Valid-Profit — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$746

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

0.0%

Resolved

Trades

584

lifetime

Volume

$115.9K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$198

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-29

last 05-31 15:13

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Other

51% 0% $-117

Politics

42% — —

Crypto

4% 0% $-629

Tech

3% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

39 active days in 12wk • peak 71 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	30	$16.0K	25,172	25,262	-91	open	—	05-07 15:33
us strikes iran by february 28 2026 227 967 547 688 589 491 592 418 452 924 384 915 464 672 196 157 993 596 269 535 381 391 471 256 988 997 296 225 762 973 292 827 345 182 558 215 794 879 189 761	39	$15.2K	14,023	14,023	+0	open	—	02-28 06:47
Israel announces suspension of Lebanon offensive by April 17, 2026?	32	$9.7K	8,447	7,408	+1,039	open	—	04-16 16:54
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in April?	9	$8.0K	14,520	14,077	+443	open	—	04-21 03:43
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in April?	1	$7.7K	8,199	0	+8,199	open	—	04-17 15:09
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 31, 2026?	18	$5.7K	14,825	14,825	+0	open	—	05-22 06:43
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in May?	19	$4.9K	4,709	4,792	-83	open	—	05-12 09:39
will pete hegseth ban claude by march 31	14	$3.4K	2,639	2,638	+0	open	—	02-27 22:38
Starmer out by May 15, 2026?	13	$3.4K	3,080	3,080	+0	open	—	05-14 06:36
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in May?	5	$3.2K	5,000	0	+5,000	open	—	05-27 12:37
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $115 in May?	4	$3.0K	3,957	1,105	+2,852	open	—	05-04 10:40
khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by march 31	4	$3.0K	8,180	8,180	+0	open	—	03-01 04:49
US strikes Iran by June 30, 2026?	6	$2.9K	4,060	3,628	+432	open	—	02-01 13:12
us x iran ceasefire extended by april 22 2026	14	$2.4K	3,200	3,200	+0	open	—	04-21 22:33
will axiom be accused of insider trading	7	$2.3K	4,695	4,695	+0	open	—	02-26 05:05
Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in May?	9	$2.0K	20,000	2,500	+17,500	open	—	05-21 18:01
will the government shutdown last 5 days or more	11	$1.9K	3,000	3,000	+0	open	—	02-03 16:38
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in April?	10	$1.9K	5,033	4,869	+164	open	—	04-23 00:32
us strikes iran by february 13 2026 721 759 497 124 197 797 992 641 418 789 676 262 791 574 169 647 275 931	2	$1.5K	8,016	8,016	+0	open	—	02-12 19:24
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in April?	23	$1.5K	2,555	2,090	+465	open	—	04-29 09:35
will the us x iran ceasefire be extended by april 21 2026 365	14	$1.3K	2,400	2,400	+0	open	—	04-19 18:02
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in May?	6	$1.3K	1,000	1,000	+0	open	—	05-12 09:18
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by May 31, 2026?	15	$1.1K	7,527	6,727	+800	open	—	05-31 15:13
Israel closes its airspace by May 31?	3	$990	2,095	2,095	+0	open	—	05-14 14:50
Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in May?	12	$989	30,397	0	+30,397	open	—	05-21 03:19
Will J.D. Vance have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by April 30?	12	$847	1,800	1,800	+0	open	—	04-20 07:01
Internet Access restored in Iran by May 31, 2026?	4	$736	870	470	+400	open	—	05-26 14:20
Will 80 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by May 31?	26	$722	7,400	0	+7,400	open	—	05-27 12:39
Will 60 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by April 30?	6	$720	1,000	1,000	+0	open	—	04-19 18:00
US strikes Iran by March 4, 2026?	9	$698	1,091	1,091	+0	open	—	02-27 12:18

