Eager-Donor — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$96

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

52.7%

Resolved

347

Trades

748

lifetime

Volume

$2.05K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-07

last 11-10 20:38

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 106 days

Categories

Other

72% 46% -$71

Politics

22% 49% -$19

Crypto

6% 60% -$7

Sports

0% 67% +$1

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

26 active days in 12wk • peak 20 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (29) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	7	$149	261	261	+0	No	-$24	06-13 02:18
Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	8	$70	184	184	+0	Yes	-$2	06-11 04:58
Will Rafael López Aliaga win the next Lima mayoral elections?	2	$59	57	57	+0	open	—	11-07 06:13
Will a different combination of candidates advance to the runoff?	3	$50	40	40	+0	Yes	-$6	04-16 00:04
Will Jorge Nieto finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	10	$44	363	363	+0	No	+$26	04-15 04:40
Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 14°C on July 23?	3	$33	22	22	+0	Yes	+$7	07-23 04:53
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 17°C on April 29?	4	$31	20	20	+0	No	+$1	04-29 05:31
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on May 7?	2	$27	16	16	+0	No	+$3	05-07 03:59
Will Jorge Nieto finish in first place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	12	$26	4,472	4,472	+0	No	-$14	04-15 15:12
Will the lowest temperature in London be 19°C on June 21?	4	$23	14	14	+0	Yes	+$2	06-21 06:25
Will CD Garcilaso win on 2026-04-27?	3	$22	17	16	+0	Yes	+$11	04-28 04:07
Will Keiko Fujimori finish in first place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	9	$22	182	182	+0	Yes	-$4	04-19 23:34
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in April?	2	$22	60	0	+60	Yes	-$22	04-17 04:34
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 68-69°F on May 7?	3	$21	15	15	+0	Yes	-$2	05-06 21:53
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 17°C on May 7?	2	$21	12	12	+0	No	+$3	05-07 02:01
Will Keiko Fujimori and Jorge Nieto advance to the runoff?	8	$21	192	192	+0	No	+$11	04-15 04:40
Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 12°C on July 20?	2	$21	14	14	+0	Yes	+$7	07-20 03:39
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 26°C on May 8?	2	$20	18	18	+0	Yes	-$7	05-08 01:48
Will CS Cristal win on 2026-05-03?	5	$20	34	0	+34	No	-$20	05-03 16:17
Will the lowest temperature in London be 18°C on July 5?	2	$19	13	13	+0	Yes	+$3	07-05 03:47
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 17°C on May 2?	3	$19	12	12	+0	No	+$6	05-02 04:05
Will the lowest temperature in Seoul be 21°C on June 7?	3	$18	49	49	+0	No	-$12	06-06 22:22
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 27°C on June 24?	3	$17	35	35	+0	No	+$7	06-24 04:59
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 26°C or higher on May 16?	5	$16	19	19	+0	No	-$6	05-16 03:30
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	3	$15	14	16	-2	No	-$1	05-10 17:55
Will Germany win on 2026-06-25?	2	$14	22	22	+0	No	-$14	06-25 21:43
Will Rafael López Aliaga finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	8	$14	21	21	+0	No	-$2	04-16 03:29
Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 16°C on July 27?	2	$14	9	9	+0	Yes	+$2	07-27 04:57
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on May 8?	2	$13	7	7	+0	No	+$1	05-08 04:21
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 28°C on May 8?	2	$13	13	13	+0	No	$0	05-08 15:33

