Shameful-Endoderm — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$128

Unrealized P&L

-$4

Hit rate

33.0%

Resolved

125

Trades

5,541

lifetime

Volume

$9.44K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

2 positions

First seen

2026-04-17

last 06-01 11:49

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 11 days

Categories

Crypto

99% 30% $-128

Sports

1% — —

Politics

0% — —

Other

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

38 active days in 12wk • peak 1620 trades/day

Open positions (2) Resolved markets (12) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Hantavirus lab leak confirmed by June 30?	Yes		+220	$2	0¢	$0	$-2	05-29 18:17
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	Yes		+7	$2	1¢	$0	$-2	05-31 01:38

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Bitcoin reach $81,000 on April 26?	27	$53	57	0	+57	open	—	04-26 22:03
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,400 on May 8?	10	$15	49	0	+49	No	$-4	05-06 19:08
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 12?	8	$15	37	0	+37	Yes	$-4	05-09 14:21
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET	8	$13	15	15	+1	open	—	04-26 03:56
Ethereum Up or Down - May 16, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET	11	$12	103	9	+94	open	—	05-16 06:42
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 9?	7	$12	34	0	+34	Yes	+$7	05-09 02:02
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 3?	6	$12	119	0	+119	open	—	05-01 15:33
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 6?	7	$12	43	0	+43	Yes	+$25	05-04 02:15
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 11?	5	$12	28	0	+28	Yes	$-1	05-10 01:22
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 14?	6	$12	24	0	+24	open	—	05-09 04:06
Bitcoin Up or Down on May 5?	4	$12	24	0	+24	Up	+$5	05-04 19:05
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 10?	4	$12	24	0	+24	Yes	$-1	05-09 16:10
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 2?	7	$11	26	0	+26	open	—	04-30 05:12
Ethereum Up or Down - May 16, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET	4	$11	205	7	+198	open	—	05-16 07:40
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET	6	$11	46	6	+40	open	—	04-26 01:55
Ethereum Up or Down - April 25, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET	6	$11	18	14	+4	open	—	04-25 14:08
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on May 6?	3	$10	1,485	1,485	+0	No	+$4	05-04 11:42
Solana Up or Down - May 3, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET	2	$10	9	9	+0	open	—	05-04 02:19
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET	3	$10	56	6	+50	open	—	05-16 05:58
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET	3	$9	12	12	+0	open	—	05-03 21:46
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET	6	$9	13	5	+8	open	—	04-26 12:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 1:00AM-1:15AM ET	7	$9	7	7	+0	open	—	04-26 05:11
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET	3	$9	10	6	+5	open	—	04-26 03:53
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET	3	$9	22	0	+22	open	—	05-02 11:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 6PM ET	3	$9	17	7	+10	open	—	05-03 22:16
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,400 on May 9?	4	$9	32	0	+32	No	$-9	05-07 00:58
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 10?	5	$9	41	0	+41	Yes	$-9	05-04 01:39
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 7?	3	$9	25	0	+25	No	$-3	05-04 09:45
Will the price of Solana be above $90 on May 8?	6	$9	96	0	+96	No	$-3	05-08 07:16
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET	5	$9	25	0	+25	open	—	05-02 10:41

