Valid-Profit — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$746

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

0.0%

Resolved

Trades

971

lifetime

Volume

$174.3K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$179

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-29

last 07-21 16:55

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Other

58% 0% $-117

Politics

37% — —

Crypto

3% 0% $-629

Tech

2% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

49 active days in 12wk • peak 118 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will 30 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by july 31 2026	36	$16.7K	28,468	28,468	+0	open	—	07-16 23:52
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	30	$16.0K	25,172	25,262	-91	open	—	05-07 15:33
us strikes iran by february 28 2026 227 967 547 688 589 491 592 418 452 924 384 915 464 672 196 157 993 596 269 535 381 391 471 256 988 997 296 225 762 973 292 827 345 182 558 215 794 879 189 761	39	$15.2K	14,023	14,023	+0	open	—	02-28 06:47
Israel announces suspension of Lebanon offensive by April 17, 2026?	32	$9.7K	8,447	7,408	+1,039	open	—	04-16 16:54
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in April?	9	$8.0K	14,520	14,077	+443	open	—	04-21 03:43
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in April?	1	$7.7K	8,199	0	+8,199	open	—	04-17 15:09
will 60 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by june 30 2026	38	$7.2K	13,753	13,753	+0	open	—	06-30 16:45
will wti reach 85 in july 2026	36	$5.7K	5,580	5,580	+0	open	—	07-20 08:40
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 31, 2026?	18	$5.7K	14,825	14,825	+0	open	—	05-22 06:43
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	32	$5.0K	27,200	30,600	-3,400	open	—	06-27 09:17
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in May?	19	$4.9K	4,709	4,792	-83	open	—	05-12 09:39
us x iran diplomatic meeting by june 21 2026	14	$4.5K	4,292	4,292	+0	open	—	06-20 03:50
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?	115	$4.4K	5,030	5,030	+0	open	—	06-19 13:27
will wti reach 80 in july 2026 791	1	$4.3K	10,000	0	+10,000	open	—	07-13 11:13
will pete hegseth ban claude by march 31	14	$3.4K	2,639	2,638	+0	open	—	02-27 22:38
Starmer out by May 15, 2026?	13	$3.4K	3,080	3,080	+0	open	—	05-14 06:36
will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by july 31 20260622191733846 586 829 787	18	$3.3K	6,400	6,400	+0	open	—	07-18 14:45
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in May?	5	$3.2K	5,000	0	+5,000	open	—	05-27 12:37
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $115 in May?	4	$3.0K	3,957	1,105	+2,852	open	—	05-04 10:40
khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by march 31	4	$3.0K	8,180	8,180	+0	open	—	03-01 04:49
US strikes Iran by June 30, 2026?	6	$2.9K	4,060	3,628	+432	open	—	02-01 13:12
us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 31 2026 20260622191708361	5	$2.5K	2,143	2,143	-0	open	—	07-11 11:17
us x iran ceasefire extended by april 22 2026	14	$2.4K	3,200	3,200	+0	open	—	04-21 22:33
will axiom be accused of insider trading	7	$2.3K	4,695	4,695	+0	open	—	02-26 05:05
Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in May?	9	$2.0K	20,000	2,500	+17,500	open	—	05-21 18:01
will the government shutdown last 5 days or more	11	$1.9K	3,000	3,000	+0	open	—	02-03 16:38
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in April?	10	$1.9K	5,033	4,869	+164	open	—	04-23 00:32
will wti reach 90 in july 2026 334	20	$1.5K	2,527	2,504	+23	open	—	07-21 16:44
us strikes iran by february 13 2026 721 759 497 124 197 797 992 641 418 789 676 262 791 574 169 647 275 931	2	$1.5K	8,016	8,016	+0	open	—	02-12 19:24
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in April?	23	$1.5K	2,555	2,090	+465	open	—	04-29 09:35

