Realized P&L
+$7
Unrealized P&L
+$140
Hit rate
97.9%
Resolved
6
Trades
796
lifetime
Volume
$38.8K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$49
Open exposure
$5.49K
20 positions
First seen
2026-04-02
last 06-28 12:03
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 5 days
Categories
Other
48%
Politics
28% 100% +$18
Crypto
15% 75% $-10
Tech
5%
Sports
4% 0% $-1
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
39 active days in 12wk • peak 77 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? No +575 $546 100¢ $574 +$28 06-18 13:17
AI bubble burst in 2026? No -700 $-556 81¢ $-565 $-9 06-19 19:34
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026? No +556 $500 100¢ $554 +$54 06-06 12:49
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by June 30? No +507 $500 100¢ $506 +$6 06-04 12:53
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by June 30, 2026? No +504 $500 100¢ $503 +$3 06-24 13:17
Trump out as President by June 30? No +502 $500 100¢ $501 +$1 06-24 00:14
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? No +308 $300 100¢ $307 +$7 06-23 23:45
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30? No +300 $294 100¢ $299 +$6 06-24 13:14
Israeli parliament dissolved by June 30? No +300 $276 100¢ $299 +$23 06-24 00:15
NATO x Russia military clash by June 30, 2026? No +300 $294 100¢ $299 +$5 06-04 12:57
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30? No +269 $267 100¢ $269 +$2 06-24 00:14
Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $250 by end of June? No -201 $-199 100¢ $-201 $-1 06-01 20:34
Pedro Sánchez out as PM of Spain by June 30, 2026? No +196 $194 100¢ $195 +$1 06-24 13:26
Israel strike on Yemen by June 30, 2026? No +125 $122 99¢ $124 +$3 06-24 13:24
Will GPT-6 be released by June 30, 2026? No +61 $58 100¢ $61 +$3 06-04 12:59
Will Hamas agree to disarm by June 30? No +59 $58 99¢ $58 +$0 06-24 13:20
Iran coup attempt by June 30? No +57 $54 100¢ $57 +$3 06-04 12:52
Netanyahu out by June 30? No +50 $50 100¢ $50 $-0 06-25 01:39
Epstein client list released by June 30? No +41 $40 99¢ $41 +$1 06-05 21:59
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by June 30? No +31 $24 98¢ $30 +$6 06-24 13:16