Tan-Creativity — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$14

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

13.7%

Resolved

Trades

1,154

lifetime

Volume

$33.4K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$29

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-01

last 08-12 10:22

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 4 days

Categories

Politics

64% 0% $-13

Other

32% 0% $-2

Tech

2% — —

Crypto

1% — —

Sports

1% 100% +$1

Pop-Culture

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

59 active days in 12wk • peak 50 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will iran strike cyprus in march	8	$1.7K	900	900	+0	open	—	03-28 22:32
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?	13	$1.1K	622	622	+0	open	—	06-22 08:32
us strikes iran by february 27 2026	1	$1.0K	1,038	0	+1,038	open	—	02-27 06:01
us strikes iran by february 25 2026	1	$1.0K	1,017	0	+1,017	open	—	02-25 21:02
us strikes iran by february 20 2026 151 468 624 297 614 778 872 127 349 448 499 337 826 553	2	$902	980	0	+980	open	—	02-18 15:46
us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	5	$883	560	420	+140	open	—	03-29 12:56
US-Iran nuclear deal by April 30?	5	$839	600	300	+300	open	—	04-23 18:25
starmer out by june 22 2026	20	$827	680	480	+200	open	—	06-22 08:24
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by May 31?	29	$793	480	480	+0	open	—	05-12 15:34
will turnout in the second round of the 2026 portuguese presidential election be between 50 and 52	28	$762	519	519	+0	open	—	02-16 14:00
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?	4	$746	440	400	+40	open	—	05-18 20:15
will france uk or germany strike iran by march 31 929	4	$693	400	400	+0	open	—	03-22 12:22
us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	13	$670	640	326	+314	open	—	06-16 07:50
us x iran ceasefire by march 31	5	$664	457	357	+100	open	—	03-25 13:01
Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before 2027?	32	$638	334	434	-100	open	—	07-20 14:40
Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by May 31?	8	$635	722	522	+200	open	—	05-07 15:28
Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?	16	$634	330	330	+0	open	—	02-18 11:01
us announces end of iranian blockade by august 7 2026 20260727171523690	32	$442	431	351	+80	open	—	08-06 21:07
Will Iran strike Georgia by April 30, 2026?	3	$406	420	0	+420	open	—	04-03 14:22
Iran closes its airspace by May 21?	6	$386	100	300	-200	open	—	05-21 19:33
israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 25 20260716224448967 454	3	$383	50	350	-300	open	—	07-26 10:11
us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	18	$378	370	370	+0	open	—	08-09 21:24
Will Cal Jacobs die in Euphoria: Season 3?	7	$366	210	210	+0	open	—	05-30 22:05
us strikes iran by january 14 2026 913	8	$356	360	102	+258	open	—	01-14 23:51
Will Trump visit China by May 31?	5	$338	200	200	+0	open	—	05-04 08:32
Starmer out by May 15, 2026?	2	$325	180	180	+0	open	—	05-13 11:15
Will Iran strike France by April 30, 2026?	3	$321	163	163	+0	open	—	04-28 10:45
Will Rue Bennett die in Euphoria: Season 3?	18	$315	254	323	-69	open	—	05-29 15:35
Will UAE strike Iran by April 30?	5	$302	483	63	+420	open	—	03-29 11:56
Will the U.S. lift direct Iran OFAC sanctions by May 31, 2026?	4	$272	277	6	+271	open	—	05-31 20:44

