Flickering-Viscose 0x3b78bd…c25ce6
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Realized P&L
+$9
Unrealized P&L
+$16
Hit rate
89.5%
Resolved
18
Trades
1,731
lifetime
Volume
$14.1K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$8
Open exposure
$268
11 positions
First seen
2026-04-10
last 06-09 23:06
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 11 days
Categories
Politics
53% 80% $-10
Sports
18% — —
Crypto
15% 75% +$17
Other
12% 100% +$2
Tech
1% — —
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
60 active days in 12wk • peak 104 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026? No +103 $50 55¢ $56 +$7 06-05 03:08
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026? No +76 $52 72¢ $55 +$3 06-05 06:59
AI data center moratorium passed before 2027? Yes +44 $41 92¢ $41 $-0 06-08 18:25
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30? No +42 $33 88¢ $37 +$4 06-02 17:34
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026? No +35 $28 90¢ $32 +$3 05-29 19:48
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027? No +36 $24 74¢ $26 +$3 06-04 22:44
Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026? No +10 $6 63¢ $6 +$0 06-09 15:55
Will China blockade Taiwan by June 30? No +5 $5 99¢ $5 +$0 05-29 13:36
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30? No +5 $5 97¢ $5 +$0 06-09 23:06
Will Gretchen Whitmer announce a Presidential run before 2027? No +5 $5 94¢ $5 $-0 05-28 14:19
Will Tom Steyer advance from the 2026 California Governor primary election? Yes +1 $3 0¢ $0 $-3 06-06 16:12