Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$409

Unrealized P&L

-$14

Hit rate

92.8%

Resolved

119

Trades

231

lifetime

Volume

$10.5K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$45

Open exposure

$226

7 positions

First seen

2026-02-28

last 10-22 13:29

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 64 days

Categories

Crypto

65% 70% +$223

Other

15% 73% +$25

Politics

13% 73% +$85

Sports

5% 58% +$106

Tech

1% 50% -$28

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

24 active days in 12wk • peak 20 trades/day

Open positions (7) Resolved markets (27) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026?	No	+77	$55	78¢	$60	+$5	09-12 18:25
mojtaba khamenei seen in public by december 31	No	+60	$41	88¢	$53	+$12	08-02 19:11
Iran leadership change by December 31?	No	+40	$34	86¢	$35	+$1	09-01 17:18
Will Trump's approval rating hit 35% in 2026?	No	+40	$26	74¢	$29	+$4	08-02 19:05
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	+30	$25	82¢	$24	-$1	09-01 17:21
US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026?	Yes	+58	$40	40¢	$23	-$17	09-12 18:23
will hamas agree to disarm by december 31	Yes	+30	$19	6¢	$2	-$17	08-02 19:27

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-24 15:05 UTC	3	$1.0K	511	511	+0	Down	+$5	04-24 15:09
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET	11	$715	722	0	+722	Up	+$7	05-13 13:09
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET	4	$712	726	0	+726	Up	+$14	05-13 13:03
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET	2	$670	677	0	+677	Down	+$7	05-07 11:29
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-24 15:10 UTC	5	$510	515	0	+515	Up	+$5	04-24 15:14
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-24 14:30 UTC	4	$500	505	0	+505	Up	+$5	04-24 14:34
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-24 14:55 UTC	1	$500	505	0	+505	Up	+$5	04-24 14:59
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-24 15:20 UTC	5	$351	354	0	+354	Up	+$2	04-24 15:24
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-24 14:05 UTC	1	$347	355	0	+355	Up	+$8	04-24 14:09
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-24 14:00 UTC	1	$333	336	0	+336	Down	+$3	04-24 14:04
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-24 13:45 UTC	1	$319	322	0	+322	Down	+$3	04-24 13:49
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-24 13:50 UTC	2	$319	322	0	+322	Down	+$3	04-24 13:54
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-24 13:55 UTC	3	$319	322	0	+322	Up	+$3	04-24 13:59
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $140 in April?	3	$292	150	150	+0	No	+$2	04-24 14:26
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30?	3	$226	120	120	+0	No	+$4	04-24 13:47
will france uk or germany strike iran by march 31 929	2	$128	161	0	+161	No	+$33	03-06 09:26
us iran final nuclear deal by december 31 2026 191	2	$126	80	80	+0	open	—	08-20 17:19
Iran leadership change by April 30?	3	$121	74	74	+0	No	+$19	04-24 13:47
will crude oil cl hit low 75 by end of march 644 777 281 682 546 253	1	$103	106	0	+106	No	+$3	03-27 11:14
kharg island no longer under iranian control by march 31	1	$80	85	0	+85	No	+$5	03-25 10:58
Buccaneers vs. Cowboys	2	$80	75	75	+0	Buccaneers	+$50	10-09 02:40
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET	1	$77	238	0	+238	Down	+$161	04-27 22:34
will trump meet with delcy rodrguez by march 31 446	4	$70	44	44	+0	No	+$6	03-16 13:15
US strike on Cuba by December 31?	3	$70	40	40	+0	open	—	10-19 18:25
strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by september 30 20260702154339440	2	$69	40	40	+0	No	+$7	08-22 15:08
Will GPT-5.5 be released on April 21, 2026?	1	$58	60	0	+60	No	+$2	04-20 13:50
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?	2	$58	40	40	+0	open	—	09-15 12:56
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	2	$57	38	38	+0	No	-$3	04-17 09:58
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 23, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET	4	$57	36	36	+0	Down	-$3	08-23 07:23
strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	2	$57	30	30	+0	No	+$3	08-20 11:13

