Proud-Condor — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$15

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

100.0%

Resolved

178

Trades

185

lifetime

Volume

$4.41K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$24

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-04

last 11-06 20:51

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 100 days

Categories

Crypto

56% 100% +$8

Other

36% 100% +$5

Politics

5% 100% +$1

Tech

2% 100% +$0

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

24 active days in 12wk • peak 3 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on May 27?	1	$71	71	0	+71	Yes	+$0	05-26 22:39
Will Bitcoin dip to $66,000 November 2-8?	1	$69	70	0	+70	No	+$0	11-06 20:51
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on May 22?	2	$57	57	0	+57	Yes	+$0	05-21 08:10
Will Ethereum dip to $1,800 April 20-26?	1	$57	57	0	+57	No	+$0	04-25 02:09
Will Elon Musk post 165-189 tweets from May 23 to May 25, 2026?	1	$55	55	0	+55	No	+$0	05-23 14:10
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on May 20?	1	$54	55	0	+55	Yes	+$0	05-19 18:45
bitcoin above 84k on april 22	2	$53	53	0	+53	No	+$0	04-20 16:26
Will JD Vance visit Pakistan by May 4?	2	$52	52	0	+52	No	+$0	05-03 22:40
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 19?	1	$51	51	0	+51	Yes	+$0	05-19 04:58
bitcoin above 82k on april 17	2	$50	25	25	+0	No	+$0	04-17 05:32
will the price of bitcoin be between 80000 82000 on april 17	2	$50	25	25	+0	No	+$0	04-17 05:33
Will Khvicha Kvaratskhelia win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	1	$46	47	0	+47	No	+$0	10-24 14:24
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on October 18?	1	$44	44	0	+44	No	+$0	10-17 19:56
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on June 2?	1	$44	44	0	+44	Yes	+$0	06-01 19:17
Will Croatia win the televote for Eurovision 2026?	2	$43	43	0	+43	No	+$0	05-15 23:26
Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by May 14, 2026?	1	$43	43	0	+43	No	+$0	05-12 03:48
bitcoin above 68k on august 23 2026	1	$42	42	0	+42	Yes	+$0	08-21 19:03
will bitcoin dip to 62k april 13 19	1	$42	42	0	+42	No	+$0	04-17 14:53
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from July 3 to July 10, 2026?	1	$42	42	0	+42	No	+$0	07-09 19:21
Will Silver (SI) settle at $70-$80 in June?	1	$40	40	0	+40	No	+$0	06-29 14:05
Will Peter Taylor win the 2026 Watford mayoral election?	1	$40	40	0	+40	Yes	+$0	05-06 07:46
Will Germany send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by May 31, 2026?	1	$39	39	0	+39	No	+$0	05-28 04:17
will gpt 6 be released by august 14 2026	1	$37	38	0	+38	No	+$0	08-12 05:27
Will Scottish National Party win the most seats in the 2026 Scottish Parliament election?	2	$37	37	0	+37	Yes	+$0	05-06 00:59
Will Bitcoin reach $88,000 May 4-10?	1	$36	36	0	+36	No	+$0	05-09 17:41
Will the ECB announce a 25 bps increase at the July 2026 meeting?	1	$35	35	0	+35	No	+$0	07-20 23:10
Will Bitcoin reach $88,000 October 26-November 1?	1	$34	34	0	+34	No	+$0	10-30 14:02
Will Bitcoin dip to $72,000 April 27-May 3?	1	$34	34	0	+34	No	+$0	05-02 22:14
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from April 24 to May 1, 2026?	1	$33	33	0	+33	No	+$0	04-28 19:14
will the price of ethereum be between 2100 2200 on april 23	1	$33	33	0	+33	No	+$0	04-23 13:47

