Musty-Sole — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$1

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

100.0%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$1.90K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$22

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-11

last 06-30 11:07

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 5 days

Categories

Crypto

68% 100% +$1

Other

28% 100% +$0

Politics

4% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

40 active days in 12wk • peak 3 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (2) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will the price of bitcoin be between 72000 74000 on april 22	1	$71	72	0	+72	open	—	04-22 08:03
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on May 25?	2	$62	62	0	+62	open	—	05-24 14:39
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 19?	1	$47	47	0	+47	open	—	05-18 11:22
elon musk of tweets april 18 april 20 165 189	2	$46	23	23	+0	open	—	04-20 23:54
will the price of bitcoin be between 82000 84000 on april 23	1	$46	46	0	+46	open	—	04-22 23:53
bitcoin above 64k on april 17	1	$41	41	0	+41	open	—	04-15 03:07
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on May 22?	1	$34	34	0	+34	open	—	05-20 15:53
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?	1	$33	33	0	+33	open	—	04-26 00:26
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on May 1?	1	$31	32	0	+32	open	—	04-30 23:30
ethereum above 1900 on june 26 2026	1	$29	29	0	+29	open	—	06-24 08:46
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on May 20?	1	$29	29	0	+29	open	—	05-19 05:52
ethereum above 1900 on april 14	1	$28	28	0	+28	open	—	04-13 11:24
elon musk of tweets april 16 april 18 190 214	1	$28	28	0	+28	open	—	04-15 19:50
Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in April?	1	$27	27	0	+27	open	—	04-29 15:21
will microsoft be the largest company in the world by market cap on january 31 115	1	$27	27	0	+27	open	—	01-11 11:18
will ethereum reach 2200 march 30 april 5	1	$26	26	0	+26	open	—	04-05 22:51
will apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on march 31 336	1	$26	26	0	+26	open	—	03-15 14:52
ethereum above 2500 on april 21	1	$26	26	0	+26	open	—	04-21 03:01
Will Finland advance through the first Eurovision Semi-Final?	1	$26	26	0	+26	Yes	+$0	05-09 03:51
bitcoin above 74k on april 1	1	$26	26	0	+26	open	—	04-01 00:14
will the price of solana be between 90 100 on april 11	1	$26	26	0	+26	open	—	04-11 12:26
bitcoin above 78k on april 14	1	$26	26	0	+26	open	—	04-14 11:59
will apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on january 31 756	1	$25	25	0	+25	open	—	01-14 06:04
Will Bitcoin reach $88,000 May 4-10?	1	$24	24	0	+24	No	+$0	05-08 09:45
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,000 on May 24?	1	$24	24	0	+24	open	—	05-24 00:44
highest temperature in mexico city on april 15 2026 19corhigher	1	$24	24	0	+24	open	—	04-14 23:48
highest temperature in ankara on march 29 2026 6c	1	$24	24	0	+24	open	—	03-27 21:42
bitcoin above 78k on april 13	1	$24	24	0	+24	open	—	04-12 10:18
elon musk of tweets april 16 april 18 140 164	1	$24	24	0	+24	open	—	04-18 00:04
Will Natural Gas (NG) hit (HIGH) $3.00 in April?	1	$23	23	0	+23	open	—	04-30 17:18

