Expensive-Dissemination — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$0

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

100.0%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$1.63K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$20

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-14

last 06-08 14:50

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 4 days

Categories

Crypto

69% 100% +$0

Other

28% — —

Sports

1% — —

Politics

1% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

43 active days in 12wk • peak 4 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (2) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on May 28?	2	$59	59	0	+59	open	—	05-27 07:37
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be István Kapitány?	2	$53	27	26	+0	open	—	04-06 03:18
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on May 20?	2	$45	45	0	+45	open	—	05-19 18:44
bitcoin above 74k on april 6	2	$42	21	21	+0	open	—	04-06 03:18
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Klára Dobrev?	2	$36	18	18	+0	open	—	04-06 03:19
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 23?	1	$32	32	0	+32	open	—	05-22 00:41
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on April 25?	1	$30	30	0	+30	open	—	04-25 06:57
will bitcoin dip to 66k april 13 19	1	$29	29	0	+29	open	—	04-18 09:00
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on April 25?	1	$28	28	0	+28	open	—	04-25 02:34
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from April 21 to April 28, 2026?	1	$28	28	0	+28	open	—	04-25 23:32
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on April 26?	1	$28	28	0	+28	open	—	04-25 10:24
highest temperature in mexico city on april 15 2026 16c	1	$28	28	0	+28	open	—	04-14 01:12
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,300 on May 25?	1	$27	27	0	+27	open	—	05-25 01:59
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,400 on May 9?	1	$27	27	0	+27	No	+$0	05-09 05:13
ethereum above 1700 on june 6 2026	1	$27	27	0	+27	open	—	06-06 05:05
elon musk of tweets april 17 april 24 300 319	1	$26	27	0	+27	open	—	04-23 05:35
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on May 26?	1	$26	26	0	+26	open	—	05-25 16:09
will bitcoin dip to 73k on april 16	1	$26	26	0	+26	open	—	04-17 01:08
bitcoin above 66k on april 18	1	$25	25	0	+25	open	—	04-16 10:16
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on May 15?	1	$25	25	0	+25	open	—	05-14 09:32
bitcoin above 70k on april 22	1	$24	24	0	+24	open	—	04-21 22:28
Will JD Vance visit Pakistan by April 27?	1	$24	24	0	+24	open	—	04-26 16:22
will bitcoin reach 95k in february 2026	1	$24	24	0	+24	open	—	02-19 12:58
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on May 17?	1	$24	24	0	+24	open	—	05-16 06:12
will f1 win best picture at the 98th academy awards 948	1	$23	23	0	+23	open	—	03-03 03:10
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on May 19?	1	$23	23	0	+23	open	—	05-18 10:24
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 12?	1	$22	22	0	+22	Yes	+$0	05-11 16:20
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 22?	1	$22	22	0	+22	open	—	05-22 02:11
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on May 27?	1	$22	22	0	+22	open	—	05-26 13:55
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,700 on June 3?	1	$22	22	0	+22	open	—	06-02 21:21

