Illustrious-Candidacy — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$1

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

100.0%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$2.19K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$23

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-01

last 07-03 15:12

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 6 days

Categories

Crypto

73% 100% +$1

Other

25% — —

Politics

2% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

49 active days in 12wk • peak 4 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (3) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
bitcoin above 72k on april 24	2	$95	96	0	+96	open	—	04-23 23:09
ethereum above 1800 on june 25 2026	2	$85	86	0	+86	open	—	06-25 07:15
bitcoin above 84k on april 22	2	$75	75	0	+75	open	—	04-20 16:41
bitcoin above 64k on july 2 2026	1	$65	66	0	+66	open	—	07-01 21:26
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on April 27?	2	$52	53	0	+53	open	—	04-26 13:23
ethereum above 2000 on april 17	2	$47	47	0	+47	open	—	04-16 17:38
Will Belgium win Eurovision 2026?	2	$44	22	22	+0	open	—	04-17 22:13
Will Hoppers be the March film with the highest domestic gross on April 30?	1	$44	44	0	+44	open	—	04-27 14:33
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,900 on May 26?	1	$41	41	0	+41	open	—	05-25 07:31
will casper ruud win the 2026 australian open	2	$38	38	0	+38	open	—	01-24 12:50
bitcoin above 74k on june 5 2026	2	$38	38	0	+38	open	—	06-03 23:05
Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by May 14, 2026?	2	$36	36	0	+36	open	—	05-12 06:59
Will Ethereum reach $2,600 May 4-10?	1	$36	36	0	+36	No	+$0	05-10 01:29
Will Dimitar Glavchev be the next prime minister of Bulgaria after the 2026 parliamentary election?	2	$35	17	17	+0	open	—	04-17 22:17
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on May 19?	1	$31	31	0	+31	open	—	05-18 22:18
Will Bitcoin dip to $68,000 May 18-24?	1	$30	30	0	+30	open	—	05-24 01:11
bitcoin above 68k on june 23 2026	1	$30	30	0	+30	open	—	06-22 23:11
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on May 11?	1	$30	30	0	+30	No	+$0	05-10 12:53
elon musk of tweets april 20 april 22 90 114	1	$29	29	0	+29	open	—	04-22 03:57
Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 May 4-10?	1	$28	28	0	+28	No	+$0	05-08 16:10
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,300 on May 25?	1	$28	28	0	+28	open	—	05-25 01:09
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on May 20?	1	$28	28	0	+28	open	—	05-19 18:01
will ethereum dip to 1700 april 6 12	1	$28	28	0	+28	open	—	04-11 20:57
bitcoin above 66k on april 14	1	$28	28	0	+28	open	—	04-13 15:55
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $60 in April?	1	$27	27	0	+27	open	—	04-27 16:27
will bugonia win best picture at the 98th academy awards	1	$27	27	0	+27	open	—	01-05 15:42
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on April 25?	1	$27	27	0	+27	open	—	04-25 08:48
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on June 1?	1	$27	27	0	+27	open	—	06-01 03:00
elon musk of tweets april 13 april 15 190 214	1	$27	27	0	+27	open	—	04-13 20:27
Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by May 31, 2026?	1	$27	27	0	+27	open	—	05-12 08:31

