Mountainous-Donut — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$2

Unrealized P&L

+$0

Hit rate

100.0%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$619

lifetime

Avg / trade

$11

Open exposure

$13

1 position

First seen

2026-01-07

last 11-11 02:30

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 53 days

Categories

Crypto

54% 100% +$1

Other

37% 100% +$1

Politics

7% 100% +$0

Tech

2% 100% +$0

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

14 active days in 12wk • peak 1 trade/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (29) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from November 6 to November 13, 2026?	No		+13	$13	100¢	$13	+$0	11-11 02:30

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Republicans win white women in the midterms?	1	$14	14	+14	No	+$0	11-05 19:01
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on October 2?	1	$14	14	+14	Yes	+$0	10-02 04:10
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on October 24?	1	$14	14	+14	No	+$0	10-24 12:40
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $90,000 on October 6?	1	$14	14	+14	No	+$0	10-06 03:33
Will Xi Jinping visit US by October 31?	1	$14	14	+14	Yes	+$0	09-22 13:51
Will Bitcoin dip to $72,000 August 31-September 6?	1	$14	14	+14	No	+$0	09-05 21:33
ethereum above 1800 on july 24 2026	1	$14	14	+14	Yes	+$0	07-24 11:39
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from June 16 to June 23, 2026?	1	$13	13	+13	No	+$0	06-22 05:55
Will there be 3 or fewer earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide from May 18 - 24?	1	$13	13	+13	No	+$0	05-23 13:54
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?	1	$13	13	+13	No	+$0	06-24 20:15
Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from November 6 to November 13, 2026?	1	$13	13	+13	open	—	11-11 02:30
Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from May 19 to May 26, 2026?	1	$13	13	+13	No	+$0	05-25 09:41
Will Ethereum reach $2,700 in October?	1	$13	13	+13	No	+$0	10-30 10:53
bitcoin above 64k on april 23	1	$13	13	+13	Yes	+$0	04-20 19:41
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on November 4?	1	$12	13	+13	No	+$0	11-04 10:57
will bitcoin dip to 58k july 6 12 2026	1	$12	12	+12	No	+$0	07-11 00:07
bitcoin above 70k on july 8 2026	1	$12	12	+12	No	+$0	07-06 13:38
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $88,000 on May 12?	1	$12	12	+12	No	+$0	05-10 22:43
Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 April 27-May 3?	1	$12	12	+12	No	+$0	05-01 23:42
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on May 10?	1	$12	12	+12	No	+$0	05-10 01:21
Will Elon Musk post 1000-1039 tweets in June 2026?	1	$12	12	+12	No	+$0	06-30 23:49
will there be between 40 and 50 average daily transits of the strait of hormuz on april 3	1	$12	12	+12	No	+$0	04-02 04:37
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on September 12?	1	$12	12	+12	No	+$0	09-11 23:42
bitcoin above 66k on august 12 2026	1	$12	12	+12	No	+$0	08-12 07:05
Will Brent Barker be the Republican nominee for Senate in Oregon?	1	$12	12	+12	No	+$0	05-17 04:45
Will Justin Bieber have the greatest number of monthly Spotify listeners this month?	1	$12	12	+12	No	+$0	04-29 22:06
will apple be the second largest company in the world by market cap on march 31	1	$12	12	+12	Yes	+$0	03-29 15:19
Will Serbia win Eurovision 2026?	1	$12	12	+12	No	+$0	05-13 17:06
will bitcoin dip to 60k august 10 16 2026	1	$12	12	+12	No	+$0	08-15 21:00
will ethereum dip to 1500 june 29 july 5 2026	1	$11	11	+11	No	+$0	07-03 16:50

