Realized P&L
-$12.4K
Unrealized P&L
-$185
Hit rate
60.9%
Resolved
5
Trades
3,447
lifetime
Volume
$685.3K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$199
Open exposure
$22.4K
14 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 06-10 00:53
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 4 days
Categories
Politics
62% 50% $-12,753
Other
37% 100% +$333
Sports
1%
Tech
0%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
69 active days in 12wk • peak 77 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by June 30? No +6,495 $6,188 98¢ $6.3K +$148 06-08 19:05
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30? No +6,956 $5,587 74¢ $5.1K $-440 06-10 00:53
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by June 30? No +3,134 $2,883 88¢ $2.8K $-122 06-08 08:41
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by June 30? No +1,500 $1,486 99¢ $1.5K +$3 06-09 09:12
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? No +1,564 $1,224 90¢ $1.4K +$192 06-08 10:34
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30? No +1,266 $1,236 99¢ $1.3K +$15 06-04 18:03
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026? No -1,000 $-939 95¢ $-946 $-6 05-28 18:43
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31? No +1,000 $800 82¢ $815 +$15 06-03 09:58
Mojtaba Khamenei leaves Iran by June 30, 2026? No +748 $731 98¢ $736 +$5 06-08 17:20
Epstein client list released by June 30? No +588 $571 97¢ $572 +$2 06-04 17:54
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? No +500 $435 86¢ $432 $-2 06-08 17:19
Starmer out by June 30, 2026? No +350 $298 86¢ $299 +$2 06-08 23:10
Netanyahu out by June 30? No +189 $180 98¢ $185 +$5 05-29 03:15
Will Trump meet with Aleksandr Lukashenko in 2026? No +71 $41 58¢ $41 +$1 06-09 00:19