Prudent-Cop — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$16

Unrealized P&L

-$0

Hit rate

98.6%

Resolved

180

Trades

191

lifetime

Volume

$4.68K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$24

Open exposure

$20

1 position

First seen

2026-01-03

last 10-26 12:02

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 107 days

Categories

Crypto

52% 100% +$9

Other

38% 100% +$6

Politics

9% 92% +$1

Tech

1% 100% +$0

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

27 active days in 12wk • peak 2 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Likud win 35 or more seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	No		+20	$20	99¢	$20	$0	10-26 12:02

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
highest temperature in chicago on april 21 2026 54forhigher	1	$67	67	0	+67	Yes	+$0	04-21 00:59
will progressive bulgaria pb win the most seats in the 2026 bulgarian parliamentary election	3	$65	33	33	+0	Yes	$0	04-19 06:29
will wti reach 95 by july 20 2026	1	$62	62	0	+62	No	+$0	07-24 20:16
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on October 26?	1	$62	62	0	+62	Yes	+$0	10-26 10:52
Will Ethereum reach $3,200 September 14-20?	1	$59	59	0	+59	No	+$0	09-19 07:14
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on May 27?	2	$55	55	0	+55	Yes	+$0	05-26 16:38
Will Z.ai have the best Chinese AI model at the end of September 2026?	1	$54	55	0	+55	No	+$0	09-27 23:27
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 25?	1	$52	52	0	+52	No	+$0	05-24 01:52
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on May 22?	1	$51	52	0	+52	Yes	+$0	05-20 22:19
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from September 18 to September 25, 2026?	1	$50	51	0	+51	No	+$0	09-23 14:03
Will Casey Putsch win the 2026 Ohio Governor Republican primary election?	1	$49	49	0	+49	No	+$0	05-02 05:11
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on October 24?	1	$49	49	0	+49	No	+$0	10-24 00:09
bitcoin above 68k on august 15 2026	1	$48	48	0	+48	No	+$0	08-14 09:40
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from April 24 to May 1, 2026?	1	$47	48	0	+48	No	+$0	05-01 07:11
bitcoin above 72k on april 23	2	$46	47	0	+47	Yes	+$0	04-22 21:33
will bitcoin dip to 58k july 6 12 2026	1	$46	46	0	+46	No	+$0	07-10 23:27
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from July 10 to July 17, 2026?	1	$46	46	0	+46	No	+$0	07-15 22:44
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on May 19?	2	$46	46	0	+46	Yes	+$0	05-18 23:36
bitcoin above 70k on april 24	1	$45	45	0	+45	Yes	+$0	04-22 13:44
Will Bitcoin dip to $74,000 May 4-10?	1	$45	45	0	+45	No	+$0	05-10 07:47
will bitcoin dip to 60k july 13 19 2026	1	$44	45	0	+45	No	+$0	07-19 08:46
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $94,000 on October 6?	1	$44	44	0	+44	No	+$0	10-05 21:33
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on May 4?	2	$44	44	0	+44	No	+$0	05-04 06:54
will russia enter khatnie by july 31 2026	1	$44	44	0	+44	No	+$0	07-29 10:22
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on May 26?	2	$41	41	0	+41	No	+$0	05-25 03:08
will bitcoin dip to 60k july 27 august 2 2026	1	$40	41	0	+41	No	+$0	08-02 18:35
Will Tyreek Hill play for the Philadelphia Eagles next?	1	$40	40	0	+40	No	+$0	08-28 22:15
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from May 22 to May 29, 2026?	1	$40	41	0	+41	No	+$0	05-27 05:21
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 9?	1	$39	39	0	+39	No	+$0	05-09 08:12
bitcoin above 62k on august 18 2026	1	$38	38	0	+38	Yes	+$0	08-18 08:56

