Valid-Profit — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$9.80K

Unrealized P&L

-$396

Hit rate

67.9%

Resolved

182

Trades

1,875

lifetime

Volume

$244.6K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$130

Open exposure

$273

3 positions

First seen

2026-01-29

last 10-26 06:18

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 78 days

Categories

Other

58% 42% +$13,467

Politics

34% 39% -$935

Crypto

7% 13% -$4,500

Tech

2% 33% +$1,766

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

45 active days in 12wk • peak 86 trades/day

Open positions (3) Resolved markets (29) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in October?	Yes	+972	$366	25¢	$243	-$123	10-24 00:25
Will Alberta vote for independence in 2026?	Yes	+1,018	$183	3¢	$26	-$156	05-22 07:46
Will 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?	Yes	+2,000	$120	0¢	$3	-$117	06-17 12:33

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will 30 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by july 31 2026	39	$17.1K	33,093	28,468	+4,624	No	+$651	07-28 18:07
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	31	$16.0K	25,262	25,262	+0	No	+$1,456	05-07 15:33
us strikes iran by february 28 2026 227 967 547 688 589 491 592 418 452 924 384 915 464 672 196 157 993 596 269 535 381 391 471 256 988 997 296 225 762 973 292 827 345 182 558 215 794 879 189 761	39	$15.2K	14,023	14,023	+0	Yes	-$630	02-28 06:47
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	39	$10.6K	36,840	36,840	+0	No	+$39	06-27 09:17
Israel announces suspension of Lebanon offensive by April 17, 2026?	32	$9.7K	8,447	7,408	+1,039	Yes	+$4,790	04-16 16:54
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in April?	9	$8.0K	14,520	14,077	+443	No	+$1,114	04-21 03:43
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in April?	1	$7.7K	8,199	0	+8,199	Yes	+$527	04-17 15:09
will 60 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by june 30 2026	38	$7.2K	13,753	13,753	+0	No	+$405	06-30 16:45
Will New People (NL) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	29	$6.3K	14,167	14,167	+0	No	-$1,570	09-20 06:14
will wti reach 85 in july 2026	36	$5.7K	5,580	5,580	+0	Yes	+$1,125	07-20 08:40
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 31, 2026?	18	$5.7K	14,825	14,825	+0	No	+$469	05-22 06:43
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026?	8	$5.7K	18,600	18,600	+0	No	-$810	05-21 10:33
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in October?	38	$5.4K	10,535	2,493	+8,042	Yes	+$6,186	10-17 06:39
will wti reach 85 in july 2026 from july 27	1	$5.1K	8,000	0	+8,000	Yes	+$2,884	07-29 10:42
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in May?	19	$4.9K	4,709	4,792	-83	No	+$446	05-12 09:39
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $115 in May?	9	$4.8K	3,957	3,957	+0	No	+$62	05-04 10:40
us x iran diplomatic meeting by june 21 2026	14	$4.5K	4,292	4,292	+0	Yes	+$232	06-20 03:50
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?	115	$4.4K	5,030	5,030	+0	No	+$1,421	06-19 13:27
will wti reach 80 in july 2026 791	1	$4.3K	10,000	0	+10,000	Yes	+$5,700	07-13 11:13
will wti reach 95 in july 2026	39	$3.9K	18,431	3,431	+15,000	No	-$1,436	07-30 03:02
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in September?	6	$3.7K	11,006	11,006	+0	No	+$1,918	09-10 12:39
will pete hegseth ban claude by march 31	14	$3.4K	2,639	2,638	+0	Yes	+$1,821	02-27 22:38
Starmer out by May 15, 2026?	13	$3.4K	3,080	3,080	+0	No	+$222	05-14 06:36
will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by july 31 20260622191733846 586 829 787	18	$3.3K	6,400	6,400	+0	No	+$175	07-18 14:45
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on September 11?	7	$3.2K	5,600	5,600	+0	No	+$2,852	09-11 15:53
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in May?	5	$3.2K	5,000	0	+5,000	No	-$3,186	05-27 12:37
khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by march 31	4	$3.0K	8,180	8,180	+0	Yes	-$2,920	03-01 04:49
US strikes Iran by June 30, 2026?	6	$2.9K	4,060	3,628	+432	Yes	-$57	02-01 13:12
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	2	$2.9K	5,000	5,000	+0	open	—	10-26 06:18
us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 31 2026 20260622191708361	5	$2.5K	2,143	2,143	-0	No	-$31	07-11 11:17

