Fruitful-Gemsbok — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$16

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

97.2%

Resolved

176

Trades

186

lifetime

Volume

$4.92K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$26

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-10

last 10-25 20:03

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 93 days

Categories

Crypto

55% 98% +$9

Other

38% 100% +$6

Politics

7% 100% +$1

Tech

0% 100% +$0

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

27 active days in 12wk • peak 2 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
xrp above 1pt2 on april 19	2	$86	43	43	+0	Yes	$0	04-17 20:42
will bitcoin dip to 66k april 13 19	1	$77	77	0	+77	No	+$0	04-18 22:28
ethereum above 2500 on april 20	1	$74	74	0	+74	No	+$0	04-20 10:15
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on September 24?	1	$74	74	0	+74	Yes	+$0	09-24 06:59
Will Bitcoin dip to $74,000 October 19-25?	1	$72	73	0	+73	No	+$0	10-25 12:01
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,300 on October 19?	1	$72	72	0	+72	Yes	+$0	10-19 06:54
will bitcoin dip to 58k july 6 12 2026	1	$68	68	0	+68	No	+$0	07-11 23:46
will bitcoin dip to 54k june 29 july 5 2026	1	$66	66	0	+66	No	+$0	07-03 21:33
will ethereum dip to 2000 in august 2026	2	$66	66	0	+66	No	+$0	08-31 11:52
Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?	1	$62	62	0	+62	No	+$0	06-23 19:40
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from September 1 to September 8, 2026?	1	$61	61	0	+61	No	+$0	09-06 03:39
Will Bev Craig win the 2026 Greater Manchester Mayoral Election?	1	$57	57	0	+57	Yes	+$0	07-28 15:17
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from June 26 to July 3, 2026?	1	$56	57	0	+57	No	+$0	07-01 08:16
Will France send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by April 30, 2026?	1	$56	56	0	+56	No	+$0	04-29 07:50
Will Prabowo Subianto cease to be President of Indonesia by May 31, 2026?	2	$55	55	0	+55	No	+$0	05-29 00:03
ethereum above 1800 on july 22 2026	1	$55	55	0	+55	Yes	+$0	07-22 04:38
bitcoin above 68k on august 12 2026	1	$55	55	0	+55	No	+$0	08-11 10:27
Will Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from July 16 to July 18, 2026?	1	$53	53	0	+53	No	+$0	07-16 20:44
Will Bitcoin dip to $66,000 May 18-24?	2	$52	53	0	+53	No	+$0	05-23 07:11
bitcoin above 72k on april 18	2	$52	26	26	+0	Yes	$0	04-17 20:43
Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from October 16 to October 23, 2026?	1	$51	52	0	+52	No	+$0	10-21 03:52
bitcoin above 66k on june 7 2026	1	$50	51	0	+51	No	+$0	06-06 12:39
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on September 14?	1	$49	49	0	+49	No	+$0	09-14 00:22
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on October 6?	1	$49	49	0	+49	Yes	+$0	10-06 11:32
Will Grand Theft Auto VI Extended Look get between 24 and 26 million views on week 1?	1	$48	48	0	+48	No	+$0	09-01 14:12
Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from May 22 to May 29, 2026?	2	$46	47	0	+47	No	+$0	05-27 12:06
bitcoin above 68k on june 22 2026	1	$45	46	0	+46	No	+$0	06-22 05:11
elon musk of tweets april 17 april 24 300 319	1	$45	46	0	+46	No	+$0	04-23 01:44
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from August 11 to August 18, 2026?	1	$44	44	0	+44	No	+$0	08-16 14:13
elon musk of tweets april 10 april 17 400 419	2	$44	22	22	+0	No	+$0	04-17 09:09

