Fearful-Riser — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$1

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

100.0%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$2.19K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$22

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-10

last 07-04 16:58

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 7 days

Categories

Crypto

72% 100% +$1

Other

25% — —

Tech

3% — —

Politics

1% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

49 active days in 12wk • peak 7 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (2) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
ethereum above 1800 on june 25 2026	2	$82	82	0	+82	open	—	06-25 00:48
Will Poland win Eurovision 2026?	2	$60	30	30	+0	open	—	04-17 10:35
Will Italy send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by April 30, 2026?	2	$54	54	0	+54	open	—	04-29 12:13
Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 April 27-May 3?	1	$51	52	0	+52	open	—	05-01 21:02
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be János Lázár?	2	$50	25	25	+0	open	—	04-17 10:36
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on May 20?	2	$48	48	0	+48	open	—	05-19 14:48
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be István Kapitány?	2	$48	24	24	+0	open	—	04-17 10:37
elon musk of tweets april 17 april 24 160 179	1	$45	45	0	+45	open	—	04-22 20:13
bitcoin above 68k on april 17	2	$44	22	22	+0	open	—	04-17 10:39
will bitcoin dip to 60k june 15 21 2026	1	$43	43	0	+43	open	—	06-21 05:33
bitcoin above 58k on july 5 2026	1	$42	42	0	+42	open	—	07-04 09:15
bitcoin above 80k on april 22	1	$42	42	0	+42	open	—	04-21 22:35
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on May 8?	1	$39	39	0	+39	No	+$0	05-07 21:19
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on June 2?	1	$38	38	0	+38	open	—	06-01 19:56
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on April 27?	1	$33	33	0	+33	open	—	04-25 14:28
bitcoin above 70k on april 17	2	$33	16	16	+0	open	—	04-17 10:40
ethereum above 2100 on april 18	1	$31	31	0	+31	open	—	04-17 21:47
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on May 27?	1	$30	30	0	+30	open	—	05-26 09:52
bitcoin above 56k on july 3 2026	1	$30	30	0	+30	open	—	07-02 10:14
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 14?	1	$29	29	0	+29	open	—	05-13 10:01
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 7?	1	$29	29	0	+29	Yes	+$0	05-06 15:32
Will Ethereum dip to $2,000 April 27-May 3?	1	$29	29	0	+29	open	—	05-02 10:10
will apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on january 31 756	2	$29	29	0	+29	open	—	01-20 06:02
Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 on May 18?	1	$28	28	0	+28	open	—	05-18 22:16
Will Bitcoin dip to $76,000 on May 25?	1	$27	27	0	+27	open	—	05-26 03:47
bitcoin above 72k on april 21	1	$27	27	0	+27	open	—	04-21 02:25
will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by july 31 495 138 872 385 636	1	$27	27	0	+27	open	—	07-01 13:28
Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by May 14, 2026?	1	$26	26	0	+26	open	—	05-11 21:55
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on May 28?	1	$26	26	0	+26	open	—	05-27 05:48
bitcoin above 70k on april 24	1	$26	26	0	+26	open	—	04-23 04:29

