Valid-Profit — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$746

Unrealized P&L

+$3.14K

Hit rate

0.0%

Resolved

Trades

808

lifetime

Volume

$135.9K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$168

Open exposure

$15

2 positions

First seen

2026-01-29

last 06-27 09:17

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Other

51% 0% $-117

Politics

43% — —

Crypto

4% 0% $-629

Tech

3% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

49 active days in 12wk • peak 118 trades/day

Open positions (2) Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	Yes		-3,400	$-1,739	0¢	$-15	+$1,723	06-27 09:17
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?	No		+0	$-1,421	100¢	$0	+$1,421	06-19 13:27

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	30	$16.0K	25,172	25,262	-91	open	—	05-07 15:33
us strikes iran by february 28 2026 227 967 547 688 589 491 592 418 452 924 384 915 464 672 196 157 993 596 269 535 381 391 471 256 988 997 296 225 762 973 292 827 345 182 558 215 794 879 189 761	39	$15.2K	14,023	14,023	+0	open	—	02-28 06:47
Israel announces suspension of Lebanon offensive by April 17, 2026?	32	$9.7K	8,447	7,408	+1,039	open	—	04-16 16:54
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in April?	9	$8.0K	14,520	14,077	+443	open	—	04-21 03:43
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in April?	1	$7.7K	8,199	0	+8,199	open	—	04-17 15:09
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 31, 2026?	18	$5.7K	14,825	14,825	+0	open	—	05-22 06:43
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	32	$5.0K	27,200	30,600	-3,400	open	—	06-27 09:17
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in May?	19	$4.9K	4,709	4,792	-83	open	—	05-12 09:39
will 60 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by june 30 2026	29	$4.5K	8,135	6,135	+2,000	open	—	06-27 07:12
us x iran diplomatic meeting by june 21 2026	14	$4.5K	4,292	4,292	+0	open	—	06-20 03:50
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?	115	$4.4K	5,030	5,030	+0	open	—	06-19 13:27
will pete hegseth ban claude by march 31	14	$3.4K	2,639	2,638	+0	open	—	02-27 22:38
Starmer out by May 15, 2026?	13	$3.4K	3,080	3,080	+0	open	—	05-14 06:36
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in May?	5	$3.2K	5,000	0	+5,000	open	—	05-27 12:37
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $115 in May?	4	$3.0K	3,957	1,105	+2,852	open	—	05-04 10:40
khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by march 31	4	$3.0K	8,180	8,180	+0	open	—	03-01 04:49
US strikes Iran by June 30, 2026?	6	$2.9K	4,060	3,628	+432	open	—	02-01 13:12
us x iran ceasefire extended by april 22 2026	14	$2.4K	3,200	3,200	+0	open	—	04-21 22:33
will axiom be accused of insider trading	7	$2.3K	4,695	4,695	+0	open	—	02-26 05:05
Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in May?	9	$2.0K	20,000	2,500	+17,500	open	—	05-21 18:01
will the government shutdown last 5 days or more	11	$1.9K	3,000	3,000	+0	open	—	02-03 16:38
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in April?	10	$1.9K	5,033	4,869	+164	open	—	04-23 00:32
us strikes iran by february 13 2026 721 759 497 124 197 797 992 641 418 789 676 262 791 574 169 647 275 931	2	$1.5K	8,016	8,016	+0	open	—	02-12 19:24
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in April?	23	$1.5K	2,555	2,090	+465	open	—	04-29 09:35
will the us x iran ceasefire be extended by april 21 2026 365	14	$1.3K	2,400	2,400	+0	open	—	04-19 18:02
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in May?	6	$1.3K	1,000	1,000	+0	open	—	05-12 09:18
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by May 31, 2026?	15	$1.1K	7,527	6,727	+800	open	—	05-31 15:13
will 40 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by june 30 2026	8	$1.1K	1,000	1,000	+0	open	—	06-22 06:17
Israel closes its airspace by May 31?	3	$990	2,095	2,095	+0	open	—	05-14 14:50
Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in May?	12	$989	30,397	0	+30,397	open	—	05-21 03:19

