Realized P&L (90d)
+$9.39K
Unrealized P&L
-$1.50K
Hit rate
76.4%
Resolved (90d)
476
Trades (90d)
4,176
25,121 lifetime
Volume (90d)
$161.8K
$820.2K lifetime
Avg / trade
$33
Open exposure
$4.78K
30 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 11-10 11:11
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 279 days
Categories
Other
70% 55% +$33,217
Politics
30% 49% +$11,087
Sports
0% 46% -$85
Crypto
0% 33% -$7
Tech
0% — —
Pop-Culture
0% 0% -$34
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
85 active days in 12wk • peak 199 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Russia capture all of Bilytske by December 31? No +2,155 $883 32¢ $679 -$204 11-08 00:01
Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia before 2027? No -525 -$441 95¢ $-497 -$57 07-12 14:58
US recognizes Russian sovereignty over Ukraine before 2027? No -438 -$397 97¢ $-424 -$27 07-12 14:59
Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026? Yes +300 $145 99¢ $296 +$151 11-04 08:45
Will Russia capture all of Lyman by December 31, 2026? No -300 -$204 96¢ $-286 -$82 05-08 09:21
Will Russia capture Novyi Donbas by December 31? No +708 $329 40¢ $280 -$49 11-02 10:14
Will the Democratic Party win the NC-03 House seat? Yes +222 $162 87¢ $194 +$33 11-05 16:33
Will Russia capture all of Bilytske by November 30? No +276 $142 65¢ $179 +$38 11-04 23:54
Will Édouard Philippe win the 2027 French presidential election? Yes +1,850 $336 10¢ $176 -$161 11-08 23:19
Will Russia capture the Royal Café Alex in Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026? Yes +1,170 $796 15¢ $170 -$626 10-18 22:31
Will Russia capture all of Chasiv Yar by December 31? No +350 $188 48¢ $166 -$22 11-07 02:31
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31? No +200 $110 66¢ $133 +$23 11-09 10:32
Will Ukraine re-enter Uspenivka by December 31? No +155 -$31 79¢ $123 +$154 06-14 13:32
Will Russia enter Druzkhivka by December 31, 2026? Yes +600 $300 16¢ $99 -$201 10-16 05:31
Will Trump's approval rating hit 35% in 2026? Yes +400 $136 24¢ $96 -$40 10-31 20:15
Will Trump meet with Aleksandr Lukashenko in 2026? No -100 -$72 95¢ $-95 -$22 07-09 10:48
Will Russia enter Sloviansk by December 31, 2026? Yes +1,625 $278 6¢ $89 -$189 10-12 06:45
Will Russia capture Dovha Balka by December 31, 2026? No +215 $52 41¢ $88 +$36 11-06 12:34
Will Ukraine re-enter Uspenivka by December 31? Yes +407 $83 21¢ $85 +$2 10-21 07:21
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes +1,000 $134 8¢ $80 -$55 08-06 20:08
Will Russia enter Kramatorsk by December 31, 2026? Yes +1,437 $145 6¢ $79 -$66 11-06 15:57
Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? Yes +150 $120 44¢ $66 -$54 10-15 06:21
Will Russia capture Kupiansk by December 31, 2026? Yes +1,355 $303 4¢ $61 -$242 10-17 23:19
Will Ukraine re-enter Obratne or Temyrivka by December 31? No +70 -$195 78¢ $55 +$250 10-28 19:57
will mark rutte visit ukraine by december 31 2026 20260729210126047 Yes +100 $59 50¢ $49 -$9 08-01 10:52
Will Russia invade another country in 2026? No -50 -$73 98¢ $-49 +$24 10-14 06:24
Israel x Turkey military clash before 2027? No -50 -$44 97¢ $-48 -$5 05-07 09:16
Will Manchester City win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship? Yes +800 $154 6¢ $48 -$106 10-19 16:16
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by November 15? Yes +100 $41 46¢ $46 +$6 11-08 17:37
Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes +1,700 $40 3¢ $45 +$5 07-26 21:43