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-31 15:13:38	Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	800	21¢	$167	0x74dcad…
05-29 19:49:47	Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in May?	Yes	BUY	10,000	0¢	$10	0xe4a1a2…
05-29 18:06:27	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in May?	Yes	BUY	1,000	4¢	$40	0x5aeb90…
05-29 18:04:23	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	43	53¢	$23	0x55d31a…
05-29 16:22:33	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 28, 2026?	Yes	SELL	2,972	0¢	$6	0x992b32…
05-29 16:21:13	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 28, 2026?	Yes	SELL	3,000	0¢	$6	0x62bd1f…
05-29 16:15:44	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 28, 2026?	Yes	SELL	2	0¢	$0	0xe6bf74…
05-29 16:11:18	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 28, 2026?	Yes	SELL	500	0¢	$1	0xd2fadd…
05-29 16:10:32	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 28, 2026?	Yes	SELL	42	0¢	$0	0xf41a6d…
05-29 16:02:50	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 28, 2026?	Yes	SELL	500	0¢	$1	0xd0d51f…
05-29 16:00:43	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 28, 2026?	Yes	SELL	205	0¢	$0	0x569f2e…
05-29 15:56:24	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 28, 2026?	Yes	SELL	500	0¢	$1	0x7dc314…
05-29 15:56:11	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 28, 2026?	Yes	SELL	500	0¢	$1	0x9507c5…
05-29 15:54:49	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 28, 2026?	Yes	SELL	221	0¢	$0	0x9bac37…
05-29 15:54:16	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 28, 2026?	Yes	SELL	3,000	0¢	$6	0x4a692b…
05-29 15:54:00	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 28, 2026?	Yes	SELL	5,000	0¢	$10	0xe42456…
05-29 15:40:53	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 28, 2026?	Yes	BUY	442	0¢	$0	0xe0a0a0…
05-29 15:39:30	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 28, 2026?	Yes	BUY	698	0¢	$1	0x4fb71e…
05-29 15:38:38	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 28, 2026?	Yes	BUY	302	0¢	$0	0xbcd9ea…
05-29 15:36:48	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 28, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5,000	0¢	$5	0x518ad5…
05-29 15:36:35	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 28, 2026?	Yes	BUY	10,000	0¢	$10	0x6f4668…
05-29 15:36:09	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	225	32¢	$72	0x7de16d…
05-29 15:35:57	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	6	32¢	$2	0xfb51a8…
05-29 15:35:52	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	576	32¢	$184	0xced042…
05-29 15:35:34	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	43	33¢	$14	0x6ccc4f…
05-29 15:35:15	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	107	33¢	$35	0x163e90…
05-29 15:29:25	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	1,000	35¢	$350	0x4144e9…
05-27 12:39:50	Will 80 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by May 31?	Yes	BUY	1,019	4¢	$39	0x39f1ec…
05-27 12:37:39	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in May?	Yes	BUY	1,788	64¢	$1,145	0x7d631d…
05-27 12:37:37	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in May?	Yes	BUY	337	64¢	$216	0xdf6e2e…
05-27 12:37:37	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in May?	Yes	BUY	2,201	63¢	$1,395	0x7b5ddc…
05-27 12:37:37	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in May?	Yes	BUY	337	64¢	$216	0x437c8b…
05-27 12:37:37	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in May?	Yes	BUY	337	64¢	$216	0x1ade62…
05-27 12:34:14	Will 80 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by May 31?	Yes	BUY	5	4¢	$0	0x00def1…
05-27 12:26:34	Will 80 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by May 31?	Yes	BUY	68	4¢	$3	0x8ae1d5…
05-27 12:26:15	Will 80 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by May 31?	Yes	BUY	1	4¢	$0	0xa7cca0…
05-27 12:25:17	Will 80 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by May 31?	Yes	BUY	10	4¢	$0	0x785c32…
05-27 12:25:10	Will 80 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by May 31?	Yes	BUY	1	4¢	$0	0xb1c093…
05-27 12:24:40	Will 80 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by May 31?	Yes	BUY	1,496	4¢	$55	0x99e712…
05-26 14:20:35	Internet Access restored in Iran by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	49	47¢	$23	0x3e8fc9…
05-26 14:19:14	Internet Access restored in Iran by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	351	47¢	$165	0x31570a…
05-26 13:00:03	Internet Access restored in Iran by May 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	470	67¢	$315	0xab4c3f…
05-26 00:30:05	Iran closes its airspace by May 24?	Yes	BUY	3,600	0¢	$18	0x8ab645…
05-25 17:41:21	Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by May 31?	Yes	BUY	69	17¢	$12	0x6649d6…
05-25 17:40:25	Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by May 31?	Yes	BUY	50	17¢	$8	0xf7679d…
05-25 17:38:05	Internet Access restored in Iran by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	470	50¢	$234	0xe48909…
05-25 17:35:13	Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by May 31?	Yes	BUY	42	17¢	$7	0x02dbaa…
05-25 17:06:05	Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by May 31?	Yes	BUY	439	17¢	$75	0xa2f197…
05-24 15:33:01	Iran closes its airspace by May 24?	Yes	BUY	1,000	5¢	$50	0x19c38f…
05-24 07:31:48	Iran closes its airspace by May 24?	Yes	BUY	763	13¢	$99	0x6c6ad4…
