Male-Pouch — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$39

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

37.6%

Resolved

Trades

767

lifetime

Volume

$9.48K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$12

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-03

last 08-11 12:38

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 5 days

Categories

Other

57% 0% $-36

Politics

40% 80% $-2

Crypto

2% — —

Tech

1% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

49 active days in 12wk • peak 31 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (3) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Xi Jinping out before 2027?	24	$3.1K	3,156	2,956	+200	open	—	08-11 06:05
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	111	$549	1,220	1,220	+0	open	—	05-31 01:40
us x iran diplomatic meeting by september 30 2026	5	$538	400	400	+0	open	—	08-04 16:01
china x philippines military clash before 2027 20260723214807932	32	$529	1,043	843	+200	open	—	08-10 07:31
Will Xi meet with Takaichi by December 31, 2026?	25	$436	800	700	+100	open	—	08-10 09:16
us x iran diplomatic meeting by august 31 2026 2	4	$322	400	400	+0	open	—	08-03 10:47
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by December 31?	8	$268	140	140	+0	open	—	04-13 19:43
Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?	13	$205	106	106	+0	open	—	05-04 22:01
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 15, 2026?	29	$182	595	595	+0	open	—	05-10 22:47
iran x israelus conflict ends by april 15 618 586 982	2	$161	88	88	+0	open	—	04-20 16:46
FC Bayern München vs. Paris Saint-Germain FC: Both Teams to Score	12	$147	366	0	+366	Yes	$-36	05-06 18:27
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?	29	$146	580	571	+9	open	—	05-10 18:40
Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia before 2027?	4	$144	80	80	+0	open	—	08-01 09:46
China x Japan military clash before 2027?	29	$131	1,089	534	+555	open	—	08-10 19:01
China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?	25	$126	990	685	+305	open	—	08-09 09:30
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	21	$124	162	147	+15	open	—	06-01 16:41
will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by june 22 20260613193829178 738 167 332 255	2	$102	52	52	+0	open	—	06-23 03:59
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026?	9	$101	143	143	+0	open	—	06-16 16:33
Will Trump visit China by May 31?	13	$101	1,063	873	+190	open	—	05-10 18:16
Iran closes its airspace by May 21?	20	$99	306	254	+53	open	—	05-19 17:39
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?	28	$92	34,086	19,181	+14,906	Yes	$-19	05-09 18:56
strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	6	$92	800	800	+0	open	—	08-11 12:38
us x iran diplomatic meeting by august 15 2026	3	$88	200	200	+0	open	—	08-02 21:41
Will Saudi Arabia join the Abraham Accords before 2027?	17	$85	1,199	0	+1,199	open	—	08-11 11:28
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by June 30, 2026?	9	$78	41	41	+0	open	—	06-15 00:40
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?	10	$76	80	80	+0	open	—	06-17 08:12
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?	16	$76	40	40	+0	open	—	05-20 07:52
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 8, 2026?	29	$74	607	603	+4	No	+$14	05-07 07:34
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	3	$69	6	74	-67	open	—	07-05 20:44
Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by May 31?	4	$68	42	31	+11	open	—	05-09 14:58