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-26 06:18:23	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	SELL	5,000	25¢	$1,250	0xe3cf00…
10-25 23:17:48	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	SELL	2,000	9¢	$180	0x56d026…
10-25 22:54:35	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	2,000	25¢	$500	0xffbdd0…
10-24 00:25:32	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in October?	Yes	SELL	28	85¢	$24	0xed6ae7…
10-23 12:50:15	Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	1,000	2¢	$16	0x94b0dc…
10-19 16:14:51	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?	Yes	SELL	923	60¢	$554	0xfd2302…
10-19 16:13:44	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?	Yes	SELL	2	60¢	$1	0xc8259e…
10-19 16:13:14	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?	Yes	SELL	76	60¢	$45	0x4ca719…
10-19 15:59:56	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?	Yes	BUY	523	45¢	$235	0x38acec…
10-19 15:59:38	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?	Yes	BUY	312	45¢	$141	0x7d23ff…
10-19 15:59:11	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?	Yes	BUY	165	45¢	$74	0x36753f…
10-19 03:42:38	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in October?	Yes	BUY	475	39¢	$185	0x51c71e…
10-19 01:45:06	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in October?	Yes	BUY	21	39¢	$8	0x790a0d…
10-19 01:45:02	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in October?	Yes	BUY	20	39¢	$8	0x46a1af…
10-19 01:44:59	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in October?	Yes	BUY	21	39¢	$8	0xf92199…
10-19 01:44:45	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in October?	Yes	BUY	9	39¢	$4	0xa655af…
10-19 01:44:44	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in October?	Yes	BUY	50	39¢	$20	0xc7ac5d…
10-19 01:36:29	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in October?	Yes	BUY	404	39¢	$157	0x588852…
10-18 15:06:18	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	BUY	5,000	32¢	$1,600	0xb1e722…
10-17 06:39:36	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in October?	Yes	SELL	1	96¢	$1	0xc0d6be…
10-17 05:35:55	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in October?	Yes	SELL	2	96¢	$2	0x0d7f84…
10-17 03:52:48	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in October?	Yes	SELL	1	96¢	$1	0x7c37f1…
10-17 03:22:09	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in October?	Yes	SELL	20	96¢	$19	0xdc7e82…
10-17 03:00:39	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in October?	Yes	SELL	20	96¢	$19	0xf8269a…
10-17 02:58:06	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in October?	Yes	SELL	150	96¢	$144	0xf9dc82…
10-17 02:55:35	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in October?	Yes	SELL	15	96¢	$14	0x89a71c…
10-17 01:36:53	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in October?	Yes	SELL	21	95¢	$20	0x81a684…
10-17 01:36:36	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in October?	Yes	SELL	50	95¢	$48	0xa435cf…
10-17 01:36:26	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in October?	Yes	SELL	50	95¢	$48	0xd0cf06…
10-17 01:36:02	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in October?	Yes	SELL	50	95¢	$48	0x711846…
10-17 01:33:45	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in October?	Yes	SELL	50	95¢	$48	0xd6c794…
10-17 01:33:36	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in October?	Yes	SELL	50	95¢	$48	0xdfffa7…
10-17 01:33:17	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in October?	Yes	SELL	29	95¢	$28	0x19d86a…
10-17 00:12:03	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in October?	Yes	SELL	28	88¢	$25	0x796012…
10-16 23:49:59	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in October?	Yes	SELL	275	88¢	$242	0x023d92…
10-16 23:33:41	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in October?	Yes	SELL	101	88¢	$89	0x62325f…
10-16 22:21:41	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in October?	Yes	SELL	100	88¢	$88	0x50ae4f…
10-16 21:52:45	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in October?	Yes	SELL	59	88¢	$52	0x2429dd…
10-16 21:23:56	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in October?	Yes	SELL	36	88¢	$32	0x658c12…
10-16 21:01:30	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in October?	Yes	SELL	384	86¢	$330	0x50adac…
10-13 15:28:43	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in October?	Yes	SELL	200	43¢	$86	0x679482…
10-13 15:28:41	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in October?	Yes	SELL	200	43¢	$86	0x503399…
10-13 15:28:40	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in October?	Yes	SELL	200	43¢	$86	0x8e25d9…
10-13 15:28:38	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in October?	Yes	SELL	200	43¢	$86	0x38a867…
10-13 15:28:35	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in October?	Yes	SELL	200	43¢	$86	0x609b96…
10-13 12:41:25	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in October?	Yes	BUY	5,000	32¢	$1,600	0x1c4833…
10-11 15:29:37	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in October?	Yes	BUY	1,000	36¢	$360	0xf7b5e9…
10-09 08:56:55	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in October?	Yes	BUY	1,000	32¢	$320	0xd961bc…
10-09 04:25:33	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in October?	Yes	BUY	195	35¢	$68	0xc35409…
10-09 04:25:31	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in October?	Yes	BUY	500	35¢	$175	0x4ea122…
10-09 03:50:03	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in October?	Yes	BUY	197	35¢	$69	0xebcc3a…
10-09 01:44:45	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in October?	Yes	BUY	5	35¢	$2	0xa4163b…
10-09 01:44:21	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in October?	Yes	BUY	103	35¢	$36	0xf62bcd…
10-08 16:22:47	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in October?	Yes	BUY	41	33¢	$14	0x8a3f96…
10-08 06:48:08	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in October?	Yes	BUY	5	32¢	$2	0xf94a1b…
10-08 06:47:41	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in October?	Yes	BUY	389	32¢	$125	0x5477b3…
10-04 15:34:58	will wti reach 100 in october 2026	Yes	BUY	2,100	41¢	$861	0xc76bdb…
09-25 13:57:24	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-25 13:55 UTC	Up	BUY	500	24¢	$118	0x3353d6…
