Will Croatia win the televote for Eurovision 2026?
open
Total volume
$1,835
$11,471 in 24h
Trades
35
Unique wallets
17
Liquidity
$28,232
Latest YES mid
0¢
Latest NO mid
100¢
End date
2026-05-16
First seen
2026-05-07
last 05-14 19:23
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐬 Dolphin | 3 | — | $192 | $192 |
| 🐟 Fish | 6 | — | $294 | $294 |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 8 | $1 | $212 | $211 |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🏆 Top 5% | 1 | — | $54 | $54 |
| Median | 5 | — | $197 | $197 |
| Below median | 4 | $1 | $201 | $200 |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 1 | — | $60 | $60 |
| 🔻 Bottom 5% | 3 | — | $177 | $177 |
| unranked | 3 | — | $8 | $8 |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Determined-Mug 0xff4b…d019 | Yes | +325 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-13 09:15 |
| Sparse-Cookie 0x5a21…9318 | No | +129 | $128 | $128 | 3 | 05-14 11:20 |
| Cautious-Antique 0x0957…77e8 | No | +70 | $70 | $70 | 3 | 05-14 11:20 |
| Worthy-Jockey 0x7dcf…a7bd | No | +60 | $60 | $60 | 2 | 05-14 10:09 |
| Glossy-Believer 0x764b…6bad | No | +60 | $60 | $60 | 2 | 05-11 23:38 |
| Wise-Keyboard 0x27ab…e521 | No | +54 | $54 | $54 | 6 | 05-13 03:06 |
| Cheery-Leap-Pressurisation 0xa328…4977 | No | +40 | $40 | $40 | 1 | 05-13 07:31 |
| Different-Ecclesia 0xb6fa…abcf | No | +39 | $39 | $39 | 2 | 05-14 11:20 |
| Grown-Fence 0x4f1d…8de2 | No | +26 | $26 | $26 | 2 | 05-14 10:09 |
| Expert-Colonisation 0xf93a…f253 | No | +24 | $24 | $24 | 1 | 05-14 19:18 |
| Sympathetic-Amazon 0xf8c5…ac64 | No | +24 | $24 | $24 | 1 | 05-14 16:34 |
| Unacceptable-Muffin 0x2843…c1ed | No | +20 | $20 | $20 | 1 | 05-14 12:20 |
| Glass-Diet 0xd49b…bdf9 | No | +9 | $9 | $9 | 1 | 05-14 10:09 |
| Shimmering-Grocery 0xb08d…8cc8 | No | +6 | $6 | $6 | 1 | 05-12 06:36 |
| Dishonest-Pendulum 0x0899…a239 | No | +3 | $3 | $3 | 1 | 05-08 06:49 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05-14 19:23:13 | Worthy-Jockey 0x7dcf…a7bd | Yes | SELL | 1 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x825e13… |
| 05-14 19:18:24 | Expert-Colonisation 0xf93a…f253 | No | BUY | 24 | 100¢ | $24 | 0x467cec… |
| 05-14 16:34:06 | Sympathetic-Amazon 0xf8c5…ac64 | No | BUY | 24 | 100¢ | $24 | 0x08f7dd… |
| 05-14 12:20:16 | Unacceptable-Muffin 0x2843…c1ed | No | BUY | 20 | 100¢ | $20 | 0x2bde0e… |
| 05-14 11:20:27 | Cautious-Antique 0x0957…77e8 | No | BUY | 30 | 100¢ | $30 | 0x6f8936… |
| 05-14 11:20:27 | Different-Ecclesia 0xb6fa…abcf | No | BUY | 33 | 100¢ | $33 | 0xb55359… |
| 05-14 11:20:08 | Different-Ecclesia 0xb6fa…abcf | No | BUY | 6 | 100¢ | $6 | 0x17c213… |
