Unruly-Inhabitant — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$1

Unrealized P&L

-$0

Hit rate

74.6%

Resolved

353

Trades

752

lifetime

Volume

$9.36K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$12

Open exposure

$11

1 position

First seen

2026-01-06

last 10-29 13:49

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 97 days

Categories

Other

73% 76% +$0

Crypto

21% 84% +$1

Politics

4% 79% +$0

Sports

2% 56% $0

Tech

1% 100% +$0

Pop-Culture

0% 0% $0

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

21 active days in 12wk • peak 18 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Brentford win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?	No		+11	$11	100¢	$11	$0	10-29 13:49

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 106-107°F on August 11?	4	$77	38	38	+0	No	$0	08-11 19:37
will the next google gemini pro model be released by july 30 2026	3	$60	37	23	+15	No	+$0	07-30 15:52
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 34°C on August 13?	2	$60	30	30	+0	No	+$0	08-13 06:01
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 108-109°F on July 19?	2	$59	30	30	+0	No	+$0	07-19 05:01
Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 36°C on August 11?	3	$59	29	29	+0	No	+$0	08-11 21:05
will bitcoin reach 68k on july 20	3	$59	29	29	+0	No	+$0	07-21 02:00
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 24°C on July 22?	2	$59	29	29	+0	No	+$0	07-22 14:02
Will the highest temperature in Jinan be 26°C or higher on August 11?	2	$58	29	29	+0	Yes	+$0	08-10 22:10
Will the lowest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 21°C on August 13?	3	$58	29	29	+0	No	+$0	08-13 06:50
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 27°C on August 27?	2	$58	29	29	+0	No	$0	08-27 05:50
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 23°C or below on August 7?	3	$58	29	29	+0	No	+$0	08-07 10:19
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 90-91°F on August 12?	4	$58	29	29	+0	No	$0	08-12 05:08
xrp above 1pt2 on july 21 2026	2	$57	29	29	+0	No	+$0	07-21 15:40
ethereum above 1700 on july 27 2026	2	$55	28	28	+0	Yes	+$0	07-26 14:17
bitcoin above 68k on july 13 2026	2	$55	28	28	+0	No	+$0	07-13 05:41
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 23°C on August 26?	2	$55	27	27	+0	No	+$0	08-26 10:57
Will Ted Cruz post 120-139 posts from August 4 to August 11, 2026?	2	$55	30	25	+5	No	+$0	08-10 13:22
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 27°C or below on August 9?	6	$54	27	27	+0	No	$0	08-08 21:28
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be 95°F or below on July 25?	6	$54	27	27	+0	No	$0	07-25 13:52
Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 32°C on July 26?	3	$54	27	27	+0	No	$0	07-25 13:15
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 11°C on June 27?	3	$54	27	27	+0	No	+$0	06-26 15:00
ethereum above 1700 on august 6 2026	2	$54	27	27	+0	Yes	$0	08-06 10:50
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 22°C on July 24?	3	$54	27	27	+0	No	+$0	07-24 08:47
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 72-73°F on July 23?	3	$54	27	27	+0	No	$0	07-22 18:26
Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be 57°F or below on August 31?	2	$53	27	27	+0	No	+$0	08-31 11:38
No change in Reserve Bank of Australia's interest rates at the August 2026 meeting?	2	$53	26	26	+0	Yes	+$0	08-10 18:41
Will "Grand Theft Auto VI Extended Look" get between 20 and 25 million views on day 1?	2	$53	26	26	+0	No	+$0	08-28 20:17
Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 16°C or below on July 30?	2	$52	26	26	+0	No	+$0	07-30 12:26
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 25°C on July 24?	2	$52	26	26	+0	No	+$0	07-24 08:45
Will Meta’s market capitalization be between $1.00T and $1.25T at the end of August 2026?	3	$52	26	26	+0	No	$0	08-31 04:47