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-21 21:25:36	iran successfully targets shipping on july 21	Yes	BUY	54	7¢	$4	0x767065…
07-21 16:55:24	will wti reach 120 in july 2026	Yes	BUY	800	1¢	$8	0xa4b1e8…
07-21 16:44:22	will wti reach 90 in july 2026 334	Yes	BUY	23	36¢	$8	0xd7d600…
07-20 08:40:10	will wti reach 85 in july 2026	No	SELL	824	40¢	$330	0x7ffd46…
07-20 08:37:34	will wti reach 85 in july 2026	No	SELL	100	40¢	$40	0x97ed28…
07-20 08:36:15	will wti reach 85 in july 2026	No	SELL	816	40¢	$327	0x07334b…
07-20 08:33:22	will wti reach 85 in july 2026	No	SELL	5	40¢	$2	0x4a9ae9…
07-20 08:27:45	will wti reach 85 in july 2026	No	SELL	255	40¢	$102	0x9dc919…
07-20 07:41:19	will wti reach 90 in july 2026 334	No	SELL	346	64¢	$221	0xbcaac6…
07-20 07:33:06	will wti reach 90 in july 2026 334	No	BUY	346	55¢	$190	0xd4b5e7…
07-20 07:32:16	will wti reach 85 in july 2026	No	BUY	2,000	22¢	$436	0xedb185…
07-19 12:39:24	iran successfully targets shipping on july 19	Yes	BUY	190	51¢	$97	0xd2b5b7…
07-19 12:39:00	mojtaba khamenei seen in public by august 31 223	Yes	SELL	30	6¢	$2	0xb4fba9…
07-19 11:25:00	iran successfully targets shipping on july 19	Yes	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0x5513fa…
07-19 10:21:09	mojtaba khamenei seen in public by august 31 223	Yes	SELL	100	6¢	$6	0xdc8185…
07-18 18:46:39	will wti reach 85 in july 2026	Yes	SELL	135	80¢	$108	0x6d9eba…
07-18 18:31:42	will wti reach 85 in july 2026	Yes	SELL	100	80¢	$80	0x592edf…
07-18 18:21:07	will wti reach 85 in july 2026	Yes	SELL	270	80¢	$216	0xa4907d…
07-18 18:21:00	will wti reach 85 in july 2026	Yes	SELL	270	80¢	$216	0x4abdc5…
07-18 18:20:40	will wti reach 85 in july 2026	Yes	SELL	270	80¢	$216	0x44fc6c…
07-18 18:19:55	will wti reach 85 in july 2026	Yes	SELL	5	80¢	$4	0x8095ca…
07-18 18:08:52	will wti reach 85 in july 2026	Yes	SELL	500	80¢	$400	0x36c63f…
07-18 18:01:55	will wti reach 85 in july 2026	Yes	SELL	23	80¢	$18	0x65f714…
07-18 18:01:48	will wti reach 85 in july 2026	Yes	SELL	1	80¢	$1	0xa0e7b1…
07-18 18:01:45	will wti reach 85 in july 2026	Yes	SELL	36	80¢	$29	0x9dd485…
07-18 16:34:16	mojtaba khamenei seen in public by august 31 223	Yes	BUY	130	6¢	$8	0xd01c13…
07-18 14:45:13	will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by july 31 20260622191733846 586 829 787	Yes	SELL	1,125	20¢	$225	0x1f8637…
07-18 13:58:36	will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by july 31 20260622191733846 586 829 787	Yes	SELL	129	20¢	$26	0xe6692b…
07-18 13:58:10	will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by july 24	Yes	SELL	700	16¢	$112	0x72db8d…
07-18 13:47:54	will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by july 31 20260622191733846 586 829 787	Yes	SELL	1	20¢	$0	0xc53c42…
07-18 13:26:12	will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by july 31 20260622191733846 586 829 787	Yes	SELL	200	20¢	$40	0x42f655…
07-18 13:22:10	will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by july 31 20260622191733846 586 829 787	Yes	SELL	45	20¢	$9	0xbff7c0…
