Realized P&L (90d)
+$8.55K
Unrealized P&L
-$1.69K
Hit rate
75.9%
Resolved (90d)
470
Trades (90d)
4,235
25,105 lifetime
Volume (90d)
$169.8K
$819.8K lifetime
Avg / trade
$33
Open exposure
$4.65K
30 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 11-08 18:01
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 277 days
Categories
Other
70% 55% +$32,495
Politics
30% 49% +$11,133
Sports
0% 46% -$85
Crypto
0% 33% -$7
Tech
0% — —
Pop-Culture
0% 0% -$34
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
85 active days in 12wk • peak 199 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Russia capture all of Bilytske by December 31? No +2,155 $883 30¢ $647 -$236 11-08 00:01
Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia before 2027? No -525 -$441 96¢ $-502 -$61 07-12 14:58
US recognizes Russian sovereignty over Ukraine before 2027? No -438 -$397 97¢ $-424 -$27 07-12 14:59
Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026? Yes +300 $145 98¢ $295 +$150 11-04 08:45
Will Russia capture all of Lyman by December 31, 2026? No -300 -$204 97¢ $-291 -$86 05-08 09:21
Will Russia capture Novyi Donbas by December 31? No +708 $329 40¢ $280 -$49 11-02 10:14
Will the Democratic Party win the NC-03 House seat? Yes +222 $162 87¢ $193 +$31 11-05 16:33
Will Russia capture all of Chasiv Yar by December 31? No +350 $188 52¢ $184 -$4 11-07 02:31
Will Russia capture the Royal Café Alex in Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026? Yes +1,170 $796 16¢ $181 -$615 10-18 22:31
Will Russia capture all of Bilytske by November 30? No +276 $142 65¢ $179 +$38 11-04 23:54
Will Édouard Philippe win the 2027 French presidential election? Yes +1,740 $327 10¢ $165 -$161 11-08 18:01
Will Ukraine re-enter Uspenivka by December 31? No +155 -$31 84¢ $130 +$161 06-14 13:32
Will Russia enter Druzkhivka by December 31, 2026? Yes +600 $300 17¢ $102 -$198 10-16 05:31
Will Trump's approval rating hit 35% in 2026? Yes +400 $136 25¢ $100 -$36 10-31 20:15
Will Russia capture Kupiansk by December 31, 2026? Yes +1,355 $303 7¢ $95 -$208 10-17 23:19
Will Trump meet with Aleksandr Lukashenko in 2026? No -100 -$72 94¢ $-94 -$22 07-09 10:48
Will Russia enter Sloviansk by December 31, 2026? Yes +1,625 $278 6¢ $89 -$189 10-12 06:45
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes +1,000 $134 7¢ $72 -$62 08-06 20:08
Will Russia enter Kramatorsk by December 31, 2026? Yes +1,437 $145 5¢ $72 -$73 11-06 15:57
Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? Yes +150 $120 46¢ $68 -$51 10-15 06:21
Will Ukraine re-enter Uspenivka by December 31? Yes +407 $83 16¢ $65 -$18 10-21 07:21
Will Manchester City win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship? Yes +800 $154 8¢ $60 -$94 10-19 16:16
Will Russia invade another country in 2026? No -50 -$73 98¢ $-49 +$24 10-14 06:24
Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-11-08? No +75 $10 65¢ $49 +$38 11-08 18:00
Israel x Turkey military clash before 2027? No -50 -$44 97¢ $-48 -$5 05-07 09:16
will russia capture kupiansk vuzlovyi by december 31 547 Yes +300 $9 16¢ $48 +$39 08-19 07:34
will mark rutte visit ukraine by december 31 2026 20260729210126047 Yes +100 $59 44¢ $44 -$15 08-01 10:52
Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes +1,700 $40 3¢ $43 +$3 07-26 21:43
Will Russia enter Khatnie by December 31, 2026? No +50 $5 85¢ $42 +$37 09-27 21:25
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by November 15? Yes +100 $41 40¢ $40 -$1 11-08 17:37