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-01 11:49:40	XRP Up or Down on June 1?	Up	BUY	10	6¢	$1	0x40f7a5…
06-01 11:13:07	XRP Up or Down on June 1?	Up	BUY	21	6¢	$1	0xbf83de…
06-01 06:13:12	XRP Up or Down on June 1?	Down	BUY	2	81¢	$2	0x5da73b…
05-31 22:15:27	Solana Up or Down on June 1?	Up	BUY	3	67¢	$2	0x04c469…
05-31 16:33:58	Ethereum Up or Down on June 1?	Down	BUY	3	59¢	$2	0xe40599…
05-31 15:01:50	Solana Up or Down on May 31?	Up	BUY	40	5¢	$2	0x6cf13b…
05-31 15:00:59	XRP Up or Down on May 31?	Up	BUY	40	5¢	$2	0x5c4311…
05-31 14:18:24	Ethereum Up or Down on May 31?	Up	BUY	22	9¢	$2	0xdc9b60…
05-31 13:52:04	Ethereum Up or Down on May 31?	Down	BUY	3	67¢	$2	0x4d42bd…
05-31 01:50:13	US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 30?	Yes	SELL	283	0¢	$1	0xd038a2…
05-31 01:39:59	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	6	2¢	$0	0x1b7acb…
05-31 01:38:56	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	Yes	BUY	7	29¢	$2	0x43ba54…
05-30 21:11:49	US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 30?	Yes	BUY	141	1¢	$2	0xfbb732…
05-30 21:11:19	US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 30?	Yes	BUY	141	1¢	$2	0xc49493…
05-30 06:11:13	US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 3?	Yes	BUY	6	35¢	$2	0xa7063e…
05-30 06:02:49	US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 3?	Yes	BUY	6	35¢	$2	0x752ece…
05-29 18:18:30	US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 31?	Yes	SELL	14	42¢	$6	0xf8bbc1…
05-29 18:17:25	Hantavirus lab leak confirmed by June 30?	Yes	BUY	220	1¢	$2	0x158aa2…
05-29 14:48:33	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	3	27¢	$1	0x2573d8…
05-29 14:43:36	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	27¢	$1	0xf47b21…
05-29 05:37:58	US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 31?	Yes	BUY	7	28¢	$2	0xa0ff97…
05-29 03:05:40	US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 29?	Yes	BUY	22	9¢	$2	0xf57261…
05-29 03:03:41	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?	Yes	BUY	9	22¢	$2	0x3f2690…
05-27 22:53:35	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by June 15?	Yes	BUY	15	13¢	$2	0x445e5e…
05-25 12:29:37	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	0	33¢	$0	0xe82561…
05-25 12:29:17	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	3	33¢	$1	0x229645…
05-25 12:29:03	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	4	33¢	$1	0x4c7329…
05-24 15:37:43	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	6	31¢	$2	0x98259a…
05-24 15:37:40	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	6	32¢	$2	0xb2823a…
05-23 21:07:15	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	Yes	SELL	2	21¢	$0	0xa93b63…
05-23 21:06:07	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	Yes	SELL	5	21¢	$1	0xbdeb2f…
05-23 20:31:49	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	Yes	BUY	14	14¢	$2	0x45a746…
05-23 11:10:13	Solana Up or Down - May 23, 4:00AM-8:00AM ET	Down	BUY	6	33¢	$2	0xbfdc3e…
05-23 11:08:47	Ethereum Up or Down - May 23, 7AM ET	Down	BUY	8	26¢	$2	0x6c3289…
05-23 11:07:14	Ethereum Up or Down - May 23, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET	Down	BUY	9	22¢	$2	0x4947cb…
05-23 11:05:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 7AM ET	Down	BUY	6	33¢	$2	0xdbe6cf…
05-23 11:02:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET	Down	BUY	6	31¢	$2	0x5c2db3…
05-23 10:54:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET	Up	BUY	28	7¢	$2	0xf77ae1…
05-23 10:51:08	Solana Up or Down - May 23, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET	Up	BUY	8	24¢	$2	0x3d42e9…
05-23 10:39:58	Ethereum Up or Down - May 23, 4:00AM-8:00AM ET	Down	BUY	5	27¢	$1	0xb0f44d…
05-23 10:34:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET	Down	BUY	6	34¢	$2	0x3c546e…
05-23 10:30:42	XRP Up or Down - May 23, 6AM ET	Down	BUY	8	26¢	$2	0x8d0af9…
05-23 10:11:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 6AM ET	Down	BUY	7	27¢	$2	0x2ef0ae…
05-23 10:07:39	Ethereum Up or Down - May 23, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET	Down	BUY	11	18¢	$2	0xcb8a37…
05-23 10:04:04	Solana Up or Down - May 23, 6AM ET	Down	BUY	6	33¢	$2	0xa5fffb…
05-23 10:03:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET	Down	BUY	7	30¢	$2	0xa27253…
05-23 10:00:27	Solana Up or Down - May 23, 4:00AM-8:00AM ET	Up	BUY	6	33¢	$2	0x2b0f15…
05-23 09:58:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 5AM ET	Up	BUY	10	17¢	$2	0x083e97…
05-23 09:48:57	Ethereum Up or Down - May 23, 5AM ET	Up	BUY	9	23¢	$2	0xb5fee6…
05-23 09:43:58	Solana Up or Down - May 23, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET	Down	BUY	5	22¢	$1	0x66e6c2…
05-23 09:43:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 5AM ET	Down	BUY	8	25¢	$2	0x8fcaff…
05-23 09:36:46	Solana Up or Down - May 23, 5AM ET	Up	BUY	8	25¢	$2	0xaad9cd…
05-23 09:36:11	Solana Up or Down - May 23, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET	Up	BUY	10	20¢	$2	0x1e6f85…
