Realized P&L (30d)
+$4.77K
Unrealized P&L
-$1.57K
Hit rate
71.3%
Resolved (30d)
181
Trades (30d)
1,996
26,170 lifetime
Volume (30d)
$78.3K
$845.1K lifetime
Avg / trade
$32
Open exposure
$4.60K
30 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 11-08 23:19
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 278 days
Categories
Other
70% 55% +$32,901
Politics
30% 49% +$11,133
Sports
0% 46% -$85
Crypto
0% 33% -$7
Tech
0% — —
Pop-Culture
0% 0% -$34
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
84 active days in 12wk • peak 199 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Russia capture all of Bilytske by December 31? No +2,155 $883 30¢ $657 -$225 11-08 00:01
Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia before 2027? No -525 -$441 95¢ $-498 -$57 07-12 14:58
US recognizes Russian sovereignty over Ukraine before 2027? No -438 -$397 97¢ $-424 -$27 07-12 14:59
Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026? Yes +300 $145 98¢ $295 +$149 11-04 08:45
Will Russia capture all of Lyman by December 31, 2026? No -300 -$204 95¢ $-285 -$81 05-08 09:21
Will Russia capture Novyi Donbas by December 31? No +708 $329 40¢ $280 -$49 11-02 10:14
Will the Democratic Party win the NC-03 House seat? Yes +222 $162 85¢ $190 +$28 11-05 16:33
Will Russia capture all of Bilytske by November 30? No +276 $142 65¢ $179 +$38 11-04 23:54
Will Russia capture all of Chasiv Yar by December 31? No +350 $188 46¢ $163 -$25 11-07 02:31
Will Russia capture the Royal Café Alex in Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026? Yes +1,170 $796 14¢ $158 -$638 10-18 22:31
Will Édouard Philippe win the 2027 French presidential election? Yes +1,850 $336 8¢ $139 -$198 11-08 23:19
Will Ukraine re-enter Uspenivka by December 31? No +155 -$31 86¢ $133 +$164 06-14 13:32
Will Russia enter Druzkhivka by December 31, 2026? Yes +600 $300 16¢ $99 -$201 10-16 05:31
Will Russia capture Kupiansk by December 31, 2026? Yes +1,355 $303 7¢ $95 -$208 10-17 23:19
Will Trump meet with Aleksandr Lukashenko in 2026? No -100 -$72 95¢ $-95 -$22 07-09 10:48
Will Russia capture Dovha Balka by December 31, 2026? No +215 $52 44¢ $94 +$41 11-06 12:34
Will Russia enter Sloviansk by December 31, 2026? Yes +1,625 $278 6¢ $89 -$189 10-12 06:45
Will Trump's approval rating hit 35% in 2026? Yes +400 $136 20¢ $80 -$56 10-31 20:15
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes +1,000 $134 8¢ $76 -$58 08-06 20:08
Will Russia enter Kramatorsk by December 31, 2026? Yes +1,437 $145 5¢ $72 -$73 11-06 15:57
Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? Yes +150 $120 44¢ $66 -$54 10-15 06:21
Will Ukraine re-enter Uspenivka by December 31? Yes +407 $83 15¢ $59 -$24 10-21 07:21
Will Ukraine re-enter Obratne or Temyrivka by December 31? No +70 -$195 78¢ $55 +$249 10-28 19:57
Will Manchester City win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship? Yes +800 $154 6¢ $52 -$102 10-19 16:16
Will Russia invade another country in 2026? No -50 -$73 98¢ $-49 +$24 10-14 06:24
Israel x Turkey military clash before 2027? No -50 -$44 97¢ $-49 -$5 05-07 09:16
will mark rutte visit ukraine by december 31 2026 20260729210126047 Yes +100 $59 46¢ $46 -$13 08-01 10:52
Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes +1,700 $40 3¢ $45 +$5 07-26 21:43
Will Russia enter Khatnie by December 31, 2026? No +50 $5 85¢ $42 +$37 09-27 21:25
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by November 15? Yes +100 $41 42¢ $42 +$0 11-08 17:37