Realized P&L
+$147
Unrealized P&L
-$16
Hit rate
66.0%
Resolved
86
Trades
480
lifetime
Volume
$7.35K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$15
Open exposure
$431
16 positions
First seen
2026-06-25
last 11-02 13:03
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 41 days
Categories
Other
46% 71% -$44
Politics
37% 56% +$33
Crypto
8% 0% -$129
Sports
6% 100% +$287
Tech
2% 75% +$1
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
42 active days in 12wk • peak 38 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
New "Stranger Things" episode released by December 31? No +183 $176 98¢ $179 +$3 08-17 14:29
Will Xavier Becerra win the California Governor Election in 2026? Yes +51 $50 99¢ $51 +$1 10-29 17:17
Will the 2026 Midterm Elections happen as scheduled? Yes +36 $35 100¢ $36 +$1 10-07 00:01
Mitch McConnell steps down from Senate before his term ends? No +28 $25 96¢ $27 +$2 09-03 04:03
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? No +26 $25 98¢ $25 +$0 10-01 06:56
Will Trump pardon Sam Bankman-Fried before 2027? No +26 $25 97¢ $25 +$0 09-16 20:18
Will Tempo launch a token by December 31, 2026? No +26 $25 96¢ $25 +$0 10-01 06:17
Will Trump and Putin not meet? No +26 $22 86¢ $23 +$1 10-02 18:34
Kash Patel out by December 31? Yes +83 $25 20¢ $16 -$9 08-01 07:00
Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia before 2027? Yes +227 $25 5¢ $11 -$14 07-06 00:42
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? No +8 $8 97¢ $8 $0 11-02 13:03
Will the Democrats win the New York governor race in 2026? Yes +3 $3 97¢ $3 +$0 10-22 18:31
China x Philippines military clash before 2027? Yes +8 $3 18¢ $1 -$1 09-05 14:03
Trump out as President before 2027? No +0 $0 96¢ $0 +$0 11-02 12:57
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? No +0 $1 96¢ $0 -$1 10-26 11:11
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No +0 $0 82¢ $0 $0 08-20 23:44