Substantial-Cord — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$8

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

60.0%

Resolved

Trades

2,563

lifetime

Volume

$7.14K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-01

last 08-13 23:08

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 9 days

Categories

Politics

67% 56% $-10

Other

31% 67% +$2

Sports

1% — —

Crypto

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

81 active days in 12wk • peak 36 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (1) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will OpenSea launch a token by March 31, 2026?	16	$196	128	158	-30	open	—	03-18 17:53
us strikes iran by january 14 2026 913	12	$187	121	121	+0	open	—	01-15 05:09
us strikes iran by january 15 2026 652 612	21	$143	135	150	-15	open	—	01-14 20:02
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	43	$134	137	145	-8	open	—	07-02 07:52
will mara corina machado enter venezuela by january 31 859 245	11	$129	76	68	+8	open	—	01-31 08:34
us x iran diplomatic meeting by april 21 2026	62	$117	127	127	+0	open	—	04-21 15:03
will trump shake hands with volodymyr zelenskyy at the world economic forum	13	$102	70	55	+15	open	—	01-22 13:57
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?	24	$100	77	77	+0	open	—	03-05 15:12
russia x ukraine ceasefire by march 31 2026	6	$91	48	48	+0	open	—	02-26 14:35
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by April 30, 2026?	31	$83	70	67	+2	open	—	04-27 20:57
iran closes its airspace by june 15	18	$79	56	56	+0	open	—	06-07 19:52
will russia capture all of myrnohrad by february 28	7	$72	54	54	+0	open	—	02-05 07:35
us x iran effective ceasfire by august 31 20260715194822047	25	$70	63	63	+0	open	—	08-04 09:23
us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	11	$69	52	52	+0	open	—	03-26 12:26
Will 60 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by April 30?	17	$65	53	53	+0	open	—	04-21 08:56
will russia capture all of pokrovsk by february 28	11	$62	49	59	-10	open	—	02-26 09:32
iran leadership change by march 31	9	$59	40	45	-5	open	—	03-12 21:02
will trump talk to vladimir putin in january	16	$54	258	68	+190	open	—	02-03 04:46
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?	26	$54	55	55	+0	open	—	06-19 20:30
will russia capture all of pokrovsk by march 31	5	$51	27	37	-10	open	—	02-26 17:52
us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by june 30 848 925 757 129 337	18	$50	48	48	+0	open	—	06-13 10:27
will russia capture all of huliaipole by march 31	8	$49	36	36	+0	open	—	03-01 00:29
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?	6	$46	45	70	-25	Yes	$-16	03-21 10:49
Iran closes its airspace by June 30?	14	$45	47	47	+0	open	—	06-07 20:04
Kadyrov out as Head of the Chechen Republic by March 31, 2026?	5	$44	25	25	+0	open	—	02-03 19:07
will iran strike israel on march 6	10	$44	48	49	-1	open	—	03-09 16:26
trump orders federal review of ai model releases by june 30	23	$43	42	42	+0	open	—	06-04 17:33
will polymarket mindshare hit 80 277 757 727	6	$42	30	30	+0	open	—	01-25 15:16
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 31, 2026?	12	$39	35	35	+0	open	—	05-24 09:48
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 31?	14	$39	33	33	+0	open	—	05-29 15:47

