Will Nicholas Thompson advance from the 2026 California Governor primary election?
open
Total volume
$1,679
$154 in 24h
Trades
56
Unique wallets
27
Liquidity
$7,741
Latest YES mid
0¢
Latest NO mid
100¢
End date
2026-06-02
First seen
2026-05-30
last 06-06 10:49
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐋 Whale | 1 | — | $419 | $419 |
| 🐬 Dolphin | 2 | $1 | $418 | $417 |
| 🐟 Fish | 1 | — | — | +— |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 23 | $0 | $352 | $352 |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🏆 Top 5% | 2 | — | $418 | $418 |
| Median | 20 | $0 | $324 | $324 |
| Below median | 1 | $0 | — | +$0 |
| 🔻 Bottom 5% | 1 | $1 | — | +$1 |
| unranked | 3 | $0 | $447 | $447 |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Evil-Row 0x7495…7fcf | Yes | +679 | $1 | $1 | 23 | 06-01 23:12 |
| Teeming-Technician 0x52e5…920a | No | +419 | $419 | $419 | 1 | 06-06 10:49 |
| Possible-Cello 0x182e…28ff | No | +47 | $47 | $47 | 2 | 06-01 00:12 |
| Bite-Sized-Modem 0x0e53…52bc | No | +38 | $38 | $38 | 1 | 06-01 17:56 |
| Fussy-Rancher 0xe2b7…7a30 | No | +28 | $28 | $28 | 1 | 05-30 16:24 |
| Prudent-Cop 0x0ca8…d2ce | No | +19 | $19 | $19 | 1 | 06-01 22:21 |
| Doting-Increase 0x0a71…9646 | No | +18 | $18 | $18 | 1 | 06-01 13:25 |
| Acclaimed-Party 0x6f78…a7b5 | No | +17 | $17 | $17 | 1 | 06-01 05:25 |
| Determined-Fog 0x58ce…ce5e | No | +15 | $14 | $14 | 1 | 06-01 21:31 |
| (anonymous) 0x716d…70a8 | Yes | +14 | $0 | $0 | 1 | 06-01 23:12 |
| (anonymous) 0x08ff…db60 | Yes | +14 | $0 | $0 | 1 | 06-01 23:12 |
| Fruitful-Gemsbok 0x26dd…548a | No | +14 | $14 | $14 | 1 | 05-31 03:53 |
| Rotating-Boogeyman 0x75e4…9c28 | No | +13 | $13 | $13 | 1 | 05-30 22:27 |
| Expensive-Dissemination 0xef8c…32bf | No | +12 | $12 | $12 | 1 | 06-01 05:34 |
| Posh-Chairlift 0x9386…84a3 | No | +12 | $12 | $12 | 1 | 06-01 13:41 |
| Illustrious-Candidacy 0x168e…d4b9 | No | +11 | $11 | $11 | 1 | 05-31 02:37 |
| Criminal-Precision 0x7469…3a0c | No | +11 | $11 | $11 | 1 | 05-31 15:00 |
| Mountainous-Donut 0x2558…c1b9 | No | +11 | $11 | $11 | 1 | 06-01 17:38 |
| Compassionate-Slip 0x8c59…bc4a | No | +10 | $10 | $10 | 1 | 06-01 17:06 |
| Unruly-Inhabitant 0x7be2…83a2 | No | +8 | $8 | $8 | 1 | 06-01 18:11 |
| (anonymous) 0x3424…5d5e | Yes | +5 | $0 | $0 | 1 | 06-01 23:12 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06-06 10:49:16 | Accurate-Geyser 0x31ab…86cf | No | SELL | 419 | 100¢ | $419 | 0x3a443c… |
| 06-06 10:49:16 | Teeming-Technician 0x52e5…920a | No | BUY | 419 | 100¢ | $419 | 0x3a443c… |
| 06-01 23:12:33 | Accurate-Geyser 0x31ab…86cf | No | BUY | 81 | 100¢ | $81 | 0x383890… |
| 06-01 23:12:33 | (anonymous) 0x08ff…db60 | Yes | BUY | 14 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x383890… |
| 06-01 23:12:33 | Gray-Monocle 0x4534…821d | No | SELL | 12 | 100¢ | $12 | 0x383890… |
| 06-01 23:12:33 | (anonymous) 0x716d…70a8 | Yes | BUY | 14 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x383890… |
| 06-01 23:12:33 | Concrete-Handrail 0xe301…be70 | No | SELL | 18 | 100¢ | $18 | 0x383890… |
| 06-01 23:12:33 | (anonymous) 0x3424…5d5e | Yes | BUY | 5 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x383890… |
| 06-01 23:12:33 | Fancy-Sonar 0xffa5…0dce | No | SELL | 19 | 100¢ | $19 | 0x383890… |
| 06-01 23:12:01 | Evil-Row 0x7495…7fcf | Yes | BUY | 317 | 0¢ | $1 | 0xb0edfc… |
| 06-01 23:12:01 | Accurate-Geyser 0x31ab…86cf | No | BUY | 338 | 100¢ | $337 | 0xb0edfc… |
| 06-01 23:12:01 | Skinny-Centimeter 0x4473…95f1 | No | SELL | 21 | 100¢ | $21 | 0xb0edfc… |
| 06-01 22:21:44 | Evil-Row 0x7495…7fcf | Yes | BUY | 19 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xf8796f… |
| 06-01 22:21:44 | Prudent-Cop 0x0ca8…d2ce | No | BUY | 19 | 100¢ | $19 | 0xf8796f… |
| 06-01 21:31:59 | Evil-Row 0x7495…7fcf | Yes | BUY | 15 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x980936… |
| 06-01 21:31:59 | Determined-Fog 0x58ce…ce5e | No | BUY | 15 | 100¢ | $14 | 0x980936… |
| 06-01 18:11:15 | Unruly-Inhabitant 0x7be2…83a2 | No | BUY | 8 | 100¢ | $8 | 0xb6f121… |
| 06-01 18:11:15 | Evil-Row 0x7495…7fcf | Yes | BUY | 8 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xb6f121… |
