Scrawny-Debris 0xe1173c…dfb4e7
cold
← all wallets
Realized P&L
-$2.94K
Unrealized P&L
-$512
Hit rate
61.5%
Resolved
651
Trades
1,794
lifetime
Volume
$47.6K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$27
Open exposure
$685
28 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 09-15 08:21
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 118 days
Categories
Politics
66% 38% -$3,268
Other
28% 17% +$322
Crypto
5% 3% +$266
Sports
2% 5% -$243
Pop-Culture
0% — —
Tech
0% 0% -$22
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
19 active days in 12wk • peak 18 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027? Yes +2,604 $296 8¢ $195 -$100 09-03 10:41
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? Yes +656 -$54 18¢ $121 +$175 08-05 06:39
Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? Yes +100 $47 72¢ $72 +$24 05-30 06:12
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes +410 $62 12¢ $48 -$14 07-04 08:26
Will Trump meet with Vladimir Putin in 2026? Yes +50 $16 82¢ $41 +$26 08-02 13:47
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Yes +100 $39 38¢ $38 -$1 07-04 07:40
iran full airspace closure by december 31 20260727170429885 Yes +100 $52 36¢ $36 -$16 07-31 12:10
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? Yes +1,000 $42 2¢ $21 -$20 07-09 10:56
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes +100 $20 19¢ $19 -$1 07-03 21:41
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026? Yes +100 $36 14¢ $14 -$22 08-04 17:45
israel withdraws from lebanon by december 31 2026 Yes +254 $23 4¢ $11 -$12 07-31 10:04
Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by December 31? Yes +60 $9 18¢ $11 +$2 07-30 06:24
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? Yes +100 $52 11¢ $11 -$42 07-30 08:36
will iran reconstruction funding be in a us iran deal in 2026 20260623023201638 Yes +119 $34 6¢ $8 -$26 07-30 12:39
iran charges hormuz fees by october 31 Yes +519 $267 1¢ $7 -$260 08-07 10:43
strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by november 30 20260810151158765 Yes +100 $28 6¢ $6 -$22 08-17 10:20
Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia before 2027? Yes +100 $11 6¢ $6 -$6 07-03 20:22
Will Tucker Carlson win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes +340 $10 1¢ $4 -$6 05-28 08:23
Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes +100 $5 4¢ $4 -$1 06-09 20:50
Will Oman join the Abraham Accords before 2027? Yes +70 $9 5¢ $3 -$6 05-28 08:19
us announces end of iranian blockade by october 31 2026 20260727171711632 895 372 622 413 171 454 Yes +100 $61 2¢ $2 -$58 08-17 10:20
Will Saudi Arabia join the Abraham Accords before 2027? Yes +50 $9 5¢ $2 -$6 05-28 08:19
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026? Yes +200 $52 1¢ $1 -$51 06-08 11:31
Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026? Yes +60 $10 1¢ $1 -$9 05-13 00:37
Will 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? Yes +150 $11 0¢ $1 -$10 06-02 11:33
Will Trump and Putin meet next in Turkey? Yes +125 $3 0¢ $0 -$3 07-09 10:16
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by October 31, 2026? Yes +86 $16 0¢ $0 -$16 06-01 20:20
Kanye West performs in Russia by October 31? Yes +101 $31 0¢ $0 -$31 09-03 05:29