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-08 14:50:12	bitcoin above 66k on june 8 2026	No	BUY	17	100¢	$17	0xc753c1…
06-06 05:05:49	ethereum above 1700 on june 6 2026	No	BUY	27	99¢	$27	0xc9928c…
06-05 14:05:49	bitcoin above 70k on june 6 2026	No	BUY	22	100¢	$22	0xb8747d…
06-02 21:21:42	Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,700 on June 3?	Yes	BUY	22	99¢	$22	0x35b65f…
06-02 14:20:00	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on June 3?	No	BUY	12	99¢	$12	0x4d17ac…
06-01 05:34:40	Will Nicholas Thompson advance from the 2026 California Governor primary election?	No	BUY	12	100¢	$12	0x29479b…
05-29 23:26:16	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in May?	No	BUY	14	100¢	$14	0x8716dc…
05-29 21:48:05	Will Bitcoin reach $77,000 on May 29?	No	BUY	14	100¢	$14	0xe9ad21…
05-28 21:03:18	Romanian PM Bolojan out by May 31?	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0xe081de…
05-28 00:49:30	Will Germany send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	17	100¢	$17	0x30b6c6…
05-27 20:05:35	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 28?	No	BUY	13	100¢	$13	0x07cbe7…
05-27 07:37:14	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on May 28?	Yes	BUY	23	100¢	$23	0x64bbde…
05-26 22:03:19	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on May 28?	Yes	BUY	36	100¢	$36	0x480a2f…
05-26 13:55:38	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on May 27?	Yes	BUY	22	100¢	$22	0x1958fd…
05-25 16:09:07	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on May 26?	Yes	BUY	26	100¢	$26	0x11924f…
05-25 01:59:47	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,300 on May 25?	No	BUY	27	100¢	$27	0x573b96…
05-23 21:00:28	Will Bitcoin reach $84,000 May 18-24?	No	BUY	17	100¢	$17	0x09a7ce…
05-23 08:57:51	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 24?	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0x314009…
05-22 19:44:35	Will Bitcoin dip to $68,000 May 18-24?	No	BUY	13	100¢	$13	0x1c8f7a…
05-22 02:11:45	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 22?	Yes	BUY	22	100¢	$22	0xad52e5…
05-22 00:41:15	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 23?	Yes	BUY	32	99¢	$32	0x8aa811…
05-20 15:12:34	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on May 21?	Yes	BUY	21	100¢	$21	0x0a02ae…
05-19 18:44:18	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on May 20?	Yes	BUY	23	100¢	$23	0x0e22e1…
05-19 18:29:15	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on May 20?	Yes	BUY	22	99¢	$22	0x5bf06c…
05-18 10:24:55	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on May 19?	Yes	BUY	23	99¢	$23	0xfa968d…
05-16 09:49:17	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 16?	No	BUY	18	99¢	$18	0xb320b2…
05-16 06:12:20	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on May 17?	Yes	BUY	24	100¢	$24	0x77778b…
05-14 09:32:11	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on May 15?	No	BUY	25	100¢	$25	0x36e6f4…
05-14 00:27:58	Gemini 3.2 released by May 15, 2026?	No	BUY	13	99¢	$13	0xd0d918…
05-12 09:28:41	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on May 12?	No	BUY	18	100¢	$18	0x37e21e…
05-12 06:57:27	Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	14	100¢	$14	0x00460f…
05-11 16:20:12	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 12?	Yes	BUY	22	100¢	$22	0xb52ba8…
05-10 15:50:47	Will Bitcoin dip to $78,000 May 4-10?	No	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x3fa214…
05-09 05:13:51	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,400 on May 9?	No	BUY	27	99¢	$27	0x28e86c…
05-04 23:17:42	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 6?	Yes	BUY	12	99¢	$12	0x6c23ab…
05-02 13:08:16	Will the price of XRP be above $1.60 on May 2?	No	BUY	19	100¢	$19	0x17cc36…
04-30 20:55:14	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on May 3?	Yes	BUY	16	100¢	$16	0x156eb8…
04-29 07:24:06	Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in April?	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0xe7cf1f…
04-28 23:30:20	Will the United Kingdom send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by April 30, 2026?	No	BUY	17	99¢	$17	0xfcdc55…
