Substantial-Cord — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$8

Unrealized P&L

+$3

Hit rate

60.0%

Resolved

Trades

2,261

lifetime

Volume

$6.58K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

$14

2 positions

First seen

2026-01-01

last 07-02 07:52

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 9 days

Categories

Politics

68% 56% $-10

Other

30% 67% +$2

Sports

1% — —

Crypto

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

84 active days in 12wk • peak 63 trades/day

Open positions (2) Resolved markets (1) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by September 30?	Yes		-17	$-14	69¢	$-12	+$3	06-17 07:43
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	Yes		-8	$-3	26¢	$-2	+$1	07-02 07:52

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will OpenSea launch a token by March 31, 2026?	16	$196	128	158	-30	open	—	03-18 17:53
us strikes iran by january 14 2026 913	12	$187	121	121	+0	open	—	01-15 05:09
us strikes iran by january 15 2026 652 612	21	$143	135	150	-15	open	—	01-14 20:02
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	43	$134	137	145	-8	open	—	07-02 07:52
will mara corina machado enter venezuela by january 31 859 245	11	$129	76	68	+8	open	—	01-31 08:34
us x iran diplomatic meeting by april 21 2026	62	$117	127	127	+0	open	—	04-21 15:03
will trump shake hands with volodymyr zelenskyy at the world economic forum	13	$102	70	55	+15	open	—	01-22 13:57
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?	24	$100	77	77	+0	open	—	03-05 15:12
russia x ukraine ceasefire by march 31 2026	6	$91	48	48	+0	open	—	02-26 14:35
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by April 30, 2026?	31	$83	70	67	+2	open	—	04-27 20:57
iran closes its airspace by june 15	18	$79	56	56	+0	open	—	06-07 19:52
will russia capture all of myrnohrad by february 28	7	$72	54	54	+0	open	—	02-05 07:35
us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	11	$69	52	52	+0	open	—	03-26 12:26
Will 60 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by April 30?	17	$65	53	53	+0	open	—	04-21 08:56
will russia capture all of pokrovsk by february 28	11	$62	49	59	-10	open	—	02-26 09:32
iran leadership change by march 31	9	$59	40	45	-5	open	—	03-12 21:02
will trump talk to vladimir putin in january	16	$54	258	68	+190	open	—	02-03 04:46
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?	26	$54	55	55	+0	open	—	06-19 20:30
will russia capture all of pokrovsk by march 31	5	$51	27	37	-10	open	—	02-26 17:52
us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by june 30 848 925 757 129 337	18	$50	48	48	+0	open	—	06-13 10:27
will russia capture all of huliaipole by march 31	8	$49	36	36	+0	open	—	03-01 00:29
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?	6	$46	45	70	-25	Yes	$-16	03-21 10:49
Iran closes its airspace by June 30?	14	$45	47	47	+0	open	—	06-07 20:04
Kadyrov out as Head of the Chechen Republic by March 31, 2026?	5	$44	25	25	+0	open	—	02-03 19:07
will iran strike israel on march 6	10	$44	48	49	-1	open	—	03-09 16:26
trump orders federal review of ai model releases by june 30	23	$43	42	42	+0	open	—	06-04 17:33
will polymarket mindshare hit 80 277 757 727	6	$42	30	30	+0	open	—	01-25 15:16
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 31, 2026?	12	$39	35	35	+0	open	—	05-24 09:48
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 31?	14	$39	33	33	+0	open	—	05-29 15:47
will donald trump announce that the united states blockade of the strait of hormuz has been lifted by april 23 2026	10	$37	37	37	+0	open	—	04-22 18:41

