Realized P&L
-$39
Unrealized P&L
-$19
Hit rate
37.6%
Resolved
6
Trades
541
lifetime
Volume
$3.22K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$6
Open exposure
$163
10 positions
First seen
2026-01-03
last 06-09 15:44
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 5 days
Categories
Politics
74% 80% $-2
Other
19% 0% $-36
Crypto
7%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
33 active days in 12wk • peak 125 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026? Yes +143 $40 28¢ $39 $-1 06-09 15:32
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by June 30, 2026? No +41 $38 94¢ $38 $-0 06-09 15:33
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026? Yes +80 $37 46¢ $37 $-0 06-09 15:28
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No -15 $-14 82¢ $-13 +$1 05-31 16:48
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? Yes +119 $25 10¢ $11 $-14 06-01 16:44
Gustavo Petro out as leader of Colombia by June 30? No +10 $10 98¢ $10 +$0 06-09 15:30
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by June 30? Yes +227 $5 $6 +$1 06-09 15:33
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30? Yes +20 $5 20¢ $4 $-1 06-09 15:33
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? Yes +22 $5 16¢ $4 $-1 06-09 15:30
Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? Yes +46 $5 $2 $-3 05-31 01:08