Understated-Topsail — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$232

Unrealized P&L

-$19

Hit rate

100.0%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$259

lifetime

Avg / trade

$14

Open exposure

$76

3 positions

First seen

2026-04-19

last 06-26 12:27

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Other

53% — —

Politics

47% 100% +$232

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

8 active days in 12wk • peak 5 trades/day

Open positions (3) Resolved markets (2) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Russia invade another country in 2026?	Yes	+344	$34	10¢	$33	$-1	06-26 12:27
Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia before 2027?	Yes	+235	$40	10¢	$24	$-16	06-03 13:36
NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?	Yes	-123	$-18	16¢	$-20	$-2	06-03 13:33

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Russia invade another country in 2026?	6	$138	768	423	+344	open	—	06-26 12:27
Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia before 2027?	3	$40	235	0	+235	open	—	06-03 13:36
NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?	1	$18	0	123	-123	open	—	06-03 13:33
Will Trump visit China by May 31?	2	$17	66	0	+66	open	—	04-26 22:38
Will Putin visit China by May 31?	2	$14	85	85	+0	open	—	05-14 14:05
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?	1	$10	125	0	+125	Yes	+$115	04-23 21:16
Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium in April?	1	$10	15	0	+15	open	—	04-19 13:59
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?	1	$5	122	0	+122	Yes	+$117	04-23 21:13
Will Russia invade a NATO country by June 30, 2026?	1	$5	0	347	-347	open	—	05-29 18:24
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by May 15?	1	$1	1,000	0	+1,000	open	—	04-22 14:26

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-26 12:27:14	Will Russia invade another country in 2026?	Yes	BUY	11	9¢	$1	0x38d81e…
06-26 12:25:59	Will Russia invade another country in 2026?	Yes	BUY	333	9¢	$30	0xece650…
06-03 13:36:20	Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia before 2027?	Yes	BUY	59	17¢	$10	0xfd7159…
06-03 13:35:41	Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia before 2027?	Yes	BUY	59	17¢	$10	0xb85dd2…
06-03 13:34:23	Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia before 2027?	Yes	BUY	118	17¢	$20	0x53b604…
06-03 13:33:25	NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	123	15¢	$18	0x104221…
06-03 13:32:18	Will Russia invade another country in 2026?	Yes	SELL	423	12¢	$52	0x62d928…
05-29 18:26:50	Will Russia invade another country in 2026?	Yes	BUY	31	13¢	$4	0x3ba11d…
05-29 18:24:49	Will Russia invade a NATO country by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	347	1¢	$5	0x5ff9d9…
05-29 10:55:41	Will Russia invade another country in 2026?	Yes	BUY	315	13¢	$41	0x665d72…
05-29 10:54:54	Will Russia invade another country in 2026?	Yes	BUY	77	13¢	$10	0xf01866…
05-14 14:05:02	Will Putin visit China by May 31?	No	SELL	85	5¢	$4	0xfdd446…
04-26 22:38:06	Will Trump visit China by May 31?	No	BUY	31	27¢	$8	0x39b9b8…
04-26 22:37:28	Will Trump visit China by May 31?	No	BUY	35	26¢	$9	0xa8e60c…
04-23 21:16:06	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	125	8¢	$10	0x54e0e5…
04-23 21:14:42	Will Putin visit China by May 31?	No	BUY	85	12¢	$10	0xd06986…
04-23 21:13:10	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	122	4¢	$5	0x54cf51…
04-22 14:26:28	Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by May 15?	No	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0xdcdf03…
04-19 13:59:40	Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium in April?	No	BUY	15	66¢	$10	0xc0272f…