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-27 09:17:22	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	Yes	SELL	5,351	5¢	$252	0x8ddb81…
06-27 07:29:43	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	Yes	BUY	5,000	6¢	$280	0x7a48ed…
06-27 07:12:56	will 60 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by june 30 2026	Yes	BUY	1,995	45¢	$898	0xcf7cf0…
06-27 07:08:35	will 60 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by june 30 2026	Yes	BUY	5	45¢	$2	0xdd5415…
06-27 00:30:25	will 60 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by june 30 2026	No	SELL	535	53¢	$281	0x29ce9f…
06-26 13:29:10	will 60 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by june 30 2026	No	BUY	535	37¢	$198	0x279c24…
06-26 13:23:00	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	Yes	SELL	55	10¢	$6	0x030133…
06-26 13:22:12	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	Yes	SELL	4	10¢	$0	0xaead2a…
06-26 13:22:12	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	Yes	SELL	2	10¢	$0	0x9a0b12…
06-26 13:22:10	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	Yes	SELL	1	11¢	$0	0xbe2dfb…
06-26 13:22:10	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	Yes	SELL	18	10¢	$2	0xb57e9a…
06-26 13:22:10	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	Yes	SELL	4	10¢	$0	0x8914cf…
06-26 13:22:10	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	Yes	SELL	28	10¢	$3	0x6b20da…
06-26 13:22:10	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	Yes	SELL	3	11¢	$0	0x5b89fa…
06-26 13:22:10	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	Yes	SELL	10	10¢	$1	0x5a65c6…
06-26 13:22:10	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	Yes	SELL	8	11¢	$1	0x561014…
06-26 13:22:10	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	Yes	SELL	5	10¢	$1	0x219812…
06-26 13:22:09	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	Yes	SELL	9,511	11¢	$1,005	0x17760c…
06-26 13:21:22	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	Yes	SELL	4,000	11¢	$432	0x07161b…
06-26 13:19:31	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	Yes	BUY	1,293	11¢	$142	0xcadf0c…
06-26 13:18:48	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	Yes	BUY	100	11¢	$11	0xe94d0c…
06-26 13:16:16	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	Yes	BUY	112	11¢	$12	0x46767e…
06-26 13:15:37	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	Yes	BUY	6	11¢	$1	0x4841b1…
06-26 13:14:06	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	Yes	BUY	6	11¢	$1	0x9ef10e…
06-26 13:13:25	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	Yes	BUY	1	11¢	$0	0x036f4a…
06-26 13:12:37	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	Yes	BUY	10	11¢	$1	0x3b1884…
06-26 13:12:28	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	Yes	BUY	6	11¢	$1	0xc0ca08…
06-26 13:12:12	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	Yes	BUY	9	11¢	$1	0x5c653e…
06-26 13:11:00	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	Yes	BUY	2,458	11¢	$269	0x324452…
06-26 03:48:02	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	Yes	BUY	9,760	5¢	$459	0x0929a5…
06-26 02:43:22	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	Yes	BUY	240	5¢	$11	0x4cc1d0…
06-25 13:22:47	will 60 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by june 30 2026	Yes	SELL	4,000	47¢	$1,880	0xa0b28d…
06-25 11:43:08	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	Yes	SELL	7,536	10¢	$754	0x721298…
06-25 11:03:31	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	Yes	SELL	664	10¢	$66	0xd0b6a7…
06-25 08:36:17	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	Yes	BUY	4,400	5¢	$241	0x667a0d…
06-25 08:35:56	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	Yes	BUY	3,800	5¢	$205	0x42c4b7…