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
08-11 12:38:52	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	Yes	SELL	600	5¢	$30	0x8b4831…
08-11 11:28:06	Will Saudi Arabia join the Abraham Accords before 2027?	Yes	BUY	11	6¢	$1	0x1ce586…
08-11 06:19:30	trump meets with mojtaba khamenei by december 31	Yes	SELL	39	3¢	$1	0xf19ef0…
08-11 06:05:36	Xi Jinping out before 2027?	Yes	SELL	400	5¢	$19	0x94533c…
08-11 04:46:54	Xi Jinping out before 2027?	Yes	BUY	134	4¢	$6	0xc6c8d9…
08-11 04:26:30	Xi Jinping out before 2027?	Yes	BUY	666	4¢	$30	0x9111cb…
08-10 19:01:43	China x Japan military clash before 2027?	Yes	BUY	179	6¢	$11	0xf34748…
08-10 11:58:46	Will Saudi Arabia join the Abraham Accords before 2027?	Yes	BUY	12	6¢	$1	0xda9e6b…
08-10 09:16:24	Will Xi meet with Takaichi by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	133	31¢	$41	0x9ac4ab…
08-10 07:31:48	china x philippines military clash before 2027 20260723214807932	Yes	BUY	185	30¢	$56	0x41e69a…
08-10 07:26:31	china x philippines military clash before 2027 20260723214807932	Yes	BUY	15	30¢	$4	0x4ed16a…
08-10 06:32:12	Will Saudi Arabia join the Abraham Accords before 2027?	Yes	BUY	55	6¢	$3	0xe0f559…
08-10 06:18:58	Xi Jinping out before 2027?	No	BUY	800	95¢	$762	0x4a63ee…
08-10 03:16:24	Will Xi meet with Takaichi by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	75	29¢	$22	0x21030a…
08-10 03:15:49	Will Xi meet with Takaichi by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	50	29¢	$14	0x21b464…
08-10 03:15:21	Will Xi meet with Takaichi by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	8	29¢	$2	0x9ddd92…
08-10 00:59:36	Xi Jinping out before 2027?	Yes	SELL	600	4¢	$27	0x17d542…
08-09 18:36:58	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	Yes	BUY	200	5¢	$10	0x2f2892…
08-09 17:48:00	Will Oman join the Abraham Accords before 2027?	Yes	BUY	8	4¢	$0	0x02c66a…
08-09 17:13:33	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	Yes	BUY	200	6¢	$12	0x379486…
08-09 16:31:16	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	Yes	SELL	200	7¢	$14	0xf6fdfa…
08-09 14:47:04	Will Oman join the Abraham Accords before 2027?	Yes	BUY	95	4¢	$4	0x12de58…
08-09 13:10:27	Xi Jinping out before 2027?	No	SELL	200	95¢	$191	0x724652…
08-09 09:30:13	China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?	Yes	BUY	63	6¢	$4	0x72aa72…
08-09 09:07:33	China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?	Yes	BUY	21	6¢	$1	0xf7c262…
08-09 08:57:52	China x Japan military clash before 2027?	Yes	BUY	200	7¢	$14	0x26054f…
08-09 08:06:39	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	Yes	BUY	200	6¢	$12	0x30653b…
08-09 07:35:58	Xi Jinping out before 2027?	No	BUY	200	95¢	$191	0x4d32ce…
08-09 06:30:51	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	Yes	BUY	200	7¢	$14	0x39479d…
08-09 05:36:39	China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?	Yes	BUY	5	6¢	$0	0x091955…
08-09 05:25:28	trump meets with mojtaba khamenei by december 31	Yes	BUY	15	3¢	$0	0x1977c8…
08-09 04:50:15	China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?	Yes	BUY	5	6¢	$0	0xd082b6…
08-09 03:12:39	trump meets with mojtaba khamenei by december 31	Yes	BUY	7	3¢	$0	0x04a8ee…