07-18 13:13:36	will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by july 31 20260622191733846 586 829 787	Yes	SELL	45	19¢	$8	0xfd5340…
07-18 13:13:36	will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by july 31 20260622191733846 586 829 787	Yes	SELL	55	18¢	$10	0x783af2…
07-18 13:12:39	will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by july 31 20260622191733846 586 829 787	Yes	SELL	1,600	18¢	$281	0x183af4…
07-18 12:59:01	will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by july 31 20260622191733846 586 829 787	Yes	BUY	3,200	17¢	$558	0x907ea3…
07-18 12:58:43	will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by july 24	Yes	BUY	490	16¢	$78	0x9e03d6…
07-18 12:58:43	will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by july 24	Yes	BUY	210	16¢	$33	0x39a5b5…
07-18 10:20:25	will wti reach 85 in july 2026	Yes	SELL	1,610	71¢	$1,143	0x189466…
07-18 04:58:03	will wti reach 85 in july 2026	Yes	SELL	3	70¢	$2	0xb28f95…
07-18 04:40:15	will wti reach 85 in july 2026	Yes	SELL	61	70¢	$43	0x7b5062…
07-18 04:19:58	will wti reach 85 in july 2026	Yes	SELL	0	70¢	$0	0x08b520…
07-17 21:39:52	iran successfully targets shipping on july 14	No	BUY	102	1¢	$1	0x7ade8d…
07-17 21:31:18	iran successfully targets shipping on july 14	No	BUY	101	1¢	$1	0x4c3909…
07-17 20:34:30	iran successfully targets shipping on july 14	No	BUY	101	1¢	$1	0xc659ac…
07-17 20:34:30	iran successfully targets shipping on july 14	No	BUY	101	1¢	$1	0x84ffc4…
07-17 20:31:49	iran successfully targets shipping on july 14	No	BUY	30	1¢	$0	0x10b30d…
07-17 20:31:19	iran successfully targets shipping on july 14	No	BUY	197	1¢	$2	0x80c556…
07-17 16:12:15	will wti reach 95 in july 2026	Yes	SELL	1,307	16¢	$209	0x5d00e7…
07-17 14:32:09	will wti reach 90 in july 2026 334	Yes	SELL	782	28¢	$218	0xe79152…
07-17 14:15:13	will wti reach 90 in july 2026 334	Yes	SELL	150	28¢	$42	0x694a96…
07-17 14:15:12	will wti reach 90 in july 2026 334	Yes	SELL	100	28¢	$28	0x4a240d…
07-17 14:15:09	will wti reach 90 in july 2026 334	Yes	SELL	50	28¢	$14	0xad2077…
07-17 14:00:24	will wti reach 90 in july 2026 334	Yes	SELL	339	28¢	$95	0xfbaac7…
07-17 13:55:42	will wti reach 90 in july 2026 334	Yes	SELL	150	28¢	$42	0xf3f099…
07-17 13:54:42	will wti reach 90 in july 2026 334	Yes	SELL	48	28¢	$13	0x9d84e6…
07-17 13:49:57	will wti reach 90 in july 2026 334	Yes	SELL	58	27¢	$16	0xf82a89…
07-17 13:30:10	will wti reach 90 in july 2026 334	Yes	SELL	37	27¢	$10	0x40c717…
07-17 13:26:22	will wti reach 90 in july 2026 334	Yes	SELL	245	27¢	$66	0x144876…
07-17 13:15:36	will wti reach 90 in july 2026 334	Yes	SELL	1	27¢	$0	0x2ec896…
07-17 13:05:42	will wti reach 90 in july 2026 334	Yes	SELL	2	27¢	$0	0x224ece…
07-17 13:05:40	will wti reach 90 in july 2026 334	Yes	SELL	10	27¢	$3	0x3adc6d…
07-17 13:05:39	will wti reach 90 in july 2026 334	Yes	SELL	32	27¢	$9	0x627f11…
07-17 13:05:39	will wti reach 90 in july 2026 334	Yes	SELL	13	27¢	$3	0x5715d5…
07-17 13:05:37	will wti reach 90 in july 2026 334	Yes	SELL	143	27¢	$38	0x4b2185…
07-17 10:57:36	will wti reach 85 in july 2026	Yes	SELL	75	53¢	$40	0xd2c693…
07-17 10:38:24	will wti reach 85 in july 2026	Yes	SELL	220	53¢	$117	0xfd5511…
