High-Alarm 0x923874…77b73e Create alert
whale hot 4W streak
← all wallets
Realized P&L
+$44.5K
Unrealized P&L
-$1.41K
Hit rate
78.1%
Resolved
1,723
Trades
26,208
lifetime
Volume
$845.8K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$32
Open exposure
$4.57K
30 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 11-14 05:56
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 282 days
Categories
Other
70% 55% +$33,378
Politics
30% 49% +$11,217
Sports
0% 46% -$85
Crypto
0% 33% -$7
Tech
0% — —
Pop-Culture
0% 0% -$34
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
83 active days in 12wk • peak 199 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Russia capture all of Bilytske by December 31? No +2,005 $827 34¢ $692 -$135 11-14 03:20
Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia before 2027? No -525 -$441 96¢ $-506 -$65 07-12 14:58
US recognizes Russian sovereignty over Ukraine before 2027? No -438 -$397 96¢ $-422 -$25 07-12 14:59
Will Russia capture Novyi Donbas by December 31? No +708 $329 56¢ $400 +$71 11-02 10:14
Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026? Yes +300 $145 100¢ $300 +$154 11-04 08:45
Will Russia capture all of Lyman by December 31, 2026? No -300 -$204 98¢ $-294 -$90 05-08 09:21
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31? No +200 $110 82¢ $165 +$55 11-09 10:32
Will Russia capture the Royal Café Alex in Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026? Yes +1,170 $796 14¢ $158 -$638 10-18 22:31
Will Russia capture all of Chasiv Yar by December 31? No +250 $124 62¢ $156 +$33 11-14 05:56
will ukraine re enter uspenivka by december 31 No +155 -$31 82¢ $127 +$158 06-14 13:32
Will Russia capture Dovha Balka by December 31, 2026? No +215 $52 54¢ $116 +$64 11-06 12:34
Will Russia capture all of Bilytske by November 30? No +154 $54 68¢ $106 +$52 11-14 03:20
Will Trump meet with Aleksandr Lukashenko in 2026? No -100 -$72 97¢ $-97 -$25 07-09 10:48
Will Édouard Philippe win the 2027 French presidential election? Yes +1,850 $336 4¢ $83 -$253 11-08 23:19
Will Russia capture Kupiansk by December 31, 2026? Yes +1,355 $303 6¢ $81 -$222 10-17 23:19
Will Russia enter Sloviansk by December 31, 2026? Yes +1,625 $278 5¢ $81 -$197 10-12 06:45
Will Russia enter Druzkhivka by December 31, 2026? Yes +600 $300 14¢ $81 -$219 10-16 05:31
Will Ukraine re-enter Uspenivka by December 31? Yes +407 $83 18¢ $73 -$10 10-21 07:21
Will Russia enter Kramatorsk by December 31, 2026? Yes +1,437 $145 5¢ $72 -$73 11-06 15:57
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes +1,000 $134 7¢ $72 -$63 08-06 20:08
Will Trump's approval rating hit 35% in 2026? Yes +400 $136 17¢ $68 -$68 10-31 20:15
Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? Yes +150 $120 36¢ $55 -$65 10-15 06:21
Will Ukraine re-enter Obratne or Temyrivka by December 31? No +70 -$195 78¢ $55 +$249 10-28 19:57
Will Manchester City win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship? Yes +800 $154 6¢ $52 -$102 10-19 16:16
Will Russia invade another country in 2026? No -50 -$73 98¢ $-49 +$24 10-14 06:24
Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes +1,700 $40 3¢ $48 +$9 07-26 21:43
Israel x Turkey military clash before 2027? No -50 -$44 97¢ $-48 -$5 05-07 09:16
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by November 15? Yes +100 $41 40¢ $40 -$2 11-08 17:37
Will Chiang Wan-an win the next Taipei Mayor election? No +100 $33 36¢ $36 +$2 11-08 16:28
will mark rutte visit ukraine by december 31 2026 20260729210126047 Yes +100 $59 34¢ $34 -$24 08-01 10:52