Realized P&L
+$540
Unrealized P&L
-$1
Hit rate
100.0%
Resolved
1
Trades
1,145
lifetime
Volume
$24.8K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$22
Open exposure
$1.20K
16 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 07-23 02:00
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 1 day
Not enough resolved markets yet to plot a curve.
Categories
Politics
61% 100% +$540
Other
29%
Crypto
8%
Sports
1%
Tech
0%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
63 active days in 12wk • peak 38 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? Yes +1,000 $135 30¢ $305 +$170 06-21 00:12
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? No +252 $215 92¢ $231 +$15 06-30 12:57
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? No -200 $-74 99¢ $-198 $-124 06-18 15:36
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No +130 $103 70¢ $90 $-12 05-28 08:21
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? No +100 $91 90¢ $90 $-2 07-14 19:36
Russia x Ukraine Peace Parlay Yes -668 $-100 12¢ $-77 +$23 06-02 05:20
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027? Yes +200 $52 24¢ $47 $-5 07-03 15:14
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026? Yes +200 $52 22¢ $45 $-7 06-08 11:31
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? Yes +1,000 $42 $38 $-3 07-09 10:56
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30? Yes +148 $30 23¢ $34 +$4 06-03 11:14
NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? No +30 $24 80¢ $24 $-0 07-04 09:16
Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia before 2027? Yes +100 $11 12¢ $12 +$0 07-03 20:22
Will Saudi Arabia join the Abraham Accords before 2027? Yes +50 $9 15¢ $7 $-2 05-28 08:19
Will Oman join the Abraham Accords before 2027? Yes +70 $9 $2 $-7 05-28 08:19
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? Yes +100 $48 $1 $-47 06-13 01:32
Will JD Vance have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by June 30, 2026? No +16 $6 $0 $-6 06-18 07:04