Worn-Exhaust — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$3

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

72.4%

Resolved

442

Trades

840

lifetime

Volume

$11.5K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$14

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-02-08

last 10-19 20:31

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 126 days

Categories

Other

74% 77% +$2

Crypto

20% 81% +$1

Politics

4% 53% +$0

Sports

1% 60% +$0

Pop-Culture

1% 100% +$0

Tech

0% 100% +$0

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

45 active days in 12wk • peak 4 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 21°C or higher on July 20?	4	$80	40	40	+0	No	+$0	07-20 18:18
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,400 on October 12?	2	$70	35	35	+0	Yes	+$0	10-12 14:11
ethereum above 2000 on july 26 2026	2	$70	35	35	+0	No	$0	07-25 17:59
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 28°C or higher on July 21?	2	$69	35	35	+0	No	+$0	07-21 02:26
Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 30°C or below on July 24?	2	$67	34	34	+0	No	$0	07-23 15:04
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 96-97°F on July 20?	2	$67	34	34	+0	No	$0	07-20 00:39
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on July 29?	2	$65	32	32	+0	Yes	+$0	07-29 03:44
Will the highest temperature in Busan be 38°C or higher on July 23?	2	$65	32	32	+0	No	$0	07-22 14:24
bitcoin above 60k on july 21 2026	2	$64	32	32	+0	Yes	+$0	07-21 02:28
Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 24°C on July 23?	2	$63	32	32	+0	No	+$0	07-22 21:56
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $58,000 and $60,000 on July 21?	3	$63	32	32	+0	No	+$0	07-20 08:49
Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 12°C on July 21?	2	$63	31	31	+0	No	+$0	07-21 15:25
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 16°C or below on July 25?	3	$62	31	31	+0	No	$0	07-25 01:28
Will Harry Kane win the Golden Ball at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	2	$61	31	31	+0	No	+$0	07-19 17:59
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 25°C on July 21?	2	$61	30	30	+0	No	+$0	07-21 07:47
will russia capture all of drobysheve by july 31	3	$60	30	30	+0	No	$0	07-30 11:31
Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from August 22 to August 24, 2026?	2	$60	60	0	+60	No	+$0	08-23 19:21
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 37°C or higher on July 28?	4	$60	30	30	+0	No	+$0	07-27 04:32
will ethereum dip to 1700 july 20 26 2026	2	$59	30	30	+0	No	$0	07-26 09:21
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 35°C or higher on July 26?	4	$59	29	29	+0	No	$0	07-25 11:27
ethereum above 2100 on july 21 2026	2	$58	29	29	+0	No	+$0	07-21 13:12
Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 80-81°F on July 30?	3	$57	28	28	+0	No	+$0	07-30 00:06
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from May 22 to May 29, 2026?	3	$56	28	28	+0	No	+$0	05-28 09:54
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 13°C or below on May 8?	3	$56	28	28	+0	No	+$0	05-08 07:26
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 24°C or below on June 27?	2	$56	28	28	+0	No	$0	06-26 15:03
Will Russia capture all of Ternuvate by May 31, 2026?	6	$54	27	27	+0	No	+$0	05-30 13:34
will xauusd reach 4350 by july 20 2026	2	$54	27	27	+0	No	+$0	07-23 20:23
will xauusd reach 4250 by july 20 2026	3	$54	27	27	+0	No	+$0	07-24 13:51
bitcoin above 62k on july 27 2026	2	$54	27	27	+0	Yes	+$0	07-27 10:04
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be 91°F or below on July 23?	2	$53	26	26	+0	No	+$0	07-23 03:30