06-22 06:17:14	will 40 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by june 30 2026	No	SELL	94	56¢	$53	0x3be6f6…
06-21 16:15:23	will 60 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by june 30 2026	Yes	BUY	32	18¢	$6	0x6f862c…
06-21 16:06:43	will 60 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by june 30 2026	Yes	BUY	2	18¢	$0	0xac7174…
06-21 15:52:05	will 60 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by june 30 2026	Yes	BUY	2	18¢	$0	0xf5585e…
06-21 15:51:58	will 60 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by june 30 2026	Yes	BUY	2	18¢	$0	0x487e7c…
06-21 15:45:44	will 60 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by june 30 2026	Yes	BUY	2	18¢	$0	0xd7fff1…
06-21 15:21:01	will 60 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by june 30 2026	Yes	BUY	1	18¢	$0	0x177567…
06-21 15:20:47	will 60 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by june 30 2026	Yes	BUY	1	18¢	$0	0xa64dba…
06-21 15:16:10	will 60 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by june 30 2026	Yes	BUY	1	18¢	$0	0x952733…
06-21 15:12:47	will 60 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by june 30 2026	Yes	BUY	1	18¢	$0	0x2fe4a7…
06-21 14:50:38	will 60 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by june 30 2026	Yes	BUY	5	18¢	$1	0x3b86cb…
06-21 14:50:25	will 60 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by june 30 2026	Yes	BUY	250	18¢	$45	0xb82efa…
06-21 14:50:11	will 60 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by june 30 2026	Yes	BUY	700	18¢	$126	0x7d5ff9…
06-21 14:49:59	will 60 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by june 30 2026	Yes	BUY	3,000	18¢	$540	0x855eb0…
06-21 06:47:11	will 40 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by june 30 2026	No	SELL	155	52¢	$81	0x983c52…
06-21 06:45:41	will 40 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by june 30 2026	No	SELL	287	52¢	$149	0x5e21e0…
06-21 06:16:58	will 40 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by june 30 2026	No	SELL	113	52¢	$59	0x0d0ce9…
06-21 05:42:26	will 60 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by june 30 2026	Yes	SELL	1,469	19¢	$279	0xaf0176…
06-21 04:59:08	will 60 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by june 30 2026	Yes	SELL	15	19¢	$3	0xf4fe3e…
06-21 02:34:43	will 40 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by june 30 2026	No	SELL	7	52¢	$4	0x71fe91…
06-21 01:32:07	will 20 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by june 30 2026	No	SELL	842	4¢	$34	0xfe76e7…
06-21 01:30:22	will 40 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by june 30 2026	No	SELL	94	51¢	$48	0x5d6704…
06-21 01:30:01	will 40 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by june 30 2026	No	SELL	250	51¢	$127	0x2b3d01…
06-21 01:28:10	will 20 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by june 30 2026	No	SELL	1	4¢	$0	0xec3b87…
06-21 01:28:08	will 20 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by june 30 2026	No	SELL	27	4¢	$1	0x9cf64c…
06-21 01:28:08	will 20 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by june 30 2026	No	SELL	5	4¢	$0	0x6b7979…
06-21 01:28:07	will 20 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by june 30 2026	No	SELL	4,125	4¢	$183	0x84c573…
06-21 00:52:25	will 60 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by june 30 2026	Yes	SELL	5	19¢	$1	0x46b7d8…
06-20 23:58:58	will 60 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by june 30 2026	Yes	SELL	105	19¢	$20	0xbf900f…
06-20 21:50:19	will 60 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by june 30 2026	Yes	SELL	5	19¢	$1	0xabff2e…
