Realized P&L
+$540
Unrealized P&L
-$29
Hit rate
100.0%
Resolved
1
Trades
1,034
lifetime
Volume
$21.9K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$21
Open exposure
$1.11K
14 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 07-02 17:04
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 1 day
Not enough resolved markets yet to plot a curve.
Categories
Politics
64% 100% +$540
Other
26%
Crypto
9%
Sports
1%
Tech
0%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
44 active days in 12wk • peak 38 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? No +252 $215 88¢ $223 +$8 06-30 12:57
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? No +183 $109 100¢ $182 +$73 06-23 19:56
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? No -200 $-74 74¢ $-149 $-75 06-18 15:36
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? Yes +1,000 $135 14¢ $135 +$0 06-21 00:12
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No +130 $103 86¢ $112 +$10 05-28 08:21
China x Philippines military clash before 2027? No +120 $95 86¢ $104 +$9 06-20 11:07
Russia x Ukraine Peace Parlay Yes -668 $-100 14¢ $-90 +$10 06-02 05:20
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026? Yes +200 $52 24¢ $49 $-3 06-08 11:31
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? Yes +100 $48 26¢ $26 $-22 06-13 01:32
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027? Yes +100 $29 24¢ $24 $-5 06-19 20:10
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30? Yes +148 $30 $13 $-16 06-03 11:14
Will Oman join the Abraham Accords before 2027? Yes +70 $9 $5 $-4 05-28 08:19
Will Saudi Arabia join the Abraham Accords before 2027? Yes +50 $9 $3 $-6 05-28 08:19
Will JD Vance have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by June 30, 2026? No +16 $6 $0 $-6 06-18 07:04