05-23 09:27:54	XRP Up or Down - May 23, 5AM ET	Down	BUY	9	22¢	$2	0x6aa121…
05-23 09:23:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET	Down	BUY	6	32¢	$2	0xe1edbf…
05-21 19:55:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET	Down	BUY	9	23¢	$2	0xe09c30…
05-21 19:27:55	Ethereum Up or Down - May 21, 3:15PM-3:30PM ET	Down	BUY	18	11¢	$2	0xa37c06…
05-21 19:26:17	XRP Up or Down - May 21, 3:15PM-3:30PM ET	Up	BUY	5	30¢	$2	0xe0637d…
05-21 14:16:12	Ethereum Up or Down - May 21, 10AM ET	Up	BUY	6	31¢	$2	0xba3f06…
05-21 14:06:37	Solana Up or Down - May 21, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET	Down	BUY	6	34¢	$2	0x3e8ced…
05-21 13:54:58	Ethereum Up or Down - May 21, 9AM ET	Up	SELL	3	73¢	$2	0x9afc2c…
05-21 13:54:44	Ethereum Up or Down - May 21, 9AM ET	Up	SELL	1	83¢	$1	0xeb0cf2…
05-21 13:52:26	Ethereum Up or Down - May 21, 9AM ET	Up	SELL	4	53¢	$2	0xf5d645…
05-21 13:52:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 9AM ET	Up	SELL	8	1¢	$0	0x2c0455…
05-21 13:47:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET	Down	BUY	7	30¢	$2	0xe3cdd8…
05-21 13:46:05	Solana Up or Down - May 21, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET	Down	BUY	6	31¢	$2	0x728473…
05-21 13:46:05	XRP Up or Down - May 21, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET	Down	BUY	5	25¢	$1	0x4e3526…
05-21 13:45:47	Ethereum Up or Down - May 21, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET	Down	BUY	6	35¢	$2	0xf22b7d…
05-21 13:39:06	Solana Up or Down - May 21, 9AM ET	Up	BUY	8	24¢	$2	0x39dc3d…
05-21 13:37:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 9AM ET	Up	BUY	8	25¢	$2	0xc3ab5c…
05-21 13:33:11	Ethereum Up or Down - May 21, 9AM ET	Up	BUY	8	25¢	$2	0x22c9e9…
05-21 13:32:13	XRP Up or Down - May 21, 9AM ET	Up	BUY	5	26¢	$1	0x24f975…
05-21 13:31:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET	Up	BUY	12	17¢	$2	0x11b819…
05-21 13:31:10	XRP Up or Down - May 21, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET	Up	BUY	8	24¢	$2	0xbf92b6…
05-21 13:20:35	XRP Up or Down - May 21, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET	Up	BUY	5	31¢	$2	0x4aaf7f…
05-21 13:15:52	Ethereum Up or Down - May 21, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET	Up	BUY	6	35¢	$2	0x2b930b…
05-21 12:34:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET	Down	BUY	22	9¢	$2	0xb8bcff…
05-21 12:33:17	XRP Up or Down - May 21, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET	Down	BUY	9	22¢	$2	0x6f315a…
05-21 12:13:27	XRP Up or Down - May 21, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET	Up	BUY	7	29¢	$2	0x309495…
05-21 12:10:00	XRP Up or Down - May 21, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET	Down	BUY	7	30¢	$2	0xb02e91…
05-21 12:09:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET	Down	BUY	6	32¢	$2	0xd6edfc…
05-21 12:09:22	Solana Up or Down - May 21, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET	Down	BUY	5	31¢	$2	0x4302ac…
05-21 11:37:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET	Up	BUY	12	17¢	$2	0xcfc0b1…
05-21 10:39:04	XRP Up or Down - May 21, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET	Down	BUY	8	24¢	$2	0x81a4ec…
05-21 10:26:07	XRP Up or Down - May 21, 6AM ET	Up	BUY	11	4¢	$0	0x00694f…
05-21 10:25:58	Solana Up or Down - May 21, 6AM ET	Up	BUY	11	19¢	$2	0x446f83…
05-21 10:19:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET	Down	BUY	7	30¢	$2	0x9b297f…
05-21 09:28:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET	Up	BUY	6	34¢	$2	0x60c7ae…
05-21 08:19:35	Ethereum Up or Down - May 21, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET	Up	SELL	6	10¢	$1	0xdc3c2e…
05-21 08:17:10	Ethereum Up or Down - May 21, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET	Up	BUY	6	34¢	$2	0x211ffc…
05-21 08:03:08	XRP Up or Down - May 21, 4AM ET	Down	BUY	6	35¢	$2	0xed8f3e…
05-21 07:13:52	Ethereum Up or Down - May 21, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET	Down	BUY	6	34¢	$2	0xb6dfa9…
05-21 04:09:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET	Up	BUY	8	24¢	$2	0x5f1f0f…
05-18 23:42:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 7:30PM-7:45PM ET	Down	BUY	74	4¢	$3	0x25a612…
05-16 09:51:19	Ethereum Up or Down - May 16, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET	Up	BUY	7	27¢	$2	0x1c6a48…
05-16 09:44:24	XRP Up or Down - May 16, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET	Up	BUY	0	1¢	$0	0x0b08e0…
05-16 09:44:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET	Down	BUY	198	1¢	$2	0xc78c5d…
05-16 09:43:23	Solana Up or Down - May 16, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET	Down	BUY	19	2¢	$0	0x72bd9e…
05-16 09:42:53	XRP Up or Down - May 16, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET	Down	BUY	12	3¢	$0	0x8b1fb8…
05-16 09:40:56	Ethereum Up or Down - May 16, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET	Down	BUY	198	1¢	$2	0x1fc978…