Eager-Donor — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$1

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

0.0%

Resolved

Trades

257

lifetime

Volume

$485

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-07

last 05-16 03:49

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Politics

47% 0% $-0

Other

44% 0% $-1

Crypto

7% — —

Sports

2% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

34 active days in 12wk • peak 29 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will a different combination of candidates advance to the runoff?	3	$50	40	40	+0	open	—	04-16 00:04
Will Jorge Nieto finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	10	$44	363	363	+0	open	—	04-15 04:40
Will Jorge Nieto finish in first place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	12	$26	4,472	4,472	+0	open	—	04-15 15:12
Will CD Garcilaso win on 2026-04-27?	3	$22	17	16	+0	open	—	04-28 04:07
Will Keiko Fujimori finish in first place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	9	$22	182	182	+0	open	—	04-19 23:34
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in April?	2	$22	60	0	+60	open	—	04-17 04:34
Will Keiko Fujimori and Jorge Nieto advance to the runoff?	8	$21	192	192	+0	open	—	04-15 04:40
Will Rafael López Aliaga finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	8	$14	21	21	+0	open	—	04-16 03:29
Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium in April?	3	$13	11	11	+0	open	—	04-21 05:14
Will the United States send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by April 30, 2026?	5	$11	22	22	+0	open	—	04-09 01:09
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	6	$11	8	8	+0	open	—	04-21 18:11
Will Germany send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by May 31, 2026?	6	$11	159	16	+143	open	—	05-16 03:49
U.S. forces seize another oil tanker by April 30?	7	$10	17	17	+0	open	—	04-20 04:23
us x iran ceasefire extended by april 22 2026	5	$9	22	22	+0	open	—	04-23 00:26
North Korea missile test/launch by April 30, 2026?	4	$8	8	8	+0	open	—	04-12 22:36
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by April 30, 2026?	3	$7	6	6	+0	open	—	04-21 05:08
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by April 30?	4	$7	5	5	+0	open	—	04-21 21:09
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by May 31st?	4	$6	8	8	+0	open	—	04-30 22:40
Will the United Kingdom send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by May 31, 2026?	4	$6	53	22	+31	open	—	05-16 03:48
Iran removed from FIFA World Cup by April 30?	3	$6	33	33	+0	open	—	04-12 23:05
btc updown 5m 1775757900	4	$6	8	8	+0	open	—	04-09 18:08
Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?	2	$6	4	4	+0	open	—	05-15 04:36
Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	3	$6	4	4	+0	open	—	04-16 02:40
Will Ricardo Belmont finish in first place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	2	$5	22	22	+0	open	—	04-12 23:02
Will Iran strike Bahrain by April 30, 2026?	3	$5	12	12	+0	open	—	04-23 06:54
btc updown 5m 1776321000	5	$5	5	5	+0	open	—	04-16 06:34
Iran closes its airspace by May 31?	4	$4	6	6	+0	open	—	05-12 06:28
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 29, 2026?	4	$4	4	4	+0	open	—	04-24 21:44
Will Alfonso López Chau finish in first place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	3	$4	534	534	+0	open	—	04-11 20:20
btc updown 5m 1775773800	3	$3	9	2	+7	open	—	04-09 22:32

