Realized P&L
-$12.4K
Unrealized P&L
+$2.12K
Hit rate
60.9%
Resolved
5
Trades
3,647
lifetime
Volume
$725.1K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$199
Open exposure
$26.3K
22 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 06-30 23:01
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 4 days
Categories
Politics
62% 50% $-12,753
Other
37% 100% +$333
Sports
1%
Tech
0%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
66 active days in 12wk • peak 44 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30? No +7,762 $6,249 90¢ $7.0K +$776 06-28 00:10
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by June 30? No +6,834 $6,540 100¢ $6.8K +$263 06-26 09:07
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? No +4,497 $3,671 99¢ $4.5K +$792 06-20 12:57
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026? No +1,894 $1,661 89¢ $1.7K +$24 07-01 09:35
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026? No -1,000 $-939 96¢ $-962 $-23 05-28 18:43
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? No +1,000 $865 92¢ $915 +$50 06-10 23:07
Will Trump meet with Kim Jong Un in 2026? No +1,138 $825 78¢ $894 +$69 06-30 22:58
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31? No +1,000 $800 88¢ $875 +$75 06-03 09:58
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? No +495 $462 95¢ $471 +$9 06-12 22:38
Trump out as President before 2027? No +500 $450 92¢ $458 +$8 06-17 20:09
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? No +500 $455 90¢ $452 $-2 06-30 23:01
Will Donald Trump visit Russia in 2026? No +433 $362 88¢ $379 +$17 06-18 05:05
Will Donald Trump visit Japan in 2026? No +330 $252 79¢ $261 +$8 06-24 23:24
Modi out by December 31, 2026? No +234 $219 93¢ $218 $-1 06-18 05:20
Will Donald Trump visit Canada in 2026? No +142 $110 84¢ $120 +$9 06-30 23:00
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? No +500 $60 20¢ $98 +$38 06-25 04:52
Will Donald Trump visit South Korea in 2026? No +84 $54 68¢ $57 +$2 06-18 05:04
Will Donald Trump visit North Korea in 2026? No +60 $54 90¢ $54 +$0 06-30 23:00
Will Trump meet with Aleksandr Lukashenko in 2026? No +71 $41 63¢ $45 +$4 06-09 00:19
Will Donald Trump visit India in 2026? No +26 $19 82¢ $21 +$2 06-18 05:07
US strike on Cuba by December 31? No -9 $-6 58¢ $-5 +$0 06-13 03:14
Will Trump visit Greenland by December 31? No +1 $1 89¢ $1 +$0 06-20 23:01