Doting-Increase — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$10

Unrealized P&L

+$0

Hit rate

98.7%

Resolved

156

Trades

166

lifetime

Volume

$3.06K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$18

Open exposure

$26

1 position

First seen

2026-01-04

last 11-09 13:27

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 105 days

Categories

Crypto

48% 100% +$5

Other

43% 98% +$4

Politics

6% 100% +$1

Tech

3% 100% +$0

Pop-Culture

0% 100% +$0

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

23 active days in 12wk • peak 2 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (29) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Dragan Đilas be the next Prime Minister of Serbia?	No		+26	$26	100¢	$26	+$0	10-23 05:45

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026?	2	$47	48	0	+48	No	+$0	05-20 18:48
highest temperature in mexico city on april 15 2026 19corhigher	2	$43	43	0	+43	Yes	+$0	04-15 03:17
bitcoin above 66k on april 13	2	$40	20	20	+0	Yes	+$0	04-13 18:57
elon musk of tweets april 7 april 14 380 399	2	$39	20	20	+0	No	$0	04-13 18:58
Will global temperature increase by between 1.25ºC and 1.29ºC in April 2026?	2	$39	39	0	+39	No	+$0	05-08 19:40
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on May 27?	2	$35	35	0	+35	Yes	+$0	05-26 23:52
will bitcoin reach 115k in february 2026	2	$34	34	0	+34	No	+$0	02-10 05:08
Will Marine Tondelier be the joint left nominee for the 2027 French presidential election?	1	$33	33	0	+33	No	+$0	10-09 18:32
bitcoin above 80k on september 27 2026	1	$32	32	0	+32	Yes	+$0	09-27 00:43
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on September 22?	1	$31	31	0	+31	Yes	+$0	09-21 13:54
Will Australia win the televote for Eurovision 2026?	1	$31	31	0	+31	No	+$0	05-15 07:07
Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from April 21 to April 28, 2026?	1	$30	30	0	+30	No	+$0	04-26 04:07
Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?	1	$30	30	0	+30	No	+$0	10-29 03:05
bitcoin above 70k on august 23 2026	1	$29	29	0	+29	Yes	+$0	08-22 01:42
Will Ethereum reach $3,000 September 28-October 4?	1	$29	29	0	+29	No	+$0	10-04 06:08
ethereum above 2600 on april 23	1	$29	29	0	+29	No	+$0	04-23 04:04
Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from September 5 to September 7, 2026?	1	$29	29	0	+29	No	+$0	09-06 01:13
Will Cerebras not IPO before July 2026?	1	$29	29	0	+29	No	+$0	05-12 08:04
Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from November 3 to November 10, 2026?	1	$29	29	0	+29	No	+$0	11-09 13:27
Will Elon Musk post 420-439 tweets from October 6 to October 13, 2026?	1	$29	29	0	+29	No	+$0	10-12 11:35
will ethereum dip to 1600 july 20 26 2026	1	$28	28	0	+28	No	+$0	07-25 19:34
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from July 10 to July 17, 2026?	1	$28	28	0	+28	No	+$0	07-15 11:12
bitcoin above 68k on june 8 2026	1	$27	27	0	+27	No	+$0	06-08 02:44
will baidu have the best ai model at the end of february 2026	1	$27	27	0	+27	No	+$0	02-14 19:06
will bitcoin reach 68k august 10 16 2026	1	$26	27	0	+27	No	+$0	08-14 18:28
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from July 11 to July 13, 2026?	1	$26	26	0	+26	No	+$0	07-12 19:17
Will Dragan Đilas be the next Prime Minister of Serbia?	1	$26	26	0	+26	open	—	10-23 05:45
bitcoin above 68k on july 12 2026	1	$26	26	0	+26	No	+$0	07-11 15:21
bitcoin above 76k on april 14	1	$26	26	0	+26	No	+$0	04-13 09:25
will bitcoin dip to 64k april 6 12	1	$26	26	0	+26	No	+$0	04-11 18:47