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-11 02:30:19	Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from November 6 to November 13, 2026?	No	BUY	13	99¢	$13	0x355146…
11-05 19:01:16	Will Republicans win white women in the midterms?	No	BUY	14	100¢	$14	0x3f1aef…
11-04 10:57:15	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on November 4?	No	BUY	13	99¢	$12	0x1299ed…
10-30 10:53:09	Will Ethereum reach $2,700 in October?	No	BUY	13	100¢	$13	0x096f72…
10-24 12:40:59	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on October 24?	No	BUY	14	100¢	$14	0x78243b…
10-22 17:18:51	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,600 on October 23?	No	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x977806…
10-10 11:32:09	Will François Ruffin be the joint left nominee for the 2027 French presidential election?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x99a8ee…
10-06 03:33:15	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $90,000 on October 6?	No	BUY	14	100¢	$14	0x4b16c5…
10-02 04:10:02	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on October 2?	Yes	BUY	14	100¢	$14	0xad0fc3…
09-27 15:43:39	Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from September 22 to September 29, 2026?	No	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0xfbd709…
09-22 13:51:10	Will Xi Jinping visit US by October 31?	Yes	BUY	14	100¢	$14	0x8e9bc4…
09-11 23:42:01	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on September 12?	No	BUY	12	100¢	$12	0x2e8858…
09-05 21:33:25	Will Bitcoin dip to $72,000 August 31-September 6?	No	BUY	14	100¢	$14	0xc1bf33…
09-04 09:22:16	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on September 5?	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x731b17…
08-19 17:25:46	will bitcoin reach 72k on august 19 2026	No	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0xe9c5ed…
08-15 21:00:21	will bitcoin dip to 60k august 10 16 2026	No	BUY	12	100¢	$12	0xb4e1f1…
08-12 07:05:31	bitcoin above 66k on august 12 2026	No	BUY	12	100¢	$12	0xe3ab84…
08-08 09:57:19	Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from August 4 to August 11, 2026?	No	BUY	11	99¢	$11	0x7dc6c1…
07-28 13:00:14	kash patel out by july 31 20260626155143217	No	BUY	11	99¢	$10	0xd2d106…
07-24 11:39:18	ethereum above 1800 on july 24 2026	Yes	BUY	14	100¢	$14	0x64902a…
07-15 15:20:40	bitcoin above 70k on july 16 2026	No	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0xf2022a…
07-13 12:26:37	bitcoin above 58k on july 14 2026	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x919e59…
07-11 00:07:05	will bitcoin dip to 58k july 6 12 2026	No	BUY	12	100¢	$12	0x494b42…
07-06 13:38:10	bitcoin above 70k on july 8 2026	No	BUY	12	100¢	$12	0x69a01b…
07-03 16:50:53	will ethereum dip to 1500 june 29 july 5 2026	No	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0x5f2648…
07-01 22:24:20	bitcoin above 68k on july 3 2026	No	BUY	11	100¢	$10	0x107c24…
06-30 23:49:35	Will Elon Musk post 1000-1039 tweets in June 2026?	No	BUY	12	100¢	$12	0x0ebd30…
06-25 10:32:43	will the us announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by june 26 20260622192122519	No	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0x0772f2…
06-24 20:15:34	Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?	No	BUY	13	100¢	$13	0x205c09…
06-22 05:55:50	Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from June 16 to June 23, 2026?	No	BUY	13	99¢	$13	0xc84a25…
06-01 17:38:58	Will Nicholas Thompson advance from the 2026 California Governor primary election?	No	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0xa77acf…
05-29 15:57:23	Will Claude 5 be released by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0xf510b5…
05-28 01:39:17	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on May 28?	Yes	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0xedce1d…
05-27 00:28:17	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on May 27?	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x936502…
05-25 09:41:26	Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from May 19 to May 26, 2026?	No	BUY	13	100¢	$13	0x6d62b1…
05-23 13:54:41	Will there be 3 or fewer earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide from May 18 - 24?	No	BUY	13	100¢	$13	0x0f2846…
05-17 04:45:56	Will Brent Barker be the Republican nominee for Senate in Oregon?	No	BUY	12	100¢	$12	0x8c453b…
05-13 17:06:05	Will Serbia win Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	12	100¢	$12	0x20d09a…
05-10 22:43:19	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $88,000 on May 12?	No	BUY	12	100¢	$12	0x5e83a3…
05-10 01:21:28	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on May 10?	No	BUY	12	100¢	$12	0x89411c…
05-05 13:43:48	Will Scottish National Party win the most seats in the 2026 Scottish Parliament election?	Yes	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0x43d7da…
05-04 10:33:18	Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from April 28 to May 5, 2026?	No	BUY	11	99¢	$11	0x39179c…
05-01 23:42:40	Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 April 27-May 3?	No	BUY	12	100¢	$12	0x7b6bef…
05-01 01:04:10	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 1?	No	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0x4345d6…
04-29 22:06:06	Will Justin Bieber have the greatest number of monthly Spotify listeners this month?	No	BUY	12	100¢	$12	0x54237a…
04-27 06:56:38	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on April 27?	No	BUY	11	100¢	$10	0xb088da…
04-25 11:07:10	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on April 26?	Yes	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0x9e4108…
04-20 19:41:34	bitcoin above 64k on april 23	Yes	BUY	13	100¢	$13	0xc39689…
04-13 00:35:59	highest temperature in shanghai on april 13 2026 15c	No	BUY	4	100¢	$4	0x5b281e…
04-11 10:37:27	will chris gotterup win the 2026 masters tournament	No	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0x3ae215…
04-02 04:37:15	will there be between 40 and 50 average daily transits of the strait of hormuz on april 3	No	BUY	12	100¢	$12	0x98e418…
03-29 15:19:36	will apple be the second largest company in the world by market cap on march 31	Yes	BUY	12	99¢	$12	0x836143…
01-10 04:32:10	will ethereum dip to 1200 in january 2026 477	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0x24c622…
01-07 22:46:39	will jakub mensik win the 2026 australian open	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xee170c…