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-29 13:49:59	Will Brentford win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?	No	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0xdf96bd…
10-23 07:25:14	Will Jorge Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?	No	SELL	6	100¢	$6	0x1b0187…
10-21 05:27:41	Will Jorge Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0x959830…
09-01 15:19:13	Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from August 25 to September 1, 2026?	No	SELL	11	100¢	$11	0x5a54cc…
09-01 15:18:06	Will White House post 180-199 posts from August 25 to September 1, 2026?	No	SELL	20	99¢	$20	0x56c756…
09-01 11:29:55	Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from August 25 to September 1, 2026?	No	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0xa24c6a…
09-01 11:07:19	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 31°C on September 1?	No	SELL	15	100¢	$14	0x8ba6f8…
09-01 06:19:09	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 31°C on September 1?	No	BUY	15	100¢	$14	0x7232fb…
09-01 05:22:57	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 31, 2026?	No	SELL	22	100¢	$22	0x2932da…
09-01 03:49:39	Will White House post 180-199 posts from August 25 to September 1, 2026?	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0x966926…
08-31 22:38:40	Iran invades Kuwait by August 31?	No	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0xf91a0c…
08-31 20:50:12	will bitcoin dip to 74k on august 31 2026	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0xdbd8b3…
08-31 20:05:18	Iran invades Kuwait by August 31?	No	SELL	23	100¢	$23	0xbac09b…
08-31 19:51:27	Will Bitcoin dip to $72,500 in August?	No	BUY	28	100¢	$28	0x80a1a9…
08-31 17:45:18	Will Apple be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on August 31?	No	SELL	11	100¢	$11	0xd52947…
08-31 17:26:45	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 31, 2026?	No	BUY	22	100¢	$22	0x0cfeaa…
08-31 13:38:18	Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of August 2026?	Yes	SELL	6	100¢	$6	0xf751ae…
08-31 12:45:58	Will Apple be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on August 31?	No	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0x663f07…
08-31 11:55:51	Iran invades Kuwait by August 31?	No	BUY	24	100¢	$24	0x24ccee…
08-31 11:38:45	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be 57°F or below on August 31?	No	SELL	27	100¢	$27	0x99be63…
08-31 04:47:31	Will Meta’s market capitalization be between $1.00T and $1.25T at the end of August 2026?	No	SELL	21	100¢	$21	0x299ebd…
08-31 03:55:33	Will Meta’s market capitalization be between $1.00T and $1.25T at the end of August 2026?	No	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0xa6f9c5…
08-31 03:01:27	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be 57°F or below on August 31?	No	BUY	27	100¢	$27	0x1e5600…
08-30 18:48:43	Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of August 2026?	Yes	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0x6b7ebe…
08-30 17:47:00	Will Meta’s market capitalization be between $1.00T and $1.25T at the end of August 2026?	No	BUY	26	100¢	$26	0x712737…
08-30 10:53:52	bitcoin above 74k on august 30 2026	Yes	BUY	26	100¢	$26	0xf90f6d…
08-30 03:55:13	Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released on August 29, 2026?	No	SELL	6	100¢	$6	0x3a639e…
08-29 23:21:31	Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released on August 29, 2026?	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0x8bb484…
08-28 20:17:04	Will "Grand Theft Auto VI Extended Look" get between 20 and 25 million views on day 1?	No	SELL	26	100¢	$26	0xb6eaa1…
08-28 16:52:12	Will "Grand Theft Auto VI Extended Look" get between 20 and 25 million views on day 1?	No	BUY	26	100¢	$26	0x7c82b5…
08-28 15:50:51	Will the price of XRP be above $1.90 on August 28?	No	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0x606695…
08-28 15:50:49	Will the price of XRP be above $1.90 on August 28?	No	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0x7cc0d2…
08-28 15:50:49	Will the price of XRP be above $1.90 on August 28?	No	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0x0bbca8…
08-28 15:48:07	Will the price of Bitcoin be between $84,000 and $86,000 on August 28?	No	SELL	22	100¢	$22	0x1c1692…
08-28 12:21:13	Will the price of Bitcoin be between $84,000 and $86,000 on August 28?	No	BUY	22	100¢	$22	0x28d532…
08-28 00:28:30	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 27°C on August 28?	No	SELL	14	100¢	$14	0xa58607…
08-28 00:22:06	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 27°C on August 28?	No	SELL	2	100¢	$2	0x05ba5f…
08-27 23:01:51	Will the price of XRP be above $1.90 on August 28?	No	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0x274656…
08-27 20:41:10	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 27°C on August 28?	No	BUY	16	100¢	$16	0x09355b…
08-27 16:22:22	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on August 28?	Yes	SELL	0	100¢	$0	0xb8e5cd…
08-27 16:07:01	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on August 28?	Yes	SELL	17	100¢	$17	0x9c01c2…
08-27 15:29:40	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 18°C on August 28?	No	SELL	24	100¢	$24	0xc28278…
08-27 11:18:13	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 18°C on August 28?	No	BUY	24	100¢	$24	0xe24712…
08-27 06:50:36	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on August 28?	Yes	BUY	17	100¢	$17	0x8791bb…
08-27 05:53:00	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 34°C on August 27?	No	SELL	15	100¢	$15	0x00ee15…
08-27 05:50:07	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 27°C on August 27?	No	SELL	29	100¢	$29	0x1fc7fa…
08-26 21:20:22	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 34°C on August 27?	No	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0xf8338f…
08-26 19:52:21	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 27°C on August 27?	No	BUY	29	100¢	$29	0x93a984…
08-26 10:57:09	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 23°C on August 26?	No	SELL	27	100¢	$27	0x8b860e…