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-04 16:58:05	will ethereum reach 2000 june 29 july 5 2026	No	BUY	17	100¢	$17	0x4ad607…
07-04 09:15:47	bitcoin above 58k on july 5 2026	Yes	BUY	42	100¢	$42	0x216ed2…
07-03 21:19:46	will bitcoin dip to 54k june 29 july 5 2026	No	BUY	12	100¢	$12	0xb29444…
07-03 05:20:25	will bitcoin dip to 48k june 29 july 5 2026	No	BUY	14	100¢	$14	0x24f55c…
07-02 10:14:50	bitcoin above 56k on july 3 2026	Yes	BUY	30	100¢	$30	0x45b522…
07-02 08:30:55	bitcoin above 64k on july 2 2026	No	BUY	12	99¢	$12	0x114f78…
07-01 13:39:34	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by july 8	Yes	BUY	13	100¢	$13	0xcfe746…
07-01 13:28:55	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by july 31 495 138 872 385 636	Yes	BUY	27	100¢	$27	0xa97452…
06-25 08:46:10	bitcoin above 66k on june 26 2026	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xe47ce1…
06-25 00:48:41	ethereum above 1800 on june 25 2026	No	BUY	27	100¢	$27	0x40a355…
06-24 22:27:22	ethereum above 1800 on june 25 2026	No	BUY	55	100¢	$55	0xc53b4d…
06-23 09:24:16	bitcoin above 70k on june 25 2026	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x17dbeb…
06-21 05:33:14	will bitcoin dip to 60k june 15 21 2026	No	BUY	43	100¢	$43	0x903480…
06-03 18:00:07	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on June 5?	No	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0xa65504…
06-02 12:53:44	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on June 2?	No	BUY	23	100¢	$23	0x87780d…
06-01 22:11:05	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on June 2?	No	BUY	21	99¢	$21	0x9f796c…
06-01 19:56:03	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on June 2?	Yes	BUY	38	100¢	$38	0x52c895…
06-01 18:56:42	Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,800 on June 2?	Yes	BUY	23	100¢	$23	0xc4bd94…
06-01 01:10:48	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on June 1?	Yes	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0x4f3c3c…
05-30 23:02:16	Will Solana dip to $70 in May?	No	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0x9156cd…
05-28 04:39:16	Will Germany send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xd6fdfd…
05-27 05:48:21	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on May 28?	Yes	BUY	26	100¢	$26	0x97da60…
05-26 09:52:39	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on May 27?	Yes	BUY	30	100¢	$30	0x72b5e2…
05-26 03:47:26	Will Bitcoin dip to $76,000 on May 25?	No	BUY	27	100¢	$27	0x50eb45…
05-25 13:46:44	Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,900 on May 26?	Yes	BUY	22	100¢	$22	0x24f09b…
05-22 04:11:03	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 22?	Yes	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0xa51c74…
05-21 15:08:56	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on May 22?	Yes	BUY	26	100¢	$26	0xe8bdae…
05-21 09:07:29	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 22?	No	BUY	24	99¢	$24	0xc35145…
05-19 14:48:33	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on May 20?	Yes	BUY	27	100¢	$27	0x84065e…
05-19 01:05:28	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on May 20?	Yes	BUY	21	100¢	$21	0x913da8…
05-18 22:16:56	Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 on May 18?	No	BUY	28	100¢	$28	0x149e34…
05-18 11:10:25	Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,900 on May 19?	Yes	BUY	24	99¢	$24	0xf27fe7…
05-16 04:37:27	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 16?	Yes	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0x899a2a…
05-15 15:11:37	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 16?	Yes	BUY	12	99¢	$12	0xdda5e0…
05-13 10:01:20	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 14?	Yes	BUY	29	100¢	$29	0x9724f3…
05-12 12:21:36	Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	18	100¢	$18	0x0bfefa…
05-11 21:55:11	Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by May 14, 2026?	No	BUY	26	99¢	$26	0xf46969…
05-11 14:23:57	Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	15	99¢	$15	0xf8f9e1…
05-11 08:03:14	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on May 11?	No	BUY	18	99¢	$18	0xf4d25a…
05-10 20:17:08	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $88,000 on May 12?	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0xa14bce…
05-09 14:34:40	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on May 10?	No	BUY	18	100¢	$18	0x7e2297…
05-09 01:10:15	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on May 9?	No	BUY	25	100¢	$25	0x39fa77…
05-08 05:50:27	Will Bitcoin dip to $72,000 May 4-10?	No	BUY	16	99¢	$16	0x4001fe…
05-07 21:19:54	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on May 8?	No	BUY	39	100¢	$39	0xb7ff2e…
05-07 13:14:14	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 8?	Yes	BUY	17	100¢	$17	0x35195e…
05-06 15:32:13	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 7?	Yes	BUY	29	100¢	$29	0xdcd1df…
05-05 15:37:24	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on May 7?	Yes	BUY	17	100¢	$17	0x96b3ee…
05-04 05:12:14	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 5?	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xb5270e…