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-09 13:27:16	Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from November 3 to November 10, 2026?	No	BUY	29	100¢	$29	0x468ece…
11-09 05:24:33	Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from November 3 to November 10, 2026?	No	BUY	22	100¢	$22	0x7300e3…
11-06 23:12:51	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on November 7?	No	BUY	23	100¢	$23	0x608884…
11-03 02:21:04	Will the Republican Party win the NY-14 House seat?	No	BUY	14	100¢	$14	0x93dc3f…
11-01 18:13:12	Will Bitcoin reach $86,000 October 26-November 1?	No	BUY	18	100¢	$18	0xd7a1e5…
10-29 03:05:28	Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?	No	BUY	30	100¢	$30	0xd0e8e4…
10-23 15:46:36	Will Ethereum dip to $1,900 October 19-25?	No	BUY	14	100¢	$14	0x61b16b…
10-23 05:45:11	Will Dragan Đilas be the next Prime Minister of Serbia?	No	BUY	26	100¢	$26	0x6a16c8…
10-16 17:14:03	Will Bitcoin reach $92,000 October 12-18?	No	BUY	17	100¢	$17	0x0dc7d0…
10-16 15:02:37	Will Bitcoin dip to $72,000 October 12-18?	No	BUY	14	100¢	$14	0xc01b67…
10-12 11:35:44	Will Elon Musk post 420-439 tweets from October 6 to October 13, 2026?	No	BUY	29	100¢	$29	0x123218…
10-11 03:20:09	Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 October 5-11?	No	BUY	13	100¢	$13	0x2aacf9…
10-09 18:32:41	Will Marine Tondelier be the joint left nominee for the 2027 French presidential election?	No	BUY	33	100¢	$33	0x811829…
10-04 20:16:08	Will Tarcísio de Freitas win the 2026 São Paulo gubernatorial election?	Yes	BUY	23	100¢	$23	0xac3249…
10-04 06:08:37	Will Ethereum reach $3,000 September 28-October 4?	No	BUY	29	100¢	$29	0x3b886f…
09-29 13:43:09	Will Bitcoin reach $92,500 in September?	No	BUY	13	99¢	$13	0x9d6f65…
09-28 08:26:35	Will Z.ai have the best Chinese AI model at the end of September 2026?	No	BUY	21	100¢	$21	0xa102f9…
09-27 00:43:15	bitcoin above 80k on september 27 2026	Yes	BUY	32	100¢	$32	0xa62ac2…
09-21 13:54:18	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on September 22?	Yes	BUY	31	99¢	$31	0x42f1f9…
09-13 06:45:21	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	24	99¢	$24	0x2c294a…
09-12 11:51:04	Will Ethereum dip to $2,200 September 7-13?	No	BUY	24	100¢	$24	0x829f5e…
09-06 15:39:21	Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from September 1 to September 8, 2026?	No	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0x108a2b…
09-06 01:13:00	Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from September 5 to September 7, 2026?	No	BUY	29	99¢	$29	0x805305…
09-03 11:40:42	Will the price of Bitcoin be between $70,000 and $72,000 on September 4?	No	BUY	14	100¢	$14	0xafa741…
09-02 22:19:24	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on September 3?	No	BUY	25	100¢	$25	0xae37d8…
08-28 15:10:25	Will the number of Republican House members who retire in 2026 be between 24 and 27 inclusive?	No	BUY	12	100¢	$12	0x0437dd…
08-28 09:27:57	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $65 in August?	No	BUY	12	100¢	$12	0x5631ee…
08-23 19:27:48	Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from August 21 to August 28, 2026?	No	BUY	25	100¢	$25	0xbf5cd8…
08-22 22:50:18	bitcoin above 68k on august 24 2026	Yes	BUY	13	100¢	$13	0xe5a074…
08-22 01:42:54	bitcoin above 70k on august 23 2026	Yes	BUY	29	100¢	$29	0x1d9433…
08-14 18:28:01	will bitcoin reach 68k august 10 16 2026	No	BUY	27	99¢	$26	0x5f506e…
08-12 03:49:42	bitcoin above 66k on august 12 2026	No	BUY	18	99¢	$18	0xd4d260…
08-10 10:09:16	Will claude-opus-4-6-thinking be the best AI model on August 10, 2026?	No	BUY	24	100¢	$24	0x2422c1…
08-08 07:26:45	Will any other model be the best AI model on August 10, 2026?	Yes	BUY	13	100¢	$13	0xdb0f37…
