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whale
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Realized P&L (30d)
-$51
Unrealized P&L
-$445
Hit rate
16.5%
Resolved (30d)
4
Trades (30d)
5
1,284 lifetime
Volume (30d)
$1.23K
$159.8K lifetime
Avg / trade
$124
Open exposure
$1.80K
10 positions
First seen
2026-01-02
last 11-08 08:46
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 96 days
Categories
Other
49% 47% +$702
Politics
43% 49% -$6,330
Tech
7% 71% +$229
Crypto
1% 71% +$413
Sports
0% 0% -$14
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
10 active days in 12wk • peak 10 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? Yes -900 -$720 98¢ $-885 -$165 06-08 06:57
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? No +500 $345 80¢ $398 +$53 08-12 09:58
OpenAI IPO before 2027? No -200 -$52 98¢ $-196 -$145 06-08 06:57
Will Nebius Group be acquired before 2027? No +200 $166 97¢ $194 +$28 06-16 06:54
Will Lovable be acquired before 2027? No +68 $53 95¢ $65 +$12 06-17 07:11
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the December 2026 meeting? Yes +400 $236 4¢ $16 -$220 08-11 13:20
Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia before 2027? Yes +417 $42 4¢ $16 -$26 07-07 06:32
Will no company have an AI model hit 1550 on Chatbot Arena in 2026? Yes -40 -$68 38¢ $-15 +$53 07-28 13:58
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes -100 $2 7¢ $-7 -$9 11-06 08:14
OpenAI $1t+ IPO before 2027? Yes +300 $30 2¢ $4 -$26 07-15 21:45