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-19 20:31:00	Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 29°C on October 20?	No	BUY	16	100¢	$16	0x259dce…
10-18 16:39:59	Will the price of Bitcoin be less than $74,000 on October 19?	No	BUY	30	100¢	$30	0x5cca6c…
10-16 08:23:54	Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 62-63°F on October 16?	No	BUY	7	100¢	$6	0x5d350f…
10-13 10:52:46	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 27°C or below on October 14?	No	SELL	7	100¢	$7	0xb98a84…
10-13 10:04:31	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 27°C or below on October 14?	No	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0x1a8948…
10-12 16:55:06	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be 74°F or higher on October 12?	No	SELL	23	100¢	$23	0xc563c7…
10-12 14:11:08	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,400 on October 12?	Yes	SELL	35	100¢	$35	0xab0af3…
10-12 09:55:35	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be 74°F or higher on October 12?	No	BUY	23	100¢	$23	0x1b797b…
10-12 04:54:29	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,400 on October 12?	Yes	BUY	35	100¢	$35	0x276ec1…
10-11 22:16:18	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on October 12?	Yes	SELL	21	100¢	$21	0x933ff1…
10-11 16:46:00	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on October 12?	Yes	BUY	21	100¢	$21	0x33a0c8…
10-10 08:24:09	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 35°C or higher on October 10?	No	BUY	28	100¢	$27	0x1d3082…
10-05 08:37:34	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 29°C or higher on October 5?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x9cc668…
10-02 00:27:15	Will the price of Solana be above $140 on October 2?	No	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0x823b67…
10-01 23:47:44	Will the price of Bitcoin be between $76,000 and $78,000 on October 2?	No	BUY	25	100¢	$25	0x45c0f3…
10-01 05:54:23	bitcoin above 76k on october 2 2026	Yes	BUY	35	100¢	$35	0x8582c0…
09-28 05:01:18	bitcoin above 92k on september 28 2026	No	BUY	24	100¢	$24	0xe33d12…
09-27 19:00:08	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 31°C or higher on September 28?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$7	0xc4d03a…
09-23 21:39:44	Will the price of Bitcoin be between $76,000 and $78,000 on September 24?	No	BUY	33	100¢	$33	0x56e568…
09-23 21:05:37	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 29°C on September 24?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x597d60…
09-23 19:25:17	Will Bridget Carleton have the highest steals per game in the WNBA 2026 regular season?	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0x68ac45…
09-22 23:42:28	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 20°C on September 23?	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0x2ab24e…
09-22 22:23:47	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 14°C on September 23?	No	BUY	12	100¢	$12	0xd464de…
09-21 20:04:36	US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 21, 2026?	No	BUY	17	100¢	$17	0x9ab928…
09-19 05:51:16	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 28°C on September 19?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x9ccc10…
09-17 23:53:06	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 34°C on September 18?	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0x23345d…
09-17 16:30:13	Will the Bank of Japan announce a 50+ bps increase at the September 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	28	100¢	$28	0x1d18bc…
09-13 05:12:54	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 22°C or higher on September 13?	No	BUY	12	100¢	$12	0xa47571…
09-10 20:23:09	Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from September 4 to September 11, 2026?	No	BUY	27	100¢	$27	0xd0b289…
09-07 15:43:46	Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from September 1 to September 8, 2026?	No	BUY	25	100¢	$25	0x8ad949…
09-06 12:57:04	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 33°C or higher on September 7?	No	BUY	29	100¢	$29	0x2c3d97…
09-06 06:12:21	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 31°C on September 6?	No	BUY	16	100¢	$15	0xc478d6…
09-06 01:00:33	Will AfD win fewer than 34 seats in the 2026 Sachsen-Anhalt parliamentary elections?	No	BUY	30	100¢	$29	0xae2421…
09-05 08:18:19	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 27°C on September 5?	No	BUY	7	100¢	$6	0x86a504…
09-05 02:53:27	Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 82-83°F on September 5?	No	BUY	22	100¢	$21	0x6a21b2…
09-04 19:46:57	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 39°C on September 5?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xc67433…
09-04 16:21:30	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 28°C or below on September 5?	No	BUY	24	100¢	$23	0xb47beb…
09-04 06:51:34	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 24°C or below on September 4?	No	BUY	34	100¢	$34	0x75fbbf…
09-04 01:17:15	Will the lowest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 15°C or below on September 4?	No	BUY	18	100¢	$17	0x3ecc1a…
09-03 20:47:58	will bitcoin dip to 75k on september 3 2026	No	BUY	18	100¢	$18	0x4a419e…
09-03 05:59:25	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on September 3?	Yes	BUY	18	100¢	$18	0xa81294…
09-03 01:36:27	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 32°C on September 4?	No	BUY	30	100¢	$30	0x24c725…
09-02 17:33:49	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 10°C or below on September 3?	No	BUY	14	100¢	$14	0xc74a5f…
09-02 09:32:16	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on September 2?	Yes	BUY	30	100¢	$30	0xbbc7d3…
09-02 06:27:15	Will the highest temperature in Jinan be 26°C or higher on September 2?	Yes	BUY	25	100¢	$25	0xd8dd24…
09-01 20:24:30	Will Julian Alvarez join Chelsea?	No	BUY	22	100¢	$22	0xb677df…
09-01 06:10:37	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 15°C on September 1?	No	BUY	26	100¢	$26	0xcba68c…
09-01 02:14:36	US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 31, 2026?	No	BUY	34	100¢	$33	0x51ef5c…