08-26 08:18:19	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 23°C on August 26?	No	BUY	27	100¢	$27	0x7f8a93…
08-25 15:04:06	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 25°C on August 25?	No	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0xfe0733…
08-25 15:02:34	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 25°C on August 25?	No	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0xc0eb87…
08-25 15:01:19	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 25°C on August 25?	No	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0x22aa61…
08-25 15:01:19	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 25°C on August 25?	No	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0x204bbb…
08-25 14:06:18	Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from August 18 to August 25, 2026?	No	BUY	27	100¢	$27	0xf9f5a8…
08-25 07:37:03	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 25°C on August 25?	No	BUY	17	100¢	$17	0x7e79c1…
08-25 00:13:30	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on August 25?	Yes	SELL	25	100¢	$25	0x5aa87b…
08-24 19:22:03	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 80-81°F on August 25?	No	SELL	17	100¢	$17	0x8a31bd…
08-24 19:11:51	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on August 25?	Yes	BUY	25	100¢	$25	0x084cc7…
08-24 18:08:01	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 80-81°F on August 25?	No	BUY	17	100¢	$17	0xc270b9…
08-24 12:31:42	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on August 24?	Yes	SELL	24	100¢	$24	0xe753e0…
08-24 12:07:40	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 27°C on August 24?	No	SELL	9	100¢	$9	0xf1a7a4…
08-24 12:07:40	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 27°C on August 24?	No	SELL	13	100¢	$13	0x035384…
08-24 09:34:37	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on August 24?	Yes	BUY	24	100¢	$23	0xdf35b8…
08-24 05:40:31	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 27°C on August 24?	No	BUY	22	100¢	$22	0x287b71…
08-23 20:43:13	Will claude-opus-4-6-thinking be the best AI model on August 24, 2026?	No	SELL	11	100¢	$11	0xd79260…
08-23 19:43:27	Will claude-opus-4-6-thinking be the best AI model on August 24, 2026?	No	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0xb32320…
08-23 14:55:18	Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,200 and $2,300 on August 23?	No	BUY	17	100¢	$17	0xe46e95…
08-14 21:00:51	iran leadership change by august 15	No	BUY	4	100¢	$4	0xdf92b2…
08-14 19:16:51	will bitcoin reach 65k on august 14	No	BUY	28	100¢	$28	0xaf7a1b…
08-14 11:25:33	Will the price of Bitcoin be between $66,000 and $68,000 on August 14?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x0584e4…
08-14 08:51:06	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 35°C on August 15?	No	SELL	9	100¢	$9	0xc5e790…
08-14 08:49:31	Will CZ post 20-39 posts from August 7 to August 14, 2026?	No	SELL	17	100¢	$17	0xb4281d…
08-14 06:16:04	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 35°C on August 15?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x928793…
08-14 05:21:13	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 15 20260727171036148	No	SELL	25	100¢	$24	0x92bfb3…
08-14 02:16:01	Will CZ post 20-39 posts from August 7 to August 14, 2026?	No	BUY	17	100¢	$17	0xf24d2b…
08-14 02:03:12	solana above 70 on august 14 2026	Yes	SELL	13	100¢	$13	0xbd391c…
08-14 00:16:37	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 36°C on August 14?	No	SELL	2	100¢	$2	0xbd1d09…
08-14 00:16:37	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 36°C on August 14?	No	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0xb37bc4…
08-13 23:59:37	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 36°C on August 14?	No	SELL	13	100¢	$13	0xe6f833…
08-13 22:01:37	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 36°C on August 14?	No	BUY	21	100¢	$21	0x0aecf5…
08-13 15:40:39	solana above 70 on august 14 2026	Yes	BUY	13	100¢	$13	0xf42488…
08-13 15:01:04	Will the price of XRP be between $0.80 and $0.90 on August 13?	No	SELL	22	100¢	$22	0xe14de4…
08-13 12:21:55	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 15 20260727171036148	No	BUY	25	100¢	$24	0x9c49b5…
08-13 10:36:01	bitcoin above 60k on august 13 2026	Yes	SELL	13	100¢	$13	0xbab755…
08-13 06:50:10	Will the lowest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 21°C on August 13?	No	SELL	19	100¢	$19	0xee6c6a…
08-13 06:48:28	Will the lowest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 21°C on August 13?	No	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0x897cee…
08-13 06:01:25	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 34°C on August 13?	No	SELL	30	100¢	$30	0xb10cb1…
08-13 04:46:24	Will the price of XRP be between $0.80 and $0.90 on August 13?	No	BUY	22	100¢	$22	0x447819…
08-13 04:00:36	bitcoin above 60k on august 13 2026	Yes	BUY	13	100¢	$13	0x5cb55b…
08-13 02:06:40	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 37°C or higher on August 13?	No	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0x735334…
08-13 01:19:28	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 37°C or higher on August 13?	No	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0xf9ab2f…
08-13 01:13:04	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 37°C or higher on August 13?	No	SELL	4	100¢	$4	0xabe191…
08-13 01:13:04	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 37°C or higher on August 13?	No	SELL	8	100¢	$8	0x1a823d…
08-13 00:37:28	Will the lowest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 21°C on August 13?	No	BUY	29	100¢	$29	0x0d8a56…
08-12 23:23:54	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 34°C on August 13?	No	BUY	30	100¢	$30	0x7664ac…
08-12 19:33:51	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 37°C or higher on August 13?	No	BUY	23	100¢	$23	0x183744…
08-12 18:08:25	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 27°C on August 13?	No	SELL	14	100¢	$14	0x137180…
08-12 14:56:34	Will the price of Ethereum be between $1,700 and $1,800 on August 12?	No	BUY	15	100¢	$14	0x7476e0…
08-12 10:26:09	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 27°C on August 13?	No	BUY	14	100¢	$14	0x9da2da…