Realized P&L
+$16
Unrealized P&L
-$241
Hit rate
83.5%
Resolved
4
Trades
1,080
lifetime
Volume
$143.3K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$133
Open exposure
$2.08K
7 positions
First seen
2026-01-02
last 07-23 09:30
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 4 days
Categories
Other
50%
Politics
43% 33% +$7
Tech
6%
Crypto
1% 100% +$8
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
28 active days in 12wk • peak 162 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? No +1,400 $1,302 99¢ $1.4K +$89 07-07 06:28
Anthropic IPO before 2027? No -700 $-6 34¢ $-234 $-229 06-08 06:57
Will Nebius Group be acquired before 2027? No +200 $166 86¢ $171 +$5 06-16 06:54
OpenAI IPO before 2027? No -200 $-52 80¢ $-160 $-108 06-08 06:57
Will Lovable be acquired before 2027? No +68 $53 82¢ $56 +$3 06-17 07:11
Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia before 2027? Yes +417 $42 12¢ $48 +$6 07-07 06:32
OpenAI $1t+ IPO before 2027? Yes +300 $30 $23 $-7 07-15 21:45