06-20 15:48:16	will 20 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by june 30 2026	No	BUY	652	7¢	$46	0x875fa6…
06-20 13:30:25	will 20 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by june 30 2026	No	BUY	3	7¢	$0	0xfba26a…
06-20 13:30:10	will 20 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by june 30 2026	No	BUY	2	7¢	$0	0x8e60a4…
06-20 13:30:08	will 20 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by june 30 2026	No	BUY	0	7¢	$0	0x6562c2…
06-20 13:26:11	will 20 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by june 30 2026	No	BUY	35	7¢	$2	0x487e85…
06-20 13:26:11	will 20 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by june 30 2026	No	BUY	29	7¢	$2	0x3b2d88…
06-20 13:24:04	will 20 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by june 30 2026	No	BUY	40	7¢	$3	0x92f05a…
06-20 13:23:46	will 20 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by june 30 2026	No	BUY	22	7¢	$2	0x70dc86…
06-20 13:23:34	will 20 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by june 30 2026	No	BUY	1	7¢	$0	0xf2e865…
06-20 13:23:34	will 20 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by june 30 2026	No	BUY	200	7¢	$14	0x432f24…
06-20 13:23:34	will 20 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by june 30 2026	No	BUY	36	7¢	$3	0x3e35f4…
06-20 13:21:26	will 20 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by june 30 2026	No	BUY	3	7¢	$0	0x751789…
06-20 13:21:07	will 20 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by june 30 2026	No	BUY	2	7¢	$0	0xfdabfb…
06-20 13:21:05	will 20 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by june 30 2026	No	BUY	0	7¢	$0	0x906f95…
06-20 13:15:43	will 20 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by june 30 2026	No	BUY	22	7¢	$2	0xe0965e…
06-20 13:14:55	will 20 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by june 30 2026	No	BUY	7	7¢	$0	0xf380ee…
06-20 13:14:52	will 20 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by june 30 2026	No	BUY	1,942	7¢	$134	0xf3d018…
06-20 13:14:52	will 20 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by june 30 2026	No	BUY	2	7¢	$0	0x7db9f5…
06-20 13:14:31	will 20 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by june 30 2026	No	BUY	1,000	6¢	$60	0xafc935…
06-20 13:14:22	will 20 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by june 30 2026	No	BUY	1,000	6¢	$60	0x933e40…
06-20 13:13:31	will 40 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by june 30 2026	No	BUY	1,000	53¢	$530	0xb27724…
06-20 03:50:34	us x iran diplomatic meeting by june 21 2026	Yes	SELL	440	55¢	$242	0xb1a55d…
06-20 00:04:28	us x iran diplomatic meeting by june 21 2026	Yes	SELL	5	55¢	$3	0xbc2384…
06-20 00:04:28	us x iran diplomatic meeting by june 21 2026	Yes	SELL	49	55¢	$27	0x93c412…
06-20 00:04:26	us x iran diplomatic meeting by june 21 2026	Yes	SELL	3	55¢	$1	0xad2588…
06-20 00:04:26	us x iran diplomatic meeting by june 21 2026	Yes	SELL	3,759	55¢	$2,067	0x5856a0…
06-20 00:04:26	us x iran diplomatic meeting by june 21 2026	Yes	SELL	20	55¢	$11	0x00336f…
06-20 00:04:02	us x iran diplomatic meeting by june 21 2026	Yes	SELL	6	55¢	$3	0xcb1e59…
06-20 00:04:02	us x iran diplomatic meeting by june 21 2026	Yes	SELL	1	55¢	$1	0x020df7…
06-20 00:03:59	us x iran diplomatic meeting by june 21 2026	Yes	SELL	9	55¢	$5	0x1ae01d…
06-20 00:03:14	us x iran diplomatic meeting by june 21 2026	Yes	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0xcbd255…
06-20 00:03:08	us x iran diplomatic meeting by june 21 2026	Yes	BUY	24	50¢	$12	0x075792…
06-20 00:03:01	us x iran diplomatic meeting by june 21 2026	Yes	BUY	258	50¢	$129	0x853fc3…
06-20 00:03:01	us x iran diplomatic meeting by june 21 2026	Yes	BUY	2,320	50¢	$1,160	0x797148…