Skeletal-Manservant — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$2.64K

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

100.0%

Resolved

Trades

1,423

lifetime

Volume

$191.5K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$135

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-01

last 08-09 08:13

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Politics

48% 100% +$2,643

Other

45% — —

Sports

5% — —

Crypto

1% — —

Tech

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

52 active days in 12wk • peak 61 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by june 12 2482	16	$18.5K	10,085	10,085	+0	open	—	06-13 13:05
us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by june 13	8	$10.8K	4,500	7,000	-2,500	open	—	06-14 21:31
us and iran sign an agreement by june 15 2026 20260611221049851	22	$8.6K	10,530	4,538	+5,992	open	—	06-14 21:49
Will Russia enter Dopropillia by June 30?	18	$7.7K	0	8,206	-8,206	open	—	06-11 19:36
will donald trump announce that the united states blockade of the strait of hormuz has been lifted by june 15 2026	51	$7.6K	6,610	3,305	+3,305	open	—	06-13 13:12
will there be another us government shutdown by january 31	27	$6.0K	3,400	3,400	+0	open	—	02-02 22:11
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	57	$5.3K	8,020	4,610	+3,410	open	—	07-06 03:48
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	32	$5.0K	4,135	2,660	+1,476	open	—	08-04 15:47
will 20 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by june 30 2026	44	$4.8K	5,860	0	+5,860	open	—	06-19 11:20
ufc jus3 ili1 2026 06 14	17	$4.4K	11,027	0	+11,027	open	—	06-15 05:01
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 30, 2026?	31	$3.8K	3,735	3,735	+0	open	—	06-11 19:32
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	19	$3.5K	2,594	2,594	+0	open	—	06-11 19:34
Will Russia enter Novyi Donbas by June 30?	23	$3.5K	2,104	3,506	-1,402	open	—	06-25 22:47
ufc aie sea1 2026 06 14	5	$3.5K	4,329	0	+4,329	open	—	06-14 21:51
strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 15	3	$3.2K	3,100	775	+2,325	open	—	07-12 04:35
Israel announces Lebanon ceasefire extension by June 7?	56	$2.9K	3,947	4,025	-78	open	—	06-04 02:25
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	14	$2.9K	1,600	1,600	+0	open	—	05-05 15:48
us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by june 14	13	$2.6K	3,404	5,600	-2,196	open	—	06-14 21:31
us iran nuclear deal by july 31	11	$2.5K	1,435	2,000	-565	open	—	06-14 21:50
Will Russia enter Druzkhivka by June 30?	18	$2.4K	0	2,500	-2,500	open	—	06-10 15:50
will russia capture all of myrnohrad by january 31 425	21	$2.3K	2,989	300	+2,689	open	—	01-16 23:44
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?	63	$2.1K	1,170	1,413	-243	open	—	06-20 07:36
will russia capture all of myrnohrad by january 15	27	$2.1K	2,700	0	+2,700	open	—	01-09 00:12
will russia capture lyman by march 31 2026 494	22	$2.0K	2,782	408	+2,374	open	—	03-30 07:52
will 60 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by june 30 2026	22	$2.0K	2,871	1,221	+1,650	open	—	06-30 03:33
US strike on Cuba by December 31?	24	$2.0K	3,500	0	+3,500	open	—	06-27 10:31
ufc der jos52 2026 06 14	3	$1.9K	1,013	1,013	+0	open	—	06-15 02:51
will russia capture all of pokrovsk by february 28	28	$1.9K	2,603	3,100	-497	open	—	02-25 21:42
will bitcoin dip to 55k in june 2026	5	$1.9K	1,000	1,000	+0	open	—	06-27 22:08
us government funding lapse on january 31	6	$1.8K	1,000	1,000	+0	open	—	01-29 21:49