08-31 05:15:15	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 20°C on August 31?	No	BUY	27	100¢	$27	0xda100c…
08-30 18:29:19	Iran leadership change by August 31?	No	BUY	21	100¢	$21	0xa21735…
08-30 11:32:43	ethereum above 2300 on august 30 2026	Yes	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0x343c8d…
08-30 06:59:21	bitcoin above 74k on august 30 2026	Yes	BUY	14	100¢	$14	0xb4d488…
08-29 19:01:15	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 25°C on August 30?	No	BUY	31	100¢	$31	0x12bffb…
08-29 09:38:19	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 30°C on August 29?	Yes	BUY	34	100¢	$34	0x0e81f4…
08-28 14:10:03	Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from August 21 to August 28, 2026?	No	BUY	20	100¢	$19	0xad0580…
08-28 13:58:06	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,300 on August 28?	Yes	BUY	27	100¢	$27	0x32b1d9…
08-27 09:16:22	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 27°C on August 27?	No	BUY	12	100¢	$12	0x999ad7…
08-27 05:52:06	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on August 28?	Yes	BUY	27	100¢	$27	0x94c6b7…
08-27 03:07:39	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on August 27?	Yes	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0x1ea36f…
08-26 20:51:54	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 28°C or below on August 27?	No	BUY	32	100¢	$32	0x77f2ed…
08-26 10:56:10	Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 96-97°F on August 26?	No	BUY	12	100¢	$12	0x33f8bd…
08-25 15:07:33	bitcoin above 76k on august 25 2026	Yes	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0xfb6591…
08-25 09:10:09	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on August 25?	Yes	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0x4d1303…
08-25 05:09:58	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on August 25?	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x517cc8…
08-24 20:57:06	Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from August 18 to August 25, 2026?	No	BUY	16	100¢	$15	0xcc0cbe…
08-24 19:01:54	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 35°C or higher on August 25?	No	BUY	34	100¢	$34	0xa5ae9d…
08-24 13:59:34	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on August 25?	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0x579685…
08-24 01:31:49	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on August 24?	Yes	BUY	30	100¢	$30	0x80b72f…
08-23 19:21:01	Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from August 22 to August 24, 2026?	No	BUY	34	100¢	$34	0x527e35…
08-23 19:05:55	Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from August 22 to August 24, 2026?	No	BUY	26	100¢	$26	0x0a6be6…
08-14 09:18:28	iran leadership change by august 15	No	BUY	18	100¢	$18	0x306fa7…
08-13 18:36:15	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 26°C on August 14?	No	BUY	14	100¢	$14	0xcac6d9…
08-13 14:33:46	Will the price of Solana be between $80 and $90 on August 13?	No	BUY	12	100¢	$12	0x118105…
08-13 11:11:03	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 42°C on August 14?	No	BUY	12	100¢	$12	0x9be9e8…
08-13 06:14:36	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 21°C on August 14?	No	BUY	31	100¢	$31	0x8b75ca…
08-12 21:13:49	Will William Clouston get second place in the Clacton by-election?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x0cf5dd…
08-12 06:41:34	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 33°C on August 12?	No	BUY	18	100¢	$18	0x625840…
08-12 02:30:34	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 25°C on August 13?	No	BUY	34	100¢	$34	0xb4d762…
08-11 22:50:30	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 31°C on August 12?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x020ee8…
08-11 14:34:28	bitcoin above 62k on august 11 2026	Yes	BUY	11	100¢	$10	0xd04341…
08-11 12:45:48	Will the price of Solana be between $80 and $90 on August 11?	No	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0xcecc55…
08-10 21:40:07	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 40°C on August 11?	No	BUY	20	100¢	$19	0x4d9e24…
08-10 20:03:01	will ethereum reach 2000 on august 10	No	BUY	32	100¢	$32	0xf828b6…
08-10 13:16:07	Will the highest temperature in Austin be 108°F or higher on August 11?	No	BUY	22	100¢	$22	0xf14ef5…
08-10 10:44:39	ethereum above 2100 on august 11 2026	No	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0xd8a942…
08-09 14:17:07	bitcoin above 60k on august 10 2026	Yes	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0x63fb80…
08-09 10:40:51	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 37°C on August 9?	No	BUY	33	100¢	$33	0x70d4c3…
08-09 03:43:25	bitcoin above 60k on august 10 2026	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x0b3c1b…
08-09 02:25:57	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 86-87°F on August 9?	No	BUY	25	100¢	$25	0xafa460…
08-08 17:33:42	ethereum above 1800 on august 9 2026	Yes	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0xe14e08…
08-08 02:18:21	will ethereum dip to 1850 on august 7	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xa95713…
08-08 01:03:01	will bitcoin dip to 63k on august 7	No	BUY	12	100¢	$12	0xcc9f76…
08-07 21:37:52	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on August 8?	No	BUY	17	100¢	$17	0x174c1d…
08-07 16:56:45	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 13°C on August 8?	No	BUY	34	100¢	$34	0x3816a8…
08-07 11:20:16	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 31°C or higher on August 7?	No	BUY	31	100¢	$31	0x2ff507…
08-07 09:25:09	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 35°C or higher on August 8?	No	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0xddc253…
08-06 07:51:38	ethereum above 1700 on august 6 2026	Yes	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0x1883a1…
08-06 02:37:33	bitcoin above 60k on august 6 2026	Yes	BUY	13	100¢	$13	0x6aa180…
08-05 21:52:30	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be 95°F or below on August 6?	No	BUY	21	100¢	$21	0xc1ca9d…
08-05 19:29:23	ethereum above 2100 on august 6 2026	No	BUY	33	100¢	$33	0xf6c0cd…