Realized P&L (90d)
+$514
Unrealized P&L
+$2.16K
Hit rate
91.2%
Resolved (90d)
215
Trades (90d)
2,303
7,070 lifetime
Volume (90d)
$289.9K
$547.5K lifetime
Avg / trade
$77
Open exposure
$17.7K
30 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 10-27 21:17
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 214 days
Categories
Other
48% 80% +$3,349
Politics
45% 72% -$3,799
Crypto
4% 64% +$148
Sports
2% 66% +$435
Tech
1% 76% -$19
Pop-Culture
0% 33% -$11
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
83 active days in 12wk • peak 81 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will the total domestic gross for Resident Evil be between 150m and 160m by October 31? Yes +3,646 $3,578 98¢ $3.6K +$11 10-27 20:52
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting? Yes +3,363 $3,164 96¢ $3.2K +$65 10-27 20:53
us announces end of iranian blockade by october 31 2026 20260727171711632 No +2,100 $1,413 97¢ $2.0K +$624 10-26 20:44
Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? No +1,524 $1,437 92¢ $1.4K -$43 10-26 11:53
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? Yes +1,476 $1,350 92¢ $1.4K +$1 10-26 11:53
russia ukraine peace talks by october 31 2026 No +893 $575 97¢ $866 +$291 10-21 21:23
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026? Yes +543 $435 86¢ $466 +$31 09-16 21:13
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House Yes +600 $392 66¢ $393 +$0 10-06 14:28
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? No -390 -$429 94¢ $-365 +$64 10-18 08:52
us announces end of iranian blockade by december 31 2026 20260727171803489 No +500 -$300 65¢ $324 +$623 10-19 12:32
Will HYPE flip SOL by December 31? No +328 $111 96¢ $317 +$206 10-24 09:56
US imports Russian diesel by October 31? No +280 $260 98¢ $275 +$15 10-27 09:36
Will Avigdor Lieberman be the next Prime Minister of Israel? No +273 $267 97¢ $266 -$1 10-27 10:22
US x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31? No +313 $216 77¢ $241 +$25 10-19 16:19
Will the total domestic gross for Resident Evil be between 160m and 170m by October 31? No +241 $220 99¢ $238 +$19 10-18 13:12
Iran leadership change by November 30? No +233 $211 92¢ $213 +$2 10-27 06:20
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31? Yes +224 $172 94¢ $212 +$40 10-19 16:05
Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026? Yes +300 $195 68¢ $202 +$8 10-26 09:05
Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026? No +300 $196 68¢ $202 +$7 10-21 23:27
US strike on Cuba by December 31? No +200 $169 90¢ $179 +$10 10-02 03:04
US announces end of Iranian blockade by March 31, 2027? Yes +300 $249 60¢ $178 -$71 10-27 10:57
iran charges hormuz fees by december 31 20260706203029175 No +196 $110 88¢ $172 +$62 09-06 00:49
china x philippines military clash before 2027 20260723214807932 No +200 $140 82¢ $163 +$23 08-21 15:38
Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before December 31, 2026? No +150 $137 96¢ $143 +$6 10-12 09:18
Will Trump's approval rating hit 35% in 2026? No +200 $134 69¢ $138 +$3 08-17 21:21
Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? Yes +225 $108 56¢ $125 +$17 10-21 23:29
Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026? No +136 $102 90¢ $121 +$19 09-22 00:34
iran charges hormuz fees by october 31 No +119 $4 96¢ $115 +$111 10-16 01:08
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by November 30? No +120 $123 94¢ $113 -$10 10-27 10:56
Will OpenAI announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2026? No +129 $108 82¢ $105 -$3 10-10 19:49