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
08-12 20:49:34	will kai or speed die to a pillager 20260808122745361	No	SELL	82	93¢	$76	0xd63356…
08-12 10:22:34	will kai and speed beat the minecraft challenge by august 17 20260807213124706	Yes	SELL	40	30¢	$12	0x85df87…
08-11 15:41:57	will kai or speed die to a spider 20260806175301186	No	BUY	130	1¢	$1	0x09d605…
08-11 15:41:09	will kai or speed die to a spider 20260806175301186	No	BUY	10	10¢	$1	0xf882eb…
08-11 15:41:09	will kai or speed die to a spider 20260806175301186	No	BUY	10	11¢	$1	0xdc5d83…
08-11 15:41:09	will kai or speed die to a spider 20260806175301186	No	BUY	10	11¢	$1	0xcc54a3…
08-11 13:35:39	will kai or speed die to a pillager 20260808122745361	No	SELL	26	87¢	$23	0x08a460…
08-10 18:41:49	will kai or speed die to a spider 20260806175301186	No	BUY	5	66¢	$3	0x3e9910…
08-10 17:17:33	will kai or speed die to a blaze 20260806175301188	No	SELL	8	34¢	$3	0x6fa809…
08-10 15:14:43	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 31 20260716224448970 754 896 823	Yes	SELL	34	87¢	$29	0xfeb4be…
08-10 15:11:39	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 15 2026 20260713152715083 347 987 697 628 574 676	Yes	BUY	20	11¢	$2	0x280a9f…
08-10 15:09:00	will kai or speed die to a spider 20260806175301186	No	BUY	20	61¢	$12	0x8c5d12…
08-10 15:06:58	will kai or speed die to a pillager 20260808122745361	No	BUY	60	64¢	$38	0xaffd99…
08-10 15:00:30	will sir alex ferguson attend cristiano ronaldos wedding 20260803185630262	No	SELL	16	77¢	$12	0x6a032c…
08-10 14:59:52	will kai or speed die to a zombified piglin 20260808122802239	No	SELL	25	72¢	$18	0xb1e15f…
08-10 13:00:57	will kai or speed die to a blaze 20260806175301188	No	SELL	12	34¢	$4	0x917849…
08-10 09:37:42	will kai or speed die to a pillager 20260808122745361	No	BUY	20	61¢	$12	0x40a814…
08-10 09:11:28	untitled market 1 20260803235754057	No	SELL	29	92¢	$26	0x216c57…
08-10 08:47:19	will kai or speed die to a zombified piglin 20260808122802239	No	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0x5355ce…
08-10 08:47:07	will kai or speed die to a zombified piglin 20260808122802239	No	BUY	20	50¢	$10	0xaa10c6…
08-10 08:44:55	will kai or speed die to a pillager 20260808122745361	No	BUY	20	60¢	$12	0x7c189d…
08-10 08:43:27	will kai or speed die to a zombified piglin 20260808122802239	No	BUY	20	50¢	$10	0xbbf972…
08-10 08:42:40	will kai or speed die to a pillager 20260808122745361	No	BUY	8	58¢	$4	0x732244…
08-10 08:38:13	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 15 2026 20260713152715083 347 987 697 628 574 676	Yes	BUY	20	12¢	$2	0xe84534…
08-10 08:29:43	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 15 20260727171036148	Yes	BUY	250	0¢	$1	0x92b72c…
08-10 08:13:22	will kai and speed beat the minecraft challenge by august 17 20260807213124706	Yes	BUY	40	15¢	$6	0x1df6b4…
08-10 08:02:27	iran charges hormuz fees by august 31 20260625175039062 177	Yes	SELL	60	8¢	$5	0xa5c5f4…
08-10 06:09:07	will piers morgan attend cristiano ronaldos wedding 20260803185630255	No	SELL	15	90¢	$13	0xfd057b…
08-10 01:41:52	iran charges hormuz fees by october 31	No	SELL	40	59¢	$24	0xff498e…
08-10 00:53:04	will joao felix attend cristiano ronaldos wedding 20260803204947260	No	SELL	48	77¢	$37	0x7e6bc9…
08-09 21:34:46	will kai or speed die to a spider 20260806175301186	No	BUY	20	29¢	$6	0x87e706…
08-09 21:31:21	will kai or speed die to a blaze 20260806175301188	No	BUY	20	28¢	$6	0x470cce…
08-09 21:24:37	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 15 20260716224448969 246 815 987 693	Yes	SELL	84	94¢	$79	0xb34b1c…
08-09 21:24:04	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	Yes	SELL	21	88¢	$19	0x511142…
08-09 19:45:01	will piers morgan attend cristiano ronaldos wedding 20260803185630255	No	SELL	3	90¢	$3	0x5b0add…