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-06 20:51:16	Will Bitcoin dip to $66,000 November 2-8?	No	BUY	70	100¢	$69	0xf0451c…
11-06 16:21:34	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on November 6?	Yes	BUY	14	99¢	$14	0x4aa493…
10-30 14:02:25	Will Bitcoin reach $88,000 October 26-November 1?	No	BUY	34	100¢	$34	0x9232af…
10-29 10:01:43	Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in October?	No	BUY	22	100¢	$22	0xcf4953…
10-26 11:35:56	Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	No	BUY	21	100¢	$21	0x7cb42e…
10-24 14:24:33	Will Khvicha Kvaratskhelia win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	No	BUY	47	100¢	$46	0x5fbbfe…
10-17 19:56:53	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on October 18?	No	BUY	44	99¢	$44	0x66a1df…
10-16 12:26:48	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on October 16?	No	BUY	27	100¢	$27	0xcae85a…
10-08 02:49:02	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on October 8?	Yes	BUY	26	100¢	$26	0x182101…
10-07 12:00:02	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on October 8?	Yes	BUY	18	100¢	$18	0x003cd4…
10-03 18:11:38	Will Ethereum dip to $2,300 September 28-October 4?	No	BUY	21	100¢	$21	0x8c50ab…
10-03 05:14:08	Will Bitcoin reach $96,000 September 28-October 4?	No	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0x6caba9…
10-03 04:27:06	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,500 on October 3?	Yes	BUY	23	100¢	$23	0xa09aa7…
09-27 17:47:15	will bitcoin reach 88k september 21 27 2026	No	BUY	21	100¢	$21	0x6b8889…
09-26 10:51:53	Will Ethereum reach $3,100 September 21-27?	No	BUY	25	99¢	$25	0xc47fcb…
09-23 06:42:28	Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from September 18 to September 25, 2026?	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0xfcf554…
09-20 21:35:20	Will Ethereum reach $2,900 September 14-20?	No	BUY	12	100¢	$12	0x4cad1b…
09-19 07:41:36	Will Ethereum dip to $2,300 September 14-20?	No	BUY	11	99¢	$11	0x658970…
09-18 06:24:15	Will Ethereum dip to $1,900 September 14-20?	No	BUY	27	100¢	$27	0x72ad4b…
09-12 07:31:48	Will Bitcoin dip to $72,000 September 7-13?	No	BUY	32	99¢	$32	0x82b761…
09-06 19:50:51	Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from September 5 to September 7, 2026?	No	BUY	31	100¢	$31	0xf46bc7…
09-02 16:43:00	Will Ülle Madise be the next President of Estonia?	Yes	BUY	22	100¢	$22	0xabd724…
08-29 08:40:51	Will the number of Republican House members who retire in 2026 be 44 or more?	No	BUY	22	100¢	$22	0xef0ed9…
08-27 06:20:33	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in August?	No	BUY	22	100¢	$22	0x347034…
08-24 11:20:04	Will Elon Musk post 500+ tweets from August 21 to August 28, 2026?	No	BUY	26	100¢	$25	0xdde2b9…
08-23 20:10:51	Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from August 22 to August 24, 2026?	No	BUY	27	100¢	$27	0x5e779b…
08-21 19:03:28	bitcoin above 68k on august 23 2026	Yes	BUY	42	100¢	$42	0x5808bd…
08-21 03:49:40	bitcoin above 68k on august 21 2026	Yes	BUY	28	100¢	$28	0xac257d…
08-16 21:05:22	Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from August 11 to August 18, 2026?	No	BUY	26	100¢	$26	0x73df4f…
08-12 19:23:33	Will John Stevens get second place in the Clacton by-election?	No	BUY	24	100¢	$24	0xe25280…
08-12 05:27:37	will gpt 6 be released by august 14 2026	No	BUY	38	100¢	$37	0x7fc6e2…
08-07 03:29:03	bitcoin above 68k on august 8 2026	No	BUY	21	100¢	$21	0x0b564e…
08-01 02:24:05	will bitcoin reach 65k on july 31	No	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0x110831…
