Realized P&L
+$373
Unrealized P&L
+$461
Hit rate
92.0%
Resolved
888
Trades
1,791
lifetime
Volume
$178.3K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$100
Open exposure
$11.7K
27 positions
First seen
2026-04-02
last 10-25 12:54
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 122 days
Categories
Other
53% 85% +$1,450
Politics
35% 86% -$1,091
Crypto
8% 80% -$125
Tech
3% 89% +$119
Sports
1% 59% +$19
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
52 active days in 12wk • peak 80 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Perim Island no longer under Houthi control by October 31? No +837 $770 98¢ $823 +$54 10-18 12:11
Israel accuses Iran/proxies of plane stabbing incident by Oct 31? No +744 $707 99¢ $734 +$27 10-18 12:19
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by October 31? No +678 $672 100¢ $676 +$4 10-20 12:00
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31? Yes +698 $600 96¢ $673 +$73 10-18 12:09
NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026? No +632 $600 99¢ $626 +$26 10-15 18:41
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in October? No +619 $613 100¢ $618 +$5 10-15 18:08
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by October 31? No +620 $613 100¢ $618 +$5 10-15 18:56
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $140 in October? No +606 $600 100¢ $605 +$5 10-18 12:17
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $150 in October? No +604 $600 100¢ $603 +$3 10-15 18:07
Saudi-Houthi ceasefire agreement announced by October 31? No +622 $582 97¢ $603 +$21 10-18 12:09
Iran leadership change by October 31? No +603 $594 100¢ $601 +$7 10-15 17:36
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by October 31, 2026? No +604 $600 99¢ $600 $0 10-15 18:31
US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by October 31? No +610 $575 96¢ $586 +$11 10-15 17:52
US imports Russian diesel by October 31? No +370 $361 99¢ $367 +$6 10-19 13:02
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31? Yes +375 $300 96¢ $360 +$60 10-15 16:02
US-Iran ceasefire continues through the midterms? Yes +390 $300 92¢ $356 +$56 10-15 16:04
Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by October 31? No +340 $313 98¢ $333 +$20 10-15 19:00
US x Yemen ceasefire continues through October 31? Yes +330 $300 97¢ $321 +$21 10-15 18:38
Iran full airspace closure by October 31, 2026? No +326 $300 97¢ $316 +$16 10-15 18:37
US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026? No +323 $300 98¢ $315 +$15 10-15 16:03
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026? No +313 $300 99¢ $311 +$11 10-15 16:03
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by October 31? No +229 $220 99¢ $227 +$7 10-15 18:57
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $65 in October? No +222 $220 100¢ $222 +$2 10-15 18:06
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in October? No +100 $97 99¢ $99 +$2 10-15 18:07
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by October 31, 2026? No +78 $77 99¢ $78 +$1 10-25 12:54
Iran charges Hormuz fees by October 31? No +54 $51 98¢ $53 +$2 10-18 12:20
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $60 in October? No +5 $5 100¢ $5 +$0 10-15 18:06