Repulsive-Shackle 0xc550e5…f9272d
whale hot 8W streak
← all wallets
Realized P&L
+$16.0K
Unrealized P&L
+$3.97K
Hit rate
86.2%
Resolved
324
Trades
5,910
lifetime
Volume
$1.72M
lifetime
Avg / trade
$291
Open exposure
$178.6K
30 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 10-27 03:12
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 96 days
Categories
Politics
53% 78% -$3,296
Other
46% 75% +$19,451
Sports
1% 44% +$191
Tech
0% 0% -$298
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
69 active days in 12wk • peak 102 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027? No +19,436 $15,826 90¢ $17.5K +$1,666 10-08 19:30
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? No +17,123 $14,033 88¢ $15.2K +$1,121 10-20 02:17
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No +18,075 $14,273 82¢ $14.7K +$458 10-27 03:01
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026? No +15,499 $14,336 94¢ $14.6K +$310 10-22 22:40
Netanyahu out by end of 2026? No +23,690 $13,381 58¢ $13.9K +$478 09-08 20:00
US strike on Cuba by December 31? No +12,954 $11,795 92¢ $11.9K +$58 10-24 21:54
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by October 31? No +11,334 $10,528 100¢ $11.3K +$766 09-14 08:09
Will Iran withdraw from the NPT before 2027? No +12,404 $10,925 88¢ $10.9K -$40 10-21 15:42
US x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31? No +12,754 $8,884 70¢ $9.0K +$108 10-22 11:13
Israel withdraws from Lebanon by December 31, 2026? No +9,011 $7,666 96¢ $8.7K +$1,017 10-27 04:18
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31? No +9,622 $7,408 74¢ $7.1K -$336 10-24 19:20
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by March 31, 2027? No +10,109 $6,988 66¢ $6.6K -$366 10-22 14:46
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? No +5,495 $5,164 96¢ $5.3K +$109 10-27 03:12
Trump out as President before 2027? No -5,499 -$5,366 96¢ $-5266 +$101 10-22 09:02
Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026? No -5,095 -$5,161 97¢ $-4930 +$231 09-17 21:41
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? No +5,206 $4,780 94¢ $4.9K +$87 10-27 03:00
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? Yes +4,391 $3,382 92¢ $4.0K +$636 10-27 03:00
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? No -2,000 -$2,007 98¢ $-1959 +$48 10-20 07:01
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 28? Yes +2,000 $1,650 96¢ $1.9K +$270 10-23 16:02
Will Trump meet with Kim Jong Un in 2026? No +1,957 $1,366 77¢ $1.5K +$141 10-23 07:04
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027? Yes +13,635 $4,177 10¢ $1.4K -$2,814 10-21 14:36
Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? No -1,100 -$957 84¢ $-924 +$33 07-11 23:20
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by December 31? No +1,000 $930 92¢ $915 -$15 09-08 20:02
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by December 31? No +1,000 $750 84¢ $845 +$95 09-17 11:09
putin out as president of russia by june 30 2027 No +850 $685 90¢ $769 +$84 07-24 19:06
Will Kuomintang (KMT) win the most head of local government elections in the 2026 Taiwan local elections? Yes +935 $639 68¢ $641 +$2 10-22 07:32
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? No +634 $237 98¢ $620 +$383 09-13 20:14
Will Trump meet with Vladimir Putin in 2026? No +2,929 $1,225 19¢ $557 -$668 09-26 00:18
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? Yes -2,750 -$298 18¢ $-509 -$210 07-07 03:21
Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia before 2027? No +515 $267 94¢ $484 +$217 10-27 03:00