Open-Dromedary — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$0

Unrealized P&L

-$0

Hit rate

100.0%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$932

lifetime

Avg / trade

$18

Open exposure

$11

1 position

First seen

2026-01-06

last 06-06 05:10

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 4 days

Categories

Crypto

60% 100% +$0

Other

35% — —

Politics

5% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

36 active days in 12wk • peak 3 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (5) Recent trades Correlated wallets (8)

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Leo Zacky advance from the 2026 California Governor primary election?	No		+12	$11	100¢	$11	$-0	06-01 21:19

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will there be between 20 and 30 average daily transits of the strait of hormuz on april 3	2	$46	23	23	+0	open	—	04-06 10:25
will gerb sds gerbsds win the most seats in the 2026 bulgarian parliamentary election	2	$36	36	0	+36	open	—	04-18 09:12
highest temperature in hong kong on april 16 2026 30corhigher	1	$28	28	0	+28	open	—	04-16 10:37
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on May 5?	1	$28	28	0	+28	No	+$0	05-04 19:27
bitcoin above 64k on april 17	1	$27	27	0	+27	open	—	04-15 07:50
bitcoin above 84k on april 22	1	$25	25	0	+25	open	—	04-20 18:27
will amazon be the largest company in the world by market cap on march 31 453	1	$25	25	0	+25	open	—	03-12 08:57
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,000 on May 20?	1	$24	24	0	+24	open	—	05-20 02:24
Will the price of Solana be above $80 on May 8?	1	$24	24	0	+24	Yes	+$0	05-08 00:06
bitcoin above 82k on april 23	1	$23	23	0	+23	open	—	04-23 04:24
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $82,000 and $84,000 on April 26?	1	$23	23	0	+23	open	—	04-25 22:44
ethereum above 1700 on june 6 2026	1	$23	23	0	+23	open	—	06-06 05:10
elon musk of tweets april 17 april 24 320 339	1	$23	23	0	+23	open	—	04-22 05:07
elon musk of tweets april 13 april 15 165 189	1	$22	22	0	+22	open	—	04-14 09:13
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on May 27?	1	$21	21	0	+21	open	—	05-25 09:32
Will Bitcoin dip to $68,000 May 18-24?	1	$20	20	0	+20	open	—	05-23 16:02
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on May 11?	1	$20	20	0	+20	Yes	+$0	05-11 04:33
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,300 on May 19?	1	$20	20	0	+20	open	—	05-18 15:06
Will Germany send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by May 31, 2026?	1	$20	20	0	+20	open	—	05-28 23:43
will bitcoin reach 120k in february 2026	1	$19	19	0	+19	open	—	02-10 03:54
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on May 28?	1	$19	19	0	+19	open	—	05-27 21:15
elon musk of tweets april 14 april 21 300 319	1	$19	19	0	+19	open	—	04-20 16:46
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 12?	1	$18	19	0	+19	Yes	+$0	05-11 17:45
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,100 on April 25?	1	$18	18	0	+18	open	—	04-24 13:29
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on May 19?	1	$18	18	0	+18	open	—	05-18 20:08
Will Bitcoin dip to $74,000 May 4-10?	1	$17	18	0	+18	No	+$0	05-09 14:03
Will JD Vance visit Pakistan by April 27?	1	$17	17	0	+17	open	—	04-26 17:22
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on May 28?	1	$17	17	0	+17	open	—	05-25 20:07
will ethereum dip to 1900 april 13 19	1	$17	17	0	+17	open	—	04-17 21:44
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 26?	1	$17	17	0	+17	open	—	05-26 07:56