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-10 20:38:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 10, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET	Down	BUY	3	73¢	$2	0xc4db61…
11-10 20:18:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 10, 3:15PM-3:30PM ET	Up	BUY	7	75¢	$5	0x9b6f76…
11-10 20:02:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 10, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET	Down	BUY	7	75¢	$5	0x340773…
11-10 19:21:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 10, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET	Up	BUY	1	79¢	$1	0x62d33b…
11-10 19:01:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 10, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET	Down	BUY	8	64¢	$5	0x66c722…
11-10 16:48:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 10, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET	Down	BUY	6	77¢	$5	0x518e2e…
11-10 16:34:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 10, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET	Down	BUY	7	76¢	$5	0xcf847c…
11-10 16:17:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 10, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET	Up	BUY	3	65¢	$2	0xee7b82…
11-10 16:10:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 10, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET	Up	BUY	1	71¢	$1	0xa52567…
11-10 05:37:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 10, 12:30AM-12:45AM ET	Up	BUY	3	77¢	$2	0x059ab0…
11-10 05:18:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 10, 12:15AM-12:30AM ET	Down	BUY	3	68¢	$2	0x420db8…
11-10 05:02:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 10, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET	Up	BUY	3	68¢	$2	0x8de320…
11-10 04:49:40	Ethereum Up or Down - November 9, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET	Down	BUY	2	66¢	$1	0xc26d5c…
11-10 04:47:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET	Down	BUY	3	71¢	$2	0x803402…
11-10 04:34:37	Ethereum Up or Down - November 9, 11:30PM-11:45PM ET	Down	BUY	1	75¢	$1	0x7428d5…
11-10 04:34:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 11:30PM-11:45PM ET	Down	BUY	3	71¢	$2	0x80327a…
11-10 04:18:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET	Up	BUY	3	74¢	$2	0xc8cfb3…
11-10 04:04:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 11:00PM-11:15PM ET	Up	BUY	2	83¢	$2	0x9a82eb…
11-10 03:49:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET	Up	BUY	1	80¢	$1	0xb0e276…
11-10 00:04:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET	Down	BUY	3	64¢	$2	0x12db98…
11-09 23:00:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET	Down	BUY	2	63¢	$1	0xc590bf…
11-09 22:59:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET	Up	SELL	4	89¢	$3	0x53ae85…
11-09 22:58:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET	Up	BUY	4	57¢	$2	0x3d58ba…
11-09 01:20:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 8, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET	Down	BUY	2	64¢	$1	0x23dec4…
11-09 01:12:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 8, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET	Up	BUY	3	67¢	$2	0x90da92…
11-09 00:18:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 8, 7:15PM-7:30PM ET	Up	BUY	7	75¢	$5	0x355702…
11-09 00:01:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 8, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET	Down	BUY	7	67¢	$5	0x7c8fa5…
11-08 21:34:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 8, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET	Up	BUY	3	59¢	$2	0xa7abb3…
11-08 21:21:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 8, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET	Up	BUY	6	77¢	$5	0x86dedd…
11-08 20:33:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 8, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET	Down	BUY	3	62¢	$2	0xf54df5…
11-08 06:03:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 8, 1:00AM-1:15AM ET	Down	BUY	2	46¢	$1	0xddc5e9…
11-08 05:58:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 8, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET	Down	SELL	3	85¢	$3	0x2d4dc4…
11-08 05:51:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 8, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET	Down	BUY	3	62¢	$2	0xc0a372…
11-08 04:44:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 7, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET	Up	BUY	4	48¢	$2	0x86b12f…
11-07 17:10:01	Ethereum Up or Down - November 7, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET	Down	BUY	7	15¢	$1	0x2a83ce…
11-07 06:13:19	Will Rafael López Aliaga win the next Lima mayoral elections?	No	SELL	57	98¢	$56	0x56f999…
10-26 02:45:30	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 19°C on October 26?	Yes	BUY	4	55¢	$2	0x37eb6a…
10-26 02:40:41	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 19°C on October 26?	Yes	BUY	4	56¢	$2	0x00589b…
10-23 18:09:27	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 14°C on October 22?	Yes	SELL	2	97¢	$2	0x782a04…
10-23 02:29:41	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 19°C on October 23?	Yes	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0x934516…
10-23 02:28:35	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 18°C on October 23?	Yes	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0xca7064…
10-22 02:00:45	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 14°C on October 22?	Yes	BUY	2	54¢	$1	0xa5ad55…
10-22 01:58:38	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 17°C on October 22?	Yes	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0xaa08c3…
10-17 02:05:47	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 24°C on October 17?	Yes	BUY	2	42¢	$1	0xe05c6a…
10-12 02:30:03	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 27°C on October 12?	Yes	BUY	8	45¢	$4	0x922fb5…
10-11 02:09:41	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 25°C on October 11?	Yes	BUY	4	54¢	$2	0xc39e7d…
10-08 03:34:55	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 23°C on October 8?	No	BUY	4	54¢	$2	0x9128f2…
10-05 17:32:53	Will Francis James Allison Oyague win the next Lima mayoral elections?	Yes	SELL	25	2¢	$0	0xf063d2…
