Acclaimed-Party — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$10

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

99.0%

Resolved

146

Trades

158

lifetime

Volume

$3.06K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$19

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-08

last 11-07 04:19

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 106 days

Categories

Crypto

46% 100% +$5

Other

45% 100% +$4

Politics

9% 91% +$0

Tech

1% 100% +$0

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

29 active days in 12wk • peak 2 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will progressive bulgaria pb win the most seats in the 2026 bulgarian parliamentary election	3	$74	48	26	+22	Yes	+$0	04-18 20:15
elon musk of tweets april 7 april 14 380 399	2	$54	27	27	+0	No	+$0	04-14 06:20
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on October 26?	2	$46	46	0	+46	No	+$0	10-26 09:57
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on May 25?	2	$41	41	0	+41	Yes	+$0	05-24 13:05
elon musk of tweets april 16 april 18 165 189	2	$41	20	20	+0	No	+$0	04-18 13:17
Will Reform UK win the most seats in the 2026 Scottish Parliament election?	3	$39	39	0	+39	No	+$0	05-06 02:38
Will Bitcoin dip to $64,000 November 2-8?	1	$33	33	0	+33	No	+$0	11-07 04:19
bitcoin above 70k on april 21	1	$32	32	0	+32	Yes	+$0	04-20 20:17
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026?	1	$31	32	0	+32	No	+$0	10-08 08:07
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from September 11 to September 18, 2026?	1	$31	32	0	+32	No	+$0	09-16 17:32
bitcoin above 68k on june 22 2026	2	$31	31	0	+31	No	+$0	06-22 03:06
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on August 24?	1	$31	31	0	+31	Yes	+$0	08-24 08:47
Will Cerebras not IPO before July 2026?	1	$30	30	0	+30	No	+$0	05-12 06:30
bitcoin above 58k on july 14 2026	1	$30	30	0	+30	Yes	+$0	07-13 22:59
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from June 20 to June 22, 2026?	1	$30	30	0	+30	No	+$0	06-21 17:17
Will Dawn Buckingham win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?	2	$30	15	15	+0	No	$0	04-14 06:21
Will Bitcoin dip to $78,000 September 28-October 4?	1	$30	30	0	+30	No	+$0	10-04 00:41
bitcoin above 60k on july 13 2026	1	$29	29	0	+29	Yes	+$0	07-12 16:56
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from June 26 to July 3, 2026?	1	$29	29	0	+29	No	+$0	07-01 12:36
ethereum above 1700 on august 18 2026	1	$28	28	0	+28	Yes	+$0	08-17 15:54
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026?	1	$28	28	0	+28	No	+$0	05-17 21:26
ethereum above 2000 on july 20 2026	1	$28	28	0	+28	No	+$0	07-19 23:36
bitcoin above 68k on april 20	1	$28	28	0	+28	Yes	+$0	04-19 15:30
Will Bitcoin reach $92,000 October 19-25?	1	$28	28	0	+28	No	+$0	10-23 22:03
Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from October 30 to November 6, 2026?	1	$27	27	0	+27	No	+$0	11-05 23:54
Will STRC market cap hit $14B by June 30?	1	$27	27	0	+27	No	+$0	06-30 08:36
Will Bitcoin reach $82,000 September 7-13?	1	$27	27	0	+27	No	+$0	09-13 01:51
will xagusd dip to 48 in july 2026	1	$26	26	0	+26	No	+$0	07-31 07:30
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from May 5 to May 12, 2026?	2	$26	26	0	+26	No	+$0	05-10 20:03
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from October 3 to October 5, 2026?	1	$26	26	0	+26	Yes	+$0	10-05 13:10

