Realized P&L
+$319
Unrealized P&L
-$41
Hit rate
59.5%
Resolved
33
Trades
88,746
lifetime
Volume
$3.36M
lifetime
Avg / trade
$38
Open exposure
$2.16K
27 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 06-25 20:20
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 17 days
Categories
Other
41% 69% $-59
Sports
26% 55% +$10
Politics
16% 67% +$368
Crypto
15%
Tech
2%
Pop-Culture
0%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
72 active days in 12wk • peak 993 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Hantavirus lab leak confirmed by June 30? No -343 $-338 100¢ $-342 $-4 06-03 13:38
Netanyahu out by June 30? No -194 $-190 100¢ $-194 $-4 06-09 06:40
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by June 30, 2026? No -184 $-167 100¢ $-183 $-16 06-10 07:21
Israel closes its airspace by June 30? No +173 $191 100¢ $173 $-18 06-07 16:19
Will GameStop acquire eBay? No -200 $-172 86¢ $-172 +$0 06-07 01:04
Will China invade Taiwan by September 30, 2026? No -137 $-132 98¢ $-134 $-2 06-07 14:15
Will China blockade Taiwan by June 30? No -101 $-99 100¢ $-101 $-2 06-09 19:13
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by June 30, 2026? No +100 $98 100¢ $100 +$1 06-02 22:06
Will Bitcoin hit $150k by December 31, 2026? No +100 $92 96¢ $96 +$4 05-29 20:02
Will Russia capture all of Donetsk Oblast by December 31, 2026? No -100 $-91 95¢ $-95 $-5 06-04 05:17
Will Alberta vote for independence in 2026? No -94 $-80 89¢ $-84 $-4 06-09 16:33
Will Bitcoin reach $190,000 by December 31, 2026? No +76 $74 98¢ $74 +$1 06-06 21:10
NATO x Russia military clash by June 30, 2026? No -72 $-63 100¢ $-72 $-9 06-08 18:31
Will UAE leave the Gulf Cooperation Council in 2026? No -71 $-65 90¢ $-64 +$0 06-22 17:07
Will Bitcoin reach $200,000 by December 31, 2026? No -52 $-51 98¢ $-51 $-0 06-09 15:08
Xi Jinping out by June 30? No -41 $-41 100¢ $-41 +$0 06-04 03:57
Israel and Indonesia normalize relations by June 30, 2026? No +40 $33 100¢ $40 +$7 06-10 17:17
Will Ethereum reach $10,000 by December 31, 2026? No -41 $-39 98¢ $-40 $-1 06-09 13:08
Will Alberta join the US? No +31 $26 98¢ $30 +$5 06-05 17:07
Ukraine agrees not to join NATO by June 30? No -23 $-25 100¢ $-23 +$2 06-07 09:14
Israel withdraws from Lebanon by June 30, 2026? No +22 $13 100¢ $22 +$10 06-09 13:04
Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by June 30? No +22 $29 100¢ $22 $-6 06-05 04:26
Will Satoshi's identity be revealed by June 30? No +5 $5 100¢ $5 $-0 05-31 04:41
Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026? No -0 $-0 93¢ $-0 +$0 06-08 14:55
Putin out as President of Russia by June 30? No +0 $-0 100¢ $0 +$0 06-10 12:36
Will Bitcoin reach $500,000 by December 31, 2026? No +0 $-0 99¢ $0 +$0 06-25 20:20
Will Russia enter Svitle by June 30? No +0 $-0 97¢ $0 +$0 06-18 17:44