07-17 09:14:31	will wti reach 85 in july 2026	Yes	BUY	1	50¢	$0	0xcb92b8…
07-17 09:12:36	will wti reach 85 in july 2026	Yes	BUY	215	50¢	$108	0x03d285…
07-17 09:12:33	will wti reach 85 in july 2026	Yes	BUY	215	50¢	$108	0xbef860…
07-17 09:11:31	will wti reach 85 in july 2026	Yes	BUY	215	50¢	$108	0xbf0aeb…
07-17 09:11:10	will wti reach 85 in july 2026	Yes	BUY	215	50¢	$108	0x29e1c7…
07-17 09:10:39	will wti reach 85 in july 2026	Yes	BUY	215	50¢	$108	0x4df409…
07-17 09:10:37	will wti reach 85 in july 2026	Yes	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0xcf52eb…
07-17 09:10:34	will wti reach 85 in july 2026	Yes	BUY	215	50¢	$108	0xd88124…
07-17 09:10:22	will wti reach 85 in july 2026	Yes	BUY	88	50¢	$44	0xab091d…
07-17 09:10:07	will wti reach 85 in july 2026	Yes	BUY	0	50¢	$0	0x3e8417…
07-17 09:09:57	will wti reach 90 in july 2026 334	Yes	BUY	2,158	24¢	$515	0x6bc7b5…
07-17 09:09:30	will wti reach 85 in july 2026	Yes	BUY	16	50¢	$8	0xdd3e77…
07-17 09:09:30	will wti reach 85 in july 2026	Yes	BUY	9	50¢	$4	0x064a00…
07-17 09:09:28	will wti reach 85 in july 2026	Yes	BUY	874	49¢	$428	0x7181e5…
07-17 06:11:49	iran successfully targets shipping on july 14	No	BUY	42	1¢	$0	0xdeab54…
07-17 01:55:16	iran successfully targets shipping on july 14	No	BUY	200	1¢	$2	0x94099b…
07-17 00:23:01	iran successfully targets shipping on july 14	No	BUY	3,816	1¢	$38	0xb51f74…
07-16 23:52:08	will 30 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by july 31 2026	No	SELL	266	70¢	$186	0x0bfb3a…
07-16 16:43:26	iran military action against a gulf state on july 16 20260708212322941	Yes	BUY	263	62¢	$163	0xc48b32…
07-16 13:12:05	will wti reach 95 in july 2026	Yes	BUY	1,100	10¢	$109	0x718982…
07-16 13:02:55	will wti reach 85 in july 2026	Yes	BUY	1,300	57¢	$741	0xc46f1a…
07-16 02:10:13	will 30 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by july 31 2026	No	SELL	61	70¢	$43	0x891757…
07-15 23:51:28	will 30 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by july 31 2026	No	SELL	2	70¢	$1	0x94fc33…
07-15 23:51:23	will 30 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by july 31 2026	No	SELL	200	70¢	$140	0xd71fdb…
07-15 19:44:43	will 30 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by july 31 2026	No	SELL	71	70¢	$50	0x538be5…
07-15 14:32:04	bitcoin above 66k on july 15 2026	Yes	BUY	11	9¢	$1	0xb00b1c…
07-15 14:31:47	bitcoin above 66k on july 15 2026	Yes	BUY	10	9¢	$1	0xce0a40…
07-15 14:31:25	bitcoin above 66k on july 15 2026	Yes	BUY	3	9¢	$0	0xe63e91…
07-15 14:29:55	bitcoin above 66k on july 15 2026	Yes	BUY	376	9¢	$33	0x185a92…
07-15 14:11:23	will 30 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by july 31 2026	No	SELL	6,027	65¢	$3,918	0x440947…
07-15 10:36:22	will wti reach 95 in july 2026	Yes	BUY	207	14¢	$29	0x16a8a1…
07-15 04:53:58	will 30 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by july 31 2026	No	SELL	1,480	70¢	$1,035	0xf68d94…
07-14 20:47:07	will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by july 31 20260622191733846 586 829 787	Yes	SELL	683	35¢	$239	0x1a5d52…