 parliamentary election?	No	BUY	22	99¢	$22	0xb72f7e…
04-14 19:42:06	will xo kitty season 3 be the 2 global netflix show this week	Yes	SELL	19	100¢	$19	0x8ad174…
04-13 17:37:53	will xo kitty season 3 be the 2 global netflix show this week	Yes	BUY	19	98¢	$19	0x4ee782…
04-10 07:36:53	will mrbeasts latest video get between 73 and 74 million views on day 6	No	SELL	18	99¢	$18	0xbd5a00…
04-09 22:17:53	will mrbeasts latest video get between 73 and 74 million views on day 6	No	BUY	18	97¢	$17	0xe1b1d6…
04-07 09:21:15	khamenei of tweets march 31 april 7 2026 15 19	No	BUY	17	99¢	$17	0xe0a59e…
04-05 01:46:37	will the drama opening weekend box office be between 16m and 17m	No	BUY	15	99¢	$15	0x0671b3…
03-31 16:03:17	will russia enter havrylivka by march 31 2026	No	SELL	10	99¢	$10	0x648282…
03-31 07:13:31	khamenei of tweets march 24 march 31 2026 20 39	No	BUY	19	99¢	$19	0x49f550…
03-31 05:04:41	deepseek v4 released by march 31 446 353 924 266 292	No	SELL	18	99¢	$18	0x0bf70d…
03-30 01:39:28	military action against iran ends by march 31 2026	No	BUY	22	99¢	$22	0x6d4e6d…
03-30 00:08:06	deepseek v4 released by march 31 446 353 924 266 292	No	BUY	18	97¢	$17	0xf50925…
03-29 15:20:18	will heather mcpherson win the canadian ndp leadership election	No	SELL	19	100¢	$19	0xba91f1…
03-28 03:57:27	will heather mcpherson win the canadian ndp leadership election	No	BUY	19	97¢	$18	0xced5a8…
03-27 04:36:17	will mrbeasts next video get between 76 and 77 million views on day 6	No	SELL	18	99¢	$18	0x01d179…
03-26 22:23:11	will republic win the most seats in the lgting in the 2026 faroese general election	No	SELL	20	99¢	$20	0x715049…
03-26 16:49:55	will mrbeasts next video get between 76 and 77 million views on day 6	No	BUY	18	97¢	$17	0xa37075…
03-26 13:06:41	will the south african reserve bank increase the repo rate after the march meeting	No	SELL	7	99¢	$7	0x9afe89…
03-25 22:57:45	will the south african reserve bank increase the repo rate after the march meeting	No	BUY	7	98¢	$7	0x52a046…
03-25 11:15:57	will mrbeasts next video get between 70 and 71 million views on day 4	No	SELL	16	99¢	$16	0x07421c…
03-25 00:00:33	will republic win the most seats in the lgting in the 2026 faroese general election	No	BUY	20	98¢	$20	0xfe5d61…
03-25 00:00:33	will aksel v johannesen be the next lgmaur of the faroe islands following the 2026 faroese general election	No	BUY	19	99¢	$19	0xcd2bfd…
03-24 23:00:23	will mrbeasts next video get between 70 and 71 million views on day 4	No	BUY	16	97¢	$16	0xb5f179…
03-24 21:16:03	will mrbeasts next video get between 69 and 70 million views on day 4	No	SELL	23	99¢	$23	0xda6201…
03-24 20:53:57	will mrbeasts next video get between 69 and 70 million views on day 4	No	BUY	23	97¢	$22	0xe99c8f…
03-24 20:09:09	will mrbeasts next video get less than 69 million views on day 4	No	SELL	18	99¢	$18	0xa4ad52…
03-24 15:43:05	will mrbeasts next video get less than 69 million views on day 4	No	BUY	18	98¢	$18	0x59d75b…
03-17 19:26:57	highest temperature in taipei on march 17 2026 20corbelow	No	BUY	23	99¢	$23	0x23e93f…
03-17 19:13:35	will one piece season 2 be the top global netflix show this week	Yes	SELL	20	100¢	$20	0xb99f60…
03-17 15:48:37	will fewer than 10 ships transit the strait of hormuz between march 10 16	No	SELL	12	99¢	$12	0xe155f2…
03-16 15:12:19	highest temperature in shanghai on march 17 2026 10c	No	BUY	16	99¢	$16	0x01e63f…
03-16 10:16:51	highest temperature in tel aviv on march 16 2026 22c	No	SELL	10	99¢	$10	0x551dac…
03-16 09:04:53	highest temperature in singapore on march 16 2026 32c	Yes	BUY	15	99¢	$15	0x08a258…
03-16 05:38:51	highest temperature in tel aviv on march 16 2026 22c	No	BUY	10	97¢	$10	0x91a916…