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
08-13 23:08:18	will trump say hell 7 times during remarks in new york 20260811183234682	No	BUY	2	45¢	$1	0x6c5e18…
08-13 22:47:01	will trump say hell 7 times during remarks in new york 20260811183234682	No	BUY	2	45¢	$1	0xb39fb3…
08-13 17:39:21	will trump say transgender during remarks in new york 20260811183234693	Yes	SELL	5	58¢	$3	0xdadb79…
08-13 10:58:34	will russia capture mala tokmachka by september 30 2026	Yes	BUY	0	15¢	$0	0xa878c7…
08-13 10:37:40	will venezuela recognize israel by december 31	Yes	BUY	1	83¢	$1	0x4f048c…
08-13 10:11:07	will trumps remarks not air 20260811183234699	Yes	SELL	10	2¢	$0	0x326d28…
08-13 07:12:03	will trump say hell 7 times during remarks in new york 20260811183234682	No	BUY	2	45¢	$1	0xe16e4b…
08-13 06:01:24	will trump say transgender during remarks in new york 20260811183234693	Yes	BUY	5	56¢	$3	0xb7db29…
08-13 00:49:55	will russia capture mala tokmachka by september 30 2026	Yes	BUY	5	15¢	$1	0x300485…
08-12 21:38:22	us iran hormuz agreement by august 31 20260804222025507 868 993	Yes	SELL	5	54¢	$3	0xdde0fe…
08-12 21:23:40	will donald trump publicly insult someone on august 11 2026 20260724221849642	Yes	BUY	10	1¢	$0	0xb8c00c…
08-12 14:45:09	Will Russia capture Lyman by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	4	32¢	$1	0x69f103…
08-12 14:44:04	Will Russia capture Lyman by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	1	32¢	$0	0xeb49c8…
08-12 08:19:00	will trumps remarks not air 20260811183234699	Yes	BUY	19	1¢	$0	0xed1500…
08-12 02:59:51	Will Russia capture Lyman by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	32¢	$2	0x0ce3ca…
08-11 21:24:58	us iran hormuz agreement by august 31 20260804222025507 868 993	Yes	BUY	5	62¢	$3	0x596283…
08-11 19:29:03	will russia target kyiv by august 10 2026 20260809090428975	No	SELL	5	5¢	$0	0x65def0…
08-11 18:30:03	will russia target kyiv by august 10 2026 20260809090428975	No	BUY	5	11¢	$1	0x1297df…
08-11 18:11:58	us iran hormuz agreement by august 31 20260804222025507 868 993	Yes	SELL	5	68¢	$3	0xb7a159…
08-11 12:31:52	us announces end of iranian blockade by september 30 2026 20260727171615364 722 649 646 561 213 644	Yes	SELL	6	62¢	$3	0x2b7d7e…
08-11 06:50:30	moscow air traffic suspended by august 31 20260720155944305	No	SELL	3	59¢	$2	0x0cee92…
08-11 05:57:12	moscow air traffic suspended by august 31 20260720155944305	No	SELL	2	59¢	$1	0x65b426…
08-10 23:19:36	moscow air traffic suspended by august 31 20260720155944305	No	BUY	5	55¢	$3	0x0b8aa6…
08-10 16:51:19	will trump say radical left during tele rally 20260809153916672	Yes	SELL	5	32¢	$2	0xcb9f0f…
08-10 15:04:00	will trump say radical left during tele rally 20260809153916672	Yes	BUY	5	35¢	$2	0xb3fdf1…
08-10 06:56:24	us iran hormuz agreement by august 31 20260804222025507	Yes	BUY	5	62¢	$3	0xb6d663…
08-09 21:14:16	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	Yes	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0x1446ce…
08-09 20:32:16	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	Yes	SELL	5	50¢	$2	0x720a9d…
08-09 20:31:27	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 13 2026	No	SELL	4	93¢	$4	0xaad2e0…
08-08 13:40:37	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 15 2026 20260713152715083 347 987 697 628 574 676	No	SELL	5	52¢	$3	0x2add4d…
08-08 12:48:16	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 15 2026 20260713152715083 347 987 697 628 574 676	No	BUY	5	51¢	$3	0x73b7d1…
08-08 10:34:55	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 15 2026 20260713152715083 347 987 697 628 574 676	No	SELL	5	44¢	$2	0xdb541c…