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-25 20:03:56	Will Bitcoin dip to $76,000 October 19-25?	No	BUY	21	100¢	$21	0x48b39b…
10-25 12:01:56	Will Bitcoin dip to $74,000 October 19-25?	No	BUY	73	99¢	$72	0x5e1464…
10-21 14:21:14	Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from October 16 to October 23, 2026?	No	BUY	17	100¢	$17	0xcc5b75…
10-21 03:52:23	Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from October 16 to October 23, 2026?	No	BUY	52	100¢	$51	0x581c84…
10-19 06:54:24	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,300 on October 19?	Yes	BUY	72	100¢	$72	0x0f0956…
10-17 02:08:38	Will Ethereum dip to $1,900 October 12-18?	No	BUY	25	100¢	$25	0x7de0a2…
10-07 02:11:09	Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026?	No	BUY	18	99¢	$18	0x2ca38c…
10-06 11:32:43	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on October 6?	Yes	BUY	49	100¢	$49	0x1d1331…
09-30 06:50:17	Will Bitcoin reach $92,500 in September?	No	BUY	41	100¢	$41	0x2c54bf…
09-29 10:57:45	Russia-Ukraine peace talks by September 30, 2026?	No	BUY	17	99¢	$17	0xed5f72…
09-27 22:32:17	Will Z.ai have the best Chinese AI model at the end of September 2026?	No	BUY	17	100¢	$17	0x094c3d…
09-24 06:59:45	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on September 24?	Yes	BUY	74	100¢	$74	0x5f9d72…
09-22 01:18:13	will bitcoin reach 88k on september 21 2026	No	BUY	27	99¢	$27	0x0822f7…
09-17 14:37:06	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on September 18?	Yes	BUY	13	100¢	$13	0x01ea85…
09-14 00:22:07	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on September 14?	No	BUY	49	100¢	$49	0xf69201…
09-13 15:22:21	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on September 15?	Yes	BUY	29	99¢	$29	0xc529b0…
09-06 07:50:57	Will Ethereum reach $2,700 August 31-September 6?	No	BUY	27	100¢	$27	0xb047f1…
09-06 03:39:06	Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from September 1 to September 8, 2026?	No	BUY	61	100¢	$61	0x4b2ed2…
09-02 11:15:21	Will Grand Theft Auto VI Extended Look get between 22 and 24 million views on week 1?	No	BUY	24	100¢	$24	0x1ef907…
09-01 14:12:31	Will Grand Theft Auto VI Extended Look get between 24 and 26 million views on week 1?	No	BUY	48	100¢	$48	0xebc199…
08-31 11:52:15	will ethereum dip to 2000 in august 2026	No	BUY	38	100¢	$38	0xb5c162…
08-29 18:14:52	will ethereum dip to 2000 in august 2026	No	BUY	28	100¢	$28	0xc9747c…
08-24 23:20:22	Will Elon Musk post 420-439 tweets from August 21 to August 28, 2026?	No	BUY	27	100¢	$27	0x2ec361…
08-21 04:40:33	bitcoin above 68k on august 22 2026	Yes	BUY	23	99¢	$23	0x8cd5c4…
08-18 03:10:13	ethereum above 1800 on august 18 2026	Yes	BUY	24	99¢	$24	0x26f419…
08-17 21:59:36	bitcoin above 68k on august 18 2026	No	BUY	29	100¢	$29	0xd6704d…
08-16 14:13:37	Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from August 11 to August 18, 2026?	No	BUY	44	100¢	$44	0x3bb145…
08-13 20:38:54	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,000 on August 14?	No	BUY	11	99¢	$11	0x5e0c95…
08-11 10:27:36	bitcoin above 68k on august 12 2026	No	BUY	55	100¢	$55	0xdfb584…
08-07 22:11:58	will ethereum reach 2200 august 3 9 2026	No	BUY	18	99¢	$18	0x945969…
07-28 15:17:04	Will Bev Craig win the 2026 Greater Manchester Mayoral Election?	Yes	BUY	57	100¢	$57	0xb66288…
07-27 01:15:42	Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from July 21 to July 28, 2026?	No	BUY	17	100¢	$17	0x41d2b4…
07-22 04:38:10	ethereum above 1800 on july 22 2026	Yes	BUY	55	99¢	$55	0xd98f76…
07-21 19:54:52	bitcoin above 62k on july 22 2026	Yes	BUY	18	100¢	$18	0x2def50…
07-17 09:23:31	Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from July 16 to July 18, 2026?	No	BUY	22	100¢	$22	0xc1e47a…
