Superficial-Obsidian — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$73

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

97.3%

Resolved

Trades

100

lifetime

Volume

$6.89K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$69

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-03-15

last 09-06 03:18

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 17 days

Categories

Crypto

53% 100% +$98

Other

39% 33% -$16

Politics

8% 29% -$5

Tech

0% 0% -$2

Sports

0% 0% -$2

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

1 active day in 12wk • peak 1 trade/day

Open positions Resolved markets (25) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	2	$1.5K	800	800	+0	open	—	05-22 02:42
Solstice FDV above $100M one day after launch?	7	$1.5K	920	920	+0	Yes	+$55	05-24 19:23
Billions FDV above $50M one day after launch?	3	$850	486	486	+0	Yes	+$35	04-25 06:01
Solstice FDV above $50M one day after launch?	3	$718	515	222	+293	Yes	+$5	05-24 19:25
will graham platner drop out by july 17 974 785 861	2	$669	360	360	+0	Yes	+$1	07-07 08:51
Katana FDV above $50M one day after launch?	2	$597	300	300	+0	Yes	+$2	03-18 20:38
iran x israelus conflict ends by april 7 346	5	$403	400	400	+0	Yes	+$5	04-10 04:06
Will Titan launch a token by March 31, 2026?	4	$291	294	0	+294	No	+$2	03-22 02:27
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 33°C on September 6?	1	$201	201	0	+201	No	+$0	09-06 03:18
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 22?	16	$44	1,000	1,000	+0	Yes	-$13	05-23 02:19
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 23?	6	$30	14,965	3,000	+11,965	No	-$18	05-24 06:03
Will Camilo Santana win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	4	$25	0	752	-752	No	+$25	05-02 02:21
Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 30°C on July 6?	4	$17	58	58	+0	No	+$1	07-06 03:00
will the next claude sonnet model be released by july 31 2026 20260624195228149 733 235 667 821	4	$15	167	167	+0	Yes	-$2	06-27 09:02
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 22, 2026?	10	$13	4,100	4,100	+0	No	-$2	05-23 06:03
Will Germany send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by May 31, 2026?	3	$12	990	0	+990	No	-$12	05-18 12:18
Ex-Cuba leader Raul Castro in US custody by May 31?	2	$10	100	100	+0	No	+$0	05-22 07:00
will graham platner drop out by july 6	6	$9	188	188	+0	No	-$7	07-07 06:24
Will Ross Stores Q1 comparable store sales growth be between 8% and 10%?	6	$5	172	172	+0	No	-$1	05-22 12:11
will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by june 30 20260622191733845	2	$3	200	200	+0	No	$0	06-29 01:02
will the announcers say rotate or rotation during the south africa vs canada fifa world cup match 20260626193058844	3	$2	115	1	+114	No	-$2	06-30 12:36
will anyone say dog fight during 2026 nathans hot dog eating contest 20260630153701060 754	1	$0	100	0	+100	No	$0	07-05 05:54
will anyone say sunny during 2026 nathans hot dog eating contest 20260630153701064 982	1	$0	100	0	+100	No	$0	07-05 05:53
will anyone say trump during 2026 nathans hot dog eating contest 20260630153701051 547	1	$0	100	0	+100	No	$0	07-05 03:44
will anyone say soaking wet during 2026 nathans hot dog eating contest 20260630153701069 556	1	$0	100	0	+100	No	$0	07-05 05:52
will anyone say oil during 2026 nathans hot dog eating contest 20260630153701058 547	1	$0	100	0	+100	No	$0	07-05 05:54