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-07 04:19:51	Will Bitcoin dip to $64,000 November 2-8?	No	BUY	33	100¢	$33	0xf3c32f…
11-05 23:54:10	Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from October 30 to November 6, 2026?	No	BUY	27	100¢	$27	0x6ea822…
11-03 08:01:30	Will the Republican Party hold 230 or more House seats after the 2026 midterm elections?	No	BUY	26	100¢	$26	0xd23ccb…
11-02 00:56:31	Will the Republican Party win the CA-15 House seat?	No	BUY	25	99¢	$24	0x1b93e3…
10-27 16:17:35	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	25	100¢	$25	0xa384d0…
10-26 09:57:41	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on October 26?	No	BUY	21	100¢	$21	0x8781c9…
10-25 23:45:14	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on October 26?	No	BUY	25	100¢	$25	0xdbc946…
10-23 22:03:45	Will Bitcoin reach $92,000 October 19-25?	No	BUY	28	100¢	$28	0x19ee2e…
10-22 00:23:54	Will Bitcoin reach $87,000 on October 21?	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0x97facd…
10-17 15:23:09	Will Bitcoin dip to $76,000 October 12-18?	No	BUY	14	99¢	$14	0x1e4e61…
10-12 06:19:41	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,700 on October 12?	No	BUY	26	99¢	$26	0x761dde…
10-10 20:33:39	Will Bitcoin reach $88,000 October 5-11?	No	BUY	22	99¢	$22	0x7a9f1e…
10-10 11:02:48	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on October 10?	Yes	BUY	22	100¢	$22	0xb17995…
10-08 08:07:04	Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026?	No	BUY	32	100¢	$31	0x6b75bb…
10-05 13:10:28	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from October 3 to October 5, 2026?	Yes	BUY	26	99¢	$26	0x3fffc9…
10-04 00:41:28	Will Bitcoin dip to $78,000 September 28-October 4?	No	BUY	30	99¢	$30	0xfba178…
10-01 12:31:35	ethereum above 2900 on october 1 2026	No	BUY	26	100¢	$26	0x4fed7e…
09-28 18:55:18	Will Ethereum reach $3,200 in September?	No	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x3a3682…
09-27 19:39:39	Will Tencent have the best Chinese AI model at the end of September 2026?	No	BUY	22	100¢	$22	0xd22789…
09-24 02:40:08	Will the price of Bitcoin be between $78,000 and $80,000 on September 24?	No	BUY	24	99¢	$24	0x82275c…
09-17 13:49:19	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on September 17?	Yes	BUY	13	100¢	$13	0x827c52…
09-16 17:32:40	Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from September 11 to September 18, 2026?	No	BUY	32	99¢	$31	0xbfdc51…
09-13 01:51:09	Will Bitcoin reach $82,000 September 7-13?	No	BUY	27	100¢	$27	0x535547…
09-06 15:00:42	Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from September 5 to September 7, 2026?	No	BUY	21	100¢	$21	0x5a508c…
09-03 08:14:43	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on September 3?	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x4cc6f3…
09-01 11:20:49	Will the Bank of Canada make no change to the target for the overnight rate at the September interest rate announcement?	Yes	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0xa34f51…
08-28 12:57:21	will bitcoin dip to 65k in august 2026 from august 19	No	BUY	25	100¢	$25	0xdf37f8…
08-26 00:58:40	Will the number of Republican House members who retire in 2026 be between 32 and 35 inclusive?	No	BUY	14	100¢	$14	0x01d632…
08-24 08:47:48	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on August 24?	Yes	BUY	31	100¢	$31	0x1962ae…
08-21 18:57:34	bitcoin above 72k on august 22 2026	Yes	BUY	15	99¢	$15	0xa87f09…
08-17 15:54:54	ethereum above 1700 on august 18 2026	Yes	BUY	28	100¢	$28	0x4b54b4…
08-16 09:38:36	Will the price of Bitcoin be between $64,000 and $66,000 on August 16?	No	BUY	17	100¢	$17	0x4e05bf…
08-11 23:35:18	will gpt 6 be released by august 14 2026	No	BUY	19	99¢	$19	0xab9885…