08-09 00:40:31	China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?	Yes	BUY	5	6¢	$0	0xdfb750…
08-08 13:55:52	trump meets with mojtaba khamenei by december 31	Yes	BUY	8	3¢	$0	0x92f070…
08-08 12:42:03	trump meets with mojtaba khamenei by december 31	Yes	BUY	9	3¢	$0	0xf736e3…
08-08 09:36:36	Will Xi meet with Takaichi by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	67	30¢	$20	0xc9e034…
08-08 05:57:43	Will Xi meet with Takaichi by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	67	29¢	$19	0x5d9212…
08-07 21:37:18	China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?	Yes	BUY	84	7¢	$6	0xb0f25f…
08-07 21:02:51	China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?	Yes	BUY	5	7¢	$0	0xe70ef6…
08-07 20:12:04	China x Japan military clash before 2027?	Yes	BUY	100	8¢	$8	0x3653ad…
08-07 14:17:12	China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?	Yes	SELL	32	7¢	$2	0xf2d99d…
08-07 14:09:22	China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?	Yes	SELL	75	7¢	$5	0x4216ad…
08-07 13:52:09	Zhang Youxia sentenced to prison before 2027?	Yes	SELL	20	15¢	$3	0x49ddd5…
08-07 10:07:54	China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?	Yes	BUY	199	7¢	$14	0x6e0209…
08-07 10:07:51	China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?	Yes	BUY	1	7¢	$0	0xfdc9d8…
08-07 05:33:30	Will Saudi Arabia join the Abraham Accords before 2027?	Yes	BUY	384	6¢	$23	0x5937f4…
08-06 22:35:33	Will Saudi Arabia join the Abraham Accords before 2027?	Yes	BUY	1	6¢	$0	0x4ecca0…
08-06 22:35:30	Will Saudi Arabia join the Abraham Accords before 2027?	Yes	BUY	1	6¢	$0	0xba8406…
08-06 22:25:08	Will Saudi Arabia join the Abraham Accords before 2027?	Yes	BUY	1	6¢	$0	0x1f1e06…
08-06 19:18:20	China x Japan military clash before 2027?	Yes	SELL	102	10¢	$10	0xe5a164…
08-06 19:18:20	China x Japan military clash before 2027?	Yes	SELL	3	10¢	$0	0x71c15a…
08-06 19:18:20	China x Japan military clash before 2027?	Yes	SELL	1	10¢	$0	0x7184a2…
08-06 19:18:20	China x Japan military clash before 2027?	Yes	SELL	0	10¢	$0	0x26f865…
08-06 19:06:03	China x Japan military clash before 2027?	Yes	SELL	15	10¢	$2	0xe67dfb…
08-06 18:01:41	China x Japan military clash before 2027?	Yes	SELL	1	10¢	$0	0x93bba3…
08-06 18:00:36	China x Japan military clash before 2027?	Yes	SELL	1	10¢	$0	0x5acf7b…
08-06 17:49:08	China x Japan military clash before 2027?	Yes	SELL	1	10¢	$0	0xc1be9c…
08-06 17:34:32	China x Japan military clash before 2027?	Yes	SELL	1	10¢	$0	0xd58294…
08-06 17:32:18	Xi Jinping out before 2027?	No	SELL	200	96¢	$191	0x16eeb4…
08-06 17:12:09	China x Japan military clash before 2027?	Yes	SELL	1	10¢	$0	0x01cb77…
08-06 17:07:02	China x Japan military clash before 2027?	Yes	SELL	1	10¢	$0	0x891314…
08-06 16:44:02	China x Japan military clash before 2027?	Yes	SELL	1	10¢	$0	0x54e7e3…
08-06 16:18:02	China x Japan military clash before 2027?	Yes	SELL	1	10¢	$0	0x6f28f0…
08-06 16:05:11	Xi Jinping out before 2027?	No	SELL	200	96¢	$191	0xe356a0…
08-06 15:36:29	China x Japan military clash before 2027?	Yes	SELL	2	10¢	$0	0x690dc5…
08-06 15:16:06	China x Japan military clash before 2027?	Yes	SELL	1	10¢	$0	0x2df901…
08-06 14:42:44	China x Japan military clash before 2027?	Yes	SELL	1	10¢	$0	0xe5d120…