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-22 13:29:56	Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	SELL	62	17¢	$11	0x631977…
10-22 13:29:17	Packers vs. Lions	Lions	BUY	16	63¢	$10	0x7e4888…
10-22 13:28:14	49ers vs. Falcons	49ers	BUY	18	59¢	$11	0xba5e38…
10-22 13:26:48	Dolphins vs. Jets	Jets	BUY	15	67¢	$10	0x430793…
10-22 13:26:18	Browns vs. Titans	Browns	BUY	20	55¢	$11	0xb6d143…
10-22 13:24:44	Patriots vs. Bears	Patriots	BUY	25	41¢	$10	0x9984af…
10-19 18:28:15	Will Donald Trump visit Germany in 2026?	No	SELL	9	85¢	$8	0xa8ccb9…
10-19 18:27:56	Will Donald Trump visit Germany in 2026?	No	SELL	21	86¢	$18	0x119a9e…
10-19 18:27:02	Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by October 31?	No	SELL	20	97¢	$19	0xcc8f6b…
10-19 18:25:57	US strike on Cuba by December 31?	No	SELL	40	90¢	$36	0x432730…
10-17 11:11:27	Chargers vs. Chiefs	Chargers	BUY	50	23¢	$12	0xe56e0d…
10-17 11:10:33	Cardinals vs. Rams	Cardinals	BUY	80	13¢	$10	0xb5dc9f…
10-17 11:08:38	Jets vs. Patriots	Jets	BUY	40	25¢	$10	0x2d1a89…
10-17 11:07:30	Ravens vs. Browns	Browns	BUY	30	39¢	$12	0x87aac3…
10-17 11:04:50	Panthers vs. Eagles	Panthers	BUY	17	62¢	$11	0x1ceeca…
10-17 11:03:41	Texans vs. Jaguars	Jaguars	BUY	20	57¢	$11	0x939679…
10-09 02:51:44	Raiders vs. Patriots	Raiders	BUY	45	38¢	$17	0xa9579e…
10-09 02:40:11	Buccaneers vs. Cowboys	Buccaneers	SELL	75	86¢	$64	0xf8e525…
10-08 06:21:37	Vikings vs. Saints	Vikings	BUY	20	55¢	$11	0xbab528…
10-07 12:33:17	Buccaneers vs. Cowboys	Buccaneers	BUY	75	20¢	$15	0xcf08b7…
10-04 16:46:23	Jets vs. Bears	Bears	BUY	3	62¢	$2	0x15f000…
10-04 16:46:14	Jets vs. Bears	Bears	BUY	3	62¢	$2	0x4588b6…
10-04 14:23:11	Colts vs. Commanders	Commanders	BUY	30	42¢	$13	0xfadab7…
10-02 14:50:06	Jets vs. Bears	Bears	BUY	8	62¢	$5	0x39f5a4…
10-02 12:54:03	Jets vs. Bears	Bears	BUY	68	62¢	$42	0x445dec…
09-30 07:30:36	Steelers vs. Browns	Steelers	BUY	20	58¢	$12	0xe496eb…
09-30 07:27:12	Broncos vs. 49ers	49ers	BUY	20	58¢	$12	0x82057f…
09-30 07:26:03	Chiefs vs. Raiders	Chiefs	BUY	20	65¢	$13	0x807999…
09-25 14:31:21	Will Spain win on 2026-09-26?	Yes	BUY	20	43¢	$9	0x1b7978…
09-25 12:28:02	nfl sea was 2026 09 27	Seahawks	BUY	20	76¢	$15	0xf73059…
09-25 06:59:30	Rams vs. Broncos	Rams	BUY	30	55¢	$16	0x1b87bf…
09-25 06:58:59	Eagles vs. Bears	Eagles	BUY	20	68¢	$14	0xa85616…
09-25 06:45:23	Ravens vs. Cowboys	Ravens	BUY	20	63¢	$13	0x039618…
09-25 06:44:51	Vikings vs. Buccaneers	Vikings	BUY	30	53¢	$16	0x9f2b6b…
09-25 06:43:59	Texans vs. Colts	Texans	BUY	20	54¢	$11	0x477029…
09-24 17:06:09	US strike on Cuba by December 31?	No	BUY	12	85¢	$10	0x99995d…
09-24 16:44:35	US strike on Cuba by December 31?	No	BUY	28	85¢	$24	0x0f9053…
09-21 15:11:03	Patriots vs. Jaguars	Patriots	BUY	30	42¢	$13	0x75ede8…
09-15 13:21:51	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	60	87¢	$52	0x30abd1…
09-15 12:56:19	Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?	Yes	SELL	40	68¢	$27	0x8b8e58…
09-14 16:06:51	Steelers vs. Patriots	Patriots	BUY	14	69¢	$10	0xa2befb…
09-14 16:06:09	Seahawks vs. Cardinals	Seahawks	BUY	22	68¢	$15	0xb1b9bb…
09-14 16:05:06	Bengals vs. Texans	Texans	BUY	25	60¢	$15	0x119231…
09-14 16:04:57	Lions vs. Bills	Bills	BUY	15	65¢	$10	0x3b6fd8…