05-24 06:43:39	Iran closes its airspace by May 24?	Yes	BUY	40	13¢	$5	0x63fe94…
05-24 06:43:39	Iran closes its airspace by May 24?	Yes	BUY	207	13¢	$27	0x42bf7a…
05-22 12:33:35	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 22?	Yes	BUY	508	13¢	$66	0x34f5c1…
05-22 12:33:33	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 22?	Yes	BUY	492	13¢	$64	0x536e28…
05-22 06:43:04	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	2,200	22¢	$484	0x9c7df9…
05-22 06:37:19	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	533	23¢	$123	0xbacc32…
05-21 18:03:53	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	1,092	28¢	$306	0xf2d88f…
05-21 18:01:54	Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in May?	Yes	BUY	5,023	8¢	$402	0x57aa96…
05-21 17:59:25	Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in May?	Yes	BUY	37	8¢	$3	0xfe78c4…
05-21 17:55:27	Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in May?	Yes	BUY	9,807	2¢	$199	0x3252a7…
05-21 17:55:13	Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in May?	Yes	BUY	100	8¢	$8	0xd3312d…
05-21 17:54:29	Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in May?	Yes	BUY	4,840	8¢	$387	0xe93798…
05-21 10:58:59	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	3,825	23¢	$880	0x55405c…
05-21 10:40:38	Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in May?	Yes	SELL	508	8¢	$41	0xd5f4fb…
05-21 10:31:18	Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by May 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	601	8¢	$47	0x720def…
05-21 10:30:55	Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by May 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	100	8¢	$8	0xee763a…
05-21 10:30:54	Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by May 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	305	8¢	$25	0x502eb9…
05-21 10:30:08	Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in May?	Yes	SELL	14	8¢	$1	0x0d6204…
05-21 10:29:54	Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in May?	Yes	SELL	100	8¢	$8	0xd0cba3…
05-21 10:29:52	Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in May?	Yes	SELL	1,878	8¢	$150	0x102b28…
05-21 10:28:55	Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by May 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	412	9¢	$38	0x736620…
05-21 10:28:28	Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by May 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	1,309	10¢	$134	0xb78edb…
05-21 03:19:52	Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in May?	Yes	BUY	1,163	0¢	$5	0x8335ea…
05-21 02:17:08	Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in May?	Yes	BUY	2,544	0¢	$10	0xccb9e2…
05-21 00:57:13	Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in May?	Yes	BUY	3	0¢	$0	0x7eb298…
05-21 00:02:26	Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in May?	Yes	BUY	32	0¢	$0	0xd7735d…
05-20 20:46:14	Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in May?	Yes	BUY	74	0¢	$0	0xab811d…
05-20 19:02:42	Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in May?	Yes	BUY	4	0¢	$0	0xc7bb2f…
05-20 17:05:11	Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in May?	Yes	BUY	1,000	0¢	$4	0xb1626f…
05-20 17:03:45	Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in May?	Yes	BUY	290	0¢	$1	0x0c36e5…
05-20 16:05:48	Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in May?	Yes	BUY	200	0¢	$1	0x745523…
05-20 15:47:31	Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in May?	Yes	BUY	4,690	0¢	$19	0xafcfc0…
05-20 15:15:36	Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in May?	Yes	BUY	32	2¢	$1	0x949749…
05-20 15:02:36	Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	408	7¢	$29	0xff4185…
05-20 14:39:09	Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	319	7¢	$22	0x7f781e…
05-20 14:38:18	Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by May 31?	Yes	SELL	2,000	3¢	$57	0x92b22d…
05-20 14:35:49	Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in May?	Yes	BUY	3	2¢	$0	0xbe5dc8…
05-20 14:34:23	Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in May?	Yes	BUY	10,000	10¢	$1,000	0xa796ac…
05-20 14:33:55	Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in May?	Yes	BUY	965	2¢	$18	0x9d1ca8…
05-20 14:32:19	Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	17	7¢	$1	0xe29fdf…
05-20 14:31:28	Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	983	7¢	$66	0x5cdd9b…
05-20 14:31:18	Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1,000	7¢	$67	0xd48cfa…
05-20 14:25:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET	Up	BUY	52	48¢	$25	0xc33891…
05-20 14:23:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET	Up	BUY	83	30¢	$25	0x3c3ba6…
05-20 14:10:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET	Up	BUY	60	42¢	$25	0xc16e14…
05-20 14:05:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET	Up	BUY	58	43¢	$25	0x90fb23…
05-20 14:02:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET	Up	BUY	49	51¢	$25	0x25d562…
05-20 13:47:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET	Down	BUY	818	3¢	$25	0x44039e…
05-20 10:17:33	Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by May 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	2,000	7¢	$140	0x87f72f…
05-19 14:53:30	Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by May 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	2,000	7¢	$132	0xe2fbb3…