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
09-06 03:18:36	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 33°C on September 6?	No	BUY	201	100¢	$201	0x39ec61…
07-07 08:51:58	will graham platner drop out by july 17 974 785 861	Yes	SELL	360	93¢	$335	0x4ec232…
07-07 08:46:37	will graham platner drop out by july 17 974 785 861	Yes	BUY	360	93¢	$334	0x8983b6…
07-07 06:24:23	will graham platner drop out by july 6	Yes	SELL	43	0¢	$0	0xdd8396…
07-07 02:27:02	will graham platner drop out by july 6	Yes	SELL	145	1¢	$1	0xc7c140…
07-07 02:06:55	will graham platner drop out by july 6	Yes	BUY	100	4¢	$4	0xe95edb…
07-07 01:52:11	will graham platner drop out by july 6	Yes	BUY	36	5¢	$2	0x614d74…
07-07 01:11:58	will graham platner drop out by july 6	Yes	BUY	3	5¢	$0	0x46db27…
07-07 01:10:44	will graham platner drop out by july 6	Yes	BUY	50	5¢	$2	0x719627…
07-06 03:00:13	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 30°C on July 6?	Yes	SELL	29	18¢	$5	0xb41622…
07-06 01:56:25	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 30°C on July 6?	Yes	SELL	29	14¢	$4	0xc77f50…
07-06 01:43:38	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 30°C on July 6?	Yes	BUY	50	14¢	$7	0x78156f…
07-06 00:32:19	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 30°C on July 6?	Yes	BUY	8	12¢	$1	0xa3cb87…
07-05 05:54:44	will anyone say oil during 2026 nathans hot dog eating contest 20260630153701058 547	Yes	BUY	100	0¢	$0	0xcc1b41…
07-05 05:54:23	will anyone say dog fight during 2026 nathans hot dog eating contest 20260630153701060 754	Yes	BUY	100	0¢	$0	0x3007b7…
07-05 05:53:25	will anyone say sunny during 2026 nathans hot dog eating contest 20260630153701064 982	Yes	BUY	100	0¢	$0	0xaae3fe…
07-05 05:52:55	will anyone say soaking wet during 2026 nathans hot dog eating contest 20260630153701069 556	Yes	BUY	100	0¢	$0	0x053645…
07-05 03:44:55	will anyone say trump during 2026 nathans hot dog eating contest 20260630153701051 547	Yes	BUY	100	0¢	$0	0x5e6b21…
06-30 12:36:50	will the announcers say rotate or rotation during the south africa vs canada fifa world cup match 20260626193058844	Yes	SELL	1	3¢	$0	0xc12781…
06-30 12:36:50	will the announcers say rotate or rotation during the south africa vs canada fifa world cup match 20260626193058844	Yes	BUY	60	0¢	$0	0x7151c7…
06-29 01:02:22	will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by june 30 20260622191733845	Yes	SELL	200	1¢	$1	0x0bbdac…
06-29 00:57:47	will the announcers say rotate or rotation during the south africa vs canada fifa world cup match 20260626193058844	Yes	BUY	55	3¢	$2	0xbef545…
06-29 00:50:59	will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by june 30 20260622191733845	Yes	BUY	200	1¢	$1	0x590430…
06-27 09:02:38	will the next claude sonnet model be released by july 31 2026 20260624195228149 733 235 667 821	No	SELL	147	4¢	$5	0x41a81f…
06-27 07:54:19	will the next claude sonnet model be released by july 31 2026 20260624195228149 733 235 667 821	No	SELL	20	5¢	$1	0x6f4ff0…
06-27 07:53:26	will the next claude sonnet model be released by july 31 2026 20260624195228149 733 235 667 821	No	BUY	100	5¢	$5	0xdb89bb…
06-27 07:53:26	will the next claude sonnet model be released by july 31 2026 20260624195228149 733 235 667 821	No	BUY	67	5¢	$3	0x536eef…
05-24 19:25:24	Solstice FDV above $50M one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	60	97¢	$58	0xbc18b5…
05-24 19:25:24	Solstice FDV above $50M one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	162	97¢	$157	0xb15d09…
05-24 19:23:58	Solstice FDV above $100M one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	170	80¢	$136	0xded841…
05-24 19:21:05	Solstice FDV above $100M one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	167	80¢	$134	0x8c83fc…