03-16 03:38:11	will one piece season 2 be the top global netflix show this week	Yes	BUY	20	98¢	$20	0x9aaeaa…
03-16 02:16:59	will one battle after another win exactly 4 awards at the oscars	No	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0x06cd4a…
03-15 21:29:43	will 45 or more ships transit the strait of hormuz between march 10 16	No	SELL	8	100¢	$8	0xfb33af…
03-15 18:06:47	will reminders of him score at least 60 on the rotten tomatoes tomatometer	No	SELL	10	99¢	$10	0x1274c3…
03-15 00:00:49	will fewer than 10 ships transit the strait of hormuz between march 10 16	No	BUY	12	96¢	$12	0xb221a5…
03-15 00:00:49	will reminders of him score at least 60 on the rotten tomatoes tomatometer	No	BUY	10	93¢	$9	0x84733f…
03-15 00:00:49	will 45 or more ships transit the strait of hormuz between march 10 16	No	BUY	8	96¢	$8	0x0aa3bd…
03-14 19:24:11	will one battle after another win exactly 4 awards at the oscars	No	BUY	2	90¢	$2	0xc9bca1…
03-13 10:48:39	andrew tate of tweets march 6 march 13 2026 100 129	Yes	SELL	12	99¢	$12	0x25bf57…
03-12 23:22:55	andrew tate of tweets march 6 march 13 2026 100 129	Yes	BUY	12	91¢	$11	0xbe8d3d…
03-12 17:45:51	will mrbeasts next video get between 72 and 73 million views on day 6	No	SELL	6	99¢	$6	0x5f9c6f…
03-12 17:17:25	will mrbeasts next video get between 72 and 73 million views on day 6	No	BUY	6	94¢	$6	0x721048…
03-12 00:10:13	will the total number of tsa passengers for march 12 be between 2000000 and 2200000	No	SELL	10	99¢	$10	0x7b98cb…
03-11 15:07:13	will the total number of tsa passengers for march 12 be between 2000000 and 2200000	No	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0x93b465…
03-11 12:39:01	will a dozen eggs cost 2pt80 in february	No	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0xc8c4d1…
03-10 19:03:53	will the dinosaurs be the 2 global netflix show this week	Yes	SELL	6	100¢	$6	0x22f4c5…
03-10 18:54:41	will jurassic world rebirth be the 2 us netflix movie this week	Yes	SELL	10	99¢	$10	0x7d395b…
03-10 03:31:15	will a dozen eggs cost 2pt80 in february	No	BUY	10	96¢	$10	0x655bf4…
03-09 12:08:25	will the total number of tsa passengers for march 8 be between 2200000 and 2400000	No	SELL	10	99¢	$10	0xa14846…
03-09 00:01:15	will the dinosaurs be the 2 global netflix show this week	Yes	BUY	6	91¢	$5	0xd20fc0…
03-09 00:01:15	will jurassic world rebirth be the 2 us netflix movie this week	Yes	BUY	10	96¢	$10	0xb3d824…
03-07 19:29:49	will the total number of tsa passengers for march 8 be between 2200000 and 2400000	No	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0x962d6c…
03-06 16:54:39	will the us add between 75k and 100k jobs in february	No	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0x6cc291…
03-05 21:58:17	will the us add between 75k and 100k jobs in february	No	BUY	10	93¢	$9	0x2f0f26…
03-04 12:30:09	will starmer say mr speaker 15 times during the next prime ministers questions 268	Yes	SELL	10	99¢	$10	0xbeedfe…
03-03 08:34:05	will starmer say mr speaker 15 times during the next prime ministers questions 268	Yes	BUY	10	96¢	$10	0x235aa8…
03-01 18:02:17	highest temperature in buenos aires on march 1 2026 31c	No	SELL	10	99¢	$10	0x9a9501…
03-01 10:51:11	highest temperature in ankara on march 1 2026 6c	No	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0x581717…
03-01 09:58:03	highest temperature in miami on march 1 2026 75forbelow	No	SELL	10	99¢	$10	0x2f8402…
03-01 00:03:39	highest temperature in paris on march 1 2026 10c	No	SELL	10	99¢	$10	0xd8e26d…
02-28 12:00:49	highest temperature in paris on march 1 2026 10c	No	BUY	10	96¢	$10	0xdda4f7…
02-28 12:00:49	highest temperature in ankara on march 1 2026 6c	No	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0x9cee3c…