Realized P&L
Unrealized P&L
+$8
Hit rate
Resolved
0
Trades
257
lifetime
Volume
$2.18K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$8
Open exposure
$84
9 positions
First seen
2026-04-14
last 07-03 12:17
Equity curve
Not enough resolved markets yet to plot a curve.
Categories
Politics
68%
Other
32%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
51 active days in 12wk • peak 25 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026? No +31 $21 76¢ $23 +$2 06-15 14:17
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026? No +23 $11 60¢ $14 +$2 06-04 20:34
Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia before 2027? No +14 $13 90¢ $13 +$0 06-28 15:24
Ukraine agrees not to join NATO before 2027? No +10 $9 88¢ $9 $-0 07-02 14:02
Russia x Ukraine Peace Parlay No +10 $8 86¢ $8 +$0 06-08 07:44
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027? No +10 $7 78¢ $8 +$1 06-04 22:27
Ukraine recognizes Russian sovereignty over its territory by December 31, 2026? No +6 $6 95¢ $6 $-0 06-20 12:12
Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026? No +6 $2 58¢ $3 +$1 06-27 07:02
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? Yes +0 $-1 $0 +$1 06-14 22:34