09-25 13:47:05	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-25 13:45 UTC	Up	BUY	500	7¢	$34	0x0be413…
09-25 02:13:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 24, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET	Down	BUY	52	5¢	$3	0xd79f5c…
09-25 02:13:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 24, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET	Down	BUY	52	5¢	$3	0xc3a511…
09-25 02:13:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 24, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET	Down	BUY	52	5¢	$3	0xbf97eb…
09-25 02:13:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 24, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET	Down	BUY	12	5¢	$1	0xbf798c…
09-25 02:13:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 24, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET	Down	BUY	5	5¢	$0	0xbf7383…
09-25 02:13:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 24, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET	Down	BUY	52	5¢	$3	0xa75e80…
09-25 02:13:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 24, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET	Down	BUY	8	5¢	$0	0x804f2c…
09-25 02:13:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 24, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET	Down	BUY	52	5¢	$3	0x612a90…
09-25 02:13:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 24, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET	Down	BUY	52	5¢	$3	0x4dad4e…
09-25 02:13:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 24, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET	Down	BUY	52	5¢	$3	0x2b9a38…
09-25 02:13:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 24, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET	Down	BUY	52	5¢	$3	0x12bbb0…
09-25 02:13:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 24, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET	Down	BUY	11	5¢	$1	0x05b0bd…
09-25 02:13:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 24, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET	Down	BUY	7	5¢	$0	0xfd8954…
09-25 02:13:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 24, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET	Down	BUY	7	5¢	$0	0x0a05e5…
09-25 02:13:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 24, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET	Down	BUY	1	5¢	$0	0xf088c8…
09-25 02:13:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 24, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET	Down	BUY	1	5¢	$0	0xcfcffd…
09-25 02:13:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 24, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET	Down	BUY	1	5¢	$0	0xae9acb…
09-25 02:12:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 24, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET	Down	BUY	1	5¢	$0	0xf26150…
09-25 02:12:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 24, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET	Down	BUY	27	5¢	$1	0xb9c7f1…
09-25 02:12:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 24, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET	Down	BUY	1	5¢	$0	0x79b079…
09-25 02:12:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 24, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET	Down	BUY	119	5¢	$6	0x54aba5…
09-25 02:12:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 24, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET	Down	BUY	1	5¢	$0	0x0af9c8…
09-25 02:12:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 24, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET	Down	BUY	32	5¢	$2	0xfd17cf…
09-25 02:12:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 24, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET	Down	BUY	5	5¢	$0	0xcc303a…
09-25 02:12:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 24, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET	Down	BUY	6	5¢	$0	0x3deb1d…
09-25 02:12:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 24, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET	Down	BUY	114	5¢	$6	0x1b16d9…
09-25 02:12:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 24, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET	Down	BUY	2	5¢	$0	0xe8e941…
09-25 02:12:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 24, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET	Down	BUY	11	5¢	$1	0xb530a4…
09-25 02:12:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 24, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET	Down	BUY	0	5¢	$0	0x9e202e…
09-25 02:12:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 24, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET	Down	BUY	1	5¢	$0	0xe9cb38…
09-25 02:12:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 24, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET	Down	BUY	2	5¢	$0	0xd58e50…
09-25 02:12:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 24, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET	Down	BUY	1	5¢	$0	0x77764f…
09-25 02:12:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 24, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET	Down	BUY	1	5¢	$0	0x3dd344…
09-25 02:12:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 24, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET	Down	BUY	35	5¢	$2	0x1effdf…
09-25 02:12:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 24, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET	Down	BUY	1	5¢	$0	0xd07fd3…
09-25 02:12:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 24, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET	Down	BUY	1	5¢	$0	0x7bdea3…
09-25 02:12:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 24, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET	Down	BUY	1	5¢	$0	0x5116f3…
09-25 02:12:18	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-25 02:10 UTC	Down	BUY	1	5¢	$0	0xf1cfed…
09-25 02:12:18	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-25 02:10 UTC	Down	BUY	1	5¢	$0	0xd7ae86…
09-25 02:12:18	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-25 02:10 UTC	Down	BUY	1	5¢	$0	0xc6d884…
09-25 02:12:18	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-25 02:10 UTC	Down	BUY	30	5¢	$2	0x7d9388…