08-07 07:59:37	ethereum above 2000 on august 7 2026	No	BUY	21	99¢	$21	0x25644c…
07-31 11:40:03	will xagusd dip to 50 in july 2026	No	BUY	14	100¢	$14	0xd3d851…
07-30 14:56:51	will wti reach 100 in july 2026 928	No	BUY	15	100¢	$14	0x42d1a5…
07-28 19:55:37	Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from July 24 to July 31, 2026?	No	BUY	15	100¢	$14	0x47a377…
07-28 18:22:50	Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?	Yes	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0x9d72ce…
07-27 03:28:51	ethereum above 1800 on july 27 2026	Yes	BUY	21	100¢	$21	0x5cafd2…
07-25 19:34:42	will ethereum dip to 1600 july 20 26 2026	No	BUY	28	100¢	$28	0x2cbb57…
07-23 05:13:15	Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from July 17 to July 24, 2026?	No	BUY	24	100¢	$24	0x3aae32…
07-22 02:14:31	Will the ECB announce a 25 bps increase at the July 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	21	99¢	$20	0xe9eb71…
07-17 15:41:39	will bitcoin reach 70k july 13 19 2026	No	BUY	11	99¢	$11	0xc9e9f1…
07-16 05:41:17	bitcoin above 70k on july 17 2026	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0x812b43…
07-15 11:12:58	Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from July 10 to July 17, 2026?	No	BUY	28	100¢	$28	0x0b5352…
07-13 15:05:07	bitcoin above 58k on july 14 2026	Yes	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0xa951d2…
07-12 19:17:46	Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from July 11 to July 13, 2026?	No	BUY	26	100¢	$26	0x940ad0…
07-12 14:11:08	Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from July 7 to July 14, 2026?	No	BUY	12	100¢	$12	0xeb62f7…
07-11 15:21:38	bitcoin above 68k on july 12 2026	No	BUY	26	100¢	$26	0x415a86…
07-11 06:33:56	bitcoin above 62k on july 11 2026	Yes	BUY	25	100¢	$25	0x5fa338…
07-06 14:19:55	bitcoin above 60k on july 6 2026	Yes	BUY	11	99¢	$11	0x69e061…
07-04 20:29:20	Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from June 30 to July 7, 2026?	No	BUY	19	100¢	$19	0x6c2cd5…
07-04 09:33:26	bitcoin above 64k on july 4 2026	No	BUY	13	99¢	$13	0xe5c269…
07-03 19:04:50	will bitcoin dip to 56k june 29 july 5 2026	No	BUY	19	99¢	$19	0xeae679…
07-03 17:56:59	will bitcoin reach 65k on july 3	No	BUY	24	100¢	$24	0xf57426…
07-03 03:20:55	bitcoin above 58k on july 3 2026	Yes	BUY	24	100¢	$24	0xb66a9c…
07-01 12:04:37	bitcoin above 66k on july 3 2026	No	BUY	22	100¢	$22	0xe1439f…
06-30 17:20:23	will israeli forces withdraw from beyond the litani river by june 30 20260607234650335	No	BUY	18	100¢	$18	0x65a8e7…
06-30 09:35:47	will spacexs valuation hit low 1pt45t by june 30	No	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0x41ca9d…
06-25 11:29:46	will the us announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by june 26 20260622192122519	No	BUY	19	100¢	$19	0x6b858f…
06-24 08:42:20	ethereum above 1800 on june 24 2026	No	BUY	14	100¢	$14	0x086c0b…
06-23 14:22:16	bitcoin above 68k on june 24 2026	No	BUY	12	100¢	$12	0x454db5…
06-22 05:04:11	Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from June 16 to June 23, 2026?	No	BUY	13	100¢	$13	0xf3885d…
06-21 19:42:14	bab el mandeb strait effectively closed by june 22 183	No	BUY	21	100¢	$21	0x55f6cb…
06-20 19:01:19	will bitcoin dip to 56k june 15 21 2026	No	BUY	19	100¢	$19	0x18e29f…
06-08 02:44:18	bitcoin above 68k on june 8 2026	No	BUY	27	100¢	$27	0x81d34e…
06-05 17:24:01	Will Armenia Alliance win the most seats in the 2026 Armenian National Assembly election?	No	BUY	17	100¢	$17	0x91bbaa…
06-02 15:56:47	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,400 on June 3?	No	BUY	17	100¢	$17	0xe928ad…
06-02 06:08:38	Will the Democratic Party of Korea (DP) win the 2026 South Korean local elections?	Yes	BUY	26	99¢	$26	0x4e102d…
