Gray-Monocle — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$1

Unrealized P&L

-$0

Hit rate

78.9%

Resolved

301

Trades

669

lifetime

Volume

$8.63K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$13

Open exposure

$13

3 positions

First seen

2026-01-20

last 11-07 13:47

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 67 days

Categories

Other

74% 81% +$1

Crypto

19% 75% +$0

Politics

3% 80% +$0

Sports

2% 80% $0

Tech

2% 80% +$0

Pop-Culture

0% 100% +$0

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

12 active days in 12wk • peak 7 trades/day

Open positions (3) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Jorge Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?	No	+6	$6	100¢	$6	+$0	10-16 03:11
Will Marco Rubio be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?	No	+6	$6	100¢	$6	$0	11-07 13:47
Will LA Galaxy win the 2026 MLS Cup?	No	+1	$1	100¢	$1	$0	08-27 01:28

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 24°C or below on June 27?	6	$101	50	50	+0	No	+$0	06-27 13:03
Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 19°C on July 13?	3	$87	43	43	+0	No	+$0	07-13 08:08
Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 45°C on May 27?	3	$83	42	42	+0	No	+$0	05-27 10:47
Will the Democratic Party of Korea win 0 or 1 seats in South Korea’s June 3, 2026 parliamentary by-elections?	4	$64	32	32	+0	No	+$0	06-03 09:41
ethereum above 1600 on july 13 2026	4	$63	32	32	+0	Yes	$0	07-13 08:11
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 76-77°F on May 29?	2	$60	30	30	+0	No	+$0	05-29 05:45
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 33°C or below on July 12?	2	$60	30	30	+0	No	+$0	07-12 12:32
Will Google have the second best AI model at the end of May 2026?	2	$59	30	30	+0	No	+$0	05-30 08:13
Will NYC Mayor post 80-99 posts from May 15 to May 22, 2026?	2	$59	30	30	+0	No	+$0	05-22 07:06
Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 31°C on July 12?	2	$59	29	29	+0	No	+$0	07-12 00:08
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 23°C or below on July 4?	2	$59	29	29	+0	No	+$0	07-03 19:57
Will Anthropic have the second best AI model at the end of May 2026?	2	$58	29	29	+0	Yes	+$0	05-31 16:07
Will PN win the 2026 Johor general elections?	2	$58	29	29	+0	No	+$0	07-10 21:19
ethereum above 1800 on july 1 2026	3	$58	29	29	+0	No	+$0	07-01 07:19
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 16°C on June 3?	2	$58	29	29	+0	No	+$0	06-03 09:37
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 22°C on July 3?	2	$58	29	29	+0	No	+$0	07-03 13:16
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 25°C or below on May 27?	2	$57	28	28	+0	No	+$0	05-26 06:57
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 30?	2	$57	28	28	+0	No	$0	05-29 14:09
Will "Supergirl" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 52m and 58m?	4	$57	28	28	+0	No	+$0	06-28 23:10
Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 31°C on June 26?	2	$56	28	28	+0	No	+$0	06-25 22:27
Will Bitcoin reach $73,000 on June 3?	3	$56	34	22	+11	No	+$0	06-03 18:38
ethereum above 1600 on july 15 2026	3	$54	27	27	+0	Yes	+$0	07-14 16:15
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 24°C on July 13?	2	$54	27	27	+0	No	+$0	07-13 13:14
Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 35°C on July 6?	3	$54	27	27	+0	No	+$0	07-06 07:00
Will the highest temperature in Busan be 24°C or below on July 6?	2	$53	27	27	+0	No	+$0	07-06 05:34
Will the price of Ethereum be between $1,900 and $2,000 on June 26?	2	$53	26	26	+0	No	+$0	06-26 03:20
Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 25°C on June 3?	2	$53	26	26	+0	No	+$0	06-03 09:39
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 36°C on July 1?	2	$53	26	26	+0	No	$0	06-30 23:58
solana above 70 on july 3 2026	3	$52	26	26	+0	Yes	$0	07-02 20:27
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 102-103°F on July 2?	2	$52	26	26	+0	No	+$0	07-02 21:05