08-08 09:35:36	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 13 2026	No	BUY	4	50¢	$2	0xd1ff8c…
08-08 09:18:46	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 15 2026 20260713152715083 347 987 697 628 574 676	No	BUY	5	43¢	$2	0xd7e390…
08-07 19:17:21	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 15 2026 20260713152715083 347 987 697 628 574 676	No	SELL	5	39¢	$2	0x4aaebf…
08-07 19:13:31	will trump say trump during friday roundtable 20260805211427290	Yes	SELL	1	50¢	$1	0xe57ade…
08-07 15:49:42	will trump say trump during friday roundtable 20260805211427290	Yes	SELL	2	45¢	$1	0xae2398…
08-07 14:58:52	will trumps remarks not air 20260805211427296	Yes	SELL	8	3¢	$0	0xe1c7f8…
08-07 12:43:36	will trump say trump during friday roundtable 20260805211427290	Yes	SELL	2	59¢	$1	0x868df4…
08-07 11:50:37	will trump say trump during friday roundtable 20260805211427290	Yes	SELL	6	47¢	$3	0x5c6a6f…
08-07 05:45:12	will russia capture svitle by october 31 20260805161409631	Yes	SELL	6	35¢	$2	0x84f9c3…
08-07 03:38:28	will trumps remarks not air 20260805211427296	Yes	BUY	5	2¢	$0	0x5b6d7f…
08-07 03:37:52	will trumps remarks not air 20260805211427296	Yes	BUY	7	5¢	$0	0x11ee9e…
08-06 22:43:36	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 15 2026 20260713152715083 347	No	BUY	5	45¢	$2	0x80914e…
08-06 20:40:38	untitled market 1 20260803235754057	Yes	SELL	6	41¢	$2	0x573f87…
08-06 18:29:26	will russia capture svitle by october 31 20260805161409631	Yes	BUY	6	49¢	$3	0xc9c90b…
08-06 13:54:06	untitled market 1 20260803235754057	Yes	BUY	6	46¢	$3	0xfb548b…
08-06 10:50:59	will trump say trump during friday roundtable 20260805211427290	Yes	BUY	3	37¢	$1	0xaa9c85…
08-06 10:46:57	will trump say trump during friday roundtable 20260805211427290	Yes	BUY	2	37¢	$1	0x6952da…
08-06 08:07:23	will trump say radical left during friday roundtable 20260805211427294	Yes	SELL	5	71¢	$4	0x656d95…
08-06 04:49:27	will trump say trump during friday roundtable 20260805211427290	Yes	BUY	3	39¢	$1	0x3a9fdb…
08-06 04:41:00	will trump say radical left during friday roundtable 20260805211427294	Yes	BUY	5	35¢	$2	0x6f5b25…
08-06 04:33:54	will trump say trump during friday roundtable 20260805211427290	Yes	BUY	6	39¢	$2	0x607fdd…
08-05 17:37:00	us x iran diplomatic meeting by august 31 2026 2	Yes	SELL	5	51¢	$3	0x4a3995…
08-05 17:02:44	us x iran diplomatic meeting by august 31 2026 2	Yes	BUY	5	50¢	$3	0x6cbbe0…
08-05 15:04:51	will israeli forces withdraw from beyond the litani river by december 31	Yes	SELL	5	22¢	$1	0x42ec74…
08-05 14:37:24	will trump say beautiful 15 times during remarks in las vegas 20260803153421448	Yes	SELL	5	42¢	$2	0x547839…
08-05 05:41:20	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	Yes	SELL	6	62¢	$4	0x9330b0…
08-05 05:09:57	will 40 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by august 31 2026 20260728213741053	Yes	SELL	7	40¢	$3	0xfc50ea…
08-05 02:45:18	will israeli forces withdraw from beyond the litani river by december 31	Yes	BUY	5	21¢	$1	0x2a42cc…
08-04 21:18:39	will 40 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by august 31 2026 20260728213741053	Yes	BUY	7	38¢	$3	0x6ad85d…
08-04 19:27:00	will trump say beautiful 15 times during remarks in las vegas 20260803153421448	Yes	BUY	6	39¢	$2	0xf14ee3…
08-04 17:31:48	will hamas agree to disarm by december 31	Yes	SELL	6	55¢	$3	0xd69745…
08-04 16:47:17	iran full airspace closure by august 15	Yes	SELL	7	8¢	$1	0xa19155…
08-04 16:09:56	will hamas agree to disarm by december 31	Yes	BUY	6	53¢	$3	0x716596…
08-04 15:46:26	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	Yes	BUY	5	64¢	$3	0x43db7a…
