Realized P&L
+$16
Unrealized P&L
-$598
Hit rate
83.5%
Resolved
4
Trades
1,049
lifetime
Volume
$140.5K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$134
Open exposure
$592
6 positions
First seen
2026-01-02
last 07-01 07:54
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 4 days
Categories
Other
50%
Politics
44% 33% +$7
Tech
5%
Crypto
1% 100% +$8
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
29 active days in 12wk • peak 162 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Nebius Group be acquired before 2027? No +200 $166 86¢ $173 +$7 06-16 06:54
Anthropic IPO before 2027? No -700 $-6 24¢ $-171 $-166 06-08 06:57
OpenAI IPO before 2027? No -200 $-52 76¢ $-151 $-99 06-08 06:57
Will Lovable be acquired before 2027? No +68 $53 80¢ $54 +$1 06-17 07:11
Will John Pardon win the 2026 Fields Medal? No +80 $39 50¢ $40 +$0 06-03 20:12
Will Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30? Yes +882 $344 $3 $-341 06-30 06:48