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-07 13:47:03	Will Marco Rubio be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0x771361…
10-16 03:11:34	Will Jorge Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0x69e590…
10-13 03:34:14	Will Michael Olise win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0x5d6390…
10-05 03:21:53	Will Tulsi Gabbard win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	No	SELL	3	100¢	$3	0xa282ea…
10-05 03:21:01	Will Erling Haaland win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	No	SELL	4	100¢	$4	0xa95b64…
10-04 01:39:41	Will Erling Haaland win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$4	0xc93707…
10-02 22:00:12	Will 3 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?	No	SELL	4	100¢	$4	0xd5bf61…
10-02 21:59:20	Will Gina Raimondo win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	No	SELL	9	100¢	$9	0x020320…
09-26 09:38:33	Will 3 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?	No	BUY	4	100¢	$4	0xad07c0…
09-24 04:47:18	Will Tulsi Gabbard win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	No	BUY	3	100¢	$3	0x982c2a…
09-17 15:36:45	Will Gina Raimondo win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0xa15f1d…
09-07 12:41:22	Will Jared Polis win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	No	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0xa6c63e…
09-07 12:40:09	Will Hakeem Jeffries win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	No	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0x572bb3…
09-07 12:38:55	Will John N. Kennedy win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	No	SELL	2	100¢	$2	0xcb4942…
09-07 12:37:43	Will Ayelet Shaked be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	SELL	3	100¢	$3	0x1bf048…
09-07 12:36:30	Will Michael Olise win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	No	SELL	3	100¢	$3	0xd6604c…
09-07 12:35:15	Will Matt Gaetz win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	No	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0x0556f0…
09-07 12:34:04	Will Tereza Cristina win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	No	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0xc9d796…
08-27 01:28:18	Will LA Galaxy win the 2026 MLS Cup?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xb7c2c4…
08-26 12:39:09	Will Jared Polis win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xe18651…
08-12 12:56:09	Will Hakeem Jeffries win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xfa89be…
08-11 13:11:34	Will John N. Kennedy win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0xef64e6…
08-07 01:51:24	Will Ayelet Shaked be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	BUY	3	100¢	$3	0x59ac36…
08-03 16:33:47	Will Michael Olise win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	No	BUY	3	100¢	$3	0x2e2c88…
07-29 19:06:38	Will Matt Gaetz win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x9f1cdc…
07-28 05:01:01	Will Tereza Cristina win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xac090a…
07-14 16:15:20	ethereum above 1600 on july 15 2026	Yes	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0x06e819…
07-14 15:37:53	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 32°C on July 15?	No	BUY	28	100¢	$28	0xd1aa5c…
07-14 14:32:01	ethereum above 1600 on july 15 2026	Yes	SELL	26	100¢	$26	0x363378…
07-14 10:15:47	Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 20°C or below on July 14?	Yes	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0xb529ba…
07-14 09:31:14	Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 11°C or below on July 14?	No	SELL	15	100¢	$15	0x83c1a9…
07-14 09:02:08	ethereum above 1600 on july 15 2026	Yes	BUY	27	100¢	$27	0xb38c2a…
07-14 06:36:22	Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 11°C or below on July 14?	No	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0xd25ea9…
07-14 06:09:43	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 84-85°F on July 14?	No	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0x2d0b24…
07-14 05:59:44	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 84-85°F on July 14?	No	SELL	24	100¢	$24	0xa1aaeb…
07-14 05:53:58	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 84-85°F on July 14?	No	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0x8d5fac…
07-13 23:11:02	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 37°C on July 14?	No	SELL	11	100¢	$11	0x9ff5a2…
07-13 19:11:17	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 84-85°F on July 14?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x549959…
07-13 17:02:59	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 84-85°F on July 14?	No	BUY	25	100¢	$25	0x7c97b5…
07-13 13:14:44	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 24°C on July 13?	No	SELL	27	100¢	$27	0x998082…
07-13 12:39:35	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 37°C on July 14?	No	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0x45b45c…
07-13 08:11:35	ethereum above 1600 on july 13 2026	Yes	SELL	23	100¢	$23	0xa3a6fe…
07-13 08:08:26	Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 19°C on July 13?	No	SELL	43	100¢	$43	0x107b2f…
07-13 01:23:13	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 24°C on July 13?	No	BUY	27	100¢	$27	0x52fa34…
07-13 00:05:26	Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 19°C on July 13?	No	BUY	22	100¢	$22	0x008e00…
07-12 17:08:37	ethereum above 1600 on july 13 2026	Yes	BUY	23	100¢	$23	0x4d8313…
07-12 15:46:40	ethereum above 1600 on july 13 2026	Yes	SELL	9	100¢	$9	0xc14375…
07-12 14:59:19	Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 19°C on July 13?	No	BUY	21	100¢	$21	0xbf5a35…
07-12 13:10:46	Will the price of Ethereum be between $1,900 and $2,000 on July 12?	No	BUY	18	100¢	$17	0xc55120…
07-12 12:32:17	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 33°C or below on July 12?	No	SELL	30	100¢	$30	0xc9444f…