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-03 15:12:55	will bitcoin reach 68k june 29 july 5 2026	No	BUY	24	100¢	$24	0xf6787c…
07-02 17:46:52	ethereum above 1900 on july 3 2026	No	BUY	19	100¢	$19	0x895a94…
07-02 08:55:26	bitcoin above 68k on july 4 2026	No	BUY	22	100¢	$22	0x405f04…
07-02 05:29:14	ethereum above 1500 on july 2 2026	Yes	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0x54fba8…
07-01 21:26:53	bitcoin above 64k on july 2 2026	No	BUY	66	99¢	$65	0xb7c252…
07-01 03:14:43	will andurils valuation hit high 110b by june 30	No	BUY	26	99¢	$26	0xecc180…
06-25 07:15:38	ethereum above 1800 on june 25 2026	No	BUY	63	100¢	$62	0x2c13aa…
06-25 06:41:28	ethereum above 1800 on june 25 2026	No	BUY	23	100¢	$23	0x11ef1d…
06-22 23:11:59	bitcoin above 68k on june 23 2026	No	BUY	30	99¢	$30	0xc697f8…
06-03 23:05:54	bitcoin above 74k on june 5 2026	No	BUY	22	100¢	$22	0x6e0286…
06-03 19:14:18	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on June 5?	No	BUY	16	99¢	$16	0x62a535…
06-02 22:31:05	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on June 4?	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0x77c22d…
06-01 11:21:54	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on June 2?	No	BUY	22	100¢	$22	0x129485…
06-01 03:00:47	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on June 1?	Yes	BUY	27	99¢	$27	0x5e125b…
05-31 02:37:17	Will Nicholas Thompson advance from the 2026 California Governor primary election?	No	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0x16f979…
05-30 11:21:38	Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by May 31?	No	BUY	23	100¢	$23	0x2a5db7…
05-29 03:25:09	Will Germany send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	26	100¢	$26	0xcf32ae…
05-26 13:32:43	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on May 27?	Yes	BUY	16	100¢	$16	0xf46222…
05-26 01:13:01	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 27?	No	BUY	11	99¢	$11	0x14f029…
05-25 13:04:54	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,500 on May 26?	No	BUY	17	100¢	$17	0x5261d6…
05-25 07:31:51	Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,900 on May 26?	Yes	BUY	41	100¢	$41	0x83417e…
05-25 01:09:09	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,300 on May 25?	No	BUY	28	100¢	$28	0x5bf7be…
05-24 01:11:00	Will Bitcoin dip to $68,000 May 18-24?	No	BUY	30	100¢	$30	0x3f0c19…
05-22 19:48:38	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on May 23?	No	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0x3c2bfe…
05-21 15:53:22	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,000 on May 22?	Yes	BUY	24	100¢	$24	0xf90853…
05-20 10:48:07	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on May 22?	Yes	BUY	12	100¢	$12	0xf96381…
05-19 18:01:40	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on May 20?	Yes	BUY	28	100¢	$28	0xfd6820…
05-18 22:18:33	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on May 19?	Yes	BUY	31	100¢	$31	0xdcc179…
05-18 16:56:01	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,300 on May 19?	No	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0xc83c5a…
05-17 20:40:54	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 18?	Yes	BUY	23	99¢	$23	0xcf1cdb…
05-13 22:46:57	Will Denmark advance through the second Eurovision Semi-Final?	Yes	BUY	24	100¢	$24	0x94f882…
05-12 08:31:34	Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	27	100¢	$27	0xd4fbd0…
05-12 06:59:49	Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by May 14, 2026?	No	BUY	18	99¢	$18	0x7eb472…
05-11 12:55:11	Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by May 14, 2026?	No	BUY	18	99¢	$18	0xa8463f…
05-10 18:51:41	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $88,000 on May 12?	No	BUY	13	100¢	$13	0x675ccd…
05-10 12:53:59	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on May 11?	No	BUY	30	100¢	$30	0x9d7d71…
05-10 01:29:14	Will Ethereum reach $2,600 May 4-10?	No	BUY	36	100¢	$36	0xad33c0…
05-09 00:18:55	Will Bitcoin dip to $72,000 May 4-10?	No	BUY	25	99¢	$25	0x7fcc63…
05-08 16:57:41	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on May 10?	Yes	BUY	13	100¢	$13	0x918bef…
05-08 16:10:51	Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 May 4-10?	No	BUY	28	100¢	$28	0x5db5ec…
05-07 23:05:39	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on May 9?	No	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0x39dca8…
05-07 09:44:09	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on May 8?	No	BUY	23	99¢	$23	0x8b2d29…
05-05 14:33:10	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on May 5?	No	BUY	25	100¢	$25	0x52462e…
05-04 14:46:22	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 5?	Yes	BUY	13	99¢	$13	0xf185a1…
05-04 00:41:24	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 4?	Yes	BUY	21	100¢	$21	0xb2d0fb…
