Musty-Sole — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$14

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

100.0%

Resolved

178

Trades

185

lifetime

Volume

$4.18K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$23

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-11

last 10-25 10:06

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 105 days

Categories

Crypto

48% 100% +$7

Other

41% 100% +$6

Politics

10% 100% +$1

Tech

1% 100% +$0

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

28 active days in 12wk • peak 2 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Scottish National Party win the most seats in the 2026 Scottish Parliament election?	3	$90	90	0	+90	Yes	+$0	05-05 15:32
will the price of bitcoin be between 72000 74000 on april 22	1	$71	72	0	+72	No	+$0	04-22 08:03
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on May 25?	2	$62	62	0	+62	Yes	+$0	05-24 14:39
Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from October 16 to October 23, 2026?	1	$48	48	0	+48	No	+$0	10-22 06:34
Will annual inflation increase by ≤3.1% in April?	1	$47	48	0	+48	No	+$0	05-09 08:30
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 19?	1	$47	47	0	+47	No	+$0	05-18 11:22
elon musk of tweets april 18 april 20 165 189	2	$46	23	23	+0	No	+$0	04-20 23:54
Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from May 25 to May 27, 2026?	1	$46	46	0	+46	No	+$0	05-26 11:53
will the price of bitcoin be between 82000 84000 on april 23	1	$46	46	0	+46	No	+$0	04-22 23:53
Will "The Devil Wears Prada 2" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 100m?	1	$45	45	0	+45	No	+$0	05-02 12:20
bitcoin above 64k on april 17	1	$41	41	0	+41	Yes	+$0	04-15 03:07
will wti reach 100 by august 3 2026	1	$39	39	0	+39	No	+$0	08-05 15:27
Will Delia Velculescu be the next Prime Minister of Romania?	2	$36	37	0	+37	No	+$0	05-30 14:33
bitcoin above 60k on august 18 2026	1	$35	35	0	+35	Yes	+$0	08-17 06:46
Will François Ruffin be the joint left nominee for the 2027 French presidential election?	1	$35	35	0	+35	No	+$0	10-10 09:44
Will Australia win the televote for Eurovision 2026?	1	$35	35	0	+35	No	+$0	05-14 12:36
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on May 22?	1	$34	34	0	+34	No	+$0	05-20 15:53
bitcoin above 68k on july 11 2026	1	$33	34	0	+34	No	+$0	07-10 18:33
ethereum above 1500 on july 2 2026	1	$33	34	0	+34	Yes	+$0	07-02 03:41
will bitcoin dip to 54k july 13 19 2026	1	$33	33	0	+33	No	+$0	07-17 07:13
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?	1	$33	33	0	+33	Yes	+$0	04-26 00:26
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on May 1?	1	$31	32	0	+32	Yes	+$0	04-30 23:30
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from August 24 to August 26, 2026?	1	$30	30	0	+30	No	+$0	08-26 12:26
Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from July 21 to July 28, 2026?	1	$30	30	0	+30	No	+$0	07-26 12:35
ethereum above 1900 on june 26 2026	1	$29	29	0	+29	No	+$0	06-24 08:46
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on May 20?	1	$29	29	0	+29	Yes	+$0	05-19 05:52
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,800 on October 6?	1	$29	29	0	+29	No	+$0	10-06 07:51
Will Gregg Kirkpatrick win the 2026 Georgia Governor Republican primary election?	1	$29	29	0	+29	No	+$0	05-16 13:56
Will Malta win Eurovision 2026?	1	$29	29	0	+29	No	+$0	05-15 17:00
Will Ethereum reach $2,600 October 19-25?	1	$29	29	0	+29	No	+$0	10-25 10:06

