Anxious-Disease — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$21

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

65.9%

Resolved

161

Trades

191

lifetime

Volume

$17.6K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$92

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-24

last 10-29 15:20

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 105 days

Categories

Crypto

43% 88% $0

Other

35% 63% -$19

Sports

13% 33% +$3

Politics

8% 83% -$5

Tech

1% 100% +$0

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

4 active days in 12wk • peak 2 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (28) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24?	2	$316	161	161	+0	Yes	-$6	05-26 12:53
Will Moldova win Eurovision 2026?	2	$310	156	156	+0	No	$0	05-16 10:38
Will Dominik Szoboszlai win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	2	$308	154	154	+0	No	$0	05-09 08:29
Will Serbia win Eurovision 2026?	2	$300	150	150	+0	No	$0	05-16 11:27
Will Mark Cuban win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	2	$300	151	151	+0	open	—	05-14 07:03
Will Bernie Sanders win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	2	$296	149	149	+0	open	—	05-14 06:43
Will Gabriel Bortoleto be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?	2	$290	145	145	+0	No	$0	05-27 11:28
Will Isack Hadjar be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?	2	$284	142	142	+0	No	$0	05-27 12:03
Will Bodo Glimt win the 2025–26 Champions League?	2	$241	121	121	+0	No	$0	02-10 07:19
Will the Washington Wizards win the 2026 NBA Finals?	2	$241	121	121	+0	No	$0	02-01 09:55
Will Athletic Club win the 2025–26 Champions League?	2	$238	119	119	+0	No	$0	01-25 07:26
Will Napoli win the 2025–26 Champions League?	2	$238	120	120	+0	No	$0	01-25 07:45
Will Sporting win the 2025–26 Champions League?	2	$238	120	120	+0	No	$0	01-25 08:04
Will Aston Villa win the 2025–26 English Premier League?	2	$233	117	117	+0	No	$0	03-02 11:04
Will Belgium win Eurovision 2026?	2	$233	117	117	+0	No	$0	03-02 11:34
Will San Marino win Eurovision 2026?	2	$225	113	113	+0	No	$0	03-08 12:07
Will Albania win Eurovision 2026?	2	$225	113	113	+0	No	$0	03-08 12:28
will russell henley win the 2026 masters tournament	2	$218	110	110	+0	No	$0	03-27 11:03
will ethereum dip to 200 in march 2026	2	$218	109	109	+0	No	$0	03-25 04:05
Will Georgia win Eurovision 2026?	2	$218	109	109	+0	No	$0	03-18 04:04
Will the Seattle Kraken win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	2	$192	96	96	+0	No	$0	04-05 06:30
Will Tommy Paul win the 2026 Men's French Open?	2	$189	95	95	+0	No	$0	04-25 08:49
Will Austria win the televote for Eurovision 2026?	2	$189	95	95	+0	No	$0	04-26 03:46
Will Croatia win the televote for Eurovision 2026?	2	$188	95	95	+0	No	$0	04-26 04:10
Will Switzerland be the Jury Winner in the Eurovision 2026 Grand Final?	2	$183	92	92	+0	No	$0	04-11 05:36
Will Emily Flippen win Survivor Season 50?	2	$179	90	90	+0	No	$0	04-21 06:02
netanyahu out by march 31 854	2	$178	89	89	+0	No	+$0	04-04 11:35
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 23?	1	$168	168	0	+168	Yes	+$0	05-24 12:42
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 22?	1	$168	168	0	+168	Yes	+$0	05-23 16:48
Will Palantir Technologies Inc. (PLTR) hit (LOW) $117 Week of May 18 2026?	1	$168	168	0	+168	No	+$0	05-22 09:52