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-30 11:07:59	will andurils valuation hit high 110b by june 30	No	BUY	22	99¢	$22	0x496e0a…
06-29 19:32:59	will spacexs valuation hit high 3pt0t by june 30	No	BUY	16	100¢	$16	0xadaf70…
06-24 08:46:23	ethereum above 1900 on june 26 2026	No	BUY	29	100¢	$29	0x6844eb…
06-22 20:19:44	bitcoin above 72k on june 24 2026	No	BUY	14	100¢	$14	0x076a94…
06-22 09:12:08	bitcoin above 70k on june 23 2026	No	BUY	18	100¢	$18	0xa41dae…
06-22 05:58:56	bitcoin above 68k on june 22 2026	No	BUY	18	100¢	$18	0xd62cf7…
06-01 15:40:57	Will David Serpa advance from the 2026 California Governor primary election?	No	BUY	23	100¢	$23	0x4354dc…
06-01 03:17:07	Will Nicki Minaj advance from the 2026 California Governor primary election?	No	BUY	18	100¢	$18	0xbff31c…
05-31 03:39:55	Will Sharifah Hardie advance from the 2026 California Governor primary election?	No	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0x6e3245…
05-28 11:09:03	Will Germany send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	14	100¢	$14	0x49e935…
05-24 14:39:44	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on May 25?	Yes	BUY	39	100¢	$39	0xb46f90…
05-24 08:53:19	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on May 25?	Yes	BUY	23	100¢	$23	0x1dbfe5…
05-24 00:44:21	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,000 on May 24?	Yes	BUY	24	99¢	$24	0x0e4608…
05-23 16:48:15	Will Bitcoin dip to $73,000 on May 23?	No	BUY	23	99¢	$23	0x87712b…
05-22 22:32:47	Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,900 on May 23?	Yes	BUY	14	100¢	$14	0xf7dfbc…
05-22 07:36:33	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 22?	Yes	BUY	13	100¢	$13	0xc6edb2…
05-21 15:39:18	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on May 22?	Yes	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0x13aa7b…
05-20 18:22:37	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 21?	Yes	BUY	12	99¢	$12	0x37ba1e…
05-20 15:53:10	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on May 22?	No	BUY	34	100¢	$34	0x0cfcec…
05-20 04:07:17	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 20?	Yes	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0x2285ed…
05-19 05:52:03	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on May 20?	Yes	BUY	29	100¢	$29	0x6a212e…
05-19 03:08:54	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 19?	No	BUY	23	100¢	$23	0x6dcd64…
05-18 11:22:47	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 19?	No	BUY	47	100¢	$47	0x75f45e…
05-17 17:11:05	Will Ethereum reach $2,400 May 11-17?	No	BUY	23	100¢	$23	0xbd2fe6…
05-16 01:53:20	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 16?	No	BUY	12	99¢	$12	0xf78e78…
05-11 14:16:37	Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	17	99¢	$17	0xe5e84b…
05-11 11:59:48	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on May 12?	No	BUY	18	99¢	$18	0xb6a03e…
05-10 22:48:55	Will Ethereum dip to $2,200 May 4-10?	No	BUY	21	100¢	$21	0x53fca5…
05-10 15:01:49	Will Ethereum reach $2,500 May 4-10?	No	BUY	16	99¢	$16	0x7ced70…
05-09 23:30:26	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on May 10?	No	BUY	11	99¢	$11	0xe0f05c…
05-09 03:51:15	Will Finland advance through the first Eurovision Semi-Final?	Yes	BUY	26	100¢	$26	0x2141e4…
05-08 09:45:36	Will Bitcoin reach $88,000 May 4-10?	No	BUY	24	100¢	$24	0x884072…
05-07 07:43:21	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 8?	Yes	BUY	23	100¢	$23	0x08f2d9…
05-05 19:50:52	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on May 6?	No	BUY	14	99¢	$14	0xd79604…
05-05 18:30:30	Will Bitcoin reach $86,000 on May 5?	No	BUY	22	100¢	$22	0xb32be4…
05-02 19:28:16	Will Bitcoin dip to $72,000 April 27-May 3?	No	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0x7aac75…
05-02 05:26:50	Will Bitcoin reach $84,000 April 27-May 3?	No	BUY	16	99¢	$16	0x3c3bed…
04-30 23:30:02	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on May 1?	Yes	BUY	32	100¢	$31	0xb4dbaa…
04-30 17:18:40	Will Natural Gas (NG) hit (HIGH) $3.00 in April?	No	BUY	23	100¢	$23	0xa13a2e…
04-30 15:57:10	Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 in April?	No	BUY	12	100¢	$12	0x2549ef…
04-29 15:21:34	Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in April?	No	BUY	27	100¢	$27	0x9e1b60…
