Realized P&L
+$540
Unrealized P&L
-$2
Hit rate
100.0%
Resolved
1
Trades
807
lifetime
Volume
$13.9K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$17
Open exposure
$721
15 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 06-09 18:48
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 1 day
Not enough resolved markets yet to plot a curve.
Categories
Politics
68% 100% +$540
Other
17%
Crypto
15%
Sports
0%
Tech
0%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
26 active days in 12wk • peak 100 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Russia x Ukraine Peace Parlay Yes -668 $-100 18¢ $-117 $-17 06-02 05:20
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No +130 $103 82¢ $106 +$3 05-28 08:21
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30? No +100 $70 80¢ $80 +$10 06-04 06:02
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? No +80 $73 90¢ $72 $-0 06-08 17:01
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? No +70 $52 82¢ $57 +$5 06-02 05:17
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026? Yes +200 $52 28¢ $55 +$3 06-08 11:31
US-Iran nuclear deal before 2027? No +161 $50 34¢ $54 +$4 06-03 10:09
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 30, 2026? No +80 $48 62¢ $50 +$2 06-06 07:26
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30? Yes +148 $30 30¢ $44 +$15 06-03 11:14
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026? Yes +100 $51 36¢ $36 $-16 06-03 14:17
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.8T? No +100 $22 20¢ $20 $-2 06-06 08:45
Iran closes its airspace by June 30? Yes -16 $-11 100¢ $-16 $-4 06-07 19:21
Will Oman join the Abraham Accords before 2027? Yes +70 $9 11¢ $7 $-2 05-28 08:19
Will Saudi Arabia join the Abraham Accords before 2027? Yes +50 $9 11¢ $6 $-4 05-28 08:19
Will US crude oil reserves fall to 350M by June 5? Yes +1 $1 94¢ $1 $-0 06-05 06:04