Realized P&L
-$4.89K
Unrealized P&L
-$359
Hit rate
69.3%
Resolved
192
Trades
1,280
lifetime
Volume
$158.6K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$124
Open exposure
$3.14K
12 positions
First seen
2026-01-02
last 10-27 07:34
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 95 days
Categories
Other
49% 47% +$702
Politics
43% 49% -$6,222
Tech
6% 71% +$229
Crypto
1% 71% +$413
Sports
0% 0% -$14
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
15 active days in 12wk • peak 10 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Anthropic IPO before 2027? Yes +1,200 $944 92¢ $1.1K +$166 08-14 21:42
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? Yes -900 -$720 97¢ $-873 -$153 06-08 06:57
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? No +500 $345 68¢ $338 -$8 08-12 09:58
OpenAI IPO before 2027? No -200 -$52 98¢ $-195 -$143 06-08 06:57
Will Nebius Group be acquired before 2027? No +200 $166 97¢ $194 +$28 06-16 06:54
Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? Yes -200 -$92 76¢ $-153 -$61 07-09 06:25
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the December 2026 meeting? Yes +400 $236 26¢ $102 -$134 08-11 13:20
Will Lovable be acquired before 2027? No +68 $53 95¢ $65 +$12 06-17 07:11
Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? Yes +602 $84 11¢ $63 -$21 06-30 06:49
Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia before 2027? Yes +417 $42 5¢ $21 -$21 07-07 06:32
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes +100 $16 12¢ $12 -$4 06-16 06:53
OpenAI $1t+ IPO before 2027? Yes +300 $30 3¢ $10 -$20 07-15 21:45