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-29 15:20:10	Will Alphabet Inc. (GOOGL) hit (HIGH) $400 in October?	No	BUY	45	100¢	$45	0x605fd4…
10-29 15:19:49	Will Alphabet Inc. (GOOGL) hit (HIGH) $410 in October?	No	BUY	70	100¢	$70	0x0e40d7…
09-19 16:42:27	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 20°C or higher on September 21?	No	BUY	12	100¢	$12	0x44f6f1…
09-19 16:42:21	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 11°C on September 21?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x6badd8…
09-11 12:08:36	Will Amazon.com, Inc. (AMZN) hit (HIGH) $284 Week of September 7 2026?	No	BUY	24	100¢	$24	0x639d08…
08-29 07:03:55	Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by August 31?	No	BUY	19	100¢	$19	0x17c551…
08-29 07:02:39	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $140 in August?	No	BUY	140	100¢	$140	0xdd7c9d…
07-10 08:46:13	Will Amazon (AMZN) close at $220-$225 on the final day of trading of the week of Jul 6 – Jul 10?	No	BUY	160	100¢	$159	0xa5372d…
06-30 10:08:13	will ng reach 3 60 in june 2026	No	BUY	158	100¢	$158	0xee07d1…
06-26 09:57:22	will nvda reach 228 by june 22 2026	No	BUY	158	100¢	$158	0x4addea…
06-01 08:19:26	Will the price of XRP be above $1.00 on June 2?	Yes	BUY	124	100¢	$124	0xd2889a…
06-01 08:12:28	Detroit Tigers vs. Tampa Bay Rays	Detroit Tigers	BUY	7	40¢	$3	0x69103d…
05-31 09:22:55	Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?	No	BUY	113	100¢	$113	0x13424a…
05-30 06:07:34	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 30?	No	BUY	113	100¢	$113	0x4c0fda…
05-30 05:58:17	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 25°C or below on May 31?	No	BUY	14	100¢	$14	0xa2da04…
05-28 06:39:12	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,100 on May 28?	No	BUY	127	100¢	$127	0x8ec762…
05-28 06:29:09	Will Yoo Dong-soo win the 2026 Incheon mayoral election?	No	BUY	13	100¢	$13	0xedf4b4…
05-27 12:30:46	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 27?	No	BUY	140	100¢	$140	0x07ef0f…
05-27 12:10:07	Will ByteDance have the #2 AI model at the end of May 2026 (Style Control On)?	No	BUY	13	100¢	$13	0x27d451…
05-27 12:03:17	Will Isack Hadjar be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?	No	SELL	142	100¢	$142	0xdeaf29…
05-27 11:30:02	Will Isack Hadjar be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?	No	BUY	142	100¢	$142	0x987f5f…
05-27 11:28:09	Will Gabriel Bortoleto be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?	No	SELL	145	100¢	$145	0xde22ab…
05-27 11:25:01	Counter-Strike: FaZe vs Alliance (BO3) - Stake Ranked Episode 2 Playoffs	Alliance	BUY	7	35¢	$2	0x9e8367…
05-27 11:05:52	Will Gabriel Bortoleto be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?	No	BUY	145	100¢	$145	0x96791c…
05-26 12:59:19	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 26?	Yes	BUY	156	100¢	$156	0x394f95…
05-26 12:53:50	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24?	Yes	SELL	161	96¢	$155	0x9cfa45…
05-25 07:31:33	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24?	Yes	BUY	161	100¢	$161	0xd1c9a2…
05-25 07:24:12	Roland Garros ATP: Yibing Wu vs Marcos Giron	Marcos Giron	BUY	11	56¢	$6	0xcf85e2…
05-24 12:42:38	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 23?	Yes	BUY	168	100¢	$168	0xf57517…
05-23 16:48:38	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 22?	Yes	BUY	168	100¢	$168	0x3a12d7…
05-22 09:52:07	Will Palantir Technologies Inc. (PLTR) hit (LOW) $117 Week of May 18 2026?	No	BUY	168	100¢	$168	0x7db19f…
05-21 11:38:51	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 21?	Yes	BUY	167	100¢	$167	0x1388e3…
