Realized P&L
+$86
Unrealized P&L
+$22
Hit rate
38.8%
Resolved
12
Trades
4,289
lifetime
Volume
$210.6K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$49
Open exposure
$5.15K
16 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 06-23 18:07
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 7 days
Categories
Politics
49% 100% +$150
Other
44% 33% +$0
Sports
4% 0% $-30
Crypto
2% 0% $-35
Tech
0%
Pop-Culture
0%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
75 active days in 12wk • peak 73 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30? No -778 $-750 100¢ $-778 $-28 06-11 20:11
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No -784 $-694 86¢ $-678 +$15 06-14 22:03
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026? No -678 $-584 99¢ $-674 $-89 06-11 20:12
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30? No +605 $583 100¢ $603 +$20 06-21 10:13
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? No -500 $-450 90¢ $-452 $-2 06-15 12:36
Iran leadership change by June 30? No +426 $435 100¢ $425 $-10 06-23 17:48
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by June 30? No +423 $409 100¢ $422 +$13 06-22 16:10
Israel withdraws from Lebanon by June 30, 2026? No +322 $316 100¢ $322 +$6 06-21 10:08
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by June 30? No -200 $-194 100¢ $-200 $-5 06-08 15:43
Tamas Sulyok out as President of Hungary by June 30? No +200 $184 99¢ $199 +$15 06-21 10:28
Iran leadership change by December 31? No -200 $-144 84¢ $-169 $-25 05-31 06:53
Will Valve add Cache to the Map Pool by June 30, 2026? No -100 $-112 100¢ $-100 +$12 06-22 20:03
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026? No +100 $55 80¢ $80 +$25 05-30 19:49
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? No -49 $-37 99¢ $-49 $-12 06-11 20:13
Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? Yes -200 $-9 $-0 +$8 06-15 22:23
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? Yes -88 $-81 $-0 +$80 06-14 22:01