04-27 05:29:58	Will Canada send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by April 30, 2026?	No	BUY	12	100¢	$12	0x8483f3…
04-27 03:06:56	Will Russia capture all of Prymorske by April 30, 2026?	No	BUY	13	100¢	$13	0x8cab54…
04-26 16:22:48	Will JD Vance visit Pakistan by April 27?	No	BUY	24	100¢	$24	0xc317d4…
04-25 23:32:42	Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from April 21 to April 28, 2026?	No	BUY	28	99¢	$28	0x6ed638…
04-25 10:24:14	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on April 26?	No	BUY	28	100¢	$28	0xc72bb8…
04-25 06:57:32	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on April 25?	Yes	BUY	30	100¢	$30	0x06c1c8…
04-25 02:34:18	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on April 25?	Yes	BUY	28	99¢	$28	0x82b3d5…
04-24 09:05:16	ethereum above 2100 on april 24	Yes	BUY	21	100¢	$21	0x748ba3…
04-23 05:35:06	elon musk of tweets april 17 april 24 300 319	No	BUY	27	99¢	$26	0x7fc554…
04-21 22:28:20	bitcoin above 70k on april 22	Yes	BUY	24	100¢	$24	0x41c13b…
04-21 01:04:36	ethereum above 2500 on april 21	No	BUY	12	99¢	$12	0xa659bc…
04-20 12:00:32	bitcoin above 68k on april 21	Yes	BUY	17	100¢	$17	0xa6ff9a…
04-19 05:10:54	elon musk of tweets april 14 april 21 380 399	No	BUY	16	100¢	$16	0xdfd3c2…
04-18 23:05:24	bitcoin above 66k on april 21	Yes	BUY	16	99¢	$16	0x9065b9…
04-18 09:00:40	will bitcoin dip to 66k april 13 19	No	BUY	29	100¢	$29	0xc5fd92…
04-17 22:18:14	bitcoin above 66k on april 20	Yes	BUY	18	100¢	$18	0xdb9b9e…
04-17 02:30:34	bitcoin above 78k on april 17	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x836a2a…
04-17 01:08:28	will bitcoin dip to 73k on april 16	No	BUY	26	99¢	$26	0xa88d07…
04-16 10:16:12	bitcoin above 66k on april 18	Yes	BUY	25	100¢	$25	0x9ef91d…
04-15 15:11:18	will china gdp growth in q1 2026 be at least 6pt0	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0xf58ab9…
04-15 07:41:06	will the price of bitcoin be between 78000 80000 on april 15	No	BUY	21	100¢	$21	0x136463…
04-15 06:16:14	bitcoin above 82k on april 17	No	BUY	18	99¢	$18	0x35c248…
04-14 01:12:01	highest temperature in mexico city on april 15 2026 16c	No	BUY	28	100¢	$28	0x5db666…
04-13 17:35:05	elon musk of tweets april 7 april 14 260 279	No	BUY	21	100¢	$21	0x7b88f5…
04-12 21:25:59	will solana reach 90 april 6 12	No	BUY	21	100¢	$21	0x75d07a…
04-12 07:41:57	highest temperature in seoul on april 12 2026 20c	No	BUY	17	100¢	$17	0x12e015…
04-06 03:19:57	Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Klára Dobrev?	No	SELL	18	100¢	$18	0x89b7fd…
04-06 03:18:47	bitcoin above 74k on april 6	No	SELL	21	100¢	$21	0x105902…
04-06 03:18:13	Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be István Kapitány?	No	SELL	26	100¢	$26	0xad66ce…
04-06 02:03:39	bitcoin above 74k on april 6	No	BUY	21	100¢	$21	0xcafa9f…
04-02 18:39:33	bitcoin above 60k on april 3	Yes	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0x78eed7…
03-19 03:35:05	Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Klára Dobrev?	No	BUY	18	100¢	$18	0xe7d969…
03-10 05:53:55	Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be István Kapitány?	No	BUY	27	99¢	$26	0xd689a4…
03-03 12:37:11	will bitcoin reach 100k in march 2026	No	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0xce1b7b…
03-03 03:10:47	will f1 win best picture at the 98th academy awards 948	No	BUY	23	100¢	$23	0x5be96b…
02-24 16:53:36	will gold gc hit high 6400 by end of february 581 221 834 595 555	No	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0x20b4ea…
02-19 12:58:36	will bitcoin reach 95k in february 2026	No	BUY	24	100¢	$24	0x5080fa…
02-09 00:45:01	will silver si hit low 25 by end of february 859 949 933 273 811 757 923 129	No	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0x08c4d0…
01-29 22:59:24	si hit 150 high jan 2026	No	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0x482c24…
01-25 13:25:12	will apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on january 31 756	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0x2897b2…
01-19 19:50:54	will bitcoin reach 120k in january 2026	No	BUY	10	99¢	$9	0x71c251…
01-14 07:11:20	will bitcoin dip to 60k in january 2026	No	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0x2d1927…