04-27 09:55:38	Will the Bank of Canada announce a 25 bps decrease at the April meeting?	No	BUY	12	100¢	$12	0xefc611…
04-27 06:22:28	Will the Silicon Data H100 Index (SDH100RT) hit $1.50 (LOW) by April 30, 2026?	No	BUY	21	100¢	$21	0x3ddb8e…
04-26 22:22:24	Will the Fed Pause–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Jan–Mar–Apr)?	Yes	BUY	18	100¢	$18	0x7d41e6…
04-26 10:53:50	Fed rate cut by April 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	16	100¢	$16	0x336991…
04-26 00:26:00	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	33	100¢	$33	0x0271a3…
04-25 18:18:14	Will Bitcoin reach $84,000 April 20-26?	No	BUY	21	99¢	$21	0xfa2325…
04-25 08:54:16	Will Bitcoin reach $86,000 April 20-26?	No	BUY	22	100¢	$22	0x001d22…
04-23 01:06:10	elon musk of tweets april 17 april 24 300 319	No	BUY	22	100¢	$22	0x251c5e…
04-22 23:53:22	will the price of bitcoin be between 82000 84000 on april 23	No	BUY	46	99¢	$46	0xedcb01…
04-22 08:52:38	bitcoin above 70k on april 24	Yes	BUY	14	100¢	$14	0xa25aab…
04-22 08:03:00	will the price of bitcoin be between 72000 74000 on april 22	No	BUY	72	100¢	$71	0x2f8694…
04-21 03:01:02	ethereum above 2500 on april 21	No	BUY	26	99¢	$26	0x909af2…
04-20 23:54:36	elon musk of tweets april 18 april 20 165 189	No	SELL	23	100¢	$23	0xd8865f…
04-20 12:25:50	ethereum above 2100 on april 20	Yes	BUY	19	100¢	$19	0xb9e589…
04-20 03:09:12	ethereum above 2500 on april 20	No	BUY	17	100¢	$17	0xd88759…
04-19 05:48:26	will the price of bitcoin be between 78000 80000 on april 19	No	BUY	17	100¢	$17	0xbb2b6b…
04-19 02:24:58	elon musk of tweets april 18 april 20 165 189	No	BUY	23	100¢	$23	0xc1621f…
04-18 03:52:28	will ethereum reach 2900 april 13 19	No	BUY	16	100¢	$16	0x689622…
04-18 00:04:56	elon musk of tweets april 16 april 18 140 164	No	BUY	24	100¢	$24	0x014506…
04-17 13:58:14	bitcoin above 70k on april 18	Yes	BUY	12	100¢	$12	0x869b2a…
04-17 00:29:32	will bitcoin dip to 73k on april 16	No	BUY	17	99¢	$17	0x8d234f…
04-15 20:01:18	will china gdp growth in q1 2026 be between 5pt5 and 6pt0	No	BUY	23	100¢	$23	0x70083b…
04-15 19:50:12	elon musk of tweets april 16 april 18 190 214	No	BUY	28	100¢	$28	0x028d51…
04-15 03:07:32	bitcoin above 64k on april 17	Yes	BUY	41	100¢	$41	0xfe697a…
04-14 23:48:52	highest temperature in mexico city on april 15 2026 19corhigher	Yes	BUY	24	100¢	$24	0x10f3ad…
04-14 11:59:51	bitcoin above 78k on april 14	No	BUY	26	100¢	$26	0x97d4af…
04-13 11:24:49	ethereum above 1900 on april 14	Yes	BUY	28	100¢	$28	0xacf91a…
04-12 10:18:43	bitcoin above 78k on april 13	No	BUY	24	100¢	$24	0xce6821…
04-11 12:26:45	will the price of solana be between 90 100 on april 11	No	BUY	26	100¢	$26	0x665127…
04-11 02:05:05	ethereum above 2400 on april 11	No	BUY	21	100¢	$21	0xa8eb75…
04-05 22:51:15	will ethereum reach 2200 march 30 april 5	No	BUY	26	99¢	$26	0xf0043f…
04-03 23:24:27	bitcoin above 70k on april 4	No	BUY	12	99¢	$12	0x9e9eb1…
04-02 03:23:45	ethereum above 2300 on april 2	No	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0x4e008f…
04-01 00:14:17	bitcoin above 74k on april 1	No	BUY	26	100¢	$26	0xa94b72…
03-29 16:30:24	tim walz in jail by march 31	No	BUY	23	100¢	$23	0x3d9a82…
03-27 21:42:29	highest temperature in ankara on march 29 2026 6c	No	BUY	24	99¢	$24	0x885789…
03-22 13:57:09	will bitcoin reach 110k in march 2026	No	BUY	21	100¢	$21	0x66c9a0…
03-15 14:52:19	will apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on march 31 336	No	BUY	26	100¢	$26	0x6a543b…
02-17 21:34:09	will bitcoin reach 100k in february 2026	No	BUY	22	100¢	$22	0x640e14…
02-12 15:33:17	will the fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the march 2026 meeting	No	BUY	19	99¢	$19	0x0e33cf…
02-04 08:36:12	Will Shinjirō Koizumi be the Prime Minister of Japan as a result of the 2026 snap election?	No	BUY	23	100¢	$23	0x4405ad…
01-27 14:45:17	will ethereum reach 6000 in january 2026	No	BUY	18	100¢	$18	0x159716…
01-24 21:43:24	will ethereum dip to 1000 in january 2026 651	No	BUY	21	100¢	$21	0xaa4af8…
01-14 06:04:56	will apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on january 31 756	No	BUY	25	99¢	$25	0xf9ba69…
01-11 11:18:40	will microsoft be the largest company in the world by market cap on january 31 115	No	BUY	27	100¢	$27	0x36fec6…