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-06 05:10:18	ethereum above 1700 on june 6 2026	No	BUY	23	99¢	$23	0xbfa943…
06-01 21:19:16	Will Leo Zacky advance from the 2026 California Governor primary election?	No	BUY	12	100¢	$11	0xe57275…
05-29 12:38:02	Romanian PM Bolojan out by May 31?	No	BUY	14	100¢	$14	0x4e3b42…
05-28 23:43:52	Will Germany send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0x242805…
05-27 21:15:27	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on May 28?	Yes	BUY	19	100¢	$19	0x88eeff…
05-26 23:17:38	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 27?	No	BUY	16	100¢	$16	0x421b87…
05-26 07:56:57	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 26?	Yes	BUY	17	100¢	$17	0xfe02b9…
05-25 20:07:00	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on May 28?	Yes	BUY	17	100¢	$17	0x2f3c70…
05-25 09:32:41	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on May 27?	Yes	BUY	21	100¢	$21	0x0bf946…
05-24 16:02:25	Will Bitcoin dip to $72,000 May 18-24?	No	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0x1e18d1…
05-23 16:02:10	Will Bitcoin dip to $68,000 May 18-24?	No	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0xf523a3…
05-22 19:36:23	Will Bitcoin reach $84,000 May 18-24?	No	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0xc6b8fb…
05-21 08:04:36	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 22?	No	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0x0c347b…
05-20 02:24:21	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,000 on May 20?	Yes	BUY	24	100¢	$24	0x15e8f4…
05-18 20:08:35	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on May 19?	Yes	BUY	18	100¢	$18	0xd4defc…
05-18 15:06:56	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,300 on May 19?	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0x634021…
05-11 17:45:05	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 12?	Yes	BUY	19	99¢	$18	0x2c3cac…
05-11 04:33:54	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on May 11?	Yes	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0x0df1cd…
05-09 14:03:10	Will Bitcoin dip to $74,000 May 4-10?	No	BUY	18	100¢	$17	0x896099…
05-08 00:06:54	Will the price of Solana be above $80 on May 8?	Yes	BUY	24	100¢	$24	0xe1653a…
05-04 19:27:44	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on May 5?	No	BUY	28	100¢	$28	0xb7f876…
05-03 00:27:34	Will Bitcoin dip to $72,000 April 27-May 3?	No	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0x789eb3…
05-01 17:02:16	Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 April 27-May 3?	No	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0x1f8371…
05-01 06:03:28	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on May 3?	Yes	BUY	15	99¢	$15	0x816f15…
04-30 12:24:08	Will Natural Gas (NG) hit (LOW) $2.20 in April?	No	BUY	14	100¢	$14	0x8ba13c…
04-27 11:18:30	Will the Bank of Canada announce no change at the April meeting?	Yes	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0x252b14…
04-26 17:22:58	Will JD Vance visit Pakistan by April 27?	No	BUY	17	100¢	$17	0x6e402b…
04-26 00:26:02	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	16	100¢	$16	0x6ee5b1…
04-25 22:44:26	Will the price of Bitcoin be between $82,000 and $84,000 on April 26?	No	BUY	23	100¢	$23	0xe02a73…
04-24 13:29:20	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,100 on April 25?	Yes	BUY	18	100¢	$18	0x7ecf61…
04-23 04:24:54	bitcoin above 82k on april 23	No	BUY	23	100¢	$23	0xe77477…
04-23 03:26:30	elon musk of tweets april 17 april 24 300 319	No	BUY	12	100¢	$12	0xb0cd68…
04-22 05:07:24	elon musk of tweets april 17 april 24 320 339	No	BUY	23	100¢	$23	0x61cd64…
04-21 14:56:00	bitcoin above 70k on april 22	Yes	BUY	11	99¢	$10	0x951630…
04-20 18:27:10	bitcoin above 84k on april 22	No	BUY	25	100¢	$25	0x61b67e…
04-20 16:46:50	elon musk of tweets april 14 april 21 300 319	No	BUY	19	100¢	$19	0xb6e066…
04-18 09:12:10	will gerb sds gerbsds win the most seats in the 2026 bulgarian parliamentary election	No	BUY	23	100¢	$23	0x97ea72…
04-18 07:03:00	will gerb sds gerbsds win the most seats in the 2026 bulgarian parliamentary election	No	BUY	14	100¢	$14	0x249fbd…
04-17 21:44:16	will ethereum dip to 1900 april 13 19	No	BUY	17	100¢	$17	0x775a0e…
04-16 10:37:14	highest temperature in hong kong on april 16 2026 30corhigher	Yes	BUY	28	100¢	$28	0xcbdecd…
04-15 07:50:52	bitcoin above 64k on april 17	Yes	BUY	27	100¢	$27	0xcf4fb6…
04-14 09:13:05	elon musk of tweets april 13 april 15 165 189	No	BUY	22	100¢	$22	0x13fbec…
04-12 20:01:31	bitcoin above 76k on april 13	No	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0xbdb94e…
04-12 08:02:53	will russell henley win the 2026 masters tournament	No	BUY	16	99¢	$16	0xf2b517…
04-12 03:31:57	will you me tuscany opening weekend box office be between 10m and 11m	No	BUY	16	100¢	$16	0x9b2384…
04-06 10:25:37	will there be between 20 and 30 average daily transits of the strait of hormuz on april 3	No	SELL	23	99¢	$23	0x602205…
04-02 15:25:01	will there be between 20 and 30 average daily transits of the strait of hormuz on april 3	No	BUY	23	100¢	$23	0x362968…
03-12 08:57:27	will amazon be the largest company in the world by market cap on march 31 453	No	BUY	25	100¢	$25	0xbeedf5…
02-10 03:54:09	will bitcoin reach 120k in february 2026	No	BUY	19	100¢	$19	0x607eba…
01-25 23:00:34	will learner tien win the 2026 australian open	No	BUY	13	99¢	$13	0x6713b6…
01-15 23:41:28	fed increases interest rates by 25 bps after january 2026 meeting	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x5c3c4d…
01-06 15:18:39	will bitcoin dip to 50k in january 2026	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x8769c2…

Wallet	Shared markets	Overlap volume	Overlap trades	Last seen
Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71	44	$60.6K	1,062	06-03 21:44
Evil-Row 0x7495…7fcf	39	$638	272	06-06 10:05
Pleasing-Elm 0x4ffe…9f71	25	$1.61K	529	06-05 20:21
Reasonable-Mover 0x0f62…922e	24	$1.07K	24	06-06 13:48
Respectful-Clan 0x6e1d…d0fa	22	$260.9K	1,031	05-28 04:02
All-Peasant-Drug 0xe907…cff6	22	$17.4K	185	06-06 03:56
Blushing-Cotton 0xa33c…0ff2	21	$569	483	06-02 09:15
Messy-Lecture 0xff4e…5502	20	$523	1,193	05-28 14:56