09-13 21:20:01	Broncos vs. Chiefs	Chiefs	BUY	25	57¢	$14	0xda71d6…
09-12 18:25:13	Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026?	No	BUY	42	71¢	$30	0x61e685…
09-12 18:23:52	US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	58	69¢	$40	0x1d8354…
09-12 17:43:15	Bills vs. Texans	Bills	BUY	19	53¢	$10	0x04d317…
09-01 17:27:09	Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?	Yes	BUY	40	77¢	$31	0x07e568…
09-01 17:26:28	Will GPT-6 be released by September 30, 2026?	No	BUY	48	55¢	$26	0x4d5aca…
09-01 17:23:07	Will GPT-6 be released by September 30, 2026?	No	BUY	7	55¢	$4	0x286267…
09-01 17:21:39	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	BUY	30	84¢	$25	0x93725a…
09-01 17:20:57	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by March 31, 2027?	Yes	BUY	90	56¢	$50	0x5ed02d…
09-01 17:18:27	Iran leadership change by December 31?	No	BUY	40	85¢	$34	0xb37f93…
08-30 15:10:48	Ravens vs. Colts	Ravens	BUY	16	64¢	$10	0xb63132…
08-30 15:08:46	Patriots vs. Seahawks	Seahawks	BUY	16	64¢	$10	0xeec03c…
08-28 06:06:37	Bengals vs. Eagles	Eagles	BUY	17	58¢	$10	0x7b10df…
08-28 06:06:28	Seahawks vs. Chiefs	Seahawks	BUY	20	51¢	$10	0x633e5b…
08-28 05:53:54	Commanders vs. Ravens	Ravens	BUY	17	60¢	$10	0x31664f…
08-28 04:40:58	Rams vs. Chargers	Rams	BUY	18	56¢	$10	0x940aab…
08-27 19:40:43	Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	62	16¢	$10	0x284a31…
08-27 16:06:28	Will the GTA 6 extended look be at least 30 minutes long?	No	SELL	21	99¢	$21	0x5c758c…
08-27 14:39:28	Steelers vs. Bills	Bills	BUY	17	60¢	$10	0xad8356…
08-23 10:36:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - August 23, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET	Down	BUY	9	57¢	$5	0x55619f…
08-23 10:35:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - August 23, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET	Up	BUY	8	61¢	$5	0x44afa7…
08-23 07:27:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - August 23, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET	Up	SELL	10	25¢	$2	0x9ea90f…
08-23 07:26:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - August 23, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET	Up	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0x687c02…
08-23 07:26:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - August 23, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET	Down	SELL	9	35¢	$3	0x300778…
08-23 07:25:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - August 23, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET	Down	BUY	9	55¢	$5	0x8f4a7c…
08-23 07:23:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - August 23, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET	Down	SELL	27	99¢	$27	0x68e3a2…
08-23 07:22:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - August 23, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET	Up	SELL	9	3¢	$0	0x116114…
08-23 07:22:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - August 23, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET	Down	BUY	27	93¢	$25	0xfc0cf6…
08-23 07:20:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - August 23, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET	Up	BUY	9	53¢	$5	0x9d16ac…