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
08-09 08:13:34	will wti reach 90 in august 2026	No	BUY	92	76¢	$70	0x36d2f9…
08-09 08:04:48	will wti reach 90 in august 2026	No	BUY	4	76¢	$3	0xe8d388…
08-09 08:04:40	will wti reach 90 in august 2026	No	BUY	4	76¢	$3	0xcddb99…
08-09 03:23:49	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 9 2026	No	BUY	500	94¢	$470	0x7ddf32…
08-09 02:45:45	will russia capture orikhiv by december 31 2026	No	BUY	50	71¢	$36	0x797822…
08-09 02:45:13	will russia capture orikhiv by december 31 2026	No	BUY	50	71¢	$36	0xeb50c8…
08-09 02:44:34	will russia capture orikhiv by december 31 2026	No	BUY	50	71¢	$36	0x2d9489…
08-09 02:43:48	will russia capture orikhiv by december 31 2026	No	BUY	50	71¢	$36	0xc8477f…
08-09 02:43:18	will russia capture orikhiv by december 31 2026	No	BUY	50	71¢	$36	0x02fec4…
08-09 02:42:49	will russia capture orikhiv by december 31 2026	No	BUY	50	71¢	$36	0xc257b6…
08-05 11:35:41	will russia capture bilytske by september 30 2026 564	Yes	BUY	48	44¢	$21	0xec2314…
08-05 11:35:41	will russia capture bilytske by september 30 2026 564	Yes	BUY	50	44¢	$22	0x4a62ba…
08-05 11:35:41	will russia capture bilytske by september 30 2026 564	Yes	BUY	2	44¢	$1	0x071d75…
08-04 15:47:56	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	No	SELL	200	36¢	$72	0xc55436…
08-02 00:16:15	us reissues iran oil sanction relief by august 31 20260707233859434	No	BUY	50	74¢	$37	0x334e6e…
08-01 23:51:45	us reissues iran oil sanction relief by august 31 20260707233859434	No	BUY	98	74¢	$73	0x694896…
08-01 18:11:00	will russia capture kupiansk by december 31 2026	No	BUY	194	68¢	$132	0xb18138…
08-01 14:38:21	will russia capture kupiansk by december 31 2026	No	BUY	6	68¢	$4	0x3cebe8…
07-29 11:36:27	will russia capture vodianske by september 30 20260724162613571	No	BUY	100	81¢	$81	0xce0b00…
07-29 09:19:20	will russia capture vodianske by december 31 20260724162613572	No	BUY	38	52¢	$20	0xb1af0e…
07-29 09:19:20	will russia capture vodianske by december 31 20260724162613572	No	BUY	14	52¢	$7	0xabf270…
07-29 09:19:03	will russia capture vodianske by december 31 20260724162613572	No	BUY	50	52¢	$26	0xf80b6e…
07-29 09:18:57	will russia capture vodianske by december 31 20260724162613572	No	BUY	22	52¢	$11	0x5f1e68…
07-29 09:18:38	will russia capture vodianske by december 31 20260724162613572	No	BUY	15	52¢	$8	0xca8f75…
07-29 09:18:38	will russia capture vodianske by december 31 20260724162613572	No	BUY	1	52¢	$0	0xb619d1…
07-29 09:18:38	will russia capture vodianske by december 31 20260724162613572	No	BUY	10	52¢	$5	0x8734ea…
07-28 15:17:43	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 7 2026 20260727171523690	No	BUY	100	75¢	$75	0x2f9a12…
07-27 17:20:01	will russia capture bilytske by august 31 2026	No	BUY	100	81¢	$81	0x91d992…
07-25 12:06:30	Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia before 2027?	No	BUY	292	88¢	$257	0x87f4da…
07-24 22:07:54	Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia before 2027?	No	BUY	2	88¢	$1	0xf51788…
07-24 19:54:57	Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia before 2027?	No	BUY	2	88¢	$1	0xe469a3…
07-24 19:03:42	Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia before 2027?	No	BUY	2	88¢	$1	0x4e37ba…
07-24 18:20:55	Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia before 2027?	No	BUY	2	88¢	$1	0x2f8210…
07-24 17:54:27	Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia before 2027?	No	BUY	2	88¢	$1	0xe1556a…
07-23 09:25:40	will russia capture lyman by september 30 2026	No	BUY	146	85¢	$124	0x5697a8…
