Realized P&L
-$39
Unrealized P&L
+$11
Hit rate
37.6%
Resolved
6
Trades
600
lifetime
Volume
$5.03K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$8
Open exposure
$141
4 positions
First seen
2026-01-03
last 07-21 08:42
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 5 days
Categories
Politics
54% 80% $-2
Other
39% 0% $-36
Crypto
5%
Tech
2%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
42 active days in 12wk • peak 125 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia before 2027? No +80 $72 88¢ $71 $-1 07-20 17:35
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No -67 $-59 70¢ $-48 +$12 07-05 20:44
Xi Jinping out before 2027? Yes +400 $20 $20 $-0 07-21 08:42
Will the US officially declare war on Iran by December 31, 2026? No -3 $-3 95¢ $-3 +$0 06-19 11:47