05-24 15:14:44	Solstice FDV above $50M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	515	98¢	$503	0xb896d0…
05-24 15:11:51	Solstice FDV above $100M one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	71	85¢	$60	0xe1b61a…
05-24 14:23:10	Solstice FDV above $100M one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	52	86¢	$44	0x0bab7c…
05-24 14:22:12	Solstice FDV above $100M one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	460	86¢	$396	0x6aaa73…
05-24 06:03:36	US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 23?	Yes	BUY	4,965	0¢	$5	0xd07c77…
05-24 06:03:36	US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 23?	Yes	BUY	500	0¢	$0	0x2ff23a…
05-24 05:20:45	US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 23?	Yes	BUY	500	0¢	$1	0x3f9651…
05-24 05:20:03	US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 23?	Yes	BUY	6,000	0¢	$12	0x3842f0…
05-24 05:17:05	US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 23?	Yes	SELL	3,000	0¢	$6	0xe2e0cb…
05-24 05:05:51	US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 23?	Yes	BUY	3,000	0¢	$6	0x029c11…
05-23 06:03:21	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 22, 2026?	Yes	SELL	2,600	0¢	$3	0xa16d8c…
05-23 04:21:30	Solstice FDV above $100M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	120	76¢	$91	0x0e0fdc…
05-23 04:03:58	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 22, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1,400	0¢	$1	0xbe4061…
05-23 02:40:42	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 22, 2026?	Yes	BUY	600	0¢	$1	0xa925ec…
05-23 02:40:37	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 22, 2026?	Yes	BUY	600	0¢	$2	0xf4d29c…
05-23 02:37:17	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 22, 2026?	Yes	SELL	600	0¢	$1	0x7b871e…
05-23 02:19:58	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 22?	No	SELL	50	2¢	$1	0x8fbec9…
05-23 02:19:32	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 22?	No	SELL	150	2¢	$2	0xb557a1…
05-23 02:13:35	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 22, 2026?	Yes	BUY	600	0¢	$1	0x04f94a…
05-23 02:13:05	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 22?	No	SELL	200	1¢	$2	0x9fc3a3…
05-23 02:11:53	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 22, 2026?	Yes	SELL	500	0¢	$1	0x19e92d…
05-23 01:55:03	Solstice FDV above $100M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	800	78¢	$624	0x8ebbfb…
05-23 01:49:50	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 22, 2026?	Yes	BUY	500	0¢	$1	0x304314…
05-23 01:48:17	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 22, 2026?	Yes	SELL	400	0¢	$1	0xbfbbd5…
05-23 01:42:43	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 22?	No	SELL	200	2¢	$3	0x8b927f…
05-23 01:34:09	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 22?	No	BUY	200	2¢	$5	0x2b066e…
05-23 01:32:10	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 22?	No	BUY	200	3¢	$7	0xb8fa02…
05-23 01:24:49	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 22, 2026?	Yes	BUY	400	0¢	$1	0xb4b48f…
05-23 01:17:19	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 22?	No	BUY	200	4¢	$8	0x12df02…
05-22 12:11:44	Will Ross Stores Q1 comparable store sales growth be between 8% and 10%?	Yes	SELL	120	0¢	$1	0xea4d45…
05-22 08:51:55	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 22?	No	SELL	96	2¢	$2	0x73dafb…
05-22 08:40:50	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 22?	No	SELL	58	2¢	$1	0x27c686…
05-22 08:40:13	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 22?	No	SELL	19	2¢	$0	0x242c72…
05-22 08:37:43	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 22?	No	SELL	134	2¢	$3	0xa4bec7…