07-29 12:42:11	Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from July 24 to July 31, 2026?	No	BUY	23	100¢	$23	0x1f8160…
07-28 09:59:28	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	28	100¢	$28	0x1e0b9a…
07-25 19:09:22	Will Elon Musk post 420-439 tweets from July 21 to July 28, 2026?	No	BUY	25	100¢	$25	0x1f9243…
07-25 10:06:36	Will Troy Jackson be the Maine Senate Democratic nominee on July 27?	Yes	BUY	13	99¢	$13	0x29615d…
07-22 13:20:25	Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from July 20 to July 22, 2026?	No	BUY	14	100¢	$14	0xcd18b1…
07-20 23:10:12	Will the ECB announce a 25 bps increase at the July 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	35	100¢	$35	0xb57f41…
07-14 20:47:50	bitcoin above 70k on july 15 2026	No	BUY	26	100¢	$26	0x5e7fe2…
07-13 22:12:16	bitcoin above 58k on july 14 2026	Yes	BUY	21	100¢	$21	0x02a31f…
07-13 04:37:10	bitcoin above 58k on july 13 2026	Yes	BUY	30	100¢	$30	0x247f57…
07-11 20:39:55	Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from July 7 to July 14, 2026?	No	BUY	29	99¢	$29	0x98db6d…
07-11 08:20:44	bitcoin above 60k on july 12 2026	Yes	BUY	31	100¢	$31	0x95a805…
07-10 09:21:26	will bitcoin dip to 58k july 6 12 2026	No	BUY	26	100¢	$26	0xebea30…
07-09 19:21:19	Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from July 3 to July 10, 2026?	No	BUY	42	100¢	$42	0x884ab0…
07-05 05:33:11	Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from June 30 to July 7, 2026?	No	BUY	13	100¢	$13	0x455d89…
07-04 21:55:22	Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from June 30 to July 7, 2026?	No	BUY	13	100¢	$13	0x15452d…
07-04 11:34:52	will ethereum dip to 1500 june 29 july 5 2026	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0xfd9f24…
07-04 02:38:43	will bitcoin dip to 56k june 29 july 5 2026	No	BUY	17	99¢	$17	0xee197c…
07-03 13:13:08	will bitcoin reach 68k june 29 july 5 2026	No	BUY	14	100¢	$14	0x9b0ccc…
07-02 16:25:26	bitcoin above 58k on july 3 2026	Yes	BUY	17	99¢	$17	0x136c8b…
07-02 14:13:19	bitcoin above 54k on july 4 2026	Yes	BUY	26	100¢	$26	0xb8bcd4…
07-02 07:15:19	Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from June 26 to July 3, 2026?	No	BUY	28	100¢	$28	0x4a8a09…
06-30 14:41:29	will ethereum dip to 1400 in june 2026	No	BUY	24	99¢	$24	0x2a9669…
06-29 14:32:37	will bitcoin dip to 50k in june 2026	No	BUY	14	100¢	$14	0x0ad7b2…
06-29 14:17:19	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $60 by end of June?	No	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0x0c83e6…
06-29 14:05:23	Will Silver (SI) settle at $70-$80 in June?	No	BUY	40	100¢	$40	0x22a02a…
06-24 20:00:17	ethereum above 1800 on june 25 2026	No	BUY	21	100¢	$21	0x50bc49…
06-23 00:01:29	bitcoin above 68k on june 23 2026	No	BUY	29	99¢	$29	0xd1c311…
06-22 17:26:43	bitcoin above 60k on june 23 2026	Yes	BUY	22	100¢	$22	0xfa5629…
06-21 18:31:53	Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from June 20 to June 22, 2026?	No	BUY	21	100¢	$21	0x340528…
06-21 04:37:28	will bitcoin dip to 58k june 15 21 2026	No	BUY	22	100¢	$22	0x88c57e…
06-08 16:25:45	Will Janet Mills be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Maine?	No	BUY	14	100¢	$14	0xd0c978…
06-07 11:04:07	Will annual inflation be 3.9% in May?	No	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0xebe786…
06-07 05:28:18	gpt 5pt6 released by june 8 2026 884	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0x526386…
06-06 07:26:37	Will Armenia Alliance win the most seats in the 2026 Armenian National Assembly election?	No	BUY	21	100¢	$21	0x77d9c2…
06-03 12:09:14	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on June 3?	No	BUY	26	100¢	$26	0x34e64e…