08-07 22:08:27	Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from August 4 to August 11, 2026?	No	BUY	22	100¢	$22	0x3dfc87…
08-07 03:50:21	bitcoin above 58k on august 8 2026	Yes	BUY	17	100¢	$17	0xcc1933…
08-03 07:04:38	bitcoin above 56k on august 4 2026	Yes	BUY	16	100¢	$16	0x97b4eb…
08-02 23:55:15	bitcoin above 58k on august 4 2026	Yes	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0x9d0e36…
08-02 15:12:47	will bitcoin reach 66k july 27 august 2 2026	No	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0x6af80a…
07-31 07:30:17	will xagusd dip to 48 in july 2026	No	BUY	26	100¢	$26	0x28ccd2…
07-28 20:07:31	bitcoin above 60k on july 29 2026	Yes	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0x91a098…
07-27 14:24:04	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	18	100¢	$17	0xe0931b…
07-26 06:20:19	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0xd71d6f…
07-24 18:25:52	mykhailo fedorov reinstated as ukrainian defense minister by july 24 2026 20260716190353338	No	BUY	14	100¢	$14	0x2fd890…
07-23 08:23:33	Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from July 17 to July 24, 2026?	No	BUY	21	100¢	$21	0x2d5abe…
07-21 02:42:46	ethereum above 1800 on july 21 2026	Yes	BUY	24	99¢	$24	0x9eaf7f…
07-19 23:36:00	ethereum above 2000 on july 20 2026	No	BUY	28	100¢	$28	0xc2ebf6…
07-15 23:17:25	bitcoin above 60k on july 17 2026	Yes	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0xee356f…
07-13 22:59:32	bitcoin above 58k on july 14 2026	Yes	BUY	30	100¢	$30	0x78848a…
07-12 16:56:58	bitcoin above 60k on july 13 2026	Yes	BUY	29	100¢	$29	0x96da36…
07-11 13:26:31	bitcoin above 68k on july 12 2026	No	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0xb12deb…
07-10 19:46:41	Will 225 or more ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between July 6-July 12?	No	BUY	24	100¢	$24	0xd8d05d…
07-06 03:48:32	Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 30 to July 7, 2026?	No	BUY	25	100¢	$25	0x207ca1…
07-05 03:05:16	Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from June 30 to July 7, 2026?	No	BUY	12	100¢	$12	0x43f6ad…
07-04 08:41:46	will bitcoin dip to 56k june 29 july 5 2026	No	BUY	18	100¢	$18	0x39d273…
07-04 08:25:35	bitcoin above 58k on july 5 2026	Yes	BUY	24	100¢	$24	0x2ce6ab…
07-02 16:50:01	Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from June 26 to July 3, 2026?	No	BUY	14	99¢	$14	0x9de5db…
07-02 14:19:34	ethereum above 1400 on july 3 2026	Yes	BUY	14	100¢	$14	0x06d47a…
07-01 21:01:19	bitcoin above 64k on july 2 2026	No	BUY	15	99¢	$15	0xfb191d…
07-01 12:36:31	Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from June 26 to July 3, 2026?	No	BUY	29	100¢	$29	0xf53840…
06-30 14:29:20	Will STRC market cap hit $12B by June 30?	No	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0x56d16d…
06-30 08:36:20	Will STRC market cap hit $14B by June 30?	No	BUY	27	100¢	$27	0x2cb8a1…
06-25 08:52:22	bitcoin above 58k on june 25 2026	Yes	BUY	13	99¢	$13	0xc2faca…
06-25 03:04:11	bitcoin above 56k on june 25 2026	Yes	BUY	18	100¢	$18	0x4a2903…
06-24 22:00:10	Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?	No	BUY	16	100¢	$16	0xfdb38f…
06-22 23:39:34	bitcoin above 60k on june 23 2026	Yes	BUY	17	99¢	$17	0x033536…
06-22 22:40:52	bitcoin above 70k on june 23 2026	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0x3ad957…
06-22 03:06:08	bitcoin above 68k on june 22 2026	No	BUY	18	100¢	$18	0x2ed3e8…
06-22 00:24:35	bitcoin above 68k on june 22 2026	No	BUY	13	100¢	$13	0xd457d6…
06-21 17:17:44	Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from June 20 to June 22, 2026?	No	BUY	30	100¢	$30	0x80ca9d…
06-07 11:44:54	Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from June 2 to June 9, 2026?	No	BUY	18	100¢	$18	0x5f6724…
