Flickering-Viscose 0x3b78bd…c25ce6
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← all wallets
Realized P&L
+$9
Unrealized P&L
-$19
Hit rate
89.5%
Resolved
18
Trades
2,132
lifetime
Volume
$17.2K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$8
Open exposure
$535
21 positions
First seen
2026-04-10
last 06-29 22:33
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 11 days
Categories
Politics
57% 80% $-10
Sports
15% — —
Crypto
13% 75% +$17
Other
13% 100% +$2
Tech
1% — —
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
78 active days in 12wk • peak 104 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026? No -96 $-101 100¢ $-95 +$6 06-19 05:53
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30? No -81 $-40 100¢ $-81 $-41 06-18 20:07
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026? No +103 $50 57¢ $59 +$10 06-05 03:08
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026? No +76 $52 76¢ $57 +$5 06-05 06:59
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by June 30, 2026? No -49 $-46 100¢ $-49 $-3 06-11 06:09
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30? No -31 $-30 100¢ $-31 $-1 06-13 08:14
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027? No +36 $24 74¢ $27 +$3 06-04 22:44
Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by June 30, 2026? No +26 $26 100¢ $26 +$0 06-12 11:08
Will Mamdani freeze NYC rents before 2027? Yes +17 $15 95¢ $16 +$1 06-26 17:56
Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026? No +32 $15 50¢ $16 +$1 06-27 11:33
Will Virginia use a new congressional map for the 2026 United States midterm elections? No +16 $15 96¢ $15 +$0 06-28 19:51
Ukraine recognizes Russian sovereignty over its territory by December 31, 2026? No +16 $15 93¢ $15 $-0 06-20 12:14
NATO x Russia military clash by June 30, 2026? No -11 $-10 100¢ $-11 $-0 06-13 14:15
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31? Yes +35 $9 28¢ $10 +$1 06-10 23:27
Will Russia capture all of Kupiansk by June 30? No -7 $-7 100¢ $-7 $-0 06-13 05:00
Will China blockade Taiwan by June 30? No +5 $5 100¢ $5 +$0 05-29 13:36
Will Gretchen Whitmer announce a Presidential run before 2027? No +5 $5 93¢ $5 $-0 05-28 14:19
Will Florida use a new congressional map for the 2026 United States midterm elections? Yes +5 $5 93¢ $5 $-0 06-28 21:56
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? No -6 $-10 66¢ $-4 +$6 06-28 11:36
Will South Carolina use a new congressional map for the 2026 United States midterm elections? Yes -12 $-1 3¢ $-0 +$0 06-28 19:53
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? Yes +68 $8 0¢ $0 $-8 06-26 11:41