08-23 07:19:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - August 23, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET	Up	SELL	8	99¢	$8	0x0ea7b2…
08-23 07:15:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - August 23, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET	Down	SELL	12	33¢	$4	0x91e9a0…
08-23 07:15:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - August 23, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET	Up	BUY	8	64¢	$5	0x60f360…
08-23 07:15:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - August 23, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET	Down	BUY	12	40¢	$5	0x7ee55c…
08-23 07:13:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - August 23, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET	Up	SELL	10	99¢	$9	0x29c3db…
08-23 07:10:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - August 23, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET	Up	BUY	10	52¢	$5	0x0bb8c9…
08-23 07:05:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - August 23, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET	Up	BUY	500	1¢	$5	0x1fae06…
08-23 07:01:27	Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by June 30, 2027?	No	BUY	20	89¢	$18	0x3437fc…
08-23 06:45:01	Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by October 31?	No	BUY	20	89¢	$18	0x7fbd15…
08-23 06:39:21	Will the GTA 6 extended look be at least 30 minutes long?	No	BUY	21	71¢	$15	0x81aa15…
08-22 15:14:28	Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026?	No	BUY	35	72¢	$25	0xa83795…
08-22 15:10:19	Will Bayern Munich win on 2026-08-22?	Yes	BUY	17	60¢	$10	0x290e68…
08-22 15:08:06	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by september 30 20260702154339440	No	SELL	40	95¢	$38	0x130e22…
08-20 17:24:03	us iran final nuclear deal by september 30 2026	No	SELL	20	98¢	$20	0x4f436b…
08-20 17:19:25	us iran final nuclear deal by december 31 2026 191	No	SELL	80	91¢	$73	0x27c598…
08-20 11:14:15	iran leadership change by september 30 20260629144005163 739 824	No	SELL	30	95¢	$28	0xc970d0…
08-20 11:13:48	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	No	SELL	30	100¢	$30	0x224d7f…
08-07 01:51:18	iran leadership change by september 30 20260629144005163 739	No	BUY	30	93¢	$28	0xf05897…
08-05 23:18:48	Will Donald Trump visit Germany in 2026?	No	BUY	20	65¢	$13	0x056eb8…
08-02 23:09:33	Will Donald Trump visit Germany in 2026?	No	BUY	5	65¢	$3	0x67871d…
08-02 19:38:26	nothing ever happens august 20260731190455728	Something	BUY	70	15¢	$10	0xb104df…
08-02 19:34:48	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-02 19:30 UTC	Down	SELL	10	20¢	$2	0x9bc8cb…
08-02 19:31:39	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-02 19:30 UTC	Down	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0x94e778…
08-02 19:27:35	will hamas agree to disarm by december 31	Yes	BUY	30	64¢	$19	0xb73e74…
08-02 19:25:20	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	No	BUY	30	90¢	$27	0xe22ac1…
08-02 19:13:53	us iran final nuclear deal by september 30 2026	No	BUY	20	88¢	$18	0xe99db3…
08-02 19:12:08	us iran 60 day negotiation period extended 20260624044855448	Yes	BUY	30	59¢	$18	0xbc1425…