(anonymous) 0xfb461c…14f68b
cold
← all wallets
Realized P&L
-$1.24K
Unrealized P&L
-$18
Hit rate
50.4%
Resolved
129
Trades
604
lifetime
Volume
$37.3K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$62
Open exposure
$2.55K
26 positions
First seen
2026-01-02
last 10-05 21:46
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 59 days
Categories
Politics
70% 42% -$697
Other
29% 39% -$506
Crypto
1% 0% -$34
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
10 active days in 12wk • peak 15 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia before 2027? No -268 -$237 94¢ $-252 -$14 08-16 23:44
Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026? No -267 -$280 90¢ $-239 +$41 09-27 19:34
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? No -242 -$225 94¢ $-226 -$1 08-07 18:34
US strike on Mexico by December 31? No -220 -$200 97¢ $-213 -$13 10-02 21:44
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026? No +229 $150 86¢ $196 +$46 08-06 18:16
Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026? No -193 -$181 97¢ $-187 -$6 08-09 17:57
Will Russia enter Sloviansk by December 31, 2026? No +192 $150 89¢ $171 +$21 08-06 18:13
russia x ukraine ceasefire by december 31 2026 No +192 $150 88¢ $170 +$20 08-07 18:36
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No -190 -$179 82¢ $-155 +$24 08-04 23:53
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026? No -149 -$146 92¢ $-138 +$8 08-07 18:39
will russia capture orikhiv by december 31 2026 No +148 $120 92¢ $136 +$16 08-07 18:45
Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026? No +125 $10 84¢ $104 +$94 10-05 21:46
Will another country leave OPEC in 2026? No +100 $66 87¢ $87 +$21 04-30 22:37
russia ukraine peace talks by december 31 2026 20260609012542189 No +501 $200 16¢ $78 -$122 08-04 19:08
will russia capture all of bilytske by december 31 No +119 $55 33¢ $39 -$16 08-10 17:25
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes +161 $29 17¢ $27 -$2 08-07 01:35
Will Trump's approval rating hit 35% in 2026? Yes +88 $35 29¢ $25 -$10 08-06 18:19
trump meets with putin by december 31 No +137 $100 16¢ $23 -$77 08-06 18:16
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026? Yes +25 $16 86¢ $21 +$5 09-27 19:35
Will Trump meet with Vladimir Putin in 2026? No -101 -$47 16¢ $-17 +$30 04-28 18:29
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? Yes +136 $72 11¢ $14 -$58 08-10 17:41
will a 5 uranium enrichment cap 1 year be in a us iran deal in 2026 20260623023201637 Yes +94 $30 15¢ $14 -$16 08-07 18:28
will israeli forces withdraw from beyond the litani river by december 31 Yes +83 $15 10¢ $8 -$7 08-09 18:07
Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026? Yes -109 -$24 6¢ $-6 +$18 04-28 19:22
will wildberries announce bankruptcy before 2027 20260723171611669 Yes +102 $17 3¢ $3 -$14 08-04 19:13
Will Mohammad-Bagher Ghalibaf be head of state in Iran end of 2026? Yes +109 $6 0¢ $0 -$6 04-28 21:07