Flickering-Viscose 0x3b78bd…c25ce6
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← all wallets
Realized P&L
+$9
Unrealized P&L
+$22
Hit rate
89.5%
Resolved
18
Trades
2,946
lifetime
Volume
$21.7K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$7
Open exposure
$208
19 positions
First seen
2026-04-10
last 07-21 22:07
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 11 days
Categories
Politics
52% 80% $-10
Other
19% 100% +$2
Sports
15% — —
Crypto
12% 75% +$17
Tech
1% — —
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
82 active days in 12wk • peak 118 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027? No -45 $-39 78¢ $-35 +$4 07-03 21:11
US strike on Cuba by December 31? No +29 $20 68¢ $19 $-0 07-21 22:07
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? No +19 $14 99¢ $19 +$4 07-20 01:14
Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026? No +32 $15 56¢ $18 +$3 06-27 11:33
Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by December 31, 2026? No -20 $-18 88¢ $-18 +$0 07-19 08:00
Will Virginia use a new congressional map for the 2026 United States midterm elections? No +16 $15 96¢ $15 +$0 06-28 19:51
Ukraine recognizes Russian sovereignty over its territory by December 31, 2026? No +16 $15 95¢ $15 $-0 06-20 12:14
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026? No -15 $-16 82¢ $-12 +$4 07-03 22:01
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No -12 $-5 72¢ $-9 $-4 07-19 22:07
Will AfD win an absolute majority of seats in Sachsen-Anhalt? Yes +21 $8 40¢ $8 +$0 07-20 14:07
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31? Yes +35 $9 22¢ $8 $-1 06-10 23:27
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026? No -10 $-18 64¢ $-6 +$12 07-03 21:11
China x Taiwan military clash before 2027? Yes +88 $6 7¢ $6 $-0 07-21 20:10
Will Bitcoin dip to $40,000 by December 31, 2026? No +6 $4 84¢ $5 +$0 07-06 17:00
Will Gretchen Whitmer announce a Presidential run before 2027? No +5 $5 94¢ $5 $-0 05-28 14:19
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? No -5 $-5 94¢ $-5 $-0 07-03 21:15
Will Mitch McConnell step down from the Senate before his term ends? No +6 $4 62¢ $4 $-0 07-13 03:12
China x Japan military clash before 2027? Yes +8 $0 8¢ $1 +$0 07-21 03:46
Will South Carolina use a new congressional map for the 2026 United States midterm elections? Yes -12 $-1 4¢ $-1 +$0 06-28 19:53