05-02 20:53:34	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 3?	No	BUY	21	100¢	$20	0xaa1d32…
05-02 10:10:46	Will Ethereum dip to $2,000 April 27-May 3?	No	BUY	29	100¢	$29	0xf83e12…
05-02 00:20:16	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on May 3?	Yes	BUY	15	99¢	$15	0xbcd6c7…
05-01 21:02:22	Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 April 27-May 3?	No	BUY	52	99¢	$51	0xeb071d…
05-01 07:55:18	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,100 on May 1?	Yes	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0x6d7152…
04-29 12:13:12	Will Italy send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by April 30, 2026?	No	BUY	35	100¢	$35	0x54d37c…
04-27 16:16:54	Will Italy send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by April 30, 2026?	No	BUY	19	99¢	$19	0xf1277f…
04-26 16:31:02	Will JD Vance visit Pakistan by April 27?	No	BUY	24	100¢	$24	0x03def8…
04-25 17:45:50	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on April 26?	No	BUY	16	99¢	$16	0x8e135a…
04-25 14:28:00	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on April 27?	Yes	BUY	33	100¢	$33	0x169c2c…
04-25 10:52:32	Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from April 23 to April 25, 2026?	No	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0xdbe4ce…
04-24 17:37:54	Will Bitcoin reach $88,000 April 20-26?	No	BUY	22	100¢	$22	0x39506a…
04-24 00:04:22	highest temperature in hong kong on april 24 2026 22c	No	BUY	12	100¢	$12	0xb924a8…
04-23 04:29:56	bitcoin above 70k on april 24	Yes	BUY	26	100¢	$26	0x70a0e4…
04-22 20:13:40	elon musk of tweets april 17 april 24 160 179	No	BUY	45	100¢	$45	0xfd6ea3…
04-21 22:35:08	bitcoin above 80k on april 22	No	BUY	42	100¢	$42	0x9f2bc4…
04-21 21:44:00	elon musk of tweets april 17 april 24 320 339	No	BUY	15	99¢	$15	0x68dace…
04-21 02:25:34	bitcoin above 72k on april 21	Yes	BUY	27	100¢	$27	0xef93a2…
04-19 09:05:58	highest temperature in shanghai on april 19 2026 25c	No	BUY	25	100¢	$25	0x9a9de2…
04-19 07:40:12	will the price of bitcoin be between 78000 80000 on april 19	No	BUY	21	100¢	$21	0xb0ccfd…
04-18 10:26:38	bitcoin above 80k on april 18	No	BUY	18	100¢	$18	0x20cb2a…
04-17 21:47:12	ethereum above 2100 on april 18	Yes	BUY	31	100¢	$31	0x03eed0…
04-17 11:29:36	will solana reach 110 april 13 19	No	BUY	23	99¢	$23	0x769478…
04-17 10:40:14	bitcoin above 70k on april 17	Yes	SELL	16	100¢	$16	0xbf2d75…
04-17 10:39:02	bitcoin above 68k on april 17	Yes	SELL	22	100¢	$22	0x2dd62d…
04-17 10:37:52	Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be István Kapitány?	No	SELL	24	100¢	$24	0xf7dfe5…
04-17 10:36:42	Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be János Lázár?	No	SELL	25	100¢	$25	0x0af2ef…
04-17 10:35:32	Will Poland win Eurovision 2026?	No	SELL	30	100¢	$30	0xe5ddbb…
04-16 19:59:06	bitcoin above 70k on april 17	Yes	BUY	16	100¢	$16	0xeb2337…
04-16 08:37:44	bitcoin above 68k on april 17	Yes	BUY	22	100¢	$22	0x10a228…
04-15 19:09:42	bitcoin above 80k on april 16	No	BUY	14	99¢	$14	0x7caf3c…
04-15 05:02:30	bitcoin above 78k on april 15	No	BUY	23	100¢	$23	0x45ecfe…
04-14 21:26:06	ethereum above 2100 on april 15	Yes	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0x3d1f33…
04-13 15:12:59	bitcoin above 78k on april 14	No	BUY	24	100¢	$24	0x57ba24…
04-11 10:19:31	will danielle martin win the by election for the seat of universityrosedale in the house of commons of canada	Yes	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0x95ab4f…
04-10 22:21:53	will russell henley win the 2026 masters tournament	No	BUY	22	100¢	$22	0x7d9dc3…
04-07 07:04:57	bitcoin above 62k on april 7	Yes	BUY	25	100¢	$25	0xc7070f…
04-04 05:16:43	ethereum above 1900 on april 4	Yes	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0x297a59…
04-03 02:50:41	bitcoin above 70k on april 3	No	BUY	13	100¢	$13	0xb157ec…
04-01 04:01:31	highest temperature in miami on april 1 2026 92forhigher	No	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0x48eb68…
03-26 12:45:23	Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be János Lázár?	No	BUY	25	100¢	$25	0x28e412…
03-22 16:34:29	Will Poland win Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	30	100¢	$30	0xd51e95…
03-17 20:12:47	Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be István Kapitány?	No	BUY	24	100¢	$24	0x73d029…
03-13 21:32:47	will microsoft be the largest company in the world by market cap on march 31 889	No	BUY	24	100¢	$24	0x9b2d0d…
02-15 07:24:23	will the us collect between 1t and 2t in revenue in 2025	No	BUY	25	100¢	$25	0xe5379b…
02-14 12:00:17	will sentimental value win best picture at the 98th academy awards	No	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0x689857…
01-25 06:59:54	will bitcoin reach 125k in january 2026	No	BUY	18	100¢	$18	0xad0189…
01-20 06:02:12	will apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on january 31 756	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xc6704d…
01-14 17:24:40	will apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on january 31 756	No	BUY	19	100¢	$19	0x9e68bb…
01-10 21:05:46	will openai have the best ai model at the end of january 2026	No	BUY	16	99¢	$16	0xba27fe…