07-23 05:37:01	will russia capture lyman by september 30 2026	No	BUY	33	85¢	$28	0xa95856…
07-22 21:03:15	Will Russia enter Druzkhivka by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	100	75¢	$75	0x7d01fd…
07-22 16:34:25	will the us announce an iran ceasefire by july 31 20260718000915875	No	BUY	142	74¢	$105	0x75e05f…
07-22 16:17:06	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	No	BUY	150	86¢	$129	0x185653…
07-22 16:15:18	will russia capture lyman by september 30 2026	No	BUY	21	85¢	$18	0xdd79e6…
07-22 16:15:01	will the us announce an iran ceasefire by july 24 20260718000915874	No	BUY	100	94¢	$94	0x39efe0…
07-22 16:12:12	Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	300	56¢	$168	0x460899…
07-22 16:10:24	Will Russia enter Druzkhivka by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	78	75¢	$58	0xd09b5d…
07-22 16:09:10	will the us announce an iran ceasefire by july 31 20260718000915875	No	BUY	50	75¢	$38	0x9367b7…
07-22 16:07:00	will the us announce an iran ceasefire by july 31 20260718000915875	No	BUY	8	74¢	$6	0x2c913e…
07-22 16:05:57	us announces end of iranian blockade by july 31 2026 20260713152715082 212	No	BUY	100	89¢	$89	0x164412…
07-22 09:45:43	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 24 20260715194822044	No	BUY	100	91¢	$91	0xe6fdbc…
07-19 23:21:00	Will GameStop acquire eBay?	No	BUY	150	85¢	$128	0xb6ad92…
07-19 22:11:30	Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by September 30?	Yes	BUY	50	78¢	$39	0xe3b65c…
07-19 20:38:34	Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by September 30?	Yes	BUY	5	78¢	$4	0x536ed7…
07-16 06:11:07	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 24 20260715194822044	No	BUY	150	86¢	$129	0x8dd10b…
07-13 18:01:34	will samuel alito announce his retirement by september 30 2026 20260630151901966	No	BUY	150	84¢	$126	0x5b8e96…
07-12 15:21:43	russia ukraine peace talks by september 30 2026 20260609012542188	No	BUY	17	66¢	$11	0x587981…
07-12 15:06:38	russia ukraine peace talks by september 30 2026 20260609012542188	No	BUY	7	66¢	$4	0xb66046…
07-12 14:43:22	russia ukraine peace talks by september 30 2026 20260609012542188	No	BUY	26	66¢	$17	0x4e897f…
07-12 08:38:28	will the us announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by july 17	No	BUY	120	86¢	$103	0x5a2007…
07-12 08:08:10	will russia capture all of kostyantynivka by september 30 2026	No	BUY	100	86¢	$86	0x9d87e6…
07-12 06:51:04	mojtaba khamenei seen in public by august 31 223	No	BUY	100	85¢	$85	0x24fed0…
07-12 04:45:58	Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	200	53¢	$106	0xfdc161…
07-12 04:35:40	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 15	No	SELL	775	99¢	$770	0x0b6c48…
07-10 11:40:59	iran full airspace closure by july 15 20260625195254149	No	BUY	50	85¢	$43	0xcc321b…
07-09 23:48:22	mojtaba khamenei seen in public by july 31 827 659	No	BUY	55	91¢	$50	0x90b943…
07-09 23:47:35	mojtaba khamenei seen in public by august 31 223	No	BUY	127	79¢	$100	0xe40e29…
07-09 23:47:22	mojtaba khamenei seen in public by july 31 827 659	No	BUY	116	87¢	$100	0x4f4cb0…
07-09 23:46:37	mojtaba khamenei seen in public by july 31 827 659	No	BUY	59	85¢	$50	0x029945…
07-09 23:46:32	mojtaba khamenei seen in public by july 15 155	No	BUY	56	88¢	$50	0x16fd55…
07-09 23:46:25	mojtaba khamenei seen in public by july 31 827 659	No	BUY	238	84¢	$200	0xf579c8…
07-09 23:46:22	mojtaba khamenei seen in public by july 15 155	No	BUY	226	88¢	$200	0xf82c96…