06-03 00:34:17	Will the Democratic Party of Korea (DP) win the 2026 South Korean local elections?	Yes	BUY	22	100¢	$22	0xdacf75…
06-02 14:37:18	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on June 3?	No	BUY	11	99¢	$10	0x48bdf6…
06-02 06:30:03	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on June 2?	No	BUY	13	100¢	$13	0x010e14…
06-01 19:46:45	Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,800 on June 2?	Yes	BUY	19	100¢	$19	0xe6d040…
06-01 19:17:49	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on June 2?	Yes	BUY	44	100¢	$44	0x954e22…
05-31 09:38:45	Will the price of Bitcoin be between $76,000 and $78,000 on May 31?	No	BUY	14	99¢	$14	0x67d43a…
05-30 20:20:15	Will Delia Velculescu be the next Prime Minister of Romania?	No	BUY	13	99¢	$13	0xa25cf0…
05-29 19:02:50	Will France send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	21	99¢	$20	0x096e76…
05-29 08:28:36	Will OpenAI have the best Math AI model at the end of May 2026?	No	BUY	19	100¢	$19	0x1c7064…
05-28 14:14:11	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 30?	No	BUY	25	100¢	$25	0x8ebe43…
05-28 11:48:01	Will Dan Motreanu be the next Prime Minister of Romania?	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0x9317b5…
05-28 04:17:26	Will Germany send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	39	100¢	$39	0xea5e4b…
05-28 00:52:37	Will Popular Nasserist Organization win the most seats in the 2026 Lebanese parliamentary election?	No	BUY	25	100¢	$25	0x8e70c7…
05-27 06:36:57	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on May 28?	Yes	BUY	12	100¢	$12	0x3d337c…
05-27 02:17:58	Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,800 on May 27?	Yes	BUY	12	100¢	$12	0x143818…
05-26 22:39:47	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on May 27?	Yes	BUY	71	100¢	$71	0x7879f6…
05-26 00:40:14	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 26?	Yes	BUY	26	99¢	$26	0x758c68…
05-25 18:20:27	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,000 on May 26?	Yes	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0x7226a0…
05-25 17:42:59	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on May 26?	Yes	BUY	14	100¢	$14	0xa5ee34…
05-24 23:27:08	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on May 25?	Yes	BUY	25	100¢	$25	0x904e69…
05-24 13:35:11	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on May 25?	Yes	BUY	18	100¢	$18	0x3a4837…
05-23 23:02:17	Will Bitcoin dip to $68,000 May 18-24?	No	BUY	16	100¢	$16	0x26b10b…
05-23 16:12:04	Will Bitcoin reach $82,000 May 18-24?	No	BUY	19	100¢	$19	0xb8f324…
05-23 14:10:24	Will Elon Musk post 165-189 tweets from May 23 to May 25, 2026?	No	BUY	55	100¢	$55	0xa75519…
05-22 16:23:09	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 23?	Yes	BUY	21	99¢	$21	0x0e0e8d…
05-22 12:40:02	Will Bitcoin reach $84,000 May 18-24?	No	BUY	16	100¢	$16	0x582688…
05-22 06:40:28	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 22?	No	BUY	28	99¢	$27	0x80c139…
05-21 16:25:51	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,000 on May 22?	Yes	BUY	25	100¢	$25	0xd1a935…
05-21 08:10:40	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on May 22?	Yes	BUY	42	100¢	$42	0x324467…
05-20 21:55:29	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 21?	Yes	BUY	27	100¢	$27	0x9e7f9f…
05-20 09:58:34	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on May 22?	Yes	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0x4a72df…
05-20 04:13:57	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 20?	Yes	BUY	27	100¢	$27	0x4dbf5b…