Realized P&L
+$103
Unrealized P&L
+$2.05K
Hit rate
86.6%
Resolved
1,148
Trades
7,161
lifetime
Volume
$549.9K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$77
Open exposure
$13.4K
30 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 10-27 09:36
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 214 days
Categories
Other
47% 80% +$3,349
Politics
45% 72% -$3,799
Crypto
5% 64% +$148
Sports
2% 66% +$435
Tech
1% 76% -$19
Pop-Culture
0% 33% -$11
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
84 active days in 12wk • peak 81 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026? No +2,100 $1,413 96¢ $2.0K +$603 10-26 20:44
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting? Yes +2,040 $1,907 92¢ $1.9K -$30 10-26 20:03
Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? No +1,524 $1,437 92¢ $1.4K -$43 10-26 11:53
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? Yes +1,476 $1,350 92¢ $1.4K +$1 10-26 11:53
Russia-Ukraine peace talks by October 31, 2026? No +893 $575 97¢ $868 +$293 10-21 21:23
Will the total domestic gross for Resident Evil be between 150m and 160m by October 31? Yes +646 $612 97¢ $625 +$13 10-19 14:50
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026? Yes +543 $435 86¢ $466 +$31 09-16 21:13
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House Yes +600 $392 66¢ $393 +$0 10-06 14:28
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? No -390 -$429 94¢ $-365 +$64 10-18 08:52
Will HYPE flip SOL by December 31? No +328 $111 98¢ $323 +$213 10-24 09:56
us announces end of iranian blockade by december 31 2026 20260727171803489 No +500 -$300 63¢ $317 +$617 10-19 12:32
US imports Russian diesel by October 31? No +280 $260 96¢ $267 +$8 10-27 09:36
Will the total domestic gross for Resident Evil be between 160m and 170m by October 31? No +241 $220 98¢ $236 +$16 10-18 13:12
US announces end of Iranian blockade by March 31, 2027? Yes +380 $297 60¢ $230 -$68 10-19 12:30
US x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31? No +313 $216 70¢ $221 +$4 10-19 16:19
Iran leadership change by November 30? No +233 $211 92¢ $213 +$2 10-27 06:20
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31? Yes +224 $172 92¢ $207 +$36 10-19 16:05
Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026? Yes +300 $195 66¢ $200 +$4 10-26 09:05
Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026? No +300 $196 66¢ $199 +$4 10-21 23:27
US strike on Cuba by December 31? No +200 $169 92¢ $183 +$14 10-02 03:04
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? No +250 $163 72¢ $181 +$18 10-27 09:12
Iran leadership change by December 31? No -200 -$190 86¢ $-172 +$18 08-19 00:32
iran charges hormuz fees by december 31 20260706203029175 No +196 $110 88¢ $172 +$62 09-06 00:49
china x philippines military clash before 2027 20260723214807932 No +200 $140 82¢ $163 +$23 08-21 15:38
Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before December 31, 2026? No +150 $137 94¢ $140 +$3 10-12 09:18
Will Trump's approval rating hit 35% in 2026? No +200 $134 68¢ $137 +$2 08-17 21:21
Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? Yes +225 $108 54¢ $122 +$14 10-21 23:29
Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026? No +136 $102 88¢ $120 +$18 09-22 00:34
iran charges hormuz fees by october 31 No +119 $4 96¢ $115 +$111 10-16 01:08
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31? No +150 $119 74¢ $112 -$7 10-19 12:19