05-21 11:33:06	Geneva Open: Arthur Rinderknech vs Alexander Bublik	Arthur Rinderknech	BUY	6	39¢	$2	0x1e2c42…
05-20 11:02:21	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 20?	Yes	BUY	162	100¢	$162	0x6bfe19…
05-20 11:00:59	Texas Rangers vs. Colorado Rockies	Texas Rangers	BUY	8	55¢	$4	0x9e2841…
05-19 11:46:10	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 19?	No	BUY	166	100¢	$166	0x729b96…
05-19 11:44:43	Athletics vs. Los Angeles Angels	Los Angeles Angels	BUY	8	56¢	$4	0xd3d8b0…
05-18 08:20:35	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 18?	No	BUY	164	100¢	$164	0xf099ad…
05-18 08:18:13	Boston Red Sox vs. Kansas City Royals	Boston Red Sox	BUY	6	51¢	$3	0xd78460…
05-17 12:45:07	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 17?	Yes	BUY	167	100¢	$167	0x43a633…
05-16 11:35:51	Will Malta win the televote for Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	162	100¢	$161	0x8f995d…
05-16 11:27:39	Will Serbia win Eurovision 2026?	No	SELL	150	100¢	$150	0x64baaf…
05-16 10:58:22	Philadelphia Phillies vs. Pittsburgh Pirates	Philadelphia Phillies	BUY	5	60¢	$3	0x9f22d0…
05-16 10:51:38	Will Serbia win Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	150	100¢	$150	0xe6646f…
05-16 10:38:11	Will Moldova win Eurovision 2026?	No	SELL	156	100¢	$155	0x278594…
05-16 10:15:51	Will Moldova win Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	156	100¢	$155	0xedc039…
05-15 12:57:06	Will Meta (META) close at $650-$660 on the final day of trading of the week of May 11 – May 15?	No	BUY	158	99¢	$157	0x245e53…
05-14 07:19:18	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 14?	Yes	BUY	157	99¢	$156	0x15a9cd…
05-14 07:03:05	Will Mark Cuban win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	No	SELL	151	99¢	$150	0x2ca41b…
05-14 06:48:30	Counter-Strike: 9z vs magic (BO3) - PGL Astana Playoffs	magic	BUY	7	36¢	$2	0xcf5000…
05-14 06:44:53	Will Mark Cuban win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	No	BUY	151	99¢	$150	0x161859…
05-14 06:43:03	Will Bernie Sanders win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	No	SELL	149	99¢	$148	0x06c307…
05-14 06:15:53	Will Bernie Sanders win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	No	BUY	149	99¢	$148	0xdd1b8f…
05-13 04:24:52	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,500 on May 13?	No	BUY	160	100¢	$159	0x1fc8d8…
05-12 11:05:57	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,400 on May 12?	No	BUY	159	100¢	$159	0xc31e88…
05-11 12:26:22	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 11, 2026?	No	BUY	158	100¢	$158	0x540020…
05-10 11:45:59	Will the price of Bitcoin be between $84,000 and $86,000 on May 10?	No	BUY	158	100¢	$158	0xf01a69…
05-10 11:44:07	Valorant: Eternal Fire vs Gentle Mates (BO3) - VCT EMEA Playoffs	Gentle Mates	BUY	5	56¢	$3	0x043e1f…
05-09 08:35:01	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from May 7 to May 9, 2026?	No	BUY	161	100¢	$161	0xd88780…
05-09 08:29:11	Will Dominik Szoboszlai win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	No	SELL	154	100¢	$154	0xea101d…
05-09 07:42:10	Will Dominik Szoboszlai win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	No	BUY	154	100¢	$154	0xccbbda…
05-08 04:56:39	Will Netflix, Inc. (NFLX) hit (LOW) $75 Week of May 4 2026?	No	BUY	151	100¢	$151	0x958fb0…
05-07 15:30:53	S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $720 on May 7?	Yes	BUY	55	100¢	$55	0x994a11…
05-07 15:28:54	Iran closes its airspace by May 7?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xdf5256…
05-07 08:41:28	S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $710 on May 7?	Yes	BUY	96	100¢	$96	0xf60362…