| 06-01 17:56:23 | Bite-Sized-Modem 0x0e53…52bc | No | BUY | 38 | 100¢ | $38 | 0xc39ba0… |
| 06-01 17:56:23 | Evil-Row 0x7495…7fcf | Yes | BUY | 38 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xc39ba0… |
| 06-01 17:38:58 | Mountainous-Donut 0x2558…c1b9 | No | BUY | 11 | 100¢ | $11 | 0xa77acf… |
| 06-01 17:38:58 | Evil-Row 0x7495…7fcf | Yes | BUY | 11 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xa77acf… |
| 06-01 17:06:44 | Compassionate-Slip 0x8c59…bc4a | No | BUY | 10 | 100¢ | $10 | 0xcbcc02… |
| 06-01 17:06:44 | Evil-Row 0x7495…7fcf | Yes | BUY | 10 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xcbcc02… |
| 06-01 16:27:09 | Evil-Row 0x7495…7fcf | Yes | BUY | 9 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x2eb698… |
| 06-01 16:27:09 | Bossy-Expose 0xb79f…d749 | Yes | SELL | 9 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x2eb698… |
| 06-01 13:41:29 | Evil-Row 0x7495…7fcf | Yes | BUY | 12 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xee9371… |
| 06-01 13:41:29 | Posh-Chairlift 0x9386…84a3 | No | BUY | 12 | 100¢ | $12 | 0xee9371… |
| 06-01 13:25:55 | Doting-Increase 0x0a71…9646 | No | BUY | 18 | 100¢ | $18 | 0x368ad1… |
| 06-01 13:25:55 | Evil-Row 0x7495…7fcf | Yes | BUY | 18 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x368ad1… |
| 06-01 08:07:27 | Evil-Row 0x7495…7fcf | Yes | BUY | 12 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x33e4db… |
| 06-01 08:07:27 | Gray-Monocle 0x4534…821d | No | BUY | 12 | 100¢ | $12 | 0x33e4db… |
| 06-01 07:29:05 | Fancy-Sonar 0xffa5…0dce | No | BUY | 19 | 100¢ | $19 | 0x42ee7f… |
| 06-01 07:29:05 | Evil-Row 0x7495…7fcf | Yes | BUY | 19 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x42ee7f… |
| 06-01 05:34:40 | Expensive-Dissemination 0xef8c…32bf | No | BUY | 12 | 100¢ | $12 | 0x29479b… |
| 06-01 05:34:40 | Evil-Row 0x7495…7fcf | Yes | BUY | 12 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x29479b… |
| 06-01 05:25:01 | Evil-Row 0x7495…7fcf | Yes | BUY | 17 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x887c85… |
| 06-01 05:25:01 | Acclaimed-Party 0x6f78…a7b5 | No | BUY | 17 | 100¢ | $17 | 0x887c85… |
| 06-01 01:00:34 | Concrete-Handrail 0xe301…be70 | No | BUY | 18 | 100¢ | $18 | 0x53ae8c… |
| 06-01 01:00:34 | Evil-Row 0x7495…7fcf | Yes | BUY | 18 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x53ae8c… |
| 06-01 00:12:24 | Evil-Row 0x7495…7fcf | Yes | BUY | 28 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x9be903… |
| 06-01 00:12:24 | Possible-Cello 0x182e…28ff | No | BUY | 28 | 100¢ | $28 | 0x9be903… |
| 05-31 17:31:34 | Evil-Row 0x7495…7fcf | Yes | BUY | 21 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x4cf004… |
| 05-31 17:31:34 | Skinny-Centimeter 0x4473…95f1 | No | BUY | 21 | 100¢ | $21 | 0x4cf004… |
| 05-31 15:00:12 | Evil-Row 0x7495…7fcf | Yes | BUY | 11 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xe134ef… |
| 05-31 15:00:12 | Criminal-Precision 0x7469…3a0c | No | BUY | 11 | 100¢ | $11 | 0xe134ef… |
| 05-31 03:53:55 | Evil-Row 0x7495…7fcf | Yes | BUY | 14 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x41b59a… |
| 05-31 03:53:55 | Fruitful-Gemsbok 0x26dd…548a | No | BUY | 14 | 100¢ | $14 | 0x41b59a… |
| 05-31 02:37:17 | Illustrious-Candidacy 0x168e…d4b9 | No | BUY | 11 | 100¢ | $11 | 0x16f979… |
| 05-31 02:37:17 | Evil-Row 0x7495…7fcf | Yes | BUY | 11 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x16f979… |
| 05-30 22:56:30 | Evil-Row 0x7495…7fcf | Yes | BUY | 19 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x89b5a9… |
| 05-30 22:56:30 | Possible-Cello 0x182e…28ff | No | BUY | 19 | 100¢ | $19 | 0x89b5a9… |
| 05-30 22:27:34 | Evil-Row 0x7495…7fcf | Yes | BUY | 13 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x304d33… |
| 05-30 22:27:34 | Rotating-Boogeyman 0x75e4…9c28 | No | BUY | 13 | 100¢ | $13 | 0x304d33… |
| 05-30 16:24:11 | Evil-Row 0x7495…7fcf | Yes | BUY | 28 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x504a25… |
| 05-30 16:24:11 | Fussy-Rancher 0xe2b7…7a30 | No | BUY | 28 | 100¢ | $28 | 0x504a25… |