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-25 10:06:05	Will Ethereum reach $2,600 October 19-25?	No	BUY	29	100¢	$29	0xe88fd3…
10-24 19:34:17	Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 4–8%?	No	BUY	28	100¢	$28	0xf186a1…
10-22 06:34:36	Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from October 16 to October 23, 2026?	No	BUY	48	100¢	$48	0x300b37…
10-21 20:43:00	Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from October 16 to October 23, 2026?	No	BUY	23	100¢	$23	0xb5d021…
10-19 21:43:39	Will Elon Musk post 420-439 tweets from October 13 to October 20, 2026?	No	BUY	28	100¢	$28	0x23d6e8…
10-17 01:21:00	Will Ethereum reach $3,100 October 12-18?	No	BUY	24	100¢	$24	0x9b4f49…
10-13 14:58:17	Russia-Ukraine peace talks by October 15, 2026?	No	BUY	17	100¢	$17	0xa5f143…
10-10 09:44:37	Will François Ruffin be the joint left nominee for the 2027 French presidential election?	No	BUY	35	99¢	$35	0x1db981…
10-08 13:03:02	Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026?	No	BUY	24	100¢	$24	0x8fc76c…
10-07 23:53:16	Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026?	No	BUY	16	100¢	$16	0x1774cf…
10-06 07:51:28	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,800 on October 6?	No	BUY	29	99¢	$29	0x8b1643…
10-01 23:32:08	bitcoin above 80k on october 2 2026	Yes	BUY	12	99¢	$12	0xf0fdd3…
09-26 11:24:17	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on September 27?	Yes	BUY	21	100¢	$21	0xaa4954…
09-25 17:59:24	will bitcoin reach 96k september 21 27 2026	No	BUY	28	100¢	$28	0xb572ab…
09-25 09:46:44	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $90,000 on September 25?	No	BUY	27	100¢	$27	0x161480…
09-22 06:57:39	Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from September 15 to September 22, 2026?	No	BUY	19	100¢	$19	0x636e2d…
09-19 14:14:05	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on September 20?	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x17ac31…
09-12 13:10:24	Will the Moderate Party (M) win the most seats in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary election?	No	BUY	23	100¢	$23	0x359c52…
09-06 14:13:27	Will Bitcoin dip to $74,000 August 31-September 6?	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0xb35ced…
09-05 01:35:27	will bitcoin dip to 66k august 31 september 6 2026	No	BUY	12	100¢	$12	0x47cdac…
08-29 19:06:19	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in August?	No	BUY	22	100¢	$22	0x5e54e5…
08-28 23:15:10	Will Maxx Crosby play for San Francisco 49ers next?	No	BUY	16	100¢	$16	0x81e1e9…
08-26 22:02:16	Will the number of Republican House members who retire in 2026 be between 32 and 35 inclusive?	No	BUY	14	100¢	$14	0x240057…
08-26 12:26:39	Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from August 24 to August 26, 2026?	No	BUY	30	100¢	$30	0x288c68…
08-21 00:48:37	ethereum above 2100 on august 21 2026	Yes	BUY	24	100¢	$24	0x75cb20…
08-17 06:46:19	bitcoin above 60k on august 18 2026	Yes	BUY	35	99¢	$35	0xc5e2b8…
08-17 04:42:43	Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from August 11 to August 18, 2026?	No	BUY	14	100¢	$14	0x8bfe0e…
08-16 08:54:27	will ethereum reach 2000 august 10 16 2026	No	BUY	28	100¢	$28	0xe68148…
08-12 12:52:25	bitcoin above 66k on august 12 2026	No	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0x9238b5…
08-09 17:14:31	bitcoin above 68k on august 10 2026	No	BUY	22	99¢	$21	0xf9819c…
08-08 02:27:24	Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from August 6 to August 8, 2026?	No	BUY	14	100¢	$14	0xe0eb97…
08-06 09:49:20	bitcoin above 68k on august 7 2026	No	BUY	23	99¢	$23	0xfd0dcc…
08-05 15:27:21	will wti reach 100 by august 3 2026	No	BUY	39	100¢	$39	0xfe9b59…