07-16 20:44:23	Will Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from July 16 to July 18, 2026?	No	BUY	53	100¢	$53	0xcbf686…
07-15 11:39:23	Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from July 10 to July 17, 2026?	No	BUY	28	100¢	$28	0xdd395e…
07-12 22:15:38	Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from July 7 to July 14, 2026?	No	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0x036c8d…
07-11 23:46:34	will bitcoin dip to 58k july 6 12 2026	No	BUY	68	100¢	$68	0x8dfdab…
07-11 07:47:20	Will 225 or more ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between July 6-July 12?	No	BUY	11	99¢	$11	0x9ef4b8…
07-08 21:48:11	will bitcoin dip to 59k on july 8	No	BUY	29	100¢	$29	0xa36f70…
07-05 18:40:52	Will "Minions & Monsters" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 68m and 77m?	No	BUY	40	100¢	$40	0x516851…
07-04 12:08:58	will bitcoin dip to 56k june 29 july 5 2026	No	BUY	18	100¢	$18	0x638f00…
07-03 21:33:50	will bitcoin dip to 54k june 29 july 5 2026	No	BUY	66	100¢	$66	0x853958…
07-03 14:31:43	bitcoin above 54k on july 5 2026	Yes	BUY	26	100¢	$26	0xeb3f8a…
07-02 19:13:56	Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from June 26 to July 3, 2026?	No	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0x02f45e…
07-02 14:51:25	ethereum above 1400 on july 3 2026	Yes	BUY	27	100¢	$27	0xc0f16f…
07-02 05:14:37	ethereum above 1500 on july 2 2026	Yes	BUY	28	100¢	$28	0xe80535…
07-01 12:07:08	ethereum above 1700 on july 1 2026	No	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0x413a31…
07-01 08:16:50	Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from June 26 to July 3, 2026?	No	BUY	57	100¢	$56	0xa84c08…
06-30 21:35:56	bitcoin above 66k on july 2 2026	No	BUY	21	100¢	$21	0xa0dd9f…
06-25 12:19:29	Will the price of Bitcoin be between $64,000 and $66,000 on June 25?	No	BUY	22	100¢	$21	0x983de3…
06-24 10:05:07	Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?	No	BUY	27	99¢	$27	0x31c815…
06-23 19:40:32	Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?	No	BUY	62	100¢	$62	0xb3ae65…
06-22 09:45:05	Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from June 16 to June 23, 2026?	No	BUY	26	100¢	$26	0xc0bcf4…
06-22 05:11:31	bitcoin above 68k on june 22 2026	No	BUY	46	100¢	$45	0xf55320…
06-21 20:30:02	Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from June 20 to June 22, 2026?	No	BUY	22	100¢	$22	0x30e71d…
06-07 23:21:21	Will May 2026 be the 4th or lower hottest on record?	No	BUY	25	100¢	$25	0x0b1486…
06-07 11:23:40	bitcoin above 70k on june 8 2026	No	BUY	33	100¢	$32	0xfcab08…
06-06 12:39:13	bitcoin above 66k on june 7 2026	No	BUY	51	100¢	$50	0x9ce89c…
06-02 22:42:29	Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from June 1 to June 3, 2026?	No	BUY	18	99¢	$18	0x6bd628…
06-02 20:08:08	Will Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from June 1 to June 3, 2026?	No	BUY	14	100¢	$14	0xd664ed…
06-02 01:16:14	Will the People Power Party (PPP) win the 2026 South Korean local elections?	No	BUY	18	99¢	$18	0x24bd3e…
06-01 13:28:53	Will Dylan Colbert advance from the 2026 California Governor primary election?	No	BUY	29	100¢	$29	0x91f302…
05-31 03:53:55	Will Nicholas Thompson advance from the 2026 California Governor primary election?	No	BUY	14	100¢	$14	0x41b59a…
05-30 19:15:30	Will Rob Sand win the 2026 Iowa Governor Democratic primary election?	Yes	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0x3a801b…
05-30 10:47:39	Will OpenAI have the second best AI model at the end of May 2026?	No	BUY	12	100¢	$12	0xa65560…
