Realized P&L
-$4.56K
Unrealized P&L
+$3.06K
Hit rate
77.1%
Resolved
130
Trades
435
lifetime
Volume
$221.2K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$508
Open exposure
$26.5K
19 positions
First seen
2026-01-22
last 10-28 20:59
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 71 days
Categories
Other
58% 66% -$4,578
Politics
35% 53% +$1,298
Crypto
6% 32% -$905
Sports
1% 27% -$298
Tech
0% 50% -$76
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
37 active days in 12wk • peak 26 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? No +9,736 $9,000 92¢ $9.0K +$6 10-26 11:49
Russia-Ukraine peace talks by November 30, 2026? Yes +4,873 $2,500 86¢ $4.2K +$1,691 10-21 14:30
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026? No +4,112 $3,878 99¢ $4.1K +$203 10-23 20:10
russia ukraine peace talks by december 31 2026 20260609012542189 Yes +2,554 $1,407 89¢ $2.3K +$867 10-21 15:43
Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia before 2027? No +1,851 $1,699 94¢ $1.7K +$41 08-08 20:35
Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before December 31, 2026? No +1,250 $1,000 94¢ $1.2K +$181 09-20 07:28
will ukraine recapture crimean territory by december 31 2026 No +1,087 $1,000 98¢ $1.1K +$60 08-02 09:43
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? Yes +1,087 $1,000 92¢ $1.0K +$5 10-24 12:12
Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel? No +581 $500 96¢ $558 +$58 10-24 12:13
Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? Yes +735 $500 66¢ $489 -$11 10-24 12:13
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No +541 $400 82¢ $441 +$41 07-30 07:55
Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes +621 $100 15¢ $96 -$4 09-09 09:27
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Yes +240 $100 39¢ $94 -$6 07-21 15:11
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes +530 $100 16¢ $86 -$14 09-09 09:27
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes +503 $100 17¢ $83 -$17 07-21 08:55
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Yes +422 $110 17¢ $73 -$37 09-29 12:36
Will Tucker Carlson win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Yes +588 $10 3¢ $18 +$8 07-23 18:48
Will Zelenskyy and Putin not meet before 2027? No +143 $10 8¢ $11 +$1 10-21 14:46
Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in US before 2027? Yes +348 $20 2¢ $8 -$12 10-21 20:36