08-02 14:45:44	bitcoin above 70k on august 4 2026	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0x3844b8…
07-31 08:07:56	mykhailo fedorov reinstated as ukrainian defense minister by july 31 2026 20260716190353339	No	BUY	19	100¢	$19	0xa0243f…
07-30 14:33:03	will solana reach 90 in july 2026	No	BUY	19	100¢	$19	0x0240ef…
07-29 03:13:02	Will Australia send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by July 31, 2026?	No	BUY	23	100¢	$23	0x687de9…
07-26 17:52:54	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	14	100¢	$13	0xf2e8df…
07-26 12:35:46	Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from July 21 to July 28, 2026?	No	BUY	30	100¢	$30	0x30abbd…
07-24 02:07:39	bitcoin above 68k on july 24 2026	No	BUY	22	100¢	$22	0x53ba16…
07-19 08:50:21	Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from July 18 to July 20, 2026?	No	BUY	14	100¢	$14	0xc3fefa…
07-17 07:13:52	will bitcoin dip to 54k july 13 19 2026	No	BUY	33	100¢	$33	0x08fd8e…
07-16 20:50:55	bitcoin above 60k on july 17 2026	Yes	BUY	12	100¢	$12	0x606a6c…
07-14 10:43:53	Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from July 7 to July 14, 2026?	No	BUY	12	99¢	$12	0xbe7adb…
07-13 11:02:29	bitcoin above 60k on july 13 2026	Yes	BUY	25	99¢	$25	0x8f0bee…
07-12 02:04:11	will ethereum dip to 1600 july 6 12 2026	No	BUY	27	100¢	$27	0x9dbd97…
07-11 10:05:56	bitcoin above 66k on july 11 2026	No	BUY	25	100¢	$25	0x5174e8…
07-10 18:33:28	bitcoin above 68k on july 11 2026	No	BUY	34	100¢	$33	0xa73369…
07-06 06:24:55	bitcoin above 58k on july 7 2026	Yes	BUY	14	100¢	$14	0xdfc1f8…
07-05 09:06:26	Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from July 4 to July 6, 2026?	No	BUY	19	100¢	$19	0x864c0a…
07-04 19:16:56	Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from June 30 to July 7, 2026?	No	BUY	23	100¢	$23	0x698ccf…
07-04 13:10:55	will bitcoin dip to 56k june 29 july 5 2026	No	BUY	17	100¢	$17	0x43993f…
07-04 05:46:47	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from July 2 to July 4, 2026?	No	BUY	16	100¢	$16	0x1b191c…
07-03 16:29:50	Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from July 2 to July 4, 2026?	No	BUY	24	99¢	$24	0x0a3057…
07-02 16:32:59	Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from June 26 to July 3, 2026?	No	BUY	27	100¢	$27	0x90f4f0…
07-02 12:18:44	bitcoin above 56k on july 3 2026	Yes	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0x196382…
07-02 03:41:52	ethereum above 1500 on july 2 2026	Yes	BUY	34	100¢	$33	0xd185ed…
07-01 12:15:56	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by july 10 879 888 944	Yes	BUY	17	100¢	$17	0x457c8e…
06-30 17:12:26	ethereum above 1400 on july 1 2026	Yes	BUY	25	100¢	$25	0x695548…
06-30 11:07:59	will andurils valuation hit high 110b by june 30	No	BUY	22	99¢	$22	0x496e0a…
06-29 19:32:59	will spacexs valuation hit high 3pt0t by june 30	No	BUY	16	100¢	$16	0xadaf70…
06-25 04:00:40	Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?	No	BUY	19	100¢	$19	0x273885…
06-24 08:46:23	ethereum above 1900 on june 26 2026	No	BUY	29	100¢	$29	0x6844eb…
06-22 20:19:44	bitcoin above 72k on june 24 2026	No	BUY	14	100¢	$14	0x076a94…
06-22 09:12:08	bitcoin above 70k on june 23 2026	No	BUY	18	100¢	$18	0xa41dae…
06-22 05:58:56	bitcoin above 68k on june 22 2026	No	BUY	18	100¢	$18	0xd62cf7…
06-01 15:40:57	Will David Serpa advance from the 2026 California Governor primary election?	No	BUY	23	100¢	$23	0x4354dc…
06-01 03:17:07	Will Nicki Minaj advance from the 2026 California Governor primary election?	No	BUY	18	100¢	$18	0xbff31c…