05-22 08:15:14	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 22?	No	SELL	90	1¢	$1	0xf26e19…
05-22 08:11:21	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 22?	No	SELL	2	2¢	$0	0xc5e8a5…
05-22 08:11:14	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 22?	No	SELL	2	2¢	$0	0x556fb0…
05-22 08:11:12	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 22?	No	BUY	200	2¢	$5	0xefe5ac…
05-22 08:06:27	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 22?	No	BUY	200	3¢	$5	0xf0ca87…
05-22 07:45:37	Will Ross Stores Q1 comparable store sales growth be between 8% and 10%?	Yes	SELL	53	2¢	$1	0xf79de6…
05-22 07:34:45	Will Ross Stores Q1 comparable store sales growth be between 8% and 10%?	Yes	BUY	95	2¢	$2	0x0d429a…
05-22 07:15:00	Will Ross Stores Q1 comparable store sales growth be between 8% and 10%?	Yes	BUY	58	2¢	$1	0xcf73c7…
05-22 07:04:53	Will Ross Stores Q1 comparable store sales growth be between 8% and 10%?	Yes	BUY	12	1¢	$0	0xd5f171…
05-22 07:03:50	Will Ross Stores Q1 comparable store sales growth be between 8% and 10%?	Yes	BUY	8	1¢	$0	0x2135c3…
05-22 07:00:46	Ex-Cuba leader Raul Castro in US custody by May 31?	Yes	SELL	100	5¢	$5	0x272a15…
05-22 06:38:25	Ex-Cuba leader Raul Castro in US custody by May 31?	Yes	BUY	100	5¢	$5	0x645ac6…
05-22 02:42:35	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	No	SELL	800	93¢	$746	0x5b9ec4…
05-18 12:18:56	Will Germany send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	90	1¢	$1	0xa7f0a9…
05-18 10:06:52	Will Germany send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	500	1¢	$6	0x27f24a…
05-18 10:05:46	Will Germany send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	400	1¢	$5	0xf33d67…
05-12 04:16:43	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	No	BUY	800	93¢	$745	0x495570…
05-02 02:21:32	Will Camilo Santana win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	SELL	318	3¢	$11	0x7524c6…
05-02 02:16:22	Will Camilo Santana win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	SELL	376	3¢	$12	0x377190…
05-02 02:03:38	Will Camilo Santana win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	SELL	46	3¢	$2	0xfaf849…
05-02 01:55:40	Will Camilo Santana win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	SELL	12	3¢	$0	0x30fa74…
04-25 06:01:14	Billions FDV above $50M one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	486	91¢	$442	0x08a92a…
04-10 04:06:59	iran x israelus conflict ends by april 7 346	Yes	SELL	200	54¢	$107	0x2fb6de…
04-10 03:54:39	iran x israelus conflict ends by april 7 346	Yes	BUY	200	53¢	$105	0x97dce4…
04-10 01:46:45	iran x israelus conflict ends by april 7 346	Yes	SELL	44	48¢	$21	0x6d1010…
04-10 01:46:37	iran x israelus conflict ends by april 7 346	Yes	SELL	156	48¢	$75	0x9130b0…
04-10 01:45:45	iran x israelus conflict ends by april 7 346	Yes	BUY	200	47¢	$94	0xdaace9…
03-25 09:07:47	Billions FDV above $50M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	409	84¢	$344	0x53f9ef…
03-25 09:07:23	Billions FDV above $50M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	77	83¢	$64	0xcba1c9…
03-22 02:27:21	Will Titan launch a token by March 31, 2026?	No	BUY	223	99¢	$221	0xe0b9d3…
03-22 02:27:13	Will Titan launch a token by March 31, 2026?	No	BUY	21	99¢	$21	0x782d61…
03-22 02:26:51	Will Titan launch a token by March 31, 2026?	No	BUY	43	99¢	$42	0x5cdf69…
03-22 02:26:41	Will Titan launch a token by March 31, 2026?	No	BUY	7	99¢	$7	0xad7460…
03-18 20:38:21	Katana FDV above $50M one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	300	100¢	$299	0xf1838d…
03-15 12:24:19	Katana FDV above $50M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	300	99¢	$297	0x660aeb…