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-26 12:02:21	Will Likud win 35 or more seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0x4be220…
10-26 10:52:26	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on October 26?	Yes	BUY	62	100¢	$62	0x614b13…
10-24 00:09:30	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on October 24?	No	BUY	49	100¢	$49	0xbf00b4…
10-20 02:50:30	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,100 on October 20?	Yes	BUY	28	100¢	$28	0x61a35c…
10-18 08:27:20	Will Elon Musk post 500+ tweets from October 13 to October 20, 2026?	No	BUY	30	100¢	$30	0xf9e93d…
10-16 15:00:33	Will Bitcoin dip to $72,000 October 12-18?	No	BUY	22	100¢	$22	0xfcad92…
10-12 15:05:29	Will Elon Musk post 420-439 tweets from October 6 to October 13, 2026?	No	BUY	16	100¢	$16	0x2cfe4d…
10-10 13:12:37	Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 October 5-11?	No	BUY	24	100¢	$24	0x5d096d…
10-05 21:33:11	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $94,000 on October 6?	No	BUY	44	100¢	$44	0x5230e2…
10-05 05:08:37	Will Christine Fréchette be the next Premier of Quebec following the 2026 Quebec general election?	No	BUY	38	100¢	$38	0xf11bd7…
10-03 13:52:00	Will Bitcoin reach $94,000 September 28-October 4?	No	BUY	21	100¢	$21	0x50e148…
10-01 02:22:15	Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by September 30, 2026?	No	BUY	30	100¢	$30	0xd5db59…
09-27 23:27:18	Will Z.ai have the best Chinese AI model at the end of September 2026?	No	BUY	55	100¢	$54	0x059b83…
09-27 02:05:32	Will Ethereum dip to $2,400 September 21-27?	No	BUY	12	99¢	$12	0x29fe96…
09-24 22:26:23	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $90,000 on September 25?	No	BUY	28	99¢	$28	0x537ba3…
09-23 14:03:49	Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from September 18 to September 25, 2026?	No	BUY	51	99¢	$50	0xf96c65…
09-20 11:46:19	Will Bitcoin reach $86,000 September 14-20?	No	BUY	27	99¢	$27	0xa6b6eb…
09-19 07:14:34	Will Ethereum reach $3,200 September 14-20?	No	BUY	59	100¢	$59	0xf7c716…
09-14 08:27:16	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0x528115…
09-03 04:30:36	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,600 on September 3?	No	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0xfb1ecd…
08-28 22:15:51	Will Tyreek Hill play for the Philadelphia Eagles next?	No	BUY	40	100¢	$40	0xfaf59c…
08-28 02:31:51	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $60 in August?	No	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0x678a59…
08-26 03:44:43	Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from August 21 to August 28, 2026?	No	BUY	25	99¢	$25	0x6670d1…
08-23 05:39:34	Will Elon Musk post 420-439 tweets from August 18 to August 25, 2026?	No	BUY	37	99¢	$37	0xc0d454…
08-20 02:42:34	ethereum above 1800 on august 21 2026	Yes	BUY	23	100¢	$23	0x6d7309…
08-18 08:56:04	bitcoin above 62k on august 18 2026	Yes	BUY	38	100¢	$38	0x4c72f0…
08-15 19:50:51	will ethereum reach 2000 august 10 16 2026	No	BUY	28	99¢	$28	0x3033d4…
08-14 09:40:18	bitcoin above 68k on august 15 2026	No	BUY	48	100¢	$48	0x7e3fcb…
08-11 17:53:24	Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from August 7 to August 14, 2026?	No	BUY	14	99¢	$14	0xc9c81c…
08-09 18:15:28	Will annual inflation be 3.9% in July?	No	BUY	21	100¢	$21	0xc6b243…
08-06 07:45:45	Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from July 31 to August 7, 2026?	No	BUY	16	100¢	$16	0xfc580e…
08-02 18:35:50	will bitcoin dip to 60k july 27 august 2 2026	No	BUY	41	99¢	$40	0x1b23d1…
08-01 00:08:09	will ethereum dip to 1800 in july 2026 from july 14	No	BUY	21	100¢	$21	0xd75aae…
