Mediocre-Coalition 0xf18f33…45294c Create alert
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Realized P&L
+$782
Unrealized P&L
-$2.62K
Hit rate
58.6%
Resolved
127
Trades
1,005
lifetime
Volume
$34.5K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$34
Open exposure
$2.46K
16 positions
First seen
2026-01-08
last 11-03 14:27
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 68 days
Categories
Politics
78% 46% +$1,164
Other
20% 40% -$366
Sports
1% 0% $0
Crypto
0% 100% +$19
Tech
0% 33% -$34
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
59 active days in 12wk • peak 23 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Russia-Ukraine peace talks by November 30, 2026? Yes +1,000 $390 92¢ $920 +$530 11-03 13:02
Erdoğan out by December 31, 2026? Yes +10,000 $652 3¢ $345 -$307 10-08 15:25
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026? Yes +2,500 $287 6¢ $137 -$150 07-11 12:45
Ukraine agrees not to join NATO before 2027? Yes +2,500 $319 5¢ $135 -$184 10-08 16:58
Russia x Ukraine Peace Combo Yes +3,500 $632 4¢ $131 -$501 06-16 22:54
European country agrees to give Ukraine security guarantee by December 31? Yes +1,245 $115 9¢ $112 -$3 10-16 10:19
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026? Yes +625 $537 16¢ $103 -$434 10-08 13:35
Will Zelenskyy talk to Putin by December 31? Yes +750 $335 13¢ $97 -$238 11-03 14:27
Israeli airspace closed by December 31, 2026? Yes +250 $67 38¢ $95 +$27 10-23 01:05
Trump out as President before 2027? Yes +2,500 $279 4¢ $92 -$186 11-02 15:36
Will Zelenskyy and Putin not meet before 2027? No +1,250 $488 6¢ $80 -$408 10-08 13:35
Next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting by November 30, 2026? Yes +250 $72 29¢ $71 -$1 11-03 15:37
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027? Yes +500 $326 11¢ $53 -$274 10-16 10:18
Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in US before 2027? Yes +2,500 $61 2¢ $39 -$23 10-29 22:43
Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia before 2027? Yes +500 $340 6¢ $30 -$310 10-23 12:54
Ukraine election called by December 31, 2026? Yes +625 $181 3¢ $19 -$162 10-08 13:33