Realized P&L
-$39
Unrealized P&L
-$22
Hit rate
37.6%
Resolved
6
Trades
562
lifetime
Volume
$3.97K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$7
Open exposure
$362
5 positions
First seen
2026-01-03
last 06-29 18:09
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 5 days
Categories
Politics
66% 80% $-2
Other
26% 0% $-36
Crypto
6%
Tech
3%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
40 active days in 12wk • peak 125 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Xi Jinping out before 2027? No +356 $333 94¢ $335 +$2 06-23 10:41
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No -15 $-14 86¢ $-13 +$0 05-31 16:48
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? No +10 $9 96¢ $10 +$0 06-22 23:22
Will the US officially declare war on Iran by December 31, 2026? No -3 $-3 94¢ $-3 +$0 06-19 11:47
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? Yes +119 $25 $0 $-25 06-01 16:44