07-31 06:15:33	will 40 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by july 31 2026	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xf64761…
07-29 10:22:14	will russia enter khatnie by july 31 2026	No	BUY	44	100¢	$44	0xf4a905…
07-28 18:37:10	bitcoin above 60k on july 29 2026	Yes	BUY	13	100¢	$13	0xe7cc24…
07-27 12:22:39	Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from July 21 to July 28, 2026?	No	BUY	26	100¢	$26	0xefed4e…
07-24 20:16:42	will wti reach 95 by july 20 2026	No	BUY	62	100¢	$62	0xb8196f…
07-23 02:45:37	bitcoin above 60k on july 24 2026	Yes	BUY	22	100¢	$22	0x36d7f2…
07-19 08:46:54	will bitcoin dip to 60k july 13 19 2026	No	BUY	45	100¢	$44	0xd26445…
07-17 23:52:30	bitcoin above 58k on july 20 2026	Yes	BUY	14	100¢	$14	0x9c6807…
07-15 22:44:50	Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from July 10 to July 17, 2026?	No	BUY	46	100¢	$46	0x2bdd16…
07-15 08:29:37	ethereum above 2000 on july 15 2026	No	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0x523d4e…
07-13 07:58:50	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from July 11 to July 13, 2026?	No	BUY	27	100¢	$27	0x4d3c45…
07-12 18:50:20	will bitcoin reach 68k july 6 12 2026	No	BUY	22	100¢	$21	0xe03d47…
07-12 18:32:43	Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from July 11 to July 13, 2026?	No	BUY	23	100¢	$23	0x7eb2d2…
07-11 08:52:49	bitcoin above 60k on july 12 2026	Yes	BUY	21	100¢	$21	0x9f77f3…
07-10 23:27:20	will bitcoin dip to 58k july 6 12 2026	No	BUY	46	100¢	$46	0x7c8f0e…
07-10 08:32:52	Will another team (incl. Lyon) win MSI 2026?	No	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0xf77913…
07-06 17:38:28	will bitcoin dip to 59k on july 6	No	BUY	14	100¢	$14	0x7d8047…
07-06 08:29:53	Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 30 to July 7, 2026?	No	BUY	25	100¢	$25	0x4fc22a…
07-05 19:30:50	bitcoin above 66k on july 6 2026	No	BUY	25	100¢	$25	0x265dd9…
07-05 13:40:49	Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from July 4 to July 6, 2026?	No	BUY	22	100¢	$21	0x49db24…
07-04 15:43:55	bitcoin above 66k on july 5 2026	No	BUY	21	99¢	$21	0xa944a3…
07-03 23:43:05	will ethereum dip to 1500 june 29 july 5 2026	No	BUY	36	100¢	$36	0xfd2d39…
07-03 14:16:22	Will "Minions & Monsters" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 86m and 95m?	No	BUY	22	100¢	$22	0x1873a6…
07-02 21:17:04	Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from June 26 to July 3, 2026?	No	BUY	29	99¢	$29	0xefc03a…
07-02 13:46:40	ethereum above 1600 on july 2 2026	Yes	BUY	36	100¢	$36	0xfd50ad…
07-01 21:47:37	bitcoin above 50k on july 4 2026	Yes	BUY	19	100¢	$19	0xf0a6f7…
07-01 08:50:02	will andurils valuation hit high 110b by june 30	No	BUY	22	99¢	$22	0x60c02b…
07-01 00:56:13	bitcoin above 62k on july 1 2026	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0x90132d…
06-25 14:15:55	bitcoin above 66k on june 26 2026	No	BUY	19	100¢	$19	0x14d245…
06-25 10:06:35	bitcoin above 58k on june 25 2026	Yes	BUY	26	99¢	$26	0x20a5e3…
06-24 08:35:46	Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?	No	BUY	17	100¢	$17	0xf0187c…
06-22 22:23:44	bitcoin above 58k on june 24 2026	Yes	BUY	18	100¢	$18	0x789cf2…
06-22 10:48:38	bitcoin above 70k on june 24 2026	No	BUY	13	100¢	$13	0x7441cd…
06-21 22:39:58	will bitcoin dip to 60k june 15 21 2026	No	BUY	27	99¢	$27	0x85e7b3…
06-21 18:37:46	bab el mandeb strait effectively closed by june 22 183	No	BUY	37	100¢	$37	0xfd1b8e…
06-21 15:41:56	bitcoin above 58k on june 23 2026	Yes	BUY	28	99¢	$28	0xaa73c5…