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-02 07:52:29	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	Yes	SELL	14	26¢	$4	0xe55442…
07-01 20:52:19	will donald trump publicly insult benjamin netanyahu by june 30 2026	Yes	BUY	2	54¢	$1	0xfdd4e5…
07-01 20:29:41	will donald trump publicly insult benjamin netanyahu by june 30 2026	Yes	SELL	7	52¢	$3	0x598442…
07-01 20:24:43	will donald trump publicly insult benjamin netanyahu by june 30 2026	Yes	BUY	5	54¢	$3	0x521c4a…
07-01 20:15:32	will donald trump publicly insult benjamin netanyahu by june 30 2026	Yes	BUY	2	58¢	$1	0xe7819e…
07-01 16:34:08	fifwc eng cdr 2026 07 01 total 2pt5	Under	SELL	6	35¢	$2	0x13d408…
07-01 13:44:55	fifwc eng cdr 2026 07 01 total 2pt5	Under	BUY	6	54¢	$3	0x67a75b…
07-01 13:21:19	iran charges hormuz fees by august 31 20260625175039062	Yes	BUY	5	41¢	$2	0x04250d…
07-01 12:26:35	iran charges hormuz fees by july 15 20260625175039061	Yes	SELL	15	5¢	$1	0xe4b579…
07-01 11:55:52	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	Yes	BUY	7	29¢	$2	0xd391e0…
07-01 09:45:17	will donald trump publicly insult benjamin netanyahu by june 30 2026	Yes	SELL	7	35¢	$3	0xd4fc30…
07-01 09:05:32	will donald trump publicly insult benjamin netanyahu by june 30 2026	Yes	BUY	5	39¢	$2	0x0161d4…
07-01 08:56:35	will donald trump publicly insult benjamin netanyahu by june 30 2026	Yes	BUY	2	42¢	$1	0x41f0c3…
07-01 01:21:59	iran charges hormuz fees by july 15 20260625175039061	Yes	BUY	15	7¢	$1	0x724405…
06-30 14:22:19	fifwc fra swe 2026 06 30 spread home 1pt5	France	SELL	5	54¢	$3	0x42bcf2…
06-30 13:00:34	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	Yes	BUY	7	36¢	$3	0x0b126e…
06-30 12:14:52	fifwc fra swe 2026 06 30 spread home 1pt5	France	BUY	7	54¢	$4	0x3fc98a…
06-30 10:05:53	Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026?	Yes	SELL	9	33¢	$3	0x84d2b8…
06-30 00:00:58	will the united states send warships through the strait of hormuz by june 30 2026	Yes	SELL	15	7¢	$1	0x0f19ab…
06-29 15:33:16	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	Yes	SELL	5	39¢	$2	0x688a72…
06-29 14:04:23	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	Yes	BUY	5	42¢	$2	0xfe4bc3…
06-29 12:45:53	will the united states send warships through the strait of hormuz by june 30 2026	Yes	BUY	15	7¢	$1	0x8816cd…
06-29 07:46:31	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	Yes	SELL	6	38¢	$2	0xd42355…
06-28 18:59:52	will the united states send warships through the strait of hormuz by june 30 2026	Yes	SELL	15	5¢	$1	0x4e04e0…
06-28 14:30:59	will the united states send warships through the strait of hormuz by june 30 2026	Yes	BUY	15	7¢	$1	0xeb44cf…
06-28 13:09:04	Israel and Lebanon normalize relations before 2027?	Yes	SELL	10	20¢	$2	0x4a7bdd…
06-28 13:07:40	Israel and Lebanon normalize relations before 2027?	Yes	BUY	5	21¢	$1	0xb0f748…
06-28 13:01:47	Israel and Lebanon normalize relations before 2027?	Yes	BUY	5	23¢	$1	0x2e9b06…
06-28 00:35:56	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	Yes	BUY	6	37¢	$2	0xfd4fcb…
06-27 17:54:55	fifwc jor arg 2026 06 27 goals lionel messi gte1	No	SELL	5	69¢	$4	0x586de7…
06-27 14:50:52	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	Yes	SELL	10	46¢	$5	0x1bf688…
06-27 14:40:37	will 60 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by june 30 2026	No	SELL	5	65¢	$3	0xe51ef2…