08-06 14:11:06	China x Japan military clash before 2027?	Yes	SELL	1	10¢	$0	0xa11ccf…
08-06 14:03:00	Xi Jinping out before 2027?	No	BUY	400	95¢	$381	0xc4cb2f…
08-05 18:59:44	china x philippines military clash before 2027 20260723214807932	Yes	SELL	157	29¢	$46	0x5d9d96…
08-05 01:49:26	china x philippines military clash before 2027 20260723214807932	Yes	SELL	35	28¢	$10	0xb55b02…
08-05 01:13:05	Zhang Youxia sentenced to prison before 2027?	Yes	BUY	200	10¢	$20	0x68332d…
08-04 19:25:08	Will Saudi Arabia join the Abraham Accords before 2027?	Yes	BUY	12	6¢	$1	0xddaff6…
08-04 16:55:59	China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?	Yes	SELL	7	8¢	$1	0xdccf3f…
08-04 16:11:54	China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?	Yes	SELL	281	8¢	$23	0x46cc9e…
08-04 16:09:02	China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?	Yes	SELL	23	8¢	$2	0x2c0355…
08-04 16:01:48	us x iran diplomatic meeting by september 30 2026	Yes	SELL	200	68¢	$136	0xa94ce4…
08-04 14:43:15	us x iran diplomatic meeting by september 30 2026	Yes	SELL	48	68¢	$32	0x6e58d3…
08-04 14:15:39	us x iran diplomatic meeting by september 30 2026	Yes	SELL	152	68¢	$104	0xdbaaf3…
08-04 10:06:02	China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?	Yes	SELL	20	8¢	$2	0x763daa…
08-04 09:07:23	china x philippines military clash before 2027 20260723214807932	Yes	BUY	3	27¢	$1	0x379c04…
08-04 07:16:45	Will Xi meet with Takaichi by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	100	30¢	$30	0x89c0b0…
08-04 04:32:15	china x philippines military clash before 2027 20260723214807932	Yes	BUY	7	27¢	$2	0x393578…
08-04 01:14:29	Will Xi meet with Takaichi by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	50	30¢	$15	0x4056cd…
08-03 17:08:42	us x iran diplomatic meeting by september 30 2026	Yes	BUY	200	66¢	$132	0x0bdc4c…
08-03 17:08:17	us x iran diplomatic meeting by september 30 2026	Yes	BUY	200	67¢	$134	0x3489d3…
08-03 15:44:54	china x philippines military clash before 2027 20260723214807932	Yes	BUY	8	27¢	$2	0xf4bb1f…
08-03 12:51:03	china x philippines military clash before 2027 20260723214807932	Yes	SELL	12	30¢	$4	0x6b97f9…
08-03 10:47:57	us x iran diplomatic meeting by august 31 2026 2	Yes	SELL	200	39¢	$78	0xb2fa29…
08-03 10:15:33	us x iran diplomatic meeting by august 31 2026 2	Yes	BUY	200	38¢	$76	0x8f7cc2…
08-03 01:37:14	Will Xi meet with Takaichi by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	125	30¢	$37	0x44a37b…
08-02 23:14:03	Will Xi meet with Takaichi by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	200	28¢	$56	0x60f418…
08-02 21:52:54	Will Saudi Arabia join the Abraham Accords before 2027?	Yes	BUY	12	6¢	$1	0xfe4bfb…
08-02 21:52:54	Will Saudi Arabia join the Abraham Accords before 2027?	Yes	BUY	188	6¢	$11	0x7e95d8…
08-02 21:50:02	us x iran diplomatic meeting by august 31 2026 2	Yes	SELL	200	46¢	$92	0xdcb231…
08-02 21:41:38	us x iran diplomatic meeting by august 15 2026	Yes	SELL	150	24¢	$36	0x377dca…
08-02 20:42:36	us x iran diplomatic meeting by august 31 2026 2	Yes	BUY	200	38¢	$76	0x08a15d…
08-02 20:24:08	us x iran diplomatic meeting by august 15 2026	Yes	SELL	50	24¢	$12	0xfa9e85…
08-02 20:18:32	China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?	Yes	SELL	14	8¢	$1	0xe8f4a1…