Realized P&L
+$7
Unrealized P&L
+$68
Hit rate
97.9%
Resolved
6
Trades
691
lifetime
Volume
$26.0K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$38
Open exposure
$6.62K
24 positions
First seen
2026-04-02
last 06-08 20:56
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 5 days
Categories
Other
52%
Politics
26% 100% +$18
Crypto
9% 75% $-10
Sports
7% 0% $-1
Tech
6%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
31 active days in 12wk • peak 78 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
SpaceX (Space Exploration Technologies Corp.) IPO before 2027? Yes +1,002 $999 100¢ $1.0K +$1 06-05 22:01
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026? No +556 $500 90¢ $503 +$3 06-06 12:49
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by June 30? No +507 $500 99¢ $502 +$2 06-04 12:53
Will JPMorgan Chase fail by June 30, 2026? No +504 $500 100¢ $502 +$2 06-06 18:33
Xi Jinping out by June 30? No +503 $500 99¢ $500 $-0 06-06 18:53
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30? No +513 $500 97¢ $497 $-3 06-03 21:05
Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? No +497 $474 96¢ $475 +$2 06-05 22:31
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 30, 2026? No +599 $392 62¢ $371 $-21 06-08 20:50
Kurds declare independence from Iran? No +314 $309 98¢ $307 $-3 06-06 18:36
NATO x Russia military clash by June 30, 2026? No +300 $294 98¢ $293 $-0 06-04 12:57
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30? No +347 $250 80¢ $280 +$30 06-05 22:34
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? No +329 $250 82¢ $271 +$21 06-05 22:33
Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of June? No +220 $218 99¢ $218 +$1 06-08 20:54
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $4,900 by end of June? No +213 $200 97¢ $206 +$6 06-03 21:15
Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $250 by end of June? No -201 $-199 100¢ $-200 $-1 06-01 20:34
Will Silver (SI) hit (LOW) $35 by end of June? No +101 $100 99¢ $100 +$0 06-08 20:56
U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "Taiwan" before 2027? No +111 $99 80¢ $89 $-10 06-05 21:56
Will an Anthropic Claude model score at least 45% on Humanity’s Last Exam? Yes +100 $25 63¢ $63 +$38 06-06 18:45
AI bubble burst in 2026? No -82 $-58 74¢ $-61 $-2 06-04 22:38
Will GPT-6 be released by June 30, 2026? No +61 $58 94¢ $57 $-1 06-04 12:59
Iran coup attempt by June 30? No +57 $54 97¢ $55 +$1 06-04 12:52
Epstein client list released by June 30? No +41 $40 98¢ $40 +$0 06-05 21:59
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? Yes +100 $16 18¢ $18 +$2 06-05 23:13
Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $200 by end of June? No +12 $12 99¢ $12 +$0 06-04 12:54