06-27 11:28:08	fifwc jor arg 2026 06 27 goals lionel messi gte1	No	BUY	5	69¢	$4	0xf83e43…
06-27 11:17:07	will 60 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by june 30 2026	No	BUY	5	63¢	$3	0xc6eb97…
06-27 11:08:17	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 15	Yes	SELL	5	26¢	$1	0x0f1f5c…
06-27 10:06:50	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 15	Yes	BUY	5	26¢	$1	0xa00a72…
06-27 01:17:41	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	Yes	BUY	10	46¢	$5	0x6f8f66…
06-26 18:43:41	israel x hezbollah permanent peace deal by july 31 2026	Yes	SELL	6	13¢	$1	0x3c5431…
06-26 13:26:00	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	Yes	SELL	14	55¢	$8	0xbcee64…
06-26 13:22:58	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 15	Yes	SELL	6	38¢	$2	0x04f2c9…
06-25 22:04:37	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 15	Yes	BUY	6	27¢	$2	0xac5847…
06-25 22:01:43	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	Yes	BUY	5	46¢	$2	0x901e8b…
06-25 15:19:20	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	Yes	SELL	10	59¢	$6	0x0957e0…
06-25 15:18:55	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 15	Yes	SELL	6	39¢	$2	0x25ea62…
06-25 12:03:20	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	Yes	SELL	8	10¢	$1	0x1a0618…
06-25 11:49:40	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	Yes	SELL	15	10¢	$1	0x92e434…
06-25 10:39:05	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 15	Yes	BUY	6	36¢	$2	0x334586…
06-25 10:20:08	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	Yes	BUY	23	7¢	$2	0x0d2503…
06-25 10:14:28	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	Yes	BUY	8	50¢	$4	0xe3e4e6…
06-25 06:34:28	Billionaire one-time wealth tax on California ballot?	No	BUY	3	39¢	$1	0x1c4c7f…
06-25 06:34:14	Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026?	Yes	BUY	4	25¢	$1	0x78030b…
06-25 00:42:49	will trump say maga during june 24 rally 20260616194255613	No	SELL	3	44¢	$1	0x4901d8…
06-25 00:00:49	will trump say maga during june 24 rally 20260616194255613	No	SELL	2	44¢	$1	0xb145a9…
06-24 20:18:34	Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	21¢	$1	0x3c2943…
06-24 15:54:08	will trumps remarks not air 20260616194255626	Yes	SELL	17	2¢	$0	0x678a2c…
06-24 14:58:29	Billionaire one-time wealth tax on California ballot?	No	BUY	4	28¢	$1	0x1e5758…
06-24 14:36:58	will trump say maga during june 24 rally 20260616194255613	No	BUY	5	29¢	$1	0x437376…
06-24 08:05:50	will trumps remarks not air 20260616194255626	Yes	BUY	20	2¢	$0	0x7bc935…
06-23 15:49:08	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	Yes	BUY	5	45¢	$2	0x2f6f79…
06-23 14:56:02	israel x hezbollah permanent peace deal by july 31 2026	Yes	SELL	10	13¢	$1	0x512f40…
06-23 14:17:59	israel x hezbollah permanent peace deal by july 31 2026	Yes	BUY	1	18¢	$0	0x23e059…
06-23 14:17:58	israel x hezbollah permanent peace deal by july 31 2026	Yes	BUY	6	18¢	$1	0xe85e34…
06-23 14:12:22	israel x hezbollah permanent peace deal by july 31 2026	Yes	BUY	9	19¢	$2	0xdab204…
06-23 13:30:55	will 40 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by june 30 2026	No	SELL	2	56¢	$1	0xb1b699…
06-23 10:34:38	will 40 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by june 30 2026	No	BUY	2	47¢	$1	0xa28d46…
06-22 18:39:46	israel x hezbollah permanent peace deal by july 31 2026	No	SELL	5	71¢	$4	0x08b512…
