Realized P&L (24h)
+$54
Unrealized P&L
+$533
Hit rate
100.0%
Resolved (24h)
7
Trades (24h)
37
1,828 lifetime
Volume (24h)
$3.68K
$182.0K lifetime
Avg / trade
$100
Open exposure
$12.2K
25 positions
First seen
2026-04-02
last 10-31 17:48
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 125 days
Categories
Other
53% 86% +$1,511
Politics
34% 86% -$1,091
Crypto
8% 80% -$125
Tech
3% 89% +$119
Sports
1% 59% +$19
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
50 active days in 12wk • peak 80 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31? Yes +1,218 $1,118 100¢ $1.2K +$94 10-31 17:34
Perim Island no longer under Houthi control by October 31? No +837 $770 100¢ $835 +$65 10-18 12:11
Israel accuses Iran/proxies of plane stabbing incident by Oct 31? No +744 $707 99¢ $738 +$32 10-18 12:19
Houthis enter Aden by October 31, 2026? No +733 $730 100¢ $729 -$1 10-31 17:36
Israeli airspace closed by October 31, 2026? No +704 $700 99¢ $699 -$1 10-31 17:38
Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by October 31? No +700 $698 99¢ $695 -$3 10-31 17:40
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by October 31? No +678 $672 100¢ $677 +$6 10-20 12:00
US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by October 31? No +670 $634 100¢ $666 +$32 10-31 17:39
NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026? No +632 $600 100¢ $629 +$29 10-15 18:41
Saudi-Houthi ceasefire agreement announced by October 31? No +622 $582 100¢ $621 +$39 10-18 12:09
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by October 31? No +620 $613 100¢ $619 +$7 10-15 18:56
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by October 31, 2026? No +604 $600 100¢ $603 +$3 10-15 18:31
Iran leadership change by October 31? No +603 $594 100¢ $602 +$8 10-15 17:36
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31? Yes +375 $300 98¢ $369 +$69 10-15 16:02
US imports Russian diesel by October 31? No +370 $361 100¢ $369 +$8 10-19 13:02
US-Iran ceasefire continues through the midterms? Yes +390 $300 89¢ $347 +$47 10-15 16:04
Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by October 31? No +340 $313 100¢ $339 +$26 10-15 19:00
Iran full airspace closure by October 31, 2026? No +326 $300 100¢ $326 +$26 10-15 18:37
US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026? No +323 $300 100¢ $323 +$23 10-15 16:03
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026? No +313 $300 100¢ $313 +$13 10-15 16:03
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by October 31? No +229 $220 100¢ $228 +$8 10-15 18:57
Military action against Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) by October 31? No +115 $114 99¢ $114 +$0 10-31 17:43
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by October 31, 2026? No +78 $77 100¢ $78 +$1 10-25 12:54
US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by November 2? No +60 $56 93¢ $56 +$0 10-31 17:39
Iran charges Hormuz fees by October 31? No +54 $51 99¢ $54 +$2 10-18 12:20