05-31 03:39:55	Will Sharifah Hardie advance from the 2026 California Governor primary election?	No	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0x6e3245…
05-30 22:44:01	Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?	Yes	BUY	22	100¢	$22	0xc093e5…
05-30 14:33:59	Will Delia Velculescu be the next Prime Minister of Romania?	No	BUY	25	99¢	$24	0x6f5343…
05-30 10:45:07	Will Delia Velculescu be the next Prime Minister of Romania?	No	BUY	12	99¢	$12	0xb951f7…
05-29 06:00:56	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $60 in May?	No	BUY	18	100¢	$18	0x13c123…
05-29 00:28:15	Will Islamic Group win the most seats in the 2026 Lebanese parliamentary election?	No	BUY	26	100¢	$26	0xdc9c2e…
05-28 11:09:03	Will Germany send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	14	100¢	$14	0x49e935…
05-28 06:03:55	Will the price of Bitcoin be between $76,000 and $78,000 on May 28?	No	BUY	18	99¢	$18	0x4e87cc…
05-28 01:54:53	Will Mada Party win the most seats in the 2026 Lebanese parliamentary election?	No	BUY	18	100¢	$18	0xc7821a…
05-27 09:10:32	Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from May 22 to May 29, 2026?	No	BUY	25	100¢	$25	0x7530c6…
05-27 01:15:21	Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from May 22 to May 29, 2026?	No	BUY	21	100¢	$21	0xf7e8a8…
05-26 11:53:36	Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from May 25 to May 27, 2026?	No	BUY	46	100¢	$46	0x4d92a6…
05-26 06:24:49	Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from May 19 to May 26, 2026?	No	BUY	21	100¢	$21	0x5a38f9…
05-25 12:22:03	Will "The Mandalorian and Grogu" 4-day Opening Weekend Box Office be between 102m and 112m?	No	BUY	13	100¢	$13	0x0bb6a3…
05-25 02:28:57	Will the price of Bitcoin be between $80,000 and $82,000 on May 25?	No	BUY	23	99¢	$23	0x7188b8…
05-24 18:45:23	Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from May 23 to May 25, 2026?	No	BUY	27	100¢	$27	0x269471…
05-24 14:39:44	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on May 25?	Yes	BUY	39	100¢	$39	0xb46f90…
05-24 08:53:19	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on May 25?	Yes	BUY	23	100¢	$23	0x1dbfe5…
05-24 00:44:21	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,000 on May 24?	Yes	BUY	24	99¢	$24	0x0e4608…
05-23 16:48:15	Will Bitcoin dip to $73,000 on May 23?	No	BUY	23	99¢	$23	0x87712b…
05-22 22:32:47	Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,900 on May 23?	Yes	BUY	14	100¢	$14	0xf7dfbc…
05-22 07:36:33	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 22?	Yes	BUY	13	100¢	$13	0xc6edb2…
05-21 15:39:18	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on May 22?	Yes	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0x13aa7b…
05-21 11:36:57	Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026?	No	BUY	15	99¢	$15	0x911995…
05-21 06:58:28	Will "MOULIN by László NEMES" win Palme d'Or at the 2026 Cannes Film Festival?	No	BUY	26	100¢	$26	0xd282c9…
05-20 18:22:37	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 21?	Yes	BUY	12	99¢	$12	0x37ba1e…
05-20 15:53:10	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on May 22?	No	BUY	34	100¢	$34	0x0cfcec…
05-20 04:07:17	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 20?	Yes	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0x2285ed…
05-19 05:52:03	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on May 20?	Yes	BUY	29	100¢	$29	0x6a212e…
05-19 03:08:54	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 19?	No	BUY	23	100¢	$23	0x6dcd64…
05-18 11:22:47	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 19?	No	BUY	47	100¢	$47	0x75f45e…
05-18 07:04:57	Will Tommy Tuberville win the 2026 Alabama Governor Republican primary election?	Yes	BUY	12	100¢	$12	0x190414…