06-22 18:10:19	israel x hezbollah permanent peace deal by july 31 2026	No	BUY	5	69¢	$4	0xc491d8…
06-22 17:55:49	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	Yes	SELL	6	49¢	$3	0xa86cba…
06-22 16:56:56	israel x hezbollah permanent peace deal by july 31 2026	No	SELL	5	68¢	$3	0x5f1a1f…
06-22 16:53:49	israel x hezbollah permanent peace deal by july 31 2026	No	BUY	5	67¢	$3	0x04edc2…
06-22 12:52:55	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	Yes	BUY	5	46¢	$2	0x9f2036…
06-22 11:05:46	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	Yes	BUY	7	43¢	$3	0x681221…
06-22 07:17:31	will russia enter vasylivka by july 31 2026	Yes	SELL	6	44¢	$3	0xfc784c…
06-21 15:09:20	israel x hezbollah permanent peace deal by july 31 2026	Yes	SELL	11	27¢	$3	0x5441a1…
06-21 14:36:32	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	Yes	SELL	6	40¢	$2	0x78c72f…
06-21 14:33:49	will trump agree to iranian enrichment of uranium by june 30	Yes	SELL	20	5¢	$1	0x979e9c…
06-21 14:24:10	will trump agree to iranian enrichment of uranium by june 30	Yes	BUY	20	6¢	$1	0x9dcb63…
06-21 06:36:05	will russia capture kostyantynivka by july 31	Yes	SELL	4	61¢	$2	0x6305c0…
06-21 05:31:35	israel x hezbollah permanent peace deal by july 31 2026	Yes	SELL	5	27¢	$1	0x304750…
06-20 23:12:40	israel x hezbollah permanent peace deal by july 31 2026	Yes	BUY	5	26¢	$1	0x063068…
06-20 14:07:19	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	Yes	BUY	6	45¢	$3	0xfd47fd…
06-20 13:28:53	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	Yes	SELL	6	46¢	$3	0x448d04…
06-20 09:47:04	will russia enter vasylivka by july 31 2026	Yes	BUY	2	55¢	$1	0x19d6a4…
06-20 07:47:25	israel x hezbollah permanent peace deal by july 31 2026	Yes	BUY	5	26¢	$1	0xf0d3d7…
06-20 07:26:53	will russia enter vasylivka by july 31 2026	Yes	BUY	2	55¢	$1	0xd33d99…
06-20 07:26:52	will russia enter vasylivka by july 31 2026	Yes	BUY	2	55¢	$1	0xbe27f3…
06-20 05:53:35	will russia capture kostyantynivka by july 31	Yes	BUY	4	57¢	$2	0xa7f881…
06-19 20:30:01	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?	Yes	SELL	4	24¢	$1	0x102455…
06-19 20:15:53	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?	Yes	BUY	4	27¢	$1	0x444789…
06-19 18:41:46	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?	Yes	SELL	3	45¢	$1	0x25cce7…
06-19 18:11:46	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?	Yes	BUY	3	48¢	$1	0x582dac…
06-19 17:59:29	iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by july 31	No	SELL	6	43¢	$2	0xf09758…
06-19 17:28:55	iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by july 31	No	BUY	6	51¢	$3	0x8a794f…
06-19 17:18:08	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?	Yes	SELL	7	41¢	$3	0x8a041b…
06-19 17:00:32	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?	Yes	SELL	5	46¢	$2	0xce1591…
06-19 16:59:58	iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by july 31	No	SELL	6	46¢	$3	0xc21a21…
06-19 15:39:32	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?	Yes	BUY	2	44¢	$1	0xf4814d…
06-19 15:12:34	israel x hezbollah permanent peace deal by july 31 2026	Yes	BUY	6	35¢	$2	0xf4bb9e…
06-19 15:11:16	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?	Yes	BUY	2	43¢	$1	0xf9ac21…
06-19 14:59:43	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?	Yes	BUY	2	43¢	$1	0x4126c1…