Creamy-Shoreline — Polymarket

Realized P&L (7d)

+$17

Unrealized P&L

+$58

Hit rate

99.8%

Resolved (7d)

Trades (7d)

17 lifetime

Volume (7d)

$2.40K

$2.90K lifetime

Avg / trade

$171

Open exposure

$1.90K

10 positions

First seen

2026-05-07

last 05-15 16:47

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Other

44% — —

Politics

43% 100% +$18

Tech

13% — —

Sports

0% 0% $-1

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

6 active days in 12wk • peak 6 trades/day

Open positions (10) Resolved markets (2) Recent trades Correlated wallets (8)

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?	No	+523	$500	96¢	$502	+$2	05-10 23:15
Will Natural Gas (NG) hit (LOW) $2.40 in May?	No	+430	$370	98¢	$420	+$50	05-11 14:25
Will Anthropic have the second-best Coding AI model at the end of May 2026?	Yes	-300	$-270	92¢	$-277	$-7	05-15 16:47
Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (LOW) $64 in May?	No	+269	$250	94¢	$254	+$4	05-10 22:32
Will Israel launch a ground operation in Iran by May 31, 2026?	No	+196	$180	93¢	$183	+$3	05-11 00:02
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?	Yes	+110	$100	96¢	$106	+$6	05-10 23:38
Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $4,100 in May?	No	+103	$100	97¢	$100	+$0	05-11 14:21
Will Natural Gas (NG) hit (LOW) $2.00 in May?	No	+31	$30	98¢	$30	+$0	05-11 14:27
Will Natural Gas (NG) hit (LOW) $2.20 in May?	No	+26	$25	98¢	$25	+$0	05-11 14:26
Will the Minnesota Vikings win the 2027 NFL league championship?	No	-1	$-1	98¢	$-1	$-0	05-07 20:21

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-15 16:47:27	Will Anthropic have the second-best Coding AI model at the end of May 2026?	Yes	SELL	300	90¢	$270	0xd10cc8…
05-11 14:27:51	Will Natural Gas (NG) hit (LOW) $2.00 in May?	No	BUY	31	98¢	$30	0x52cad9…
05-11 14:26:55	Will Natural Gas (NG) hit (LOW) $2.20 in May?	No	BUY	26	98¢	$25	0x860bca…
05-11 14:25:57	Will Natural Gas (NG) hit (LOW) $2.40 in May?	No	BUY	430	86¢	$370	0xfc4fad…
05-11 14:21:24	Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $4,100 in May?	No	BUY	103	97¢	$100	0xb9a6cb…
05-11 00:02:23	Will Israel launch a ground operation in Iran by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	196	92¢	$180	0x67c97f…
05-10 23:38:09	Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?	Yes	BUY	3	91¢	$3	0x51a30f…
05-10 23:38:00	Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?	Yes	BUY	107	91¢	$97	0xb19188…
05-10 23:22:45	Will Israel win Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	104	96¢	$100	0x156e3a…
05-10 23:17:35	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 15, 2026?	No	BUY	492	96¢	$472	0xd36fa2…
05-10 23:15:50	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?	No	BUY	523	96¢	$500	0x4f8ad2…
05-10 22:32:53	Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (LOW) $64 in May?	No	BUY	269	93¢	$250	0x98ad9f…
05-09 14:48:51	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 11, 2026?	No	BUY	518	96¢	$500	0xb621cb…
05-08 20:46:09	Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	No	SELL	1	77¢	$1	0x606ed9…
05-08 20:41:31	Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	No	BUY	1	78¢	$1	0x9940cc…
05-07 22:16:04	Athletics vs. Philadelphia Phillies	Philadelphia Phillies	BUY	2	55¢	$1	0xa1809b…
05-07 20:21:55	Will the Minnesota Vikings win the 2027 NFL league championship?	No	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0x4a9482…

Wallet	Shared markets	Overlap volume	Overlap trades	Last seen
Blaring-Backdrop 0x8a98…1b92	4	$12.7K	41	05-16 17:17
Glass-Diet 0xd49b…bdf9	4	$12.6K	154	05-17 09:10
Sardonic-Lentil 0x88c4…129a	3	$16.8K	7	05-17 01:42
Nonstop-Zither 0xa35e…0188	3	$13.5K	5	05-16 22:47
Wise-Keyboard 0x27ab…e521	3	$7.33K	202	05-16 01:20
Grotesque-Siding 0xbb98…6d3c	3	$4.85K	6	05-16 23:07
Scornful-Conductor 0x1e82…af92	3	$2.93K	24	05-16 12:25
Clear-Cut-Gravel 0xb242…eb89	3	$948	6	05-13 01:06

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 11, 2026?	1	$500	518	0	+518	No	+$18	05-09 14:48
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?	1	$500	523	0	+523	open	—	05-10 23:15
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 15, 2026?	1	$472	492	0	+492	open	—	05-10 23:17
Will Natural Gas (NG) hit (LOW) $2.40 in May?	1	$370	430	0	+430	open	—	05-11 14:25
Will Anthropic have the second-best Coding AI model at the end of May 2026?	1	$270	0	300	-300	open	—	05-15 16:47
Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (LOW) $64 in May?	1	$250	269	0	+269	open	—	05-10 22:32
Will Israel launch a ground operation in Iran by May 31, 2026?	1	$180	196	0	+196	open	—	05-11 00:02
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?	2	$100	110	0	+110	open	—	05-10 23:38
Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $4,100 in May?	1	$100	103	0	+103	open	—	05-11 14:21
Will Israel win Eurovision 2026?	1	$100	104	0	+104	open	—	05-10 23:22
Will Natural Gas (NG) hit (LOW) $2.00 in May?	1	$30	31	0	+31	open	—	05-11 14:27
Will Natural Gas (NG) hit (LOW) $2.20 in May?	1	$25	26	0	+26	open	—	05-11 14:26
Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	05-08 20:46
Athletics vs. Philadelphia Phillies	1	$1	2	0	+2	Athletics	$-1	05-07 22:16
Will the Minnesota Vikings win the 2027 NFL league championship?	1	$1	0	1	-1	open	—	05-07 20:21