07-12 11:19:16	ethereum above 1600 on july 13 2026	Yes	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x9aaf81…
07-12 08:53:02	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 37°C or higher on July 12?	No	SELL	12	100¢	$12	0x1eb56d…
07-12 06:46:23	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 37°C or higher on July 12?	No	BUY	12	100¢	$12	0xc0fb7f…
07-12 05:35:25	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 29°C on July 12?	No	SELL	13	100¢	$13	0x251cc3…
07-12 03:20:32	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 33°C or below on July 12?	No	BUY	30	100¢	$30	0xf4f926…
07-12 01:44:13	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 29°C on July 12?	No	BUY	13	100¢	$13	0xa50f49…
07-12 01:14:34	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 35°C on July 12?	No	SELL	0	100¢	$0	0xb941b5…
07-12 01:14:26	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 34°C on July 12?	No	SELL	4	100¢	$4	0x43b3fe…
07-12 01:01:49	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 34°C on July 12?	No	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0xa09b39…
07-12 01:01:47	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 34°C on July 12?	No	SELL	2	100¢	$2	0xd0c035…
07-12 00:43:44	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 35°C on July 12?	No	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0x999622…
07-12 00:43:29	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 35°C on July 12?	No	SELL	16	100¢	$16	0x050b4b…
07-12 00:08:11	Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 31°C on July 12?	No	SELL	29	100¢	$29	0xde7e3e…
07-11 23:26:41	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 34°C on July 12?	No	BUY	12	100¢	$12	0xddadec…
07-11 21:46:32	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 35°C on July 12?	No	BUY	21	100¢	$21	0x565805…
07-11 19:08:47	ethereum above 2000 on july 12 2026	No	SELL	6	100¢	$6	0xcdfc12…
07-11 14:50:08	ethereum above 2000 on july 12 2026	No	BUY	7	100¢	$6	0xd46791…
07-11 11:47:31	Will claude-opus-4-6 be the best AI model on July 11, 2026?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$9	0x7b52f7…
07-11 10:08:37	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 24°C on July 11?	No	SELL	4	100¢	$4	0xa2ff79…
07-11 10:08:23	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 24°C on July 11?	No	SELL	2	100¢	$2	0x15209f…
07-11 09:56:10	Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 31°C on July 12?	No	BUY	29	100¢	$29	0x068b14…
07-11 09:26:25	ethereum above 1700 on july 11 2026	Yes	SELL	25	100¢	$25	0xeeac82…
07-11 08:59:23	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 24°C on July 11?	No	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0x4ec75e…
07-11 07:44:53	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 24°C on July 11?	No	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0xff98ea…
07-11 06:05:05	Will the highest temperature in Denver be 87°F or below on July 11?	No	SELL	2	100¢	$2	0x1c7104…
07-11 05:50:35	ethereum above 1700 on july 11 2026	Yes	BUY	25	100¢	$25	0x7d41bf…
07-11 00:41:50	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 39°C or higher on July 11?	No	SELL	2	100¢	$1	0x243c7f…
07-11 00:29:50	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C or below on July 11?	No	SELL	9	100¢	$9	0x934972…
07-11 00:29:43	Will the highest temperature in Denver be 87°F or below on July 11?	No	SELL	22	100¢	$22	0x6c0882…
07-11 00:27:22	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 39°C or higher on July 11?	No	SELL	6	100¢	$6	0x76b287…
07-11 00:27:22	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 39°C or higher on July 11?	No	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0x1f5b27…
07-10 23:58:16	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 39°C or higher on July 11?	No	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0x1f025a…
07-10 23:10:29	Will the highest temperature in Denver be 87°F or below on July 11?	No	BUY	24	100¢	$24	0x84b06e…
07-10 21:51:46	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C or below on July 11?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x751842…
07-10 21:19:20	Will PN win the 2026 Johor general elections?	No	SELL	29	100¢	$29	0x6830d7…
07-10 17:06:53	ethereum above 1600 on july 11 2026	Yes	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0x1a659b…
07-10 16:23:05	Will PN win the 2026 Johor general elections?	No	BUY	29	100¢	$29	0x440b2c…
07-10 14:55:47	Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from July 3 to July 10, 2026?	No	SELL	23	100¢	$23	0x200dcc…
07-10 14:18:29	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 39°C or higher on July 11?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x6078d7…
07-10 13:43:26	ethereum above 1600 on july 11 2026	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xd6d7b1…
07-10 11:37:08	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 42°C or higher on July 11?	No	SELL	24	100¢	$24	0xe2404c…
07-10 10:30:47	Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from July 3 to July 10, 2026?	No	BUY	23	100¢	$23	0xe800a4…
07-10 10:14:41	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 42°C or higher on July 11?	No	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0xf37bb0…
07-10 10:06:32	Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 104-105°F on July 11?	No	SELL	13	100¢	$13	0xc4d5bb…
07-10 08:17:20	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 42°C or higher on July 11?	No	BUY	25	100¢	$25	0xd891a3…
07-10 06:56:08	Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 104-105°F on July 11?	No	BUY	13	100¢	$13	0xf38e08…
07-10 00:10:52	will spy dip to 720 by july 6 2026	No	SELL	20	100¢	$20	0x65f707…
07-09 22:55:01	will spy dip to 720 by july 6 2026	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0xe5660c…
07-07 00:02:40	Will the highest temperature in Austin be 104°F or higher on July 7?	No	SELL	3	100¢	$3	0xf88ace…
07-06 23:23:17	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 26°C on July 7?	No	SELL	15	100¢	$15	0xb514ed…