08-09 19:12:25	will piers morgan attend cristiano ronaldos wedding 20260803185630255	No	SELL	2	90¢	$2	0x8c89b9…
08-09 17:50:46	will sir alex ferguson attend cristiano ronaldos wedding 20260803185630262	No	SELL	1	76¢	$0	0x9a508e…
08-09 17:50:27	will marcelo attend cristiano ronaldos wedding 20260803185630259	No	SELL	10	70¢	$7	0xe2ba27…
08-09 17:50:07	will ricardo quaresma attend cristiano ronaldos wedding 20260803185630263	No	SELL	6	76¢	$4	0x619bc8…
08-09 07:39:25	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 15 2026 20260713152715083 347 987 697 628 574 676	No	SELL	19	72¢	$13	0x6a7b99…
08-09 07:14:30	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 15 2026 20260713152715083 347 987 697 628 574 676	No	SELL	3	72¢	$2	0xd8a9e9…
08-09 07:10:48	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 15 2026 20260713152715083 347 987 697 628 574 676	No	SELL	3	72¢	$2	0xca1859…
08-09 07:07:57	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 15 2026 20260713152715083 347 987 697 628 574 676	No	SELL	3	72¢	$2	0x69e4dd…
08-09 07:07:57	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 15 2026 20260713152715083 347 987 697 628 574 676	No	SELL	3	72¢	$2	0x0f6d9d…
08-09 07:07:55	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 15 2026 20260713152715083 347 987 697 628 574 676	No	SELL	7	72¢	$5	0x94ae2e…
08-09 07:02:16	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 15 2026 20260713152715083 347 987 697 628 574 676	No	SELL	3	72¢	$2	0xe95d88…
08-09 07:01:09	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 10 2026	No	SELL	30	91¢	$27	0x9704f6…
08-09 07:01:01	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 15 2026 20260713152715083 347 987 697 628 574 676	No	SELL	21	72¢	$15	0x7c1d74…
08-08 21:27:49	us x iran diplomatic meeting by august 15 2026	No	SELL	46	92¢	$42	0x3235b9…
08-08 21:21:18	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 9 2026	Yes	BUY	20	5¢	$1	0xf9ffa7…
08-08 21:19:51	us iran 60 day negotiation period extended 20260624044855448	Yes	SELL	14	65¢	$9	0x0e6a72…
08-08 15:44:28	untitled market 1 20260803235754057	No	SELL	29	71¢	$20	0x5ea259…
08-08 10:27:57	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 8 2026	Yes	BUY	20	9¢	$2	0x80ae09…
08-08 10:25:49	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 10 2026	No	BUY	30	72¢	$22	0x1a7073…
08-08 10:21:58	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	Yes	SELL	64	87¢	$56	0x427e19…
08-08 10:21:13	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 15 2026 20260713152715083 347 987 697 628 574 676	No	BUY	60	43¢	$26	0x805336…
08-08 10:20:55	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 8 2026	Yes	BUY	30	11¢	$3	0xf9f272…
08-07 15:34:18	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 31 2026 20260713152715084 642 513 584 641 939 632 729	Yes	SELL	14	71¢	$10	0x9d0047…
08-07 15:34:18	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 31 2026 20260713152715084 642 513 584 641 939 632 729	Yes	SELL	14	71¢	$10	0x65723d…
08-07 15:33:03	will joao felix attend cristiano ronaldos wedding 20260803204947260	No	BUY	20	62¢	$12	0xf9ef03…
08-06 21:08:35	US strike on Cuba by December 31?	No	SELL	150	76¢	$114	0x1636c3…
08-06 21:08:21	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 31 2026 20260713152715084 642	Yes	BUY	29	65¢	$19	0x7825f4…
08-06 21:07:21	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 7 2026 20260727171523690	Yes	BUY	40	15¢	$6	0x81ca7f…
08-06 21:07:08	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 7 2026 20260727171523690	Yes	BUY	40	15¢	$6	0x5dc8bd…
08-06 16:10:27	iran charges hormuz fees by august 31 20260625175039062 177	Yes	BUY	10	11¢	$1	0x0154da…
08-06 16:08:35	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 7 2026 20260727171523690	Yes	BUY	20	28¢	$6	0x73abab…