06-01 13:25:55	Will Nicholas Thompson advance from the 2026 California Governor primary election?	No	BUY	18	100¢	$18	0x368ad1…
05-31 21:28:29	Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 in May?	No	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0x225913…
05-30 13:04:46	Will Islamic Group win the most seats in the 2026 Lebanese parliamentary election?	No	BUY	18	100¢	$18	0x04c37f…
05-29 16:52:55	Will Greece send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	13	100¢	$13	0x94f58e…
05-29 08:05:39	Will OpenAI have the #1 AI model at the end of May 2026 (Style Control On)?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xb0f623…
05-28 16:48:25	Will Prabowo Subianto cease to be President of Indonesia by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	12	100¢	$11	0xe0bfca…
05-28 01:39:15	Will Google have the #1 AI model at the end of May 2026 (Style Control On)?	No	BUY	23	100¢	$23	0x3f1982…
05-27 09:18:14	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on May 28?	Yes	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0x0ede3c…
05-27 07:43:49	Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from May 22 to May 29, 2026?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$9	0x466fb0…
05-27 02:26:54	Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from May 22 to May 29, 2026?	No	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0xc42b5b…
05-26 23:52:21	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on May 27?	Yes	BUY	18	100¢	$18	0xea4edd…
05-26 04:56:02	Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from May 19 to May 26, 2026?	No	BUY	17	99¢	$17	0x39635b…
05-25 20:04:02	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,000 on May 26?	Yes	BUY	19	100¢	$19	0x1b4037…
05-25 10:25:27	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on May 27?	Yes	BUY	17	100¢	$17	0x9df650…
05-24 05:34:14	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on May 26?	Yes	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0xee078b…
05-23 14:17:09	Will there be 3 or fewer earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide from May 18 - 24?	No	BUY	19	100¢	$19	0x506d98…
05-23 05:29:31	Will Bitcoin dip to $66,000 May 18-24?	No	BUY	22	100¢	$22	0x68f150…
05-22 21:11:40	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 24?	No	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0xa94e0e…
05-21 20:20:00	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,300 on May 22?	No	BUY	12	100¢	$11	0x8552ca…
05-21 06:39:41	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,000 on May 21?	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xcda809…
05-20 18:48:36	Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026?	No	BUY	24	100¢	$24	0x77e2c7…
05-20 15:31:42	Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026?	No	BUY	23	100¢	$23	0xf7dbe5…
05-19 23:38:16	Will a new Gemini flagship be released by May 22, 2026?	No	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x9f7999…
05-19 17:34:06	Will Firecracker die in "The Boys: Season 5"?	Yes	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0x4cad51…
05-19 08:07:51	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on May 20?	Yes	BUY	17	99¢	$17	0x614175…
05-19 00:06:17	Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026?	No	BUY	19	100¢	$19	0xf96b1f…
05-18 07:53:52	Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from May 16 to May 18, 2026?	No	BUY	22	100¢	$22	0x78db51…
05-17 22:38:58	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on May 18?	Yes	BUY	25	100¢	$25	0x0a3fec…
05-17 11:22:38	Will "The Devil Wears Prada 2" 3rd Weekend Box Office be between 23m and 26m?	No	BUY	19	100¢	$19	0x9d66c0…
05-16 03:52:10	Will Jordan Spieth win the 2026 PGA Championship?	No	BUY	17	99¢	$17	0x0cd00f…