| 05-14 11:20:08 | Cautious-Antique 0x0957…77e8 | No | BUY | 30 | 100¢ | $30 | 0x7d735d… |
| 05-14 11:20:08 | Sparse-Cookie 0x5a21…9318 | No | BUY | 101 | 100¢ | $101 | 0xeba8e6… |
| 05-14 10:09:17 | Worthy-Jockey 0x7dcf…a7bd | No | BUY | 30 | 99¢ | $30 | 0xb9ccd9… |
| 05-14 10:09:17 | Glass-Diet 0xd49b…bdf9 | No | BUY | 9 | 99¢ | $9 | 0x74b9bf… |
| 05-14 10:09:17 | Sparse-Cookie 0x5a21…9318 | No | BUY | 12 | 99¢ | $12 | 0x63019a… |
| 05-14 10:09:17 | Grown-Fence 0x4f1d…8de2 | No | BUY | 6 | 99¢ | $6 | 0x303245… |
| 05-14 10:04:05 | Grown-Fence 0x4f1d…8de2 | No | BUY | 20 | 99¢ | $20 | 0x8d510c… |
| 05-14 06:00:14 | Sparse-Cookie 0x5a21…9318 | No | BUY | 16 | 100¢ | $16 | 0x92a4ae… |
| 05-14 04:29:17 | Sparse-Cookie 0x5a21…9318 | Yes | SELL | 10 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x5b475d… |
| 05-13 21:03:56 | Cautious-Antique 0x0957…77e8 | No | BUY | 10 | 100¢ | $10 | 0x47ea44… |
| 05-13 17:42:33 | Worthy-Jockey 0x7dcf…a7bd | No | BUY | 30 | 100¢ | $30 | 0xa037ab… |
| 05-13 17:42:33 | Sparse-Cookie 0x5a21…9318 | Yes | SELL | 44 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x7d571a… |
| 05-13 09:15:22 | Determined-Mug 0xff4b…d019 | Yes | BUY | 325 | 0¢ | $1 | 0xa88cde… |
| 05-13 07:31:32 | Cheery-Leap-Pressurisation 0xa328…4977 | No | BUY | 40 | 100¢ | $40 | 0x380001… |
| 05-13 04:43:41 | Fine-Home 0x289e…4df8 | No | SELL | 1,004 | 100¢ | $1,000 | 0x321169… |
| 05-13 03:06:16 | Wise-Keyboard 0x27ab…e521 | No | BUY | 19 | 100¢ | $19 | 0x92854a… |
| 05-12 06:36:18 | Shimmering-Grocery 0xb08d…8cc8 | No | BUY | 6 | 100¢ | $6 | 0x5adcd8… |
| 05-11 23:38:22 | Glossy-Believer 0x764b…6bad | No | BUY | 30 | 100¢ | $30 | 0x055167… |
| 05-11 23:38:22 | Sparse-Cookie 0x5a21…9318 | Yes | SELL | 48 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x9a7fd0… |
| 05-11 21:21:45 | Glossy-Believer 0x764b…6bad | No | BUY | 30 | 100¢ | $30 | 0x6ddaed… |
| 05-11 18:09:19 | Wise-Keyboard 0x27ab…e521 | No | BUY | 7 | 100¢ | $7 | 0xe9e939… |
| 05-11 15:09:16 | Wise-Keyboard 0x27ab…e521 | No | BUY | 10 | 100¢ | $10 | 0xe4c69c… |
| 05-10 02:57:22 | Wise-Keyboard 0x27ab…e521 | No | BUY | 4 | 100¢ | $4 | 0x09c665… |
| 05-10 02:57:10 | Wise-Keyboard 0x27ab…e521 | No | BUY | 5 | 100¢ | $5 | 0x697ffc… |
| 05-10 02:56:58 | Wise-Keyboard 0x27ab…e521 | No | BUY | 9 | 100¢ | $9 | 0x95ced2… |
| 05-08 06:49:54 | Dishonest-Pendulum 0x0899…a239 | No | BUY | 3 | 100¢ | $3 | 0x450f88… |
| 05-07 07:54:29 | Pleased-Questioner 0x6812…dc69 | No | SELL | 137 | 100¢ | $136 | 0xabeb1f… |
| 05-07 07:39:00 | Pleased-Questioner 0x6812…dc69 | No | BUY | 137 | 100¢ | $136 | 0x8c73ef… |