06-03 14:20:15	Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from May 29 to June 5, 2026?	No	BUY	19	100¢	$19	0x20c39b…
06-03 04:49:07	Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from May 29 to June 5, 2026?	No	BUY	13	100¢	$12	0x4f7220…
06-02 18:57:04	Will Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from June 1 to June 3, 2026?	No	BUY	19	100¢	$19	0xa16556…
06-01 22:21:44	Will Nicholas Thompson advance from the 2026 California Governor primary election?	No	BUY	19	100¢	$19	0xf8796f…
06-01 13:35:20	Will Derek Grasty advance from the 2026 California Governor primary election?	No	BUY	28	100¢	$28	0xbb90c3…
06-01 07:32:20	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on June 1?	Yes	BUY	21	100¢	$21	0x92a2ec…
05-31 16:41:03	Will Elon Musk post 880-919 tweets in May 2026?	No	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0xade6ca…
05-30 14:23:08	Will a new Gemini flagship be released by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	18	100¢	$18	0xdf7ea6…
05-30 09:45:18	Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?	Yes	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0x52c843…
05-30 03:41:07	Will Thunder Parley advance from the 2026 California Governor primary election?	No	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0x58db54…
05-29 12:37:29	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on May 31?	Yes	BUY	28	100¢	$28	0x6560e7…
05-29 01:43:28	Will Anthropic have the second best AI model at the end of May 2026?	Yes	BUY	22	99¢	$22	0xfba0bf…
05-28 15:03:37	Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,900 on May 28?	Yes	BUY	13	100¢	$13	0x3e17e8…
05-28 12:48:55	Will Nate Jacobs die in Euphoria: Season 3?	Yes	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0xee92e6…
05-28 06:23:47	Will National Dialogue Party win the most seats in the 2026 Lebanese parliamentary election?	No	BUY	24	100¢	$24	0x556abd…
05-27 15:56:09	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 28?	No	BUY	21	100¢	$21	0x0ca816…
05-27 05:21:15	Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from May 22 to May 29, 2026?	No	BUY	41	99¢	$40	0x4f2ab7…
05-26 16:38:11	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on May 27?	Yes	BUY	17	100¢	$17	0xbf5e97…
05-26 00:34:24	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,300 on May 26?	No	BUY	21	100¢	$21	0x97d722…
05-26 00:18:50	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on May 27?	Yes	BUY	38	100¢	$37	0xfb7e65…
05-25 12:11:53	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on May 26?	Yes	BUY	26	100¢	$26	0x83dec4…
05-25 03:08:14	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on May 26?	No	BUY	28	100¢	$28	0x4e6e86…
05-24 12:14:01	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on May 26?	No	BUY	13	100¢	$13	0x52d49f…
05-24 03:23:16	Will Bitcoin dip to $68,000 May 18-24?	No	BUY	30	100¢	$30	0x756d44…
05-24 01:52:22	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 25?	No	BUY	52	99¢	$52	0x0fe083…
05-23 07:51:46	Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 19°C on May 24?	No	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0xef9840…
05-22 07:05:54	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on May 24?	Yes	BUY	12	100¢	$12	0xe7d4ce…
05-21 18:08:52	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 22?	Yes	BUY	19	99¢	$19	0xfc6150…
05-21 13:13:49	Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026?	No	BUY	26	100¢	$26	0x16919a…
05-21 00:10:49	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 21?	Yes	BUY	26	100¢	$26	0x3ea212…
05-20 22:19:04	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on May 22?	Yes	BUY	52	100¢	$51	0x2b3a0d…