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-16 03:49:08	Will Germany send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	56	2¢	$1	0x5f39ba…
05-16 03:48:57	Will France send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	17	6¢	$1	0xc28cf6…
05-16 03:48:38	Will the United Kingdom send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	21	5¢	$1	0x0ccddb…
05-15 04:36:50	Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	SELL	4	96¢	$4	0x58eea4…
05-15 00:33:19	Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	BUY	4	32¢	$1	0xbccbf2…
05-14 04:42:30	Will the United Kingdom send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	9	11¢	$1	0xfe2f8d…
05-14 01:54:46	Will the United Kingdom send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by May 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	22	10¢	$2	0xfa1374…
05-12 21:38:48	Will Germany send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	29	3¢	$1	0xa5c9f9…
05-12 06:38:38	Will Germany send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	5¢	$1	0xe82f2b…
05-12 06:28:52	Iran closes its airspace by May 31?	Yes	SELL	4	38¢	$1	0xa7fc83…
05-12 06:28:40	Will the United Kingdom send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	22	9¢	$2	0x6fc546…
05-11 18:41:41	Will France send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	25	8¢	$2	0x3a8fc7…
05-11 18:23:19	Will Germany send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	38	5¢	$2	0xac8a88…
05-09 23:58:24	Will Germany send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by May 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	16	31¢	$5	0xf70cd6…
05-09 15:34:02	Will Germany send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	16	6¢	$1	0x98c133…
05-08 23:48:42	Iran closes its airspace by May 31?	Yes	BUY	4	27¢	$1	0xe29558…
05-06 17:18:21	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 22, 2026?	Yes	SELL	2	35¢	$1	0xb05047…
05-04 02:43:14	Iran closes its airspace by May 31?	Yes	SELL	2	40¢	$1	0xef29be…
05-03 18:02:28	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 22, 2026?	Yes	SELL	1	20¢	$0	0xacc95b…
05-03 18:00:16	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 15, 2026?	Yes	SELL	5	14¢	$1	0xdd883f…
05-03 17:58:12	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 8, 2026?	Yes	SELL	10	5¢	$1	0x382023…
05-03 02:58:56	Iran closes its airspace by May 31?	Yes	BUY	2	41¢	$1	0xfbc639…
05-02 05:00:56	QatarEnergy announces/resumes LNG production in Qatar by April 30?	No	BUY	111	1¢	$1	0x0ba896…
04-30 22:40:20	Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by May 31st?	No	SELL	2	75¢	$1	0x4f01a0…
04-30 21:20:38	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 22, 2026?	Yes	BUY	3	32¢	$1	0xdba8b7…
04-30 21:20:28	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 15, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0x9e7813…
04-30 21:20:22	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 8, 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	10¢	$1	0x97c519…
04-30 15:23:58	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $115 in April?	Yes	SELL	6	1¢	$0	0xb81715…
04-30 05:31:56	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $115 in April?	Yes	BUY	6	16¢	$1	0x66d5da…
04-30 04:40:12	Trump renames Strait of Hormuz to "Strait of Trump" by May 31?	Yes	SELL	33	3¢	$1	0x275488…
04-29 00:06:40	Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by May 31st?	No	BUY	2	65¢	$1	0x550c75…
04-28 06:29:32	Will CS Cristal win on 2026-05-03?	Yes	BUY	5	55¢	$3	0x4dd5dc…
04-28 04:49:24	Trump renames Strait of Hormuz to "Strait of Trump" by May 31?	Yes	BUY	33	3¢	$1	0x971854…
04-28 04:07:40	Will CD Garcilaso win on 2026-04-27?	Yes	SELL	16	100¢	$16	0x0392f5…
04-27 21:32:32	Will CD Garcilaso win on 2026-04-27?	Yes	BUY	11	36¢	$4	0xddbd3d…
04-27 21:27:28	Will CD Garcilaso vs. FBC Melgar end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	3	32¢	$1	0x086daf…
04-27 21:27:22	Will CD Garcilaso win on 2026-04-27?	Yes	BUY	6	36¢	$2	0xff0d1d…
04-27 21:22:32	Will CD Los Chankas win on 2026-04-27?	Yes	SELL	3	1¢	$0	0x76514f…
04-27 21:21:30	Will AD Tarma vs. CD Los Chankas end in a draw?	Yes	SELL	3	2¢	$0	0xe73276…
04-27 18:27:22	Will AD Tarma vs. CD Los Chankas end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	3	29¢	$1	0x103565…
04-27 18:27:04	Will CD Los Chankas win on 2026-04-27?	Yes	BUY	4	28¢	$1	0x36c537…
04-27 15:52:44	Will there be exactly 1 earthquake of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from April 27 - May 3?	Yes	BUY	3	32¢	$1	0x0a23a9…
04-27 15:51:50	Will there be exactly 0 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from April 27 - May 3?	Yes	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0xc8fe97…
04-26 03:05:06	Nuggets vs. Timberwolves	Nuggets	SELL	1	11¢	$0	0xbc9529…
04-26 02:49:50	Penguins vs. Flyers	Penguins	SELL	1	87¢	$1	0x551009…
04-26 02:10:10	Nuggets vs. Timberwolves	Nuggets	BUY	1	80¢	$1	0x682312…
04-26 02:09:08	Penguins vs. Flyers	Penguins	BUY	1	72¢	$1	0x6ca9cc…
04-26 02:02:36	Will there be between 0 and 10 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on April 30?	Yes	SELL	2	76¢	$1	0x4e3528…
04-26 02:02:30	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 26, 2026?	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x3a2724…
04-26 02:02:22	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 27, 2026?	No	SELL	2	95¢	$2	0x211048…
04-26 02:02:20	Will 25-49 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between April 20-April 26?	Yes	SELL	2	74¢	$1	0x88f566…