07-09 23:42:40	will russia capture all of kostyantynivka by september 30 2026	No	BUY	348	86¢	$300	0xb12198…
07-09 23:40:08	mojtaba khamenei seen in public by july 31 827 659	Yes	SELL	2,505	15¢	$383	0xdef907…
07-09 23:33:25	mojtaba khamenei seen in public by july 31 827 659	Yes	SELL	2,500	4¢	$100	0xd4e89e…
07-09 23:33:17	mojtaba khamenei seen in public by july 31 827 659	Yes	BUY	5	5¢	$0	0x31f599…
07-09 23:33:16	mojtaba khamenei seen in public by july 31 827 659	Yes	BUY	5,000	6¢	$300	0x3afd0a…
07-09 21:14:41	will the us announce a blockade on iran by july 31 20260622191116912	No	BUY	50	75¢	$38	0xad7f0c…
07-09 14:46:40	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	No	BUY	100	83¢	$83	0xaec181…
07-09 07:16:20	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	No	BUY	300	83¢	$249	0x216134…
07-09 06:41:28	russia ukraine peace talks by september 30 2026 20260609012542188	No	BUY	50	66¢	$33	0xed9023…
07-09 02:44:23	nothing ever happens july 20260626174334834	Nothing	BUY	129	78¢	$100	0x2273c1…
07-09 02:35:49	us iran final nuclear deal by september 30 2026	No	BUY	62	81¢	$50	0xb100ff…
07-09 02:32:34	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by september 30 20260702154339440	No	BUY	282	71¢	$200	0x083c4a…
07-09 02:23:32	us iran 60 day negotiation period extended 20260624044855448	No	BUY	192	52¢	$100	0x836e68…
07-09 02:23:20	us iran 60 day negotiation period extended 20260624044855448	Yes	SELL	290	48¢	$139	0x30f0ad…
07-09 02:22:05	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 7 20260625174256255	No	SELL	800	100¢	$799	0xb8d424…
07-09 01:31:01	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by september 30 20260702154339440	No	BUY	200	71¢	$142	0x533f24…
07-09 00:19:44	will the us announce a blockade on iran by december 31 20260622191116913 141	Yes	BUY	72	44¢	$31	0x72d2a1…
07-08 20:57:55	russia ukraine peace talks by september 30 2026 20260609012542188	No	BUY	2	67¢	$1	0x4cfa10…
07-08 19:40:16	will the us announce a blockade on iran by december 31 20260622191116913 141	Yes	BUY	6	44¢	$3	0x3cc056…
07-08 18:57:52	will the us announce a blockade on iran by december 31 20260622191116913 141	Yes	BUY	209	44¢	$92	0xfa7f85…
07-08 17:44:58	will the us announce a blockade on iran by august 31	Yes	BUY	80	26¢	$21	0x429537…
07-08 14:22:02	us iran final nuclear deal by august 31 2026 20260621201255154	No	BUY	200	88¢	$176	0x6383b4…
07-08 14:21:26	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	No	BUY	200	43¢	$86	0x5524b4…
07-08 13:59:50	will 60 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by july 31 2026 20260626152655082 171 832	No	BUY	143	85¢	$122	0xbbbed9…
07-08 13:44:52	russia ukraine peace talks by september 30 2026 20260609012542188	No	BUY	148	67¢	$99	0x6b64e3…
07-08 13:42:38	will 60 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by july 31 2026 20260626152655082 171 832	No	BUY	7	85¢	$6	0x6a195a…
07-08 13:40:08	will the us announce a blockade on iran by december 31 20260622191116913 141	Yes	BUY	100	45¢	$45	0x498ada…
07-08 13:36:19	will the us announce a blockade on iran by december 31 20260622191116913 141	Yes	BUY	13	44¢	$6	0x30dfdc…
07-08 13:35:47	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	Yes	SELL	492	56¢	$275	0x2b1366…
07-08 05:23:34	Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by September 30?	Yes	BUY	35	78¢	$27	0xde3dbb…
07-08 02:39:31	will the us announce a blockade on iran by december 31 20260622191116913 141	Yes	BUY	257	39¢	$100	0xd88576…
07-08 02:34:25	us iran final nuclear deal by august 18 2026 20260621201255153	No	BUY	357	84¢	$300	0x2e42a7…