05-30 09:15:31	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on May 30?	Yes	BUY	16	100¢	$16	0x4f61c8…
05-29 11:32:05	Will Elon Musk post 1000-1039 tweets in May 2026?	No	BUY	12	100¢	$12	0xb9836e…
05-29 00:03:01	Will Prabowo Subianto cease to be President of Indonesia by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	28	100¢	$28	0x6f75d9…
05-28 14:42:58	Will Germany send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	16	100¢	$16	0x8541da…
05-28 11:52:05	Will there be between 40 and 60 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on May 31?	No	BUY	28	100¢	$28	0xfdd613…
05-28 02:28:56	Will Prabowo Subianto cease to be President of Indonesia by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	27	100¢	$27	0x4decc8…
05-27 23:46:35	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 28?	No	BUY	28	99¢	$28	0xf92c2b…
05-27 12:06:12	Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from May 22 to May 29, 2026?	No	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0x894d57…
05-26 20:32:09	Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from May 22 to May 29, 2026?	No	BUY	36	99¢	$35	0x30e392…
05-26 19:19:30	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 27?	No	BUY	25	99¢	$25	0x025128…
05-26 13:04:34	Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from May 25 to May 27, 2026?	No	BUY	24	100¢	$24	0xad6958…
05-25 15:07:57	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 25?	Yes	BUY	13	100¢	$13	0xbfdcc6…
05-25 10:04:20	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 25?	No	BUY	28	99¢	$28	0x114035…
05-25 06:01:57	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on May 26?	No	BUY	12	100¢	$12	0x862e7f…
05-24 11:58:07	Will the price of Bitcoin be between $74,000 and $76,000 on May 24?	No	BUY	18	100¢	$17	0x69e781…
05-24 02:50:07	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 24?	Yes	BUY	13	99¢	$13	0xd9c2ef…
05-23 20:52:46	Will Bitcoin reach $84,000 May 18-24?	No	BUY	29	100¢	$29	0x240165…
05-23 13:57:33	Will Ethereum reach $2,400 May 18-24?	No	BUY	23	100¢	$23	0xa4b066…
05-23 07:11:29	Will Bitcoin dip to $66,000 May 18-24?	No	BUY	33	100¢	$32	0x86ed3e…
05-22 16:13:06	Will Bitcoin dip to $66,000 May 18-24?	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0xa9723d…
05-22 07:25:23	Will Bitcoin reach $86,000 May 18-24?	No	BUY	26	99¢	$26	0x45e885…
05-21 20:44:51	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 23?	No	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x592c14…
05-21 14:37:40	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on May 22?	Yes	BUY	28	100¢	$28	0xed6491…
05-21 02:21:51	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on May 22?	Yes	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0x7becd7…
05-20 21:11:30	Will "COWARD by Lukas DHONT" win Palme d'Or at the 2026 Cannes Film Festival?	No	BUY	24	100¢	$24	0x1e5a74…
05-19 23:35:56	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 20?	No	BUY	26	100¢	$25	0x0dd172…
05-19 21:48:29	Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026?	No	BUY	28	100¢	$28	0x9baa8b…
05-19 05:55:21	Will Rizo Velovic win Survivor Season 50?	No	BUY	13	99¢	$13	0x7d275a…
05-19 03:11:40	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on May 20?	No	BUY	33	100¢	$33	0x01e17b…
05-19 02:45:55	Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 on May 18?	No	BUY	23	100¢	$23	0x409e6b…
05-18 07:46:14	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 19?	No	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0x9d7c1c…
05-17 23:53:42	Will Doug Jones win the 2026 Alabama Governor Democratic primary election?	Yes	BUY	29	100¢	$29	0xa1517c…
05-17 20:18:01	Will Ethereum reach $2,400 May 11-17?	No	BUY	35	100¢	$35	0x43ff02…