04-24 21:44:06	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 29, 2026?	No	SELL	2	44¢	$1	0xe4ed2f…
04-24 21:43:02	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 27, 2026?	No	BUY	2	60¢	$1	0xe4d580…
04-24 21:42:40	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 26, 2026?	No	BUY	1	75¢	$1	0xcf8c7b…
04-24 21:42:20	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 29, 2026?	No	BUY	2	44¢	$1	0x2ff5a8…
04-24 00:12:54	Will 25-49 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between April 20-April 26?	Yes	BUY	2	64¢	$1	0xcc2f4d…
04-24 00:11:36	Will there be between 0 and 10 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on April 30?	Yes	BUY	2	63¢	$1	0x58b6d6…
04-23 06:54:32	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 29, 2026?	No	SELL	2	57¢	$1	0xf214e5…
04-23 06:54:24	Will Iran strike Bahrain by April 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	12	20¢	$2	0x687ccb…
04-23 01:27:26	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 29, 2026?	No	BUY	2	53¢	$1	0x155748…
04-23 00:34:10	Will Iran strike Bahrain by April 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	7	21¢	$1	0x8c12a2…
04-23 00:31:54	Will Iran strike Bahrain by April 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	21¢	$1	0x4f635b…
04-23 00:26:26	us x iran ceasefire extended by april 22 2026	Yes	SELL	11	5¢	$1	0x1eee90…
04-22 18:51:52	Will 10 or more ships be successfully targeted by Iran by April 30?	Yes	SELL	1	82¢	$1	0x516547…
04-22 18:17:20	us x iran ceasefire extended by april 22 2026	Yes	SELL	11	26¢	$3	0x7af3e7…
04-22 17:08:38	Will 10 or more ships be successfully targeted by Iran by April 30?	Yes	BUY	1	68¢	$1	0x9161d9…
04-22 15:08:56	us x iran ceasefire extended by april 22 2026	Yes	BUY	6	16¢	$1	0x1fe88d…
04-22 07:00:30	will the us x iran ceasefire be extended by april 21 2026 365	Yes	SELL	84	1¢	$1	0x9001ac…
04-22 05:12:56	will the us x iran ceasefire be extended by april 21 2026 365	Yes	BUY	59	2¢	$1	0x0e56ec…
04-22 05:10:46	will the us x iran ceasefire be extended by april 21 2026 365	Yes	BUY	59	2¢	$1	0x160276…
04-22 04:55:24	us x iran ceasefire extended by april 22 2026	Yes	BUY	8	26¢	$2	0xb1f443…
04-22 04:04:28	us x iran ceasefire extended by april 22 2026	Yes	BUY	8	27¢	$2	0xa0f5bd…
04-22 03:49:24	Will there be exactly 1 earthquake of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from April 20 - 26?	Yes	SELL	2	60¢	$1	0x515e4a…
04-21 23:24:56	Iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through Hormuz in April?	No	SELL	1	82¢	$1	0x7d6cb1…
04-21 21:09:58	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by April 30?	No	SELL	3	85¢	$2	0x6f2fd7…
04-21 18:11:58	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	No	SELL	1	82¢	$1	0x3442c5…
04-21 14:04:36	us x iran diplomatic meeting by april 21 2026	No	SELL	2	94¢	$2	0x3e90a6…
04-21 05:16:46	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by April 30?	No	BUY	3	68¢	$2	0x8a0fc1…
04-21 05:14:40	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	No	BUY	1	72¢	$1	0x5111a2…
04-21 05:14:02	Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium in April?	No	SELL	11	62¢	$7	0x2a0092…
04-21 05:12:34	Will there be exactly 1 earthquake of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from April 20 - 26?	Yes	BUY	2	53¢	$1	0xaa399c…
04-21 05:08:30	Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by April 30, 2026?	No	SELL	6	73¢	$4	0xd6c94a…
04-20 14:01:04	Will there be exactly 0 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from April 20 - 26?	No	SELL	2	98¢	$2	0x75913f…
04-20 04:23:18	U.S. forces seize another oil tanker by April 30?	Yes	SELL	1	44¢	$0	0x0ec3e9…
04-20 04:23:08	U.S. forces seize another oil tanker by April 30?	Yes	SELL	5	44¢	$2	0x8766ef…
04-20 02:47:12	Will there be exactly 0 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from April 20 - 26?	No	BUY	2	56¢	$1	0x338df6…
04-20 02:33:20	us x iran diplomatic meeting by april 21 2026	No	BUY	2	60¢	$1	0xa067fd…
04-20 01:31:18	will 40 49 ships transit the strait of hormuz between april 13 april 19 371	Yes	SELL	5	18¢	$1	0x99c1e1…
04-19 23:34:24	Will Keiko Fujimori finish in first place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	No	SELL	91	1¢	$1	0xa4033c…
04-19 23:13:46	U.S. forces seize another oil tanker by April 30?	Yes	BUY	3	59¢	$2	0x5e377c…
04-19 23:13:04	U.S. forces seize another oil tanker by April 30?	Yes	BUY	2	58¢	$1	0x3b9921…
04-19 22:39:58	Will 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by April 30?	Yes	SELL	1	72¢	$1	0x9847d3…
04-19 19:11:12	Iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through Hormuz in April?	No	BUY	1	73¢	$1	0x5c92c4…
04-19 19:03:54	Will Trump agree to Iranian Oil sanction relief in April?	Yes	SELL	2	37¢	$1	0xb1489a…
04-19 18:35:44	Will Trump agree to unfreeze Iranian assets in April?	Yes	SELL	1	35¢	$0	0x99f282…
04-18 21:56:24	will 40 49 ships transit the strait of hormuz between april 13 april 19 371	Yes	BUY	5	21¢	$1	0xe6d9d1…
04-18 21:47:06	Will Keiko Fujimori finish in first place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	No	BUY	91	1¢	$1	0x75527c…
04-18 21:45:52	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by April 30?	No	SELL	2	71¢	$1	0x8d5925…
04-18 21:45:38	us x iran permanent peace deal by april 22 2026	No	SELL	1	82¢	$1	0x0f8e20…
04-18 21:45:36	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	No	SELL	2	76¢	$2	0x2adea7…