05-03 14:08:10	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on May 5?	No	BUY	12	100¢	$12	0x656e8a…
05-01 08:02:38	Will Ethereum dip to $1,700 April 27-May 3?	No	BUY	16	100¢	$16	0x4e2d5e…
04-29 14:05:38	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $70 in April?	No	BUY	15	99¢	$15	0xdbb784…
04-27 16:27:48	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $60 in April?	No	BUY	27	99¢	$27	0xdbbd42…
04-27 14:33:08	Will Hoppers be the March film with the highest domestic gross on April 30?	No	BUY	44	100¢	$44	0x3811de…
04-26 13:23:44	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on April 27?	Yes	BUY	12	100¢	$12	0x0028b6…
04-26 07:08:46	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on April 27?	Yes	BUY	41	99¢	$40	0x79d904…
04-25 23:27:26	Will Bitcoin dip to $68,000 April 20-26?	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0xf8b51c…
04-25 08:48:10	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on April 25?	No	BUY	27	99¢	$27	0x4c3c20…
04-24 17:23:12	Will "Michael" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 70m and 75m?	No	BUY	17	100¢	$17	0xe211d8…
04-23 23:09:22	bitcoin above 72k on april 24	Yes	BUY	25	100¢	$25	0x09aa04…
04-23 13:13:28	bitcoin above 72k on april 24	Yes	BUY	71	99¢	$70	0xc7d2ac…
04-23 03:48:26	bitcoin above 86k on april 24	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xc89bba…
04-22 03:57:32	elon musk of tweets april 20 april 22 90 114	No	BUY	29	100¢	$29	0xa4d61e…
04-21 21:39:06	will ethereum dip to 2150 on april 21	No	BUY	19	99¢	$19	0x8c641f…
04-21 14:08:26	bitcoin above 66k on april 23	Yes	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0xf5f1a4…
04-20 21:26:04	bitcoin above 70k on april 21	Yes	BUY	21	100¢	$21	0x96eccd…
04-20 16:41:58	bitcoin above 84k on april 22	No	BUY	36	100¢	$36	0xcf4d66…
04-20 06:31:50	bitcoin above 84k on april 22	No	BUY	39	99¢	$39	0xf589dc…
04-19 06:01:10	bitcoin above 72k on april 19	Yes	BUY	22	99¢	$22	0x3cfd1b…
04-18 20:44:32	elon musk of tweets april 14 april 21 360 379	No	BUY	24	99¢	$24	0x4b810f…
04-17 22:19:00	bitcoin above 82k on april 18	No	SELL	11	99¢	$11	0x0f3205…
04-17 22:17:40	Will Dimitar Glavchev be the next prime minister of Bulgaria after the 2026 parliamentary election?	No	SELL	17	99¢	$17	0x00fd0a…
04-17 22:13:58	Will Belgium win Eurovision 2026?	No	SELL	22	100¢	$22	0xfef6b4…
04-17 18:22:34	Will Dimitar Glavchev be the next prime minister of Bulgaria after the 2026 parliamentary election?	No	BUY	17	100¢	$17	0xff0b0b…
04-16 17:38:44	ethereum above 2000 on april 17	Yes	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0x6f4f6f…
04-16 13:16:30	ethereum above 2000 on april 17	Yes	BUY	27	100¢	$27	0x93caf9…
04-16 04:40:40	bitcoin above 82k on april 18	No	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0xc9602d…
04-15 18:43:14	elon musk of tweets april 10 april 17 420 439	No	BUY	21	100¢	$21	0x5d736e…
04-15 13:56:04	elon musk of tweets april 10 april 17 240 259	No	BUY	21	100¢	$21	0x365709…
04-14 17:19:38	bitcoin above 68k on april 15	Yes	BUY	11	100¢	$10	0x17880f…
04-13 20:27:15	elon musk of tweets april 13 april 15 190 214	No	BUY	27	100¢	$27	0x160e8d…
04-13 15:55:49	bitcoin above 66k on april 14	Yes	BUY	28	100¢	$28	0x4cbd38…
04-13 07:00:19	ethereum above 2000 on april 13	Yes	BUY	24	100¢	$24	0x82ce65…
04-12 12:56:19	elon musk of tweets april 7 april 14 360 379	No	BUY	18	100¢	$18	0x3fd094…
04-11 20:57:05	will ethereum dip to 1700 april 6 12	No	BUY	28	100¢	$28	0xd3f87f…
04-11 01:23:11	bitcoin above 68k on april 11	Yes	BUY	12	100¢	$12	0xf76921…
04-06 23:16:55	will bitcoin dip to 63k on april 6	No	BUY	22	100¢	$22	0xdd6f9d…
04-03 23:39:55	bitcoin above 64k on april 4	Yes	BUY	22	99¢	$22	0x338d06…
04-02 18:13:05	bitcoin above 72k on april 3	No	BUY	23	100¢	$23	0x7d9fb4…
04-01 01:41:27	bitcoin above 62k on april 1	Yes	BUY	14	100¢	$14	0x3fab55…
03-27 18:37:33	bitcoin above 76k on march 29	No	BUY	22	100¢	$22	0xa90f98…
03-19 12:24:19	Will Belgium win Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	22	100¢	$22	0xa9abf3…
03-18 14:24:49	will bitcoin reach 100k in march 2026	No	BUY	23	99¢	$23	0xeba15f…
02-13 11:49:17	will train dreams win best picture at the 98th academy awards 736	No	BUY	19	99¢	$19	0x806276…
01-31 04:29:22	will google have the best ai model at the end of january 2026	Yes	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xc3783e…
01-27 15:31:43	will ben shelton win the 2026 australian open	No	BUY	11	99¢	$11	0x57050c…
01-24 12:50:52	will casper ruud win the 2026 australian open	No	BUY	12	100¢	$12	0x01a1ba…
01-15 13:56:38	will casper ruud win the 2026 australian open	No	BUY	26	100¢	$26	0x082c73…
01-05 15:42:43	will bugonia win best picture at the 98th academy awards	No	BUY	27	99¢	$27	0xda9c40…
01-01 00:44:31	will bitcoin reach 95000 by december 31 2025 818 596 821 318 841	No	BUY	23	100¢	$23	0x9c620e…