05-06 04:37:48	Will the price of Solana be between $70 and $80 on May 6?	No	BUY	96	100¢	$96	0x828550…
05-05 02:29:54	Will the price of XRP be above $1.20 on May 5?	Yes	BUY	96	99¢	$95	0x9ffac6…
05-04 08:24:30	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on May 4?	No	BUY	95	100¢	$95	0x75a02f…
05-03 03:11:14	Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 April 27-May 3?	No	BUY	95	100¢	$95	0x9219cf…
05-02 08:22:46	Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from April 30 to May 2, 2026?	No	BUY	94	100¢	$94	0x7d0a3b…
05-01 07:39:36	Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $695 Week of April 27 2026?	No	BUY	95	100¢	$95	0xd22109…
04-30 09:21:24	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $70 in April?	No	BUY	94	100¢	$94	0x54df98…
04-29 04:00:20	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	94	100¢	$94	0x9e61e0…
04-28 08:06:54	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on April 28?	No	BUY	95	100¢	$94	0x02508e…
04-27 05:12:36	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,100 on April 27?	Yes	BUY	94	100¢	$94	0x999813…
04-26 04:15:38	Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,000 and $2,100 on April 26?	No	BUY	94	100¢	$94	0x919ea3…
04-26 04:10:38	Will Croatia win the televote for Eurovision 2026?	No	SELL	95	99¢	$94	0x9d05b3…
04-26 03:56:26	Will Croatia win the televote for Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	95	99¢	$94	0x528cbd…
04-26 03:46:10	Will Austria win the televote for Eurovision 2026?	No	SELL	95	100¢	$94	0x51e9ad…
04-26 03:28:16	Will Austria win the televote for Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	95	100¢	$94	0xb61516…
04-25 08:53:20	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on April 25?	Yes	BUY	94	100¢	$94	0x350dc1…
04-25 08:49:04	Will Tommy Paul win the 2026 Men's French Open?	No	SELL	95	100¢	$94	0x66d002…
04-25 08:29:20	Will Tommy Paul win the 2026 Men's French Open?	No	BUY	95	100¢	$94	0xf7a345…
04-24 07:12:38	ethereum above 2700 on april 24	No	BUY	94	100¢	$94	0xa2a2b1…
04-23 06:38:02	will the price of ethereum be between 2000 2100 on april 23	No	BUY	94	100¢	$94	0xed7cc2…
04-22 10:08:42	will the price of ethereum be between 2100 2200 on april 22	No	BUY	94	100¢	$94	0x1e3513…
04-21 06:07:54	elon musk of tweets april 14 april 21 300 319	No	BUY	90	100¢	$90	0xbc79bc…
04-21 06:02:38	Will Emily Flippen win Survivor Season 50?	No	SELL	90	100¢	$90	0x5b4b25…
04-21 04:53:06	Will Emily Flippen win Survivor Season 50?	No	BUY	90	100¢	$90	0x7983b0…
04-21 04:48:44	Oeiras 4: Francesca Curmi vs Alisa Oktiabreva	Alisa Oktiabreva	BUY	5	75¢	$3	0x62787e…
04-20 11:29:26	bitcoin above 70k on april 20	Yes	BUY	87	100¢	$87	0x5aea97…
04-20 11:20:48	Madrid Open, Qualification: Anastasia Potapova vs Teodora Kostovic	Anastasia Potapova	BUY	6	79¢	$5	0xa6192d…
04-19 03:59:58	will the price of bitcoin be greater than 80000 on april 19	No	BUY	92	100¢	$92	0x2381c4…
04-17 07:20:44	bitcoin above 70k on april 17	Yes	BUY	92	100¢	$92	0x870f7c…
04-15 09:51:14	elon musk of tweets april 13 april 15 115 139	No	BUY	92	100¢	$92	0xcda62c…
04-14 11:58:29	bitcoin above 70k on april 14	Yes	BUY	92	100¢	$92	0x3a38a5…
04-13 06:23:25	elon musk of tweets april 11 april 13 215 239	No	BUY	92	100¢	$91	0x51c8cb…
04-12 04:20:03	will the price of bitcoin be greater than 76000 on april 12	No	BUY	92	100¢	$91	0x34abc3…
04-11 05:45:37	will the price of ethereum be greater than 2500 on april 11	No	BUY	91	100¢	$91	0xd91cbd…
04-11 05:36:59	Will Switzerland be the Jury Winner in the Eurovision 2026 Grand Final?	No	SELL	92	100¢	$91	0xbdd7ea…