High-Alarm 0x923874…77b73e Create alert
whale hot 4W streak
← all wallets
Realized P&L
+$44.5K
Unrealized P&L
-$1.39K
Hit rate
78.1%
Resolved
1,723
Trades
26,208
lifetime
Volume
$845.8K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$32
Open exposure
$4.58K
30 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 11-14 05:56
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 282 days
Categories
Other
70% 55% +$33,378
Politics
30% 49% +$11,217
Sports
0% 46% -$85
Crypto
0% 33% -$7
Tech
0% — —
Pop-Culture
0% 0% -$34
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
83 active days in 12wk • peak 199 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Russia capture all of Bilytske by December 31? No +2,005 $827 34¢ $682 -$145 11-14 03:20
Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia before 2027? No -525 -$441 96¢ $-505 -$64 07-12 14:58
US recognizes Russian sovereignty over Ukraine before 2027? No -438 -$397 96¢ $-422 -$25 07-12 14:59
Will Russia capture Novyi Donbas by December 31? No +708 $329 56¢ $396 +$67 11-02 10:14
Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026? Yes +300 $145 100¢ $299 +$154 11-04 08:45
Will Russia capture all of Lyman by December 31, 2026? No -300 -$204 98¢ $-294 -$90 05-08 09:21
Will Russia capture the Royal Café Alex in Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026? Yes +1,170 $796 15¢ $175 -$620 10-18 22:31
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31? No +200 $110 82¢ $165 +$55 11-09 10:32
Will Russia capture all of Chasiv Yar by December 31? No +250 $124 58¢ $146 +$23 11-14 05:56
Will Ukraine re-enter Uspenivka by December 31? No +155 -$31 82¢ $127 +$157 06-14 13:32
Will Russia capture Dovha Balka by December 31, 2026? No +215 $52 54¢ $116 +$64 11-06 12:34
Will Russia capture all of Bilytske by November 30? No +154 $54 68¢ $105 +$51 11-14 03:20
Will Trump meet with Aleksandr Lukashenko in 2026? No -100 -$72 95¢ $-95 -$22 07-09 10:48
Will Édouard Philippe win the 2027 French presidential election? Yes +1,850 $336 4¢ $83 -$253 11-08 23:19
Will Russia capture Kupiansk by December 31, 2026? Yes +1,355 $303 6¢ $81 -$222 10-17 23:19
Will Russia enter Sloviansk by December 31, 2026? Yes +1,625 $278 5¢ $81 -$197 10-12 06:45
Will Russia enter Druzkhivka by December 31, 2026? Yes +600 $300 14¢ $81 -$219 10-16 05:31
Will Russia enter Kramatorsk by December 31, 2026? Yes +1,437 $145 6¢ $79 -$66 11-06 15:57
Will Ukraine re-enter Uspenivka by December 31? Yes +407 $83 18¢ $75 -$8 10-21 07:21
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes +1,000 $134 7¢ $73 -$61 08-06 20:08
Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? Yes +150 $120 48¢ $72 -$48 10-15 06:21
Will Trump's approval rating hit 35% in 2026? Yes +400 $136 16¢ $64 -$72 10-31 20:15
Will Ukraine re-enter Obratne or Temyrivka by December 31? No +70 -$195 78¢ $55 +$249 10-28 19:57
Will Manchester City win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship? Yes +800 $154 6¢ $52 -$102 10-19 16:16
Will Russia invade another country in 2026? No -50 -$73 98¢ $-49 +$24 10-14 06:24
Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes +1,700 $40 3¢ $48 +$9 07-26 21:43
Israel x Turkey military clash before 2027? No -50 -$44 97¢ $-48 -$5 05-07 09:16
will mark rutte visit ukraine by december 31 2026 20260729210126047 Yes +100 $59 38¢ $37 -$21 08-01 10:52
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by November 15? Yes +100 $41 34¢ $34 -$6 11-08 17:37
Will Chiang Wan-an win the next Taipei Mayor election? No +100 $33 34¢ $34 +$2 11-08 16:28