08-04 15:37:50	iran full airspace closure by august 15	Yes	BUY	7	8¢	$1	0x8c16f8…
08-04 14:32:38	iran full airspace closure by august 15	Yes	SELL	5	7¢	$0	0xdd581a…
08-04 13:42:51	iran full airspace closure by august 15	Yes	BUY	5	11¢	$1	0x90f504…
08-04 13:14:24	will trumps remarks not air 20260803153421461	Yes	BUY	13	1¢	$0	0xb432e3…
08-04 12:54:50	us x iran diplomatic meeting by august 31 2026 2	Yes	SELL	6	49¢	$3	0x7e27c6…
08-04 12:20:24	us x iran diplomatic meeting by august 31 2026 2	Yes	BUY	6	46¢	$3	0x44ac2b…
08-04 11:50:12	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	Yes	SELL	5	59¢	$3	0x275ea3…
08-04 10:26:03	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	No	SELL	5	45¢	$2	0x2d6833…
08-04 10:12:21	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	No	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0x939a0e…
08-04 10:02:24	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	Yes	BUY	5	58¢	$3	0x945d57…
08-04 09:23:02	us x iran effective ceasfire by august 31 20260715194822047	Yes	SELL	5	73¢	$4	0x3a8a3b…
08-04 09:10:50	us x iran diplomatic meeting by august 31 2026 2	Yes	SELL	5	40¢	$2	0xc4ffa2…
08-03 18:26:56	us x iran diplomatic meeting by august 31 2026 2	Yes	BUY	5	42¢	$2	0x2dd408…
08-02 14:28:26	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 31 2026 20260713152715084 642	Yes	SELL	5	53¢	$3	0x3d7c52…
08-02 13:08:27	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 31 2026 20260713152715084 642	Yes	BUY	5	51¢	$3	0x67ebc4…
08-02 13:05:44	will trump speak to emmanuel macron in july 20260626154217431	Yes	SELL	5	38¢	$2	0x3db991…
08-02 12:43:47	will trump speak to emmanuel macron in july 20260626154217431	Yes	BUY	5	30¢	$2	0xcdca07…
08-02 12:03:30	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 31 2026 20260713152715084 642	Yes	SELL	5	56¢	$3	0x7d508a…
08-02 08:01:27	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 31 2026 20260713152715084 642	Yes	BUY	5	55¢	$3	0x67458f…
08-02 07:41:48	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 31 2026 20260713152715084 642	Yes	SELL	5	54¢	$3	0xcb592d…
08-02 07:31:39	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 31 2026 20260713152715084 642	Yes	BUY	5	53¢	$3	0xa26074…
08-02 07:09:30	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	Yes	BUY	2	58¢	$1	0xb6311d…
08-02 07:03:59	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	Yes	BUY	5	58¢	$3	0x7b5942…
08-01 19:37:44	us x iran effective ceasfire by august 31 20260715194822047	Yes	SELL	5	48¢	$2	0xa949cf…
08-01 18:45:51	will donald trump publicly insult tucker carlson by july 31 2026 20260626210612710	Yes	SELL	3	65¢	$2	0x11c570…
08-01 13:21:23	will donald trump publicly insult tucker carlson by july 31 2026 20260626210612710	Yes	SELL	5	47¢	$2	0x1d763b…
08-01 12:42:23	will donald trump publicly insult tucker carlson by july 31 2026 20260626210612710	Yes	BUY	3	34¢	$1	0xec06cd…
08-01 08:17:21	will donald trump publicly insult tucker carlson by july 31 2026 20260626210612710	Yes	BUY	5	10¢	$0	0x47e8d9…
07-31 14:10:11	us x iran effective ceasfire by august 31 20260715194822047	Yes	SELL	6	50¢	$3	0x13610d…
07-31 09:03:30	us x iran effective ceasfire by august 31 20260715194822047	Yes	BUY	2	57¢	$1	0xf8089c…
07-31 09:02:41	us x iran effective ceasfire by august 31 20260715194822047	Yes	BUY	2	57¢	$1	0x7378c2…
07-31 07:33:53	us x iran effective ceasfire by august 31 20260715194822047	Yes	BUY	5	57¢	$3	0xd88150…
07-31 04:54:08	will donald trump publicly insult vladimir putin by july 31 2026 20260626210612715	No	SELL	7	97¢	$6	0xb42bc8…
07-30 23:10:54	will trumps remarks not air 20260727172357456	Yes	SELL	5	5¢	$0	0xcf952f…