10-05 00:37:14	Will Francis James Allison Oyague win the next Lima mayoral elections?	Yes	BUY	25	4¢	$1	0x8ae4ba…
10-04 16:07:46	Will Rafael López Aliaga win the next Lima mayoral elections?	No	BUY	57	5¢	$3	0x03c441…
10-04 07:49:58	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 22°C on October 4?	Yes	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0xfec919…
10-04 01:55:17	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 22°C on October 4?	Yes	BUY	5	58¢	$3	0x4a94a2…
10-04 01:54:56	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 23°C on October 4?	Yes	BUY	4	48¢	$2	0x1731e1…
10-03 00:54:27	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 22°C on October 3?	Yes	BUY	5	55¢	$3	0x4a6216…
10-02 02:20:48	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 21°C on October 2?	Yes	BUY	4	52¢	$2	0xf53c8c…
10-01 14:10:32	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 23°C on October 1?	Yes	SELL	3	100¢	$3	0xeb0c0b…
10-01 14:10:23	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 21°C on October 1?	Yes	SELL	3	100¢	$3	0x443d39…
10-01 01:53:38	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 23°C on October 1?	Yes	BUY	3	33¢	$1	0x2d8dfb…
10-01 01:47:36	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 28°C on October 1?	Yes	BUY	3	36¢	$1	0xcc25a5…
10-01 01:42:53	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 21°C on October 1?	Yes	BUY	3	58¢	$2	0x496f62…
09-30 16:40:00	Will the lowest temperature in Seattle be between 50-51°F on September 30?	Yes	SELL	4	96¢	$4	0x3ad084…
09-30 16:39:32	Will the lowest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 17°C on September 30?	Yes	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0x0b1bdc…
09-30 05:52:02	Will the lowest temperature in Seattle be between 50-51°F on September 30?	Yes	BUY	4	48¢	$2	0x90913e…
09-29 15:12:36	Will the lowest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 17°C on September 30?	Yes	BUY	5	57¢	$3	0x82a182…
09-29 05:13:45	Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 19°C on September 29?	Yes	BUY	6	48¢	$3	0x74c5a8…
09-28 15:43:24	Will the lowest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 15°C on September 29?	Yes	BUY	8	26¢	$2	0x1d4660…
09-28 14:06:47	Will the lowest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 19°C on September 29?	Yes	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0x68b073…
09-28 07:08:30	Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 14°C on September 28?	Yes	BUY	20	5¢	$1	0x1ac5c2…
09-28 07:07:14	Will the lowest temperature in Seattle be between 46-47°F on September 28?	Yes	BUY	2	57¢	$1	0x0d8f5c…
09-28 07:05:41	Will the lowest temperature in Miami be between 72-73°F on September 28?	Yes	BUY	3	35¢	$1	0x8069a0…
09-28 06:48:05	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 23°C on September 28?	Yes	SELL	8	99¢	$8	0x1719b6…
09-28 01:50:54	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 23°C on September 28?	Yes	BUY	8	39¢	$3	0x4a1674…
09-27 06:10:23	Will the lowest temperature in Miami be between 72-73°F on September 27?	Yes	BUY	5	40¢	$2	0x11cb9c…
09-24 14:59:14	Will the lowest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 19°C on September 25?	Yes	BUY	6	47¢	$3	0x85aa46…
09-23 02:57:59	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 26°C on September 23?	Yes	BUY	6	48¢	$3	0x35615c…
09-22 02:13:48	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 27°C on September 22?	Yes	BUY	9	33¢	$3	0xce14e8…
09-21 04:51:57	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 27°C on September 21?	Yes	SELL	6	93¢	$5	0x54e182…
09-21 04:39:10	Will the lowest temperature in London be 12°C on September 21?	Yes	SELL	8	18¢	$1	0x9eb9f3…
09-21 02:21:14	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 27°C on September 21?	Yes	BUY	6	51¢	$3	0x339fdc…
09-21 00:32:11	Will the lowest temperature in London be 12°C on September 21?	Yes	BUY	8	37¢	$3	0x0d480e…
09-15 07:00:52	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 24°C on September 15?	Yes	SELL	10	94¢	$9	0x232bee…
09-15 05:10:36	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 24°C on September 15?	Yes	BUY	10	31¢	$3	0x6c0100…
09-14 04:09:46	Will the lowest temperature in San Francisco be between 58-59°F on September 13?	Yes	BUY	4	46¢	$2	0xde4a9f…
08-16 00:53:48	Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 19°C on August 16?	Yes	BUY	7	41¢	$3	0xc5090d…
08-10 01:23:49	Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 19°C on August 10?	Yes	BUY	4	25¢	$1	0xf11ec3…
08-07 00:33:27	Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 12°C on August 7?	Yes	BUY	8	48¢	$4	0x403aa3…
08-05 00:32:06	Will the lowest temperature in London be 18°C on August 5?	Yes	BUY	9	56¢	$5	0x9a0546…
07-30 23:44:15	Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 19°C on July 31?	No	BUY	21	58¢	$12	0x6b8181…
07-30 04:43:21	Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 20°C on July 30?	Yes	SELL	14	3¢	$0	0xdeb068…
07-30 00:28:36	Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 20°C on July 30?	Yes	BUY	14	57¢	$8	0x4f3859…
07-27 04:57:28	Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 16°C on July 27?	Yes	SELL	9	95¢	$8	0x25af09…
07-27 02:57:40	Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 16°C on July 27?	Yes	BUY	9	70¢	$6	0x8b7c3e…
07-24 01:41:33	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 33°C on July 24?	Yes	BUY	7	29¢	$2	0x1bf57f…
07-23 17:16:03	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 25°C on July 23?	Yes	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0x2b18f9…
07-23 07:31:58	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 25°C on July 23?	Yes	BUY	5	58¢	$3	0x59b75b…
07-23 04:53:03	Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 14°C on July 23?	Yes	SELL	22	94¢	$20	0xb78dca…
07-23 04:44:34	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 26°C on July 23?	Yes	SELL	4	31¢	$1	0xec1b4b…
07-23 02:04:24	Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 14°C on July 23?	Yes	BUY	10	59¢	$6	0x2c70c0…
07-23 01:10:55	Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 14°C on July 23?	Yes	BUY	11	62¢	$7	0x0a1dd1…
07-22 06:02:30	Will the highest temperature in London be 26°C on July 22?	Yes	BUY	5	37¢	$2	0x8d5c47…