06-01 20:13:40	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on June 2?	No	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0xbe6ab6…
06-01 08:54:57	Will Carolina Buhler advance from the 2026 California Governor primary election?	No	BUY	12	100¢	$12	0x5465cb…
06-01 05:25:01	Will Nicholas Thompson advance from the 2026 California Governor primary election?	No	BUY	17	100¢	$17	0x887c85…
05-31 09:53:34	Will Elon Musk post 880-919 tweets in May 2026?	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0x4d76b4…
05-30 06:06:10	Will the price of Bitcoin be between $76,000 and $78,000 on May 30?	No	BUY	19	100¢	$19	0x286ef2…
05-29 22:42:06	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on May 30?	Yes	BUY	25	100¢	$25	0x41951a…
05-29 05:55:14	Will Robinhood Markets, Inc. (HOOD) hit (LOW) $60 in May?	No	BUY	21	100¢	$20	0x5348ba…
05-28 12:44:57	Will Delia Velculescu be the next Prime Minister of Romania?	No	BUY	13	99¢	$13	0x66d0f3…
05-27 10:22:45	Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from May 25 to May 27, 2026?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x221419…
05-26 19:28:03	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 28?	No	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0x71e5b0…
05-26 18:16:23	Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from May 22 to May 29, 2026?	No	BUY	21	100¢	$21	0xc635ab…
05-26 05:11:45	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on May 28?	Yes	BUY	17	100¢	$17	0x377430…
05-24 23:58:27	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 25?	No	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0x8de1a7…
05-24 13:05:21	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on May 25?	Yes	BUY	13	100¢	$13	0xf0f693…
05-24 02:03:02	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on May 25?	Yes	BUY	28	100¢	$28	0x5d1227…
05-23 10:26:52	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on May 24?	Yes	BUY	17	100¢	$17	0xc8135e…
05-22 20:45:08	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,300 on May 23?	No	BUY	12	99¢	$12	0xae5ad0…
05-21 03:24:58	Will "COWARD by Lukas DHONT" win Palme d'Or at the 2026 Cannes Film Festival?	No	BUY	14	100¢	$14	0xdb863b…
05-20 17:09:32	Will "GENTLE MONSTER by Marie KREUTZER" win Palme d'Or at the 2026 Cannes Film Festival?	No	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0xa54e11…
05-20 16:53:05	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on May 22?	No	BUY	25	100¢	$25	0xaa0965…
05-18 03:47:54	Will Ken McFeeters win the 2026 Alabama Governor Republican primary election?	No	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0x641dcf…
05-17 21:26:26	Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026?	No	BUY	28	99¢	$28	0x2c4495…
05-17 13:59:17	Will Frenchie die in "The Boys: Season 5"?	Yes	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0xa63803…
05-17 02:41:50	Will Gregg Kirkpatrick win the 2026 Georgia Governor Republican primary election?	No	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0x526c9f…
05-16 01:12:55	Will Ryan Gerard win the 2026 PGA Championship?	No	BUY	18	100¢	$18	0x9c9d38…
05-15 01:16:43	Will Italy be the Jury Winner in the Eurovision 2026 Grand Final?	No	BUY	24	100¢	$24	0x7c648b…
05-14 09:11:21	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 15?	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x3c0e4e…
05-13 19:19:23	Will Romania be the Jury Winner in the Eurovision 2026 Grand Final?	No	BUY	13	99¢	$13	0x01fbb4…
05-13 14:38:49	Will Cyprus win Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	16	100¢	$16	0xa1886a…
05-12 06:30:04	Will Cerebras not IPO before July 2026?	No	BUY	30	100¢	$30	0x794495…