08-06 16:07:18	untitled market 1 20260803235754057	No	BUY	20	52¢	$10	0x979272…
08-06 16:06:59	untitled market 1 20260803235754057	No	BUY	30	53¢	$16	0x7b042d…
08-06 16:06:47	untitled market 1 20260803235754057	No	BUY	7	50¢	$4	0x154cb3…
08-06 16:04:21	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 15 2026 20260713152715083 347	Yes	SELL	30	58¢	$17	0x949e2c…
08-06 14:06:20	us iran 60 day negotiation period extended 20260624044855448	Yes	BUY	14	74¢	$10	0x4b40d0…
08-06 12:28:35	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 7 2026 20260727171523690	Yes	SELL	20	38¢	$8	0x31a715…
08-06 12:10:03	will sir alex ferguson attend cristiano ronaldos wedding 20260803185630262	No	BUY	16	61¢	$10	0xd9f153…
08-06 12:08:59	will ricardo quaresma attend cristiano ronaldos wedding 20260803185630263	No	BUY	6	36¢	$2	0xbbe8c9…
08-06 12:08:32	will joao felix attend cristiano ronaldos wedding 20260803204947260	No	BUY	13	39¢	$5	0x7ecb37…
08-06 09:14:44	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 7 2026 20260727171523690	No	SELL	3	66¢	$2	0x1fe99b…
08-06 09:14:35	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 7 2026 20260727171523690	Yes	BUY	20	34¢	$7	0x12862b…
08-06 09:05:57	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 7 2026 20260727171523690	No	SELL	32	66¢	$22	0xbeb915…
08-06 09:05:20	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 7 2026 20260727171523690	No	SELL	7	66¢	$5	0xce9056…
08-06 09:05:20	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 7 2026 20260727171523690	No	SELL	28	66¢	$18	0x0834b3…
08-06 08:25:41	iran charges hormuz fees by august 31 20260625175039062 177	Yes	BUY	50	12¢	$6	0x8b0118…
08-06 08:20:56	will lionel messi attend cristiano ronaldos wedding 20260803185630254	Yes	SELL	30	4¢	$1	0x3468d5…
08-06 07:54:35	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 15 2026 20260713152715083 347	Yes	BUY	30	66¢	$20	0x2fe1be…
08-06 07:46:03	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 7 2026 20260727171523690	No	SELL	70	64¢	$45	0x03f6c3…
08-06 06:53:06	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	Yes	SELL	46	15¢	$7	0xf42b27…
08-06 06:52:44	us x iran diplomatic meeting by august 15 2026	No	BUY	20	77¢	$15	0xeb8897…
08-06 06:51:59	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 7 2026 20260727171523690	No	BUY	30	66¢	$20	0x265a73…
08-06 06:49:50	iran full airspace closure by august 15	No	SELL	41	92¢	$38	0xd08ccc…
08-05 20:43:50	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 31 20260716224448970 754 896 823	Yes	BUY	60	80¢	$48	0x5343d7…
08-05 20:38:32	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 7 2026 20260727171523690	No	BUY	30	60¢	$18	0xd97a88…
08-05 20:38:14	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 7 2026 20260727171523690	No	BUY	30	60¢	$18	0x056e05…
08-05 15:38:03	will joao felix attend cristiano ronaldos wedding 20260803204947260	No	SELL	13	57¢	$8	0xc4f6ad…
08-05 12:58:57	will joao felix attend cristiano ronaldos wedding 20260803204947260	No	SELL	2	57¢	$1	0x4e487d…
08-05 12:16:54	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 7 2026 20260727171523690	No	BUY	10	56¢	$6	0x498df5…
08-05 12:13:15	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 7 2026 20260727171523690	No	BUY	20	56¢	$11	0xcf7790…
08-05 09:04:57	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 7 2026 20260727171523690	Yes	SELL	19	45¢	$8	0x1d94bd…
08-05 08:46:09	will lionel messi attend cristiano ronaldos wedding 20260803185630254	Yes	BUY	30	1¢	$0	0xfc5110…
08-05 08:40:15	will joao felix attend cristiano ronaldos wedding 20260803204947260	No	BUY	30	55¢	$16	0x3690ca…
08-05 08:38:54	will piers morgan attend cristiano ronaldos wedding 20260803185630255	No	BUY	20	69¢	$14	0x599714…
08-05 08:38:35	will marcelo